B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$176.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FCN
FTI ConsultingCNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$154.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-18
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+48.5
Score
AI commentary
Operating evidence is mixed-positive: record revenue, strong quarterly operating cash flow, reaffirmed revenue guidance, and a positive deterministic prior are offset by margin compression and lower net income. The anchor price of $141 is below the packet's $175.50 median target, but the missing analyst count and revision history make that signal tentative. Recent-news entries are false-positive ticker matches and were excluded. Social coverage, options skew, short interest, employee rating, and reliable 30-day news sentiment were unavailable; their zero values indicate missing evidence rather than neutral or favorable readings.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-18
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-10-31catalystThird-quarter margin and earnings checkpointHigh impact
The next quarterly report should test whether revenue growth can translate into renewed operating leverage. Second-quarter revenue rose 5.3% to a record $993.5 million, but adjusted EBITDA declined to $104.5 million and adjusted EBITDA margin contracted to 10.5% from 11.8%; adjusted EPS was $2.16 versus $2.13 a year earlier. The company reaffirmed revenue guidance while updating 2026 EPS guidance to $8.70-$9.30 and introducing adjusted EPS guidance of $9.10-$9.70 [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31].
2026-12-31eventExecution of expanded share-repurchase authorizationMedium impact
The board authorized an additional $370 million for share repurchases on June 3, 2026. Continued deployment at depressed prices could support per-share value, but actual timing and volume remain discretionary [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31].
2027-12-31catalystAdvisory demand and margin normalizationHigh impact
Management attributes the platform's resilience to multiyear investment in talent and sees increasingly relevant capabilities as clients confront disruption. A durable rerating requires Corporate Finance, Technology, and Forensic and Litigation Consulting growth to persist while higher direct costs, SG&A, interest expense, and extraordinary litigation-related costs normalize [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology