FLO
Flowers FoodsDDocument history
Earnings documents stored for FLO.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-28Flowers Foods’s Q1 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions
StockStory
Flowers Foods’s Q1 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions
Flowers Foods delivered first quarter results that were well received by the market, marked by solid execution in a challenging environment. Management highlighted that bottom-line performance benefited from disciplined cost management and targeted supply chain efficiencies, while top-line growth remained constrained by ongoing softness in the traditional loaf bread category. CEO Ryals McMullian credited a comprehensive brand review and a nationwide relaunch of the Nature’s Own brand as key factors, noting, “Getting our volume stabilized in traditional loaf will do more for the business than any other lever that we can pull.” Is now the time to buy FLO? Find out in our full research report (it’s free). Revenue: $1.57 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.57 billion (1.1% year-on-year growth, in line) Adjusted EPS: $0.29 vs analyst estimates of $0.27 (8.2% beat) Adjusted EBITDA: $159 million vs analyst estimates of $148.5 million (10.1% margin, 7.1% beat) The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $5.22 billion at the midpoint Management reiterated its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance of $0.85 at the midpoint EBITDA guidance for the full year is $480 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $475.2 million Operating Margin: 6.8%, in line with the same quarter last year Sales Volumes fell 3.3% year on year, in line with the same quarter last year Market Capitalization: $1.65 billion While we enjoy listening to the management’s commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls is the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention. James Salera (Stephens): asked about the company’s inflation outlook and how hedging and productivity measures are being used to offset commodity cost increases. CFO Anthony Scaglione explained most key commodities are fully hedged for the year, with additional productivity efforts underway for packaging and distribution costs. Stephen Robert Powers (Deutsche Bank): inquired about the financial impact of higher diesel and packaging costs and how the recently reset dividend will affect capital allocation. Scaglione confirmed oil-related headwinds are included in guidance, and clarified that free cash flow from the dividend reset will focus on deleveraging. Scott Mar...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-28Hormel Foods' Q2 Earnings Beat, Sales Gain on Segment Strength
Zacks
Hormel Foods' Q2 Earnings Beat, Sales Gain on Segment Strength
Hormel Foods Corporation HRL reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein both top and bottom lines increased year over year and surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The company benefited from organic top-line growth, favorable pricing actions, improved turkey network performance and gains across all three segments. Hormel Foods posted adjusted earnings of 40 cents per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate as well as the year-ago period’s adjusted figure of 35 cents. Hormel Foods Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Hormel Foods Corporation Quote Net sales of $2,972.6 million increased 2.5% from $2,898.8 million reported in the year-ago quarter. The metric surpassed the consensus mark of $2,944 million. Organic net sales increased 3.3% in the quarter, marking the company’s sixth consecutive quarter of organic top-line growth. Total volume declined 1.2%, while organic volume fell 0.8%.Hormel Foods’ adjusted gross profit was $519.9 million, up from $487.2 million reported in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses were $243.4 million for the quarter compared with $237.7 million in the year-ago period.Adjusted operating income was $293.7 million, up from $264.9 million in the same quarter last year. Adjusted operating margin expanded to 9.9% from 9.1% reported in the year-ago quarter. Net sales in the Retail unit increased 0.3% year over year to $1,789.7 million, while organic net sales rose 1.4%. Volume declined 2.1%, with organic volume down 1.6%, mainly due to the strategic exit from select non-core private-label snack nut items. The segment benefited from strong performance in Jennie-O ground turkey, along with contributions from Applegate natural and organic meats, Hormel Black Label bacon, the Herdez portfolio and Hormel Gatherings party trays.Segment profit rose 13.5%, driven by higher organic net sales, improved performance across the turkey manufacturing network and lower SG&A expenses, partly offset by inflationary pressures in the logistics network.Net sales in the Foodservice segment jumped 6.4% to $996.7 million, while organic net sales rose 6.6%. Volume increased 0.7%, with organic volume up 0.8%. The segment marked its 11th consecutive quarter of organic net sales growth, driven by broad-based strength across multiple product groups and categories, including customized solutions,...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-28Flowers Foods' (NYSE:FLO) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
Simply Wall St.
Flowers Foods' (NYSE:FLO) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
Flowers Foods, Inc.'s (NYSE:FLO) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price showed strength. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem. AI is about to change healthcare. These 20 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10bn in marketcap - there is still time to get in early. For anyone who wants to understand Flowers Foods' profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by US$191m due to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Flowers Foods took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to April 2026. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates. As we mentioned previously, the Flowers Foods' profit was hampered by unusual items in the last year. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Flowers Foods' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Flowers Foods has 5 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them. Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Flowers Foods' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf,...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-25Flowers Foods (FLO) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Motley Fool
Flowers Foods (FLO) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Image source: The Motley Fool. Friday, May 22, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET Chairman and Chief Executive Officer — A. Ryals McMullian Chief Financial Officer — Diego Scaglione A. McMullian: Okay. Thanks, J.T. Good morning, everybody. Our team continued to execute against a challenging backdrop and softer top-line trends in the quarter, delivering bottom line results ahead of expectations. We advanced the comprehensive review of our brand portfolio, supply chain and financial strategy, and I'm very encouraged by the progress we're making there. We sharpened our focus on our core brands, including our nationwide relaunch of Nature's Own, while continuing to strengthen our position in Better For You segments. We also saw positive trends in premium bread and cake categories, helping us offset some of the ongoing softness in the traditional loaf category where we underperformed in the quarter. In addition, we took initiatives to drive efficiencies across our supply chain while further strengthening our balance sheet and our financial flexibility. Together, these efforts are positioning us to deliver more consistent and sustainable growth and profitability over the long term. Looking ahead, we'll remain focused on executing this strategy and positioning the business to drive value for shareholders. And I want to thank our team for their continued focus and commitment. And so with that, Marvin, we can open it up for questions. Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Jim Salera of Stephens. James Salera: I wanted to start off with your view on inflation, given how much commodities have moved since the start of the Iran conflict. Can you just walk us through your outlook on inflation, how that's changed since the beginning of the year? And any details you can share around your hedging program and maybe internal inflation expectations for the remainder of the year? Diego Scaglione: Sure. I'll take that. First off, recall, our hedging program really builds the cadence as we progress through the year. So we're virtually fully hedged for the balance of the year on the commodities in the program. So as we look forward, we see pressure primarily in other commodities and the impact that the price of oil has had on our distribution and resin, which has significantly impacted our packaging costs, and that's an area we didn't see as a cost concern w...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-22Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic ...
GuruFocus.com
Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue: Softer top line trends noted in the quarter. Bottom Line Results: Delivered ahead of expectations. Brand Portfolio: Nationwide relaunch of Nature's Own and positive trends in premium bread and cake categories. Traditional Loaf Category: Underperformance noted in the quarter. Supply Chain Efficiencies: Initiatives taken to drive efficiencies and strengthen financial flexibility. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 8 Warning Signs with FLO. Is FLO fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: May 22, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Flowers Foods Inc (NYSE:FLO) delivered bottom line results ahead of expectations despite a challenging backdrop and softer top line trends. The company advanced its comprehensive review of brand portfolio, supply chain, and financial strategy, showing encouraging progress. A nationwide relaunch of the Nature's Own brand was executed, focusing on core brands and strengthening the position in better-for-you segments. Positive trends were observed in premium bread and cake categories, helping offset softness in the traditional loaf category. Efforts to drive efficiencies across the supply chain and strengthen the balance sheet are positioning the company for more consistent and sustainable growth. The traditional loaf category underperformed in the quarter, which is a significant segment for Flowers Foods Inc (NYSE:FLO). Rising costs in commodities, particularly oil and resin, have significantly impacted packaging costs, posing a challenge. The promotional environment is intense and deemed unsustainable, affecting pricing dynamics and volume performance. Consumer pressures and headwinds to the top line are expected to persist, with no immediate recovery in volume anticipated. The company faces near-term margin pressure due to increased marketing investments and commodity cost increases. Q: Can you provide an outlook on inflation and details about your hedging program for the remainder of the year? A: We are virtually fully hedged for the balance of the year on the commodities in our program. We see pressure primarily in other commodities and the impact of oil prices on distribution and packaging costs. We are looking at ways to mitigate these increases through packaging configurations an...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-22Flowers Foods Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Flowers Foods Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Interested in Flowers Foods, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Flowers Foods reported Q1 earnings ahead of expectations despite softer sales and continued weakness in traditional bread, while reaffirming its fiscal 2026 outlook. Management said its focus remains on brand investment, cost controls, and balance sheet improvement. The company is betting heavily on a nationwide relaunch of Nature’s Own to stabilize its core loaf bread business, which makes up about 38% of branded retail sales. The revamped product has fewer ingredients, is non-GMO verified, and is being supported by a major marketing campaign featuring John Cena. Cost pressure is shifting from hedged commodities to oil-related inputs such as distribution and resin, adding an estimated $0.02 to $0.03 headwind in the second half of the year. Flowers Foods also said cash from its dividend reset will be used primarily to delever, with a goal of getting below 3x leverage by fiscal 2027. 3 High-Yield Bargains to Watch in 2025’s Second Half Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) said it delivered first-quarter bottom-line results ahead of expectations despite softer sales trends and continued pressure in the traditional bread category, as management pointed to brand investment, cost controls and balance sheet priorities as key themes for the rest of fiscal 2026. Chairman and CEO Ryals McMullian said the company “continued to execute against a challenging backdrop,” citing progress on a comprehensive review of Flowers Foods’ brand portfolio, supply chain and financial strategy. He said the company is sharpening its focus on core brands, including a nationwide relaunch of Nature’s Own, while continuing to build its position in better-for-you segments. → CAVA Group’s Stock Looks Delicious After Strong Earnings “We also saw positive trends in premium bread and cake categories, helping us offset some of the ongoing softness in the traditional bread category, where we underperformed in the quarter,” McMullian said. Management said Flowers Foods is largely protected on the commodities it hedges for the balance of 2026. CFO Anthony Scaglione said the company is “virtually fully hedged” for the rest of the year on commodities included in its hedging program. → SpaceX IPO: Opportunity? Or the Ultimate Hype Trade? However, Scaglione said the company is now seeing pressure in areas tied to oil, including distribution a...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-22Flowers Foods, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Moby
Flowers Foods, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Our analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here. Management attributed bottom-line outperformance to disciplined cost execution despite a challenging top-line environment and softer consumer demand. The company is pivoting its portfolio strategy to address underperformance in the traditional loaf category, which represents approximately 38% of branded retail. A nationwide relaunch of Nature's Own features a 'cleaner label' and non-GMO verification to differentiate the brand and stabilize volumes in a competitive market. Performance in premium bread and cake segments helped offset volume declines in legacy categories, reflecting a shift toward higher-margin, 'Better For You' offerings. Management noted that recent pricing gaps have widened beyond ideal levels, contributing to short-term volume pressure as competitors increased promotional intensity. Operational focus has shifted toward supply chain optimization and productivity measures to mitigate unhedged inflationary pressures in packaging and distribution. Guidance for the remainder of 2026 assumes easier volume comparisons in the back half of the year rather than a fundamental market recovery. The company expects a $0.02 to $0.03 headwind in the second half of the year specifically related to rising oil prices and their impact on resin-based packaging costs. Success for the Nature's Own relaunch is defined as stabilizing traditional loaf volumes, though management expects a 6-to-12-month lag before full marketing impacts are realized. Financial strategy prioritizes deleveraging to below 3x by the end of fiscal 2027, supported by a strategic reset of the dividend policy. Management assumes the current 'irrational' promotional environment is unsustainable and expects share trends to improve as price gaps normalize. A dividend reset was implemented to free up approximately $100 million in annual cash flow for debt reduction and brand reinvestment. Rising oil prices have created unexpected cost concerns in resin and distribution that were not present at the start of the fiscal year. Consumer sentiment is flagged as a significant risk, with management citing record-low sentiment reports and affordability issues impacting restaurant and retail traffic. The company is virtually fully hedged for core commoditi...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-22Flowers Foods Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Increase Y/Y
Zacks
Flowers Foods Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Increase Y/Y
Flowers Foods, Inc. FLO reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein both top and bottom lines beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate. While net sales increased, earnings decreased from the year-ago period’s actuals. Flowers Foods posted adjusted earnings of 29 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 28 cents. However, the bottom line deteriorated 17.1% from 35 cents reported in the year-ago quarter. Flowers Foods, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Flowers Foods, Inc. Quote Net sales increased 1.1% year over year to $1,571.6 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,563 million. The year-over-year growth was driven by a 2.1% increase in pricing/mix and a 2.3% contribution from the Simple Mills acquisition, partially offset by lower volumes. Volume declined 3.3%, primarily reflecting weakness in branded traditional loaf and store-branded cake and loaf categories, partially offset by growth in snacking, branded keto and vending.Branded retail sales rose 3.4% to $1,045 million, supported by favorable pricing/mix and contribution from acquisition, partially offset by lower volumes. Pricing/mix increased 4%, volume declined 4.2% and the acquisition contributed 3.6%.Other net sales decreased 3.1% to $526.2 million, reflecting inflationary pressure on consumer spending and the execution of margin optimization strategies. Pricing/mix declined 1.2%, while volume decreased 1.9%. Gross margin, excluding depreciation and amortization as a percentage of net sales, was 49.4%, a decrease of 50 basis points compared with the prior year. The decline was primarily caused by reduced operating leverage resulting from lower volumes and higher outside product purchases associated with Simple Mills, partially offset by lower ingredient costs related to the acquisition.Selling, distribution and administrative expenses were 40.9% of net sales, up 10 basis points from the prior-year period. Excluding matters affecting comparability, adjusted SD&A decreased 20 basis points to 39.3% of sales, due to lower marketing expenses and reduced distributor fees as a percentage of sales, reflecting the addition of Simple Mills and its warehouse distribution model.Adjusted EBITDA decreased 1.8% year over year to $159 million, representing 10.1% of net sales, a decrease of 30 basis points. FLO ended its fiscal first quarter with cash and cash equivalents of...
TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-22FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 64 paragraphs
FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Flowers Foods First Quarter 2026 Results Conference Call. I'd like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, J.T. Rieck, the second vice president of investor relations. Please go ahead.
Hi. Good morning. I hope everyone had the opportunity to review our earnings release, listen to our prepared remarks, and view the slide presentation that were all posted earlier on our investor relations website. After today's Q and A session, we will also post an audio replay of this call. Please note that in this Q and A session, we may make forward-looking statements about the company's performance.
Although we believe these statements to be reasonable, they are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. In addition to what you hear in these remarks, important factors relating to Flowers Foods business are fully detailed in our SEC filings. We also provide non-GAAP financial measures for which disclosure and reconciliations are provided in the earnings release and at the end of the slide presentation on our website.
Joining me today are Ryals McMullian, Chairman and CEO, and Anthony Scaglione, our CFO. Ryals, I'll turn it over to you.
Okay. Thanks, JT. Good morning, everybody. Our team continued to execute against a challenging backdrop and softer top-line trends in the quarter, delivering bottom-line results ahead of expectations. We advanced the comprehensive review of our brand portfolio, supply chain, and financial strategy, and I'm very encouraged by the progress we're making there. We sharpened our focus on our core brands, including our nationwide relaunch of Nature's Own, while continuing to strengthen our position in better-for-you segments.
We also saw positive trends in premium bread and cake categories, helping us offset some of the ongoing softness in the traditional bread category, where we underperformed in the quarter. In addition, we took initiatives to drive efficiencies across our supply chain while further strengthening our balance sheet and our financial flexibility. Together, these efforts are positioning us to deliver more consistent and sustainable growth and profitability over the long term.
Looking ahead, we'll remain focused on executing this strategy and positioning the business to drive value for shareholders. I want to thank our team for their continued focus and commitment. With that, Marvin, we can open it up for questions.
Thank you. At this time, we'll conduct a question and answer session. Our first question comes from the line of Jim Salera of Stephens. Your line is now open.
Hey, Ryals, Anthony. Good morning. Thanks for taking our question.
Good morning.
I wanted to start off with your view on inflation, given how much commodities have moved since the start of the Iran conflict. Can you just walk us through your outlook on inflation, how that's changed since the beginning of the year, and any details you can share around your hedging program and maybe internal inflation expectations for the remainder of the year?
Sure. I'll take that. First off, recall our hedging program really builds the cadence as we progress through the year. We're virtually fully hedged for the balance of the year on the commodities in the program. As we look forward, we see pressure primarily in other commodities and the impact that the price of oil has had on our distribution in resin, which has significantly impacted our packaging costs, and that's an area we didn't see as a cost concern when we started the year.
That being said, the teams are looking at ways to mitigate that increase including packaging configurations, alternatives, along with other productivity measures. Overall, I would say we're assuming a level of increase stays elevated and that's built into our outlook. If they should further increase, we'll probably look at other productivity measures to counter that.
Particularly if we think about on the productivity side, are you talking about costs that can come out of SG&A? Is that pulling back on promotional spend or maybe some other efficiencies you can find in the gross margin line? Can you just walk us through how you think the offsets, where they would come in the model?
I think it would mostly come out of SG&A. To the extent that we make progress on some of the packaging, as I mentioned, clearly that would be productivity as it relates to the cost going into COGS.
Great. I'll pass it on. Thanks.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Powers of Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.
Great. Thank you very much. Maybe just to follow up on Jim's question. Is there a way to size or dimension the higher diesel and packaging costs that you're now seeing for the balance of 2026 versus before? I guess also, should costs remain high, is there a way to think about how much carryover inflation we're now accruing into 2027 versus before?
We haven't started our planning process. We're just in the process of kicking that off for 2027, I can't provide further color on that in isolation. Clearly, there's a lot of puts and takes as it relates to what we would address as we look into 2027. For 2026, as I mentioned, most of our core commodities that could have the highest impact are fully hedged. We feel pretty good about the outlook as it relates to our position going into the back half. As I mentioned, as it relates to oil, it's really a tale of two cities. There's the impact of oil on the consumer, and that will have from a consumer sentiment, which we are obviously looking at providing value at price points and making sure that we're meeting the consumer demand.
On the input side, it's primarily impacting resin, which is not a direct corollary to oil. It's a downstream impact. In that, as I mentioned earlier, we're looking at ways through productivity to drive some of that headwind out in the back half. That's all baked into our reaffirmation of guidance.
Okay. Thank you. Anthony, while I have you, on the dividend reset, you're freeing up around about $100 million of cash, which I think could reduce leverage by about 0.2 turns if fully directed there. Is that the right way to frame it? How should we think about the split between deleveraging versus other reinvestment priorities of that incremental cash?
I think you nailed it in terms of the split. Clearly, our first priority is to deleverage, and the goal is to be below three times by the end of fiscal 2027. We're looking at that as the primary lever with the reset of the dividend, but continuing to invest in the brands, similar to what we did with the relaunch of our Nature's Own this quarter.
Yeah. Actually, if I could squeeze one more in on that relaunch, Ryals, it very much makes sense relative to your strategy, broadly speaking, in terms of where the consumer is, simpler ingredients, non-GMO, big marketing push behind all that. I guess, what are your expectations, and what would success look like over the next two to three quarters? Whether in terms of velocity or household penetration, just how you're thinking about the impact of this relaunch and how it may help bend the organic growth trajectory at all.
First of all, I just want to say we're tremendously excited about this. This was a huge pivot that the team made. Took a lot of work to get this done. Reformulating, taking out another third of the ingredients, essentially being the cleanest label traditional loaf bread at scale in the country, and non-GMO verified. It's a big deal for us. Took a lot of investment and of course, as we said, we've got the 360-degree marketing campaign behind it, leveraging John Cena's celebrity.
We just actually launched that yesterday. Some of you may have seen it. In terms of what success looks like, obviously the traditional loaf category has been the soft spot for us. We've been talking about this for a number of quarters now. The rest of the business essentially is doing quite well on the premium and the value end.
Traditional loaf is approximately 38% of our branded retail, so it's a big segment for us. Getting that part of the category stabilized, Steve, is how I would describe success. At a minimum, getting our volume stabilized in traditional loaf will do more for the business than any other lever that we can pull. Now, there is a lag. I don't necessarily expect this to have an immediate impact. When you start a marketing campaign like this, you've got to get six months, one year down the road before you can then look back and see how effective it was. I do think between the increased marketing spend, so higher visibility, remembering that Nature's Own has the highest loyalty rate in the category, and it's the number 1 brand, and we have the number one SKU.
Getting consumers' attention and bringing them back to that segment by delivering value in the sense of attributes that resonate with consumers, to me, that's what will drive, ultimately, our success. To directly answer your question, success to me is stabilizing volumes in traditional loaf.
Perfect. Thanks for the perspective. Very helpful. Appreciate it.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes to the line of Scott Marks from Jefferies. Your line is now open.
Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks very much for taking our questions. First thing I wanted to ask about, in the prepared remarks, you noted a number of times about some of the consumer pressures and expectations for headwinds to the top line to persist a bit. Just wondering if you can help us understand within your guidance for the year, what are you embedding in terms of assumptions for volume versus pricing? How should we be thinking about maybe cadence as we move through the year?
Great question. We don't guide to volume. Our guidance assumes easier volume comps as we progress through the year. We do see some back half increased costs related to some of the input costs I mentioned in both of my prepared remarks and on the last call, I mean, the last questions. We expect to continue to have good overhead and other cost management to help mitigate some of that risk, which is not hedged on the input side. I would look at it as, we don't expect a recovery necessarily from a volume perspective, but we do have easier comps as we progress throughout the year.
Understood. Appreciate that. Another question would be just on the promotional environment. You made a number of references in the prepared remarks, talked about a little bit more of an intense promotional environment that you believe is unsustainable. I think you called out some improving trends in certain markets where that has eased a bit. Just wondering if you can dive a little bit deeper into that and help us understand maybe what supports your view that competitors will pull back on promotions and how long should we be thinking about this irrational environment to persist?
Right. Well, first of all, I would say this, we've been through periods like this before. It's not our first rodeo, as they say. We've seen this happen before. It typically has not been sustainable in the past. I think we're all familiar with the affordability issues that the country seems to be going through right now, particularly with the recent spike in gas prices. There was some commentary yesterday from a large retailer on softening consumer sentiment.
We saw the Michigan's consumer sentiment report come out at a record low. It is a concern and it's something that we're just going to have to navigate our way through. Having said that, we're taking a long-term view. This company is about building strong brands that deliver significant value to consumers. When I say value, I don't mean heavily leaning into price.
I mean delivering quality, great service, innovation, and differentiation to the consumer. That's our play. We'll continue to run it. Having said that, I know you all have been watching the share and volume dynamics in the syndicated data.
I would just remind everyone, we did take pricing late last year, and the pricing gaps have remained a bit wider than we would like in the short- term, and that has somewhat affected our volume performance, particularly as you look in the traditional loaf category. We did pull back some on promotions and marketing spend in the first quarter because we were saving our dry powder for this big relaunch of Nature's Own. Our calendar will start to heat up to a more normal level as we move through the remainder of the year, and I would expect some of those share trends to begin to improve.
In fact, where we have seen in a few channels where we have seen the price gap start to narrow to a more normalized level, we're already beginning to see those share improvements.
Appreciate the color. I'll pass it on.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes the line of Max Gumport of BNP Paribas. Your line's now open.
Thanks. Appreciate the question. You mentioned you're largely covered for commodities that you hedge for in 2026. I'm not sure that would include diesel fuel, and I don't think it would include transportation. Could you talk about the impact there of those rising costs on your P&L and what's embedded in your outlook for 2026 on that front?
It's fully embedded in our outlook. As I mentioned, you're correct. The diesel does have an impact primarily for our fleet, but recall from a DSD network, that cost that's actually in our partners, not that we ignore it, but it's not something that's going to show up necessarily on our P&L. As it relates to the hedging programs we are looking at, potentially hedging that on a go-forward basis is not included in our guide. Everything right now as it relates to the oil impact, and again, it's twofold, it's both on the distribution side as well as on the resin side, fully captured in the guide that we provided.
Okay. Any way to just help provide investors with some context in terms of the magnitude we're talking about in terms of how much incremental costs you are now working to mitigate, given everything that's changed since your fourth quarter results when you first gave us the 2026 outlook?
I would say, there's a lot of puts and takes, and as mentioned, we have productivity measures as it relates to the packaging, which is an area that entering the year, we didn't expect cost increases, and as you can imagine, we have inventory that we're burning through at a much lower cost. I would say it's roughly about $0.02 or $0.03 of headwind in the back half of the year associated with, generally speaking, oil and derivatives of oil.
Okay. Got it. Similar line of thinking, but just want to finish out this line of thinking, which would be, since you gave guidance, the top-line environment has gotten much more challenging, as you've noted. We just talked about how these key commodity costs are rising. It feels like you're saying you're covered for a lot of it. There's some incremental costs coming in the back half, but that you are reaffirming the outlook. I'm just trying to get a sense for what's allowing you to. It sounds like it's maybe a little bit more visibility on productivity, but anything else I'm missing there?
Yeah. I'll pass it to Ryals. I think our confidence in reaffirming is anchored on a couple things. The Nature's Own relaunch expansion of half loaves with varieties that are going to be coming out in the back half of the year, which is an area that we've seen good growth. Continued growth in our snack and better-for-you options. To Ryals's point, the pricing promotional environment stabilizing too.
We have a lot of things that we have in the back half assumed within our guidance, but we are also looking at the margin pressure as it relates to the commodity increase. We also recognize there's going to be near-term margin pressure, and we were very clear at year-end with our marketing investments. We have captured what we feel are all the relevant inputs as well as the relevant tailwinds as it relates to the balance of the year.
Okay. Thanks very much. I can leave it there.
Our next question comes from the line of Mitchell Pinheiro of Stifel Nicolaus. Your line is now open.
Yeah. Good morning.
Good morning.
On the cost management side and your supply chain savings, is that the extent of your cost efforts? Are there also maybe some fixed asset or capacity changes that you're looking at? Anything more substantial to your baking platform?
Yeah. Mitch, it's Ralph. Good morning. I think Anthony covered it well. There's cost opportunities in SG&A. Obviously, there's productivity gains that we expect to deliver this year. I would just, first of all, like to commend the team for their cost management efforts, frankly, over the last two or three years. I think they've done a remarkable job of managing our costs in a difficult environment. In terms of the overall supply chain optimization work, not anticipating anything major this year, Mitch, but that is, as we've discussed in the past, that is in our longer-term plans.
Okay. On the CapEx, $115 million-$125 million. Could you break that down in the buckets of how that's going to be used this year?
Sure. I think I mentioned it on the last call. The way to think about it is roughly ±$2 million per bakery on maintenance. That should be viewed on a consistent basis as we continue to provide productivity measures within our bakery, maintenance measures, around $2 million. The remaining CapEx is going to be dedicated to growth, and we see opportunities around product line extensions where we can drive additional value to the customer, as well as productivity measures. That's the way I would break out the bucket of the guide as it relates to CapEx.
Okay. I guess just final question on food service. Can you just talk about what's going on in your food service business?
Sure. I think just like everything else, Mitch, the consumer's pressured and so there's certainly some traffic pressure. As you know, we've done a lot of work over the last several years to improve the profitability of our food service business, and that continues. It continues to do well. I would say, more recently, it has done a bit better from an overall top-line standpoint. We believe we've got a very solid, as you know, it's a scaled business for us. We think we've got a very solid food service/away from home business, and we'll continue to work to grow it.
Are you seeing any improvement there, or is it just sort of same pressure and maybe would you anticipate potential improvement coinciding with what you see on the branded retail side?
Yeah, like I said, I think more recently, from a top-line standpoint, it has improved a little bit. Again, the profitability work that we've done over the last several years has definitely paid some dividends because profitability is quite a bit better than it was. I think what we'll be watching overall is overall restaurant traffic and where the trends are headed that way, just given the overall inflationary pressures that the consumer is feeling today.
Okay. All right. Well, that's all for me. Thank you very much.
Thanks, Mitch.
Thank you.
Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'll now turn it back to Ryals McMullian, Chairman, CEO, for closing remarks.
Okay, great. Thanks, everybody, for taking time today and joining us for questions. We very much appreciate your interest in our company. As always, we'll look forward to talking to you again next quarter. Take care.
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-21Flowers Foods (FLO) Beats Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Zacks
Flowers Foods (FLO) Beats Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Flowers Foods (FLO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.29 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.28 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.35 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +3.57%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this bakery goods company would post earnings of $0.16 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.22, delivering a surprise of +37.5%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Flowers Foods, which belongs to the Zacks Food - Miscellaneous industry, posted revenues of $1.57 billion for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.58%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $1.55 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Flowers Foods shares have lost about 33.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 8.6%. While Flowers Foods has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Flowers Foods was unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Ra...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-21Flowers Foods Fiscal Q1 Adjusted Earnings Fall, Revenue Rises
MT Newswires
Flowers Foods Fiscal Q1 Adjusted Earnings Fall, Revenue Rises
Flowers Foods (FLO) reported fiscal Q1 adjusted earnings late Thursday of $0.29 per diluted share, d
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-21Flowers Foods: Q1 Earnings Snapshot
Associated Press
Flowers Foods: Q1 Earnings Snapshot
THOMASVILLE, Ga. (AP) — THOMASVILLE, Ga. (AP) — Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO) on Thursday reported net income of $42.1 million in its first quarter. On a per-share basis, the Thomasville, Georgia-based company said it had net income of 20 cents. Earnings, adjusted for non-recurring costs and restructuring costs, were 29 cents per share. The bakery goods company posted revenue of $1.57 billion in the period. Flowers Foods expects full-year earnings in the range of 80 cents to 90 cents per share, with revenue in the range of $5.16 billion to $5.27 billion. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on FLO at https://www.zacks.com/ap/FLO

