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FLO

Flowers FoodsA
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The stock trades below the supplied $8.5833 median analyst target, while Nature’s Own, portfolio optimization, and cost actions could support recovery if volume stabilizes and execution improves. Target-count coverage is unavailable, limiting confidence.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Fresh packaged bread demand and consumer purchasing behavior remain weak.
Momentum
12
Value
68
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $6.75 · Bull $8.58 · Bear $5.40Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $8.58
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d -1.9
Value68 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +12.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fresh packaged bread demand and consumer purchasing behavior remain weak.
  • • Labor, freight, marketing, and other operating costs may continue to pressure margins.
  • • The latest company-reported quarter showed declining sales, volume, earnings, and margins, alongside a downward revision to full-year guidance.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-01

Q2 earnings and FY2026 outlook reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
12
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-1.4
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.0
Δ21d
+7.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 11.7 / Value 67.9 / Sentiment 76.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.58
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.55B
Beta
0.32
Shares Out
211.99M
P/E (TTM)
11.3
P/S (TTM)
0.42
P/FCF (TTM)
18.51
Rev YoY
-4.0%
EPS YoY
-30.5%
Gross Margin
+45.4%
Op Margin
+6.3%
Net Debt
$2.07B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data