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DUOL

DuolingoD
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
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2026-06-02
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2026-05-14
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Earnings documents stored for DUOL.

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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-14

5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Duolingo’s Q1 Earnings Call

StockStory

Duolingo’s first quarter performance was marked by strong user engagement and execution of its strategy to prioritize teaching quality and drive daily active user (DAU) growth. Management highlighted that DAUs grew 21% year-over-year, with Asia as the fastest-growing region, fueled by product updates such as spoken tokens and new speaking practice features. CEO Luis von Ahn explained, “We made it a bigger part of the experience for free users and paid subscribers,” emphasizing the expanded scope and quality of language exercises. Despite surpassing Wall Street’s expectations on revenue and earnings, the market reacted negatively, potentially reflecting concerns about future growth and profitability dynamics. Is now the time to buy DUOL? Find out in our full research report (it’s free). Revenue: $292 million vs analyst estimates of $288.6 million (26.5% year-on-year growth, 1.2% beat) Adjusted EPS: $1.45 vs analyst expectations of $1.72 (15.5% miss) Adjusted EBITDA: $83.43 million vs analyst estimates of $73.64 million (28.6% margin, 13.3% beat) The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $1.21 billion at the midpoint EBITDA guidance for the full year is $310 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $301.7 million Operating Margin: 15.3%, up from 10.2% in the same quarter last year Market Capitalization: $5.03 billion While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention. Wyatt J. Swanson (DA Davidson): Asked about DAU growth drivers and regional performance. CEO Luis von Ahn highlighted that word-of-mouth remains the main driver, with Asia as the fastest-growing region, and confirmed ongoing 20% DAU growth expectations. Ross Adam Sandler (Barclays): Inquired about engagement improvements in the free tier and inspiration from mobile gaming. Von Ahn explained enhancements to the free experience and adoption of mobile game-inspired features such as avatar costumes and collectible rewards. Eric Sheridan (Goldman Sachs): Questioned the impact of scaling AI on user experience and margins. Von Ahn detailed improvements in conversational features and content scale, while CFO Gilian Munson described...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Duolingo Stock Falls Deeper. What Earnings Say About User Growth.

Barrons.com

The stock was down nearly 9% on Tuesday, extending Monday’s drop despite double-digit gains in subscription and advertising revenue.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Duolingo shares slide after Q1 results raise growth concerns

Proactive

Shares of Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) fell 7.7% on Tuesday after the language-learning app reported first-quarter results that, while modestly above expectations, were overshadowed by second-quarter guidance pointing to a sharp deceleration in bookings growth. Duolingo posted first-quarter revenue of $292 million, up 27% year-over-year and ahead of the $289 million analyst estimate, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $83.4 million, reflecting a 28.6% margin. Earnings per share of $0.89 surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.75. Daily active users reached 56.5 million, a 21% increase year-over-year, and paid subscribers grew 21% to 12.5 million. Despite the headline beats, investors focused on weaker forward guidance. Duolingo projected second-quarter bookings of $283.5 million, up just 5.8% year-over-year, and trimmed its full-year revenue and bookings midpoints by $4 million and $6 million, respectively. The company now guides for full-year revenue of $1.205 billion and bookings of $1.28 billion. Jefferies, which maintained a Hold rating with a $95 price target, said the first-quarter upside was offset by second-quarter guidance implying a notable deceleration in bookings growth, placing greater reliance on a second-half rebound. The firm sees downside risk to forward estimates and said it prefers to remain on the sidelines pending better visibility into growth trends. Also flagged as a concern was a slowdown in monthly active user growth to 6% year-over-year, down from 14% in the fourth quarter, which Jefferies views as a leading indicator of weakening top-of-funnel engagement. The deceleration was said to be particularly pronounced in the US, where users monetize materially better than international counterparts. Duolingo highlighted several engagement initiatives, including longer free trials, expanded video call functionality, and refined performance marketing, though Jefferies said it was too early to assess their impact.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Duolingo Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates on User Growth, Margin Gains

Zacks

Duolingo, Inc. DUOL delivered first-quarter 2026 earnings of 89 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 79 cents by 12.7%. Revenues rose 27.0% year over year to $292.0 million and topped the consensus call of $288.5 million by 1.2%. The quarter showed continued engagement strength, with daily active users increasing 21% year over year to 56.5 million, as management leaned further into product improvements designed to deepen learning outcomes. A growing paid base remained an important support for results. Paid subscribers reached 12.5 million at period end, up 21% from the year-ago quarter, pointing to steady conversion alongside a larger active community. Monthly active users also increased to 137.8 million, reinforcing the scale of the platform. Management reiterated that it is still early in its 2026 strategic shift, but the company continues to prioritize teaching better while growing its audience. The medium-term goal remains reaching 100 million daily active users in 2028, with product quality positioned as a key lever for retention and word-of-mouth expansion. Duolingo put particular emphasis on making speaking a more central part of the learning experience. The company introduced “spoken tokens,” enabling learners to speak answers instead of tapping words, and launched flashcards that push faster recall by having users say words and phrases aloud. The company also began rolling out “Speaking Adventures,” built around real-world tasks that require learners to speak with Duolingo characters. For paid users, Video Call continued to improve, and management said the feature has helped more than double the average number of words spoken per user over the past year. Content scaling was another highlight of the quarter. DUOL said it published 20,500 course units in the first quarter alone, reflecting the impact of AI tools that are speeding production and enabling broader updates across many language courses at once. The company also pointed to expanding depth in its most important offerings. It has launched content up to Duolingo Score 129 (CEFR B2) across courses teaching its nine most-learned languages, positioning the platform as a path to more advanced proficiency. Alongside that expansion, Duolingo said it is improving Chinese, Japanese and Korean courses by simplifying early lessons and easing the learning curve for character systems....

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Compared to Estimates, Duolingo (DUOL) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Zacks

For the quarter ended March 2026, Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) reported revenue of $291.97 million, up 26.5% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.89, compared to $0.72 in the year-ago quarter. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $288.54 million, representing a surprise of +1.19%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +12.94%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.79. While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health. Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance. Here is how Duolingo performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Paid subscribers (at period end): 12.5 million compared to the 12.84 million average estimate based on two analysts. Subscription bookings: $268.1 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $259.83 million. Daily active users (DAUs): 56.5 million versus 55.77 million estimated by two analysts on average. Monthly active users (MAUs): 137.8 million versus 139.97 million estimated by two analysts on average. Total bookings: $308.5 million compared to the $301.26 million average estimate based on two analysts. Revenues- Other (including Advertising, DET and others): $32.61 million versus $42.81 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +7.6% change. Revenues- Subscription: $250.91 million versus $244.06 million estimated by three analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +31.4% change. Revenues- In-App Purchases: $8.45 million compared to the $10.61 million average estimate based on two analysts. Revenues- Other: $0.68 million versus $0.48 million estimated by two analysts on average. Revenues- Advertising: $20.61 million compared to the $19.57 million average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +15.3% year over year. Revenues- Duolingo English Test: $11.32 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $11.2 m...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05

Duolingo's Earnings Beat Masks a Bookings Growth Problem

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) fell 12.73% in pre-market trading despite a beat on the top and bottom line in the first quarter. Revenue rose 27% year over year to $292.0 million, ahead of the $288 million Wall Street consensus. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $83.4 million, with margin expanding 140 basis points to 28.6%. GAAP EPS of $0.89 beat the $0.77 consensus. There were two main problems: monetization and outlook. Monthly active users reached 137.8 million, while daily active users reached 56.5 million, a 21% gain year over year. Paid subscribers at period-end reached 12.5 million, though bookings growth slowed to 14%. Management reiterated that it's prioritizing long-term user expansion over near-term monetization, including its goal of reaching 100 million daily active users by 2028. The company also acknowledged that heavier AI feature adoption could weigh on margins over time, even as it drives engagement. For Q2, total bookings guidance of $283.5 million implies just 5.8% year-over-year growth. On gross margin, management guided Q2 to approximately 71%, before trending to around 69% by Q4 as AI-driven features expand across the product and raise per-unit costs. Full-year targets were reiterated with point estimates of 10.5% bookings growth and 16.1% revenue growth.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

Zacks

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.89 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.79 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.72 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +12.94%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.79 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.94, delivering a surprise of +18.99%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Duolingo, which belongs to the Zacks Technology Services industry, posted revenues of $291.97 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.19%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $230.74 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Duolingo shares have lost about 36.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 5.6%. While Duolingo has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Duolingo was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05

Duolingo Shares Drop Despite Earnings Beat as Outlook Disappoints

InvestorsHub

Duolingo Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) reported first-quarter results that topped analyst expectations, but its shares fell more than 12% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the company issued weaker-than-expected full-year revenue guidance and flagged declining margins. The language-learning group posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.89, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.76 by $0.13. Revenue came in at $292 million, marking a 27% year-on-year increase and exceeding forecasts of $288.98 million. However, Duolingo projected full-year 2026 revenue of $1.205 billion, slightly below the $1.21 billion expected by analysts. For the second quarter, revenue is forecast at $295.5 million, modestly ahead of the $294.2 million consensus. The company indicated that gross margin is likely to decline to around 69.0% by the fourth quarter, compared with 73.0% in the first quarter, as usage of AI-driven features expands. Adjusted EBITDA margin is projected at 25.7% for the full year, with a second-quarter margin of 24.0%. Daily active users increased 21% year-on-year to 56.5 million, while paid subscribers also rose 21% to 12.5 million by the end of the quarter. Duolingo generated $147.8 million in free cash flow, representing a margin of 50.6%. “The Duolingo story remains in a bit of a limbo period in 1H26, but we are eagerly waiting to get more constructive once we get closer to the “all clear” moment,” Barclays analysts led by Ross Sandler said in a note. In a separate report, analysts at Morgan Stanley commented, “~6 months into DUOL’s increased focus on user growth, it has not yet been able to meaningfully inflect DAUs. Although DUOL is launching more shots-on-goal, its unclear what & when could drive a turnaround.” They added that the post-earnings sell-off is “a reflection of offsides sentiment into earnings.” Duolingo expects bookings to grow 10.5% for the full year 2026, with second-quarter bookings growth projected at 5.8% amid tougher year-on-year comparisons. Since February, the company has repurchased roughly 514,000 shares, offsetting more than 100% of expected 2025 dilution. “In Q1, we made progress on the strategy we laid out last quarter,” said Luis von Ahn, Co-Founder and CEO. “We’ve made speaking a core part of the learning experience, and we’ve added more features and content to continue to support learners.” Duolingo stock price

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-04

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 148 paragraphs
Debbie Belevan

Good evening, everyone, welcome to Duolingo's first quarter 2026 earnings webcast. Today after market close, we released this quarter's shareholder letter, a copy of which you can find on our IR website at investors.duolingo.com. On today's call we have Luis von Ahn, our co-founder and CEO, Gillian Munson, our CFO. They'll begin with prepared remarks before we open the call for questions. Analysts may ask a question by using the Raise Hand feature. Please note this call is being recorded, all participants are currently in listen only mode. Before we begin, please note we'll make some forward-looking statements regarding future events and financial performance. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties described in our SEC filings, are based on our assumptions we believe to be reasonable as of today. We undertake no obligation to update them.

Debbie Belevan

We'll also discuss both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations between the two can be found in our earnings materials, and we encourage you to review them when evaluating our performance. Now I will turn it over to Luis.

Luis von Ahn

Thanks, Debbie, and thank you all for joining. Q1 was about execution. We said we were going to prioritize teaching better and changes in the growing users, and that's exactly what we did. DAUs grew 21% year-over-year, right in line with what we expected as we make this strategic shift. I want to spend a few minutes on what we shipped this quarter related to language learning, because teaching better is the foundation of everything we're building toward. Speaking practice has historically been the hardest thing to do well on a mobile app. This quarter, we made it a bigger part of the experience for free users and paid subscribers. We introduced spoken tokens, which let learners speak their answers to almost any exercise.

Luis von Ahn

We started rolling out Speaking Adventures, which put learners in real-world conversational scenarios. We launched Flashcards, which help learners build fast recall by saying words aloud. For our paid subscribers, Video Call keeps getting better. Over the past year, we've more than doubled the average number of words spoken per user in that feature. We also reached a major milestone on content. We now offer courses up to professional proficiency, which is B2 on the CEFR scale, across all our 9 most learned languages. We got there fast. In Q1 alone, we published 20,500 course units. To put that in context, that's more than 10 times what we were shipping per quarter just 2 years ago. AI has fundamentally changed what's possible for us. I believe we're just scratching the surface.

Luis von Ahn

The product is better than it has ever been, and I couldn't be more excited about what's ahead. With that, I'll turn it over to Jillian.

Gillian Munson

Thank you, Luis. Q1 was a solid quarter. We achieved double-digit growth in both bookings and revenue, expanded gross margin, and delivered adjusted EBITDA of $83 million, which is about 29% of our revenue. As you consider 2026, it's worth reiterating how we are thinking about the year. We are investing deliberately to set us up to be a larger, more durable long-term business. This means that for this year we are managing the business towards the targets that we shared on the fourth quarter call. Specifically, 10%-12% bookings growth, 15%-18% revenue growth, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 25%. To help with your modeling, we've provided point estimates for the full year 2026 based on what we can see today, consistent with those ranges. These are: bookings growth of roughly 10.5%, revenue growth of roughly 16.1%, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.7%.

Gillian Munson

A few things we wanna make sure are on your radar as you build out your models. On bookings, our expected Q2 bookings growth of about 6% reflects a tough comp. The prior year quarter included the initial rollout of Energy, a price increase on our most popular subscription plan, and exceptional advertising performance. We do expect bookings growth to accelerate through the second half, with about three points of acceleration in Q3 and a further rise in Q4. We expect about 17% growth in Q2 for revenue, after which we expect growth to step down in Q3 before stabilizing in Q4. For gross margin, we expect it to be approximately 71% in Q2, after which it will trend down to roughly 69% by the end of the year as AI-powered feature use in our products expands. adjusted EBITDA margin in Q2 should be roughly 24%.

Gillian Munson

We expect Q3 adjusted EBITDA margin to be flat to slightly down from Q2 before approaching 27% in Q4. That's a lot to digest, but the overall message is that 2026 is a key strategic investment year for us, and it is playing out as we expected so far, as demonstrated by the point estimates for our financials that we have shared. We enter Q2 with over $1 billion in cash, no debt, and expect to generate over $350 million in free cash flow this year. We plan to continue executing on our buyback authorization, under which repurchases to date are 514,000 shares, or about 1% of our fully diluted shares outstanding. 2026 is a big year for Duolingo, and I am very excited about what we are building. Now I'll turn it back to the operator, and we can take your questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please use the Raise Hand bar, which can be found at the bottom of your screen. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by lowering your hand. When it is your turn, you will receive a message on your screen asking to be promoted to a panelist. Please accept and wait a moment, and once you have been promoted, you will hear your name called, and you may unmute your video and audio and ask your question.

Operator

Your Zoom application may disappear momentarily. This is expected, and your window will reappear. We are allowing analysts one relevant follow-up to their main question, and we will now pause a moment to allow the team to gather and assemble the queue. All right, we are waiting one moment for Wyatt Swanson with D.A. Davidson to accept. Wyatt, please turn on your video and audio and ask your question.

Wyatt Swanson

Hey, thanks for the question. Appreciate it.

Luis von Ahn

Hi, Wyatt.

Wyatt Swanson

Awesome. Could you talk to some of the different drivers of DAU growth this quarter, and maybe entering two Q? Just talk to, like, whether it's performance marketing, word of mouth maybe starting to return, or something else. Could you maybe also talk to what regions you're seeing any particular strength or weakness?

Luis von Ahn

Thanks for the question. DAU growth, this is very important to us, for, of course, this is the most important thing we're trying to do this year. We're growing in every single region, as we have been for several years. Of course, some regions are growing faster than others. Asia, in particular, is the fastest growing region. In terms of the growth drivers, they remain pretty similar. I mean, word of mouth has historically been the main growth driver for us. Most of our users come to Duolingo through word of mouth. We have some amount of marketing, some amount of performance marketing that we're doing. We've increased that budget a little bit, but it's not massive when, you know, compared to other apps our size.

Luis von Ahn

Generally, I think it's been pretty similar to the growth drivers. The last thing that I'll say is, historically, the other place where DAU increases is just a lot of increases in retention to the product, and that's basically the work of, you know, just making the product stickier, and that has gone really well. We've been making a lot of changes to the product, some of which are small, some of which are larger, that just make retention higher. The way you would see that is just an increase in our DAU to MAU ratio, which keeps increasing pretty much every quarter, and it increased again this quarter.

Wyatt Swanson

Perfect. Thanks. 1 quick follow-up. Can you maybe provide some color on how you expect DAU growth to look in 2Q, and whether 20% is still the right way to think about, you know, DAU growth going through 2026?

Luis von Ahn

Yeah. Everything we said in the last call remains. I mean, we expect that it's going to stay at around 20% throughout the year. Now, there will be some slight ups and downs depending on the comps from last year, et cetera, but it's around 20% for the rest of the year. Nothing has changed from the last time we spoke.

Wyatt Swanson

Perfect. Thanks.

Operator

All right, your next question will come from Ross Sandler with Barclays. We are waiting for a moment for him to accept. Ross, please turn on your audio and video and ask your question.

Luis von Ahn

Hi, Ross.

Ross Sandler

There. Hey, everybody. Think I got this thing to work. Okay. Luis, you had mentioned 2 interesting things, 90 days back as kind of part of the plan this year. One was to kind of, like, revitalize some of the engagement in the free tier, kind of like high engaging free tier, that top 20% of the free tier. Curious to hear any update on that effort. You also had mentioned that you wanted to kinda, like, get inspiration from some of the big, like, mobile gaming companies out there in terms of new things that you could potentially bring into Duolingo. Curious just to hear, you know, what you've learned and any new strategies on that front. Thanks.

Luis von Ahn

Yeah. Thanks for the question. Okay, in terms of the free tier, I mean, we've basically made it so that the free tier is better than it was 2 months ago. Of course, you know, some of these changes take time. It's only been 2 months since the last earnings call, it's not like we've done, you know, 1,000 changes. We have made the free tier better. There's just more things that are available to free users. You know, we're very happy with that. We think that over time that's going to really increase word of mouth. Yeah, in terms of getting inspiration from mobile games, we've always gotten a lot of inspiration from mobile games.

Luis von Ahn

The idea, ultimately, what we're trying to do with Duolingo is make a thing that is as good at teaching as a one-on-one human tutor, but it's also as fun as a mobile game. That's what we're trying to do. You know, we keep doing that. I mean, if you look over the last quarter, some of the things that we've worked on, very soon you'll see really cool Avatar costumes that's directly coming from mobile games. I think users are gonna love that. We are, we're doing a number of changes in terms of how we show rewards to users. I mean, you know, for example, we're showing them as cards now, that feels really collectible. We're doing things like that.

Luis von Ahn

Another thing that is not exactly from mobile game, but that is important, and it is also important for, to mention for the free tier, one of the things that we wanna work on monetization tactics that are not at odds with the free tier, we have been finding some really good ones this quarter. One of them that is good is longer free trials. You know, historically, Duolingo has given a 7-day free trial, and that has worked well for us. We're finding that giving longer free trials is really good in that not only does it give us more bookings, that's good, but also it's good for the user. It's not, you know, they feel good. They're like, "Ooh, I have a 1-month free," for example.

Luis von Ahn

That's something else that we're finding that we're pretty happy with.

Ross Sandler

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from Andrew Boone with Citizens JMP. Please unmute your audio and video and ask your question.

Andrew Boone

Thanks so much.

Luis von Ahn

Hi, Andrew.

Andrew Boone

taking the questions. I would love to talk about now growth and top-of-funnel at large. Can you just help us understand the deceleration there? Understood the comp and everything from last year, how do we start to think about what has been the deceleration there, and whether that needs to accelerate to support DAU growth?

Luis von Ahn

I mean, in terms of growth, the main thing we work on here is DAU growth. That's the main thing we have worked on for the longest of times. Monthly active user growth, there's just no team that's looking at that at, you know, and we do report it, but it's just no team that's looking at that. Related to MAU growth is top-of-funnel, and that we do work on. You know, we're, the reality is that top-of-funnel has been about flat for, you know, certainly for this quarter, and we would like to accelerate it. We are, you know, we're working on that. There's a lot of stuff with marketing that I think will be really good, particularly in under-penetrated regions. I think that's one thing.

Luis von Ahn

The other one is just, you know, making changes to the product to make it teach better and be better for free users, that should accelerate word of mouth. Again, the main thing that has been responsible for our top-of-funnel historically has been word of mouth, and word of mouth is this interesting thing that is, you know, is beautiful because it's free, but we don't have that much control over it in terms of being able to measure it the same way that we can measure retention. We're doing things that we think are gonna be really good for word of mouth, but we don't have the granularity of control that we have for things like retention.

Andrew Boone

Luis, just a strategic question in terms of keeping users on platform, right? You guys have always focused on fun.

Luis von Ahn

Mm-hmm.

Andrew Boone

It seems to me that there's a change as we think about more of a voice front experience. Just talk to me about keeping the entertainment value and what has to change as you guys do think about in moving towards more of a voice-like experience? Thank you so much, guys.

Luis von Ahn

I don't I understand why you say, that you may perceive a change, but internally, there's no change in terms of fun. I mean, we are humongous believers that the hardest thing about learning something by yourself is staying motivated. Like, we have to, this really is the secret sauce of Duolingo, and what has gotten us so far is that we know that we have to motivate our users to learn something. Because there's a very big difference between what people say and what people do. People may say they want to learn something, but ultimately, you know, they'll do what's most fun. We spend a lot of effort trying to make it fun.

Luis von Ahn

We think that, you know, making voice and speaking be more prominent in the app does not decrease fun, and in fact, you know, our metrics suggest that it does not. It can be a pretty fun experience, we're gonna continue doing that. Now, one thing that is important to understand about fun, all the things that get shown on the screen, you know, our beautiful animations, et cetera, it just turns out that humans are very visual creatures. You will see us continue having a lot of the, you know, very beautiful animations and kind of more game-like things, even though there's voice in there. You're just still gonna see all the graphics and everything that, to keep Duolingo as fun as possible.

Luis von Ahn

Yeah, our teams dedicated to making the app more fun are really firing on all cylinders. You'll see a bunch of stuff, really, in the next couple of days, for example, you'll see this really awesome feature, which is avatar costumes. I think it's a lot of fun. My favorite one, I dress up, and if you look at my account on Duolingo, I don't know if your app can see it yet, but I'm dressed up as a hot dog, and I love it.

Andrew Boone

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question will come from Eric Sheridan with Goldman.

Luis von Ahn

Hi, Eric.

Eric Sheridan

Great to see everybody. Thanks so much for taking the questions. Maybe it's two-parter, if I can. Luis, for you, what have been the key lessons so far in terms of scaling AI, both in terms of the user experience as well as the scaling of content for the platform over the last couple of months? Jillian, as AI scales on both sides of that equation, how should we think about what that means for margins longer business? Thanks to you both.

Luis von Ahn

Yes, great question. I mean, we're very excited about AI. In general, if you go to the highest level, what we're trying to do here is we're trying to make a thing that is as good as, at teaching as a one-on-one human tutor and as fun as a mobile game. The teaching part, AI is what's going to get us there. We are really doing, you know, for example, like we said, our Video Call feature that practices conversation has gotten significantly better over the last year. The conversations are way more fluid, That's making it so that users are basically saying twice as many words on average as they were a year ago. That's a pretty major improvement. Similarly, like you mentioned, content.

Luis von Ahn

The amount of content that we were able to put out, learning content that we were able to put out in the last quarter, has dwarfed basically everything that we've ever done in the past. We put out 20,500 units of content, and that's in one quarter, and that's more that we were putting out, like, that's about what we put out the entire year last year. By the way, last year we already were using AI. We're just getting better and better at using it. The other thing that I think, you know, we're working on a lot of things. For example, models picking what exercise to give to you.

Luis von Ahn

We've always had a model that picks what exercise to give to each user. We're working on significantly more personalization because that's exactly what a one-on-one human tutor does. It basically personalizes very close to you. You know, we're very excited about that.

Gillian Munson

From a cost perspective, I think there's 2 things to think about. One, the adoption of AI, both in terms of customer facing, and you'll see our gross margin guidance has us landing at about 69% in the fourth quarter, and that assumes we're going to put a lot more of that ingredient in our product. Our operating expenses, actually, we've started to see some pretty big increases in AI costs internally and our guidance would reflect that. We are increasing everywhere, but there's 2, another thing going on. There are always these waves of efficiency that come with AI, so you might have AI costs come up, and then the team optimizes, and then you move forward.

Gillian Munson

If you look, for example, at the Q1 gross margin, it was even better than we would've expected and pretty good on a year-over-year basis, and yet there's still a lot of new AI content in our product, and that's because the, on a per unit basis, the costs have come down a lot. It goes in sort of these waves. The costs come down, we adopt more, and we manage that. I think as you think about the overall margins, I would expect us to be in that 69% range on the gross margin, and then we'll manage the operating expenses accordingly.

Operator

Your next question will come from Bryan Smilek with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Bryan Smilek

Great, thanks. Hey, great. Thanks for taking the questions. Luis, just going back to last earnings as well, you know, obviously very good to see just overall voice being infused across the ecosystem. Can you just discuss the affiliated impact on Max overall? Right, like, are you seeing Max subscribers cross-grade down to Super? How should we think about the product market, you know, like go-to-market approach on Max now that AI is becoming more, not commoditized, but more available across the broader ecosystem?

Luis von Ahn

Yeah, thanks for that question, 'cause it helps us clarify. What we said last time was that we wanted to add Video Call to our medium tier, Super Duolingo. It's important for us to do that because Video Call is such a good feature in terms of teaching, and we just want significantly more people to have access to it, because if they do, they'll learn better, they'll tell their friends, et cetera. We really believe this is the right thing to do. We've started doing that, so at the moment, we have a number of experiments giving Video Call to Super subscribers, particularly to new users. New Super subscribers are getting Video Call. We have not scaled this to all our existing user base, et cetera. At the moment, there's no change for Max.

Luis von Ahn

I don't know what's going to happen with Max. There's a lot of possibilities, it remains, you know, again, there's just only been 2 months since we last spoke, we just haven't run all the different experiments. There's some possibilities of what it could be. It could be that we lower the price of Max. It could be that, you know, we do something where we give Max subscribers unlimited Video Call versus Super subscribers, not unlimited. There's a number of things that it could be, at the moment we're, you know, in terms of metrics, we're not seeing a big difference, except for the fact that new users, a cohort of new users at the moment is not even seeing Max. They're only seeing Super.

Luis von Ahn

That's just one of the many experiments that we're running.

Bryan Smilek

Got it. Thank you. That's helpful. I guess, for Jillian overall, just looking at the guidance here, you know, obviously understand the tougher comp on bookings into 2Q. Can you just help me think about just puts and takes that drives the back half re-acceleration? I know, you have mentioned as well too, about 20% DAU growth was ebbs and flows in between each quarter. So would that back half guidance, you know, intuitively imply that DAUs would improve from early, you know, benefits from these ongoing product initiatives? Thank you.

Gillian Munson

Yeah. I think as you look at the second half guidance, in general, we are just planning the business based on that 20% growth basis. Really, you're gonna maybe see some early returns on the investments we're making, but I wouldn't be banking on a lot of that. We're really trying to take the long view this year, and we really wanna allow ourselves to operate in that range of bookings guidance that we gave so that we can make all the investments we wanna make and do what we think is right in terms of the customers.

Gillian Munson

When you think about the rate of growth, Q2 into Q3, Q2 is a really tough comp because of the release of Energy in particular, and a handful of other features that really made that, bookings a year ago really strong. You'll see us bounce back from that comp, and then you'll continue to see those, DAU numbers drive in the bookings.

Bryan Smilek

Great. Thank you both.

Operator

Your next question will come from Nathan Feather with Morgan Stanley. Please unmute your audio, video, and ask your question.

Nathan Feather

Hi. Hey, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. You know, the rapid increase in your ability to do content generation's really interesting. You know, on one side, now that you have, you know, really a full core set across language learning, at least across the most common languages, are you starting to see the opportunity to kind of A/B test new content for different engagement metrics? I guess historically, have you seen, you know, an increase in, you know, retention, payer rates, you know, whatever it may be, on a higher quality of content? Kind of looking further, how does that impact your thoughts on expanding into additional subjects beyond language learning now that that kind of cost to entry is lower?

Luis von Ahn

Thanks, Nathan, for the question. Yes, one thing that is exciting about, you know, we've been working honestly for years to try to have the top 9 languages have content all the way to Duolingo Score 129, which we now have it. Internally, you know, I kept on going around like, "Oh, we're almost done. We're almost done." Somebody said something that stuck with me a lot, said, "No, no, that's just the beginning." When we finally have all this content, and now we do, we really are in a much better spot to be able to make this content, you know, significantly get better based on how the users are performing.

Luis von Ahn

We're starting really to do that, and yes, we have seen the changes in content, certainly changes in content quality, but also in the type of contents that you show have interesting impacts on retention, particularly new user retention. We are doing a lot of experiments to see, for example, just what we teach you in the first unit matters a lot. You know, do we teach you greetings? That is one thing. Do we teach you just the words for mom and dad? That's another possibility. You know, it actually is not as simple as it's always better to teach you greetings. It's not as simple as that. It's a little more complicated than that, but generally, these things do have an impact in retention. We're very excited about that.

Luis von Ahn

You know, we're also, you know, likely going to move to something where we have all this content, this is awesome, but we may even start generating content just for you, based on everything that we know about you. We may just be able to generate content just for you, maybe not the immediate next exercise, but, like, 2 exercises from now based on everything. We've just generated that sentence just for you, or that piece of content. We're, we really are getting to that point, and that's very exciting. In terms of other subjects, each subject has its unique, you know, unique challenges and unique things. For sure, AI is helping us be able to add new subjects faster, and chess is a great example.

Luis von Ahn

I mean, we were able to add chess in about nine months. Each subject has its own types of contents that you need to add. For example, adding math was relatively easy if what you're trying to do is add math in the way that, like, ChatGPT would show it, which is a wall of text. If you wanna add math with diagrams and, you know, user interaction, et cetera, that is harder, AI's making it, you know, it's definitely making it easier, but it's still a lot harder. You're not just, like, querying an AI to be like, "Just give me some content." It's a lot harder to do it with all the diagrams. I guess my answer to that is, yes, it is making it easier to add more subjects.

Luis von Ahn

No, it is not yet trivial to add new subjects. At the moment, we're pretty happy with the subjects that we have. Particularly, we're very excited about math. You saw we started this call with a video for math. We really finally got to the point where our math course really has all, pretty much all the content between grades 2 and 12, and it can actually explain things when you got things wrong. We're very excited about that.

Nathan Feather

Great. That's really helpful. Then thinking about the balance sheet, you've got a lot of cash on there, you know, high free cashflow. I guess, what are your thoughts on what the right level of buybacks may be, or what are some potential uses of that cash going forward?

Gillian Munson

As we look at the cash, you saw we returned some level of cash back to shareholders in terms of a buyback in the quarter, and we do have a $400 million authorization, we are willing to spend that money. I think that in general, we're largely focused on operating the business, we are investing in the business as well as we look at the business this year. Really it's gonna be a balance of the two. Of course, on a buyback, you buy more when the stock is lower and less when it's higher. We will look at that and look at where the stock is. We think it's a great time to buy our stock.

Gillian Munson

It's a great way for us to offset dilution from the last couple years as we look at the business. We like doing this, and as you can tell with our free cash flow estimates, we're going to generate almost as much cash as that buyback is anyway in the year. That's the balance there. From, I think your other part of capital allocation is of course M&A. We are out there in the market always looking at things, but as you've seen, a lot of what we've done is fairly small in nature. It's not going to really hit the balance sheet so badly, or if you will, in terms of, like, a big deal. Obviously, we'll always look at everything that's out there, but as you've seen, Duolingo's very focused on growing Duolingo, investing in Duolingo, and going from there.

Nathan Feather

Thank you.

Luis von Ahn

GameStop wants to buy eBay. We may want to do that, too. I am kidding.

Operator

Your next question will come from Ryan MacDonald with Needham. Please unmute your audio, video, and ask your question.

Ryan MacDonald

I'm gonna leave that last comment alone to Luis a little bit.

Luis von Ahn

We're not buying eBay, just so you know.

Ryan MacDonald

Maybe can we talk about, you obviously rolled out and sort of had the announcement in late April about now that the advanced content being sort of available across all the top subjects. Now, can you talk about, from a marketing perspective, how big of an unlock that is in terms of how you're either deploying that incremental performance marketing budget, you know, now that you have all the content available, and how we should start to think about, you know, how that maybe sort of can help to sort of replenish the top of the funnel as we go through the back half of the year and into next year?

Luis von Ahn

Yeah. In terms of, certainly in terms of performance marketing, I mean, this matters, I think, most for English learners, sorry. In terms of trying to find users that are gonna come into the platform, English learners are the ones that are most interested in more advanced content. One of the things that is interesting about Asia is in a number of large Asian markets, we can do profitable performance marketing.

Luis von Ahn

You know, performance marketing at Duolingo has been this interesting thing that because our free version is so good, it has not been easy for us to do profitable performance marketing, because what happens is we acquire people, and then they're super happy as free users. We are finding that we can do that, particularly, for example, in China, we're able to acquire profitably. And these are English learners. In that, in that respect, these are, these are a bit related. I would say the main thing with performance marketing for us is that we just historically have under-invested in performance marketing. We are getting just a lot more professional about it in certainly this year, and I think you'll see the results of that in the next few months.

Luis von Ahn

We're pretty excited about that, just because we're finally, you know, building the infrastructure to have the right attribution to send users to the right place after you acquire them, et cetera, that a company our size should have probably built years ago, but we kinda just ignored it. We're pretty excited about that.

Ryan MacDonald

Awesome. Maybe from a, from a follow-up perspective, as you're testing, Video Call in Super Duolingo for sort of a cohort, that cohort of sort of net new paid subs on Super, can you just talk about what you're seeing thus far in terms of elasticity on pricing and the potential demand to pay incrementally, for that feature at the Super level? And Jillian, maybe then how is that informing your view on sort of gross margin profile as we move forward?

Luis von Ahn

I mean, the main thing that I'll say there is that we are running some tests on what the price, what the right price should be for Super with Video Call. I cannot tell you all the results because, you know, we started this work 2 months ago, it takes some time. You know, you have to build the A/B test, you have to run the A/B test for a few weeks to, like, get the results, et cetera. It's just really been 8 weeks since we started this work. I don't, I just don't have a lot of results. What I, what I can tell you is that people are willing to pay more for Super with Video Call. That we know. We've learned that.

Luis von Ahn

How much more, I, you know, I'll be able to tell you more in a quarter or two.

Gillian Munson

Ryan, one of the reasons we've been really trying to focus everyone on we're operating within a set of ranges of financials for the business, is to allow ourselves to do this kind of work, this kind of testing. Check out different ways of approaching the customer on price. All of that's anticipated in the guidance around here are the ranges that we wanna operate in in 2026. In any given quarter it might be a little bit more, a little bit less. We anticipated that coming into the year and are executing against that. There's no big surprises in there, and we think that the financials that we've laid out for 26 can accommodate that.

Ryan MacDonald

Awesome. Appreciate it. Over.

Operator

Moving forward, we are allowing analysts one relevant question in order to get through the queue. Thank you. Your next question will come from Ralph Schackart with William Blair.

Luis von Ahn

Ralph.

Ralph Schackart

Luis, hey Gillian. Hopefully this is relevant. I'll try. Luis, you know, historically, if you kinda think about it, you have a little bit of a paradox. You've over-monetized historically. Now maybe we're in some sort of duration in time where you're under monetizing the user base. Maybe just kinda stepping back, you know, can you just give us a sense, the signals that you're looking at today, you know, what are they in terms of informing you you're on the right path right now? You know, maybe a broader sense, when would be the right time to start monetizing again? I know it's only been a couple months since the last call, just would love to hear you sort of riff on that. Thanks.

Luis von Ahn

Yeah. It's a great question because it really allows me to emphasize something that I've said before. You used the word paradox, which is, you know, kind of what we feel. We are at the same time under-monetized and over-monetized. It is a weird thing. The reality is that roughly 12% of our monthly active users are paying subscribers. We think that number should be much higher. I mean, if you look at comps of other freemium models, they're much higher than that. You know, Spotify is close to 50%. We really think there's a lot of room there. We should be able to get more people.

Luis von Ahn

At the same time, I think, it, you know, certain types of monetization we probably overdid in the sense that, you know, we probably were making the free user experience have too much friction. The, at the crux of it was that most of our monetization tactics were kind of at odds with DAU growth. Many of them were at odds with DAU growth, which were, like, if you make the free user experience have more friction, what happens is that some more people subscribe. That's good. That makes you money. Also, some more people leave. What we need to do and what we are doing, which I'm very excited about, is finding ways to monetize that don't put DAU growth at odds with monetization.

Luis von Ahn

Those ways exist, we're very happy with. I mentioned 1 already, which is longer free trials. We've been historically at Duolingo, this is not something we've experimented with a lot, the length of our free trial, but if you look at other subscription businesses that are scaled, they have pretty different free trials, usually much longer than the 1 we have. You see 1 month. You'll sometimes even see 3-month free trials. You're going to see us experiment with that, and we are definitely seeing, certainly the 1-month experiment we already see. We are seeing that it both increases revenue, which is good, but also is not at odds with daily active users. Like, because when you give somebody, when you say, "Instead of a 7-day free trial, it's a 1-month free trial," that doesn't drive any user away.

Luis von Ahn

They're like, "Oh, that seems like a good thing." We're, you know, the work that we're doing is finding ways to monetize that are not at odds with DAU growth. They exist, and they're just not as quick as, you know, basically adding friction to the free user experience. That's what we're experimenting with this year. You know, what Jillian said is exactly right. The ideas that we have this year to be able to experiment with this, we'll probably experiment with a 3-month free trial. By the way, experimenting with a 3-month free trial is something that we said before. Well, that is something that we could have never done if we didn't have a year like this one, because in a 3-month free trial, what happens is that your bookings get delayed by a whole quarter.

Luis von Ahn

You're saying, you know, showing up to without being able to say, "We're gonna operate with these guidelines," which is what we did for this. Just saying, "Oh, sorry, all our bookings are gonna come next quarter. They didn't come this quarter," It was a little weird. This is why we're operating this way.

Ralph Schackart

Okay, great. Thanks, Luis. Appreciate it.

Operator

Your next question will come from Mark Mahaney with Evercore. Please unmute your audio, video, and ask your question.

Mark Mahaney

Okay, thanks. I wanna, well, I want to ask about gross margins. Looks like your guidance implies that they're gonna kind of phase down or whatever to the high 60s% in the fourth quarter. Is there a reason to think that margins hold, gross margins hold at that level? Is there a reason to think that they should recover up higher or lower? Just talk about the trajectory of gross margins after, like, how to think about what drives it higher or lower after this year.

Gillian Munson

Mark, when we think about any of the margins that have AI content in them, so let's, you know, take gross margin, what you tend to find is as you start to introduce features, they might be more expensive to us, and then we optimize that cost over time. When you look at Q1, for example, the margin held up really nicely as compared to the year before, and that's because our per unit AI costs have come down a lot. As we look forward, we really wanna put more and more AI as an ingredient in the product, that's why we have the margin guidance that goes down to 69%, which is essentially where we were last quarter, too. That just implies a lot more AI content, which we think is great for the business long term.

Gillian Munson

You know, I think from a positioning perspective, it's possible we could optimize that more, but we sort of want to be putting that much AI into the product. I think 69 is a good place to think of us exiting the year. If that works, that's gonna give us nice growth as well. That said, this is a changing environment and, you know, some of the optimizations come faster than you expect, and you could see, you know, both up and down on that one.

Mark Mahaney

Okay. Thanks, Gillian.

Operator

Your next question will come from Justin Patterson with KeyBanc. Please unmute your audio, video, and ask your question.

Luis von Ahn

Justin, hello.

Justin Patterson

Thank you very much, and good evening. You know, I think about Duolingo as always having a high pace product philosophy around A/B tests, and the coding has certainly made it easier than ever to do lots of those. Would love to hear about how you're thinking about just engineer productivity as a whole, the number of tests being run, and how we should think about that, you know, perhaps influencing long-term headcount needs. Thank you.

Luis von Ahn

Yeah, it's a great question. You are right. We A/B test a lot. We concurrently are running hundreds of A/B tests at all times. That has been our product philosophy, and that is how Duolingo has gotten better over time, because we just are able to increase. As soon as we set our minds on a given metric, if you just give us a few months, usually we're able to increase that metrics. We just run a lot of A/B tests. We are finding that the number of A/B tests that we can run is increasing. We believe that that is because of AI usage, particularly in our, you know, engineering or product organization. The increase is not humongous, but it's kinda the first time we've seen an increase on a per capita basis in years.

Luis von Ahn

We, we do think that that is helping. I don't know where this is going to end, but it is an interesting thing. If you look, if you looked last year, for example, like a year ago, and you were to read Twitter would've had you think that, you know, you can program anything you want in 5 seconds and it's done, and why shouldn't you be running 10,000 A/B tests at once with a single engineer? That is an exaggeration. That is just not the case. Up until very recently, we and companies that are scale like us had not seen a real increase in velocity, like, overall, but we're starting to see that increase.

Luis von Ahn

It's still moderate, but we're starting to see that increase, so I'm assuming that you're gonna continue seeing that increase. I don't think we're gonna be able to run 10 times as many A/B tests per capita, like per engineer, but, you know, it is increasing and that's something that we're very happy with.

Justin Patterson

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question will come from John Colantuoni with Jefferies.

Gillian Munson

Hi, John.

Luis von Ahn

John.

John Colantuoni

Hey, great. Thanks for taking my questions. Just wanted to ask about sort of DAU trends. Can you give us a bit of color on how U.S. DAUs are trending relative to international DAUs, and what that relative geographic growth could mean for bookings over time, given U.S. users generally adopt a subscription at a higher rate than international users?

Luis von Ahn

DAUs are growing in the U.S., and they're growing in pretty much every country. It is true that in the U.S. they're growing less than in many international markets. In particular, Asia is the fastest-growing market that we have, that whole region. In terms of how that affects monetization, you know, that doesn't seem to affect it that much. It just turns out that, yes, the U.S. monetizes well, but it just turns out that a lot of countries monetize relatively well. A good example is China. China monetizes about as well as Western Europe, so, like, about as well as France, which is not as high as the U.S., but pretty high. Given that the growth rate in China, I don't know the latest numbers, but, I mean, it's pretty significant.

Luis von Ahn

I just don't think that The fact that the growth in the U.S. is very low just means that our bookings growth is implied to be really low. I would say that, you know, growth in the U.S., you know, my hope is that by making the product teach better and also have higher word of mouth. Also investing some in marketing in the U.S., which we historically we had not invested in actual paid marketing in the U.S. My hope is that all of those things combined will allow us to have higher year-over-year growth in the U.S. than we currently have.

John Colantuoni

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question will come from Shweta Khajuria with Wolfe Research. Please unmute your audio, video, and ask your question.

Luis von Ahn

Hi, Shweta.

Shweta Khajuria

Hello. Thank you for taking my question. With the AI-driven content creation, there was a meaningful increase in content velocity. I guess could you please talk to how you're managing quality of content as that continues to grow against volume, and engagement? Thank you.

Luis von Ahn

Yeah. I mean, we spend a lot of. The main reason why our content is not growing even faster is because we're trying to make sure that it is very high quality. We do a number of things. Certainly we do evaluations of our content, both with AI and with humans to try to make sure that the content is very high quality. After that, we try to test it with our own users in small amounts to see if it's high quality, and if it is, we actually increase the number of people that we give it to. We're trying to be very careful to make sure that the content is high quality.

Luis von Ahn

It is a good point, because the reality is that as amazing as AI is, if you are not careful about the quality, you can get a lot of slop. We're trying very hard for that not to happen. The quality of our content, I think certainly over the last 2 quarters, has actually increased. The way we know that is we basically do spot checks, and we kind of rate the quality of all the content, and we know that over the last 2 quarters, the quality has actually increased.

Shweta Khajuria

Okay. Thanks, Luis.

Luis von Ahn

Yeah.

Operator

Your next question will come from Omar Dessouky with Bank of America. Please unmute your audio, video, and ask your question.

Luis von Ahn

Hi, Omar.

Omar Dessouky

Hi, thanks. Hi, how you doing? Well, I just wanted to get back to performance marketing for a second. You know, glad to hear that the company is treating that with a lot more seriousness. You know, the last time we spoke, I think you gave me the impression that this product would be leaps and bounds better in the future than it is today, you know, and really would change the way that people learn languages. Does the maturity of the product itself, is it a bottleneck to scaling performance advertising spend? Right? Because, you know, performance advertising typically tries to optimize specific types of behaviors, optimize for specific types of behaviors in users. You know? A, is that the case?

Omar Dessouky

B, do you have any sense, like at what point you might be ready to really put the pedal to the metal, you know, assuming your organization has done all of its experiments, like when would the product be ready to really, you know, go full bore on performance marketing?

Luis von Ahn

Yeah. I mean, I would say the bottleneck for performance marketing for us has been, first of all, building the infrastructure for it to be, again, like a much more serious performance marketing machine. That is something we are doing at the moment. That's one thing, but there's another one, and it is not the quality of the teaching, it is mainly the problem with our how good of our free, how good our free tier is. One of the problems we've had depending on the region and depending on what we advertise for, et cetera, has been being able to acquire a user, and now they're here, and actually getting them to subscribe, as opposed to acquiring a user, now they're here, and they're very happy users of our free product.

Luis von Ahn

That's been the main bottleneck, and that's the thing that we need to get, you know, get over. At the moment, in some geographies we have, you know, profitable performance marketing, but in many geographies we do not.

Gillian Munson

I think the only thing.

Omar Dessouky

Okay.

Gillian Munson

I said the only thing I would add to that.

Omar Dessouky

Go ahead.

Gillian Munson

... is that we're making an investment in marketing this year, and it's not just in performance marketing. Right? The team has a multi-tiered approach to marketing and to stepping up that investment that is really well thought through and has some diversity to it as well.

Luis von Ahn

A lot of diversity.

Omar Dessouky

I just, I wanna make sure that I'm not thinking about, you know, performance marketing the wrong way because, you know, I thought it would be difficult to performance market a product that isn't stable or a product that's not, like, mature and kind of finalized because, you know, users, you don't actually know what you're marketing, you know, if it's changing so much. I just wanna make sure I'm not thinking about it the wrong way.

Luis von Ahn

I wouldn't say that. I mean, you know, Duolingo has been around for 15 years. It has never stayed the same, and it never will. I don't think that that's, you know, well, that's not going to change, but I don't think that's been the problem.

Omar Dessouky

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question will come from Alec Brondolo with Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Alec Brondolo

Yeah. Hey, thanks so much for the question.

Luis von Ahn

Hi.

Alec Brondolo

I appreciate it. Hey. You mentioned, you know, how fast China's growing. I think there's been two really successful brand tie-in deals over the last 12 months, one with Luckin Coffee last year, I think another with Meituan in March. Are there any kind of learnings we can take as with regard to how successful those brand tie-ins have been in China, and ways to kind of extend that success to other markets over the next year? Thanks.

Luis von Ahn

Thank you. I mean, you noticed the brand partnerships. We have had incredible brand partnerships in China. I think some of that is just that our IP and our brand in China are very strong, and that commands some of the largest brands wanting to partner with us. For example, we very soon have a partnership with McDonald's in China. The very large brands wanting to partner with us, they come to us to do that. I think there's that part. There's also the part that I think brands in China, brands like Luckin Coffee, for example, are just a lot more open into partnerships than, you know, for example, brands in the Western world.

Luis von Ahn

You just don't see, for example, Starbucks changing all their stores every two weeks with a new brand, whereas that's kind of what Luckin does. There's some learning. Certainly, that team is You know, our partnerships team in China and our marketing team in China are, you know, very high performing. There's some learnings of things that we can do in other places, particularly in Asia. I would say, some of that also has to do with the fact that it's the China market. I will say, the other thing that I'll say is that China's not just growing fast because of the great partnerships. I mean, the great I think it's kind of the other way around. I think the great partnerships are coming in part because we are growing fast and we're seen as a very cool brand.

Luis von Ahn

I mean, the reality in China is that there's just a humongous appetite for English learning that just keeps growing and growing, and that's the main reason why China's is growing.

Alec Brondolo

Thanks so much.

Operator

Your next question will come from Alexander Sklar with Raymond James. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Luis von Ahn

Hi, Alec.

Alexander Sklar

Hey, Luis. Hey, Jillian. Thanks. On the relationship between DAUs and top-of-funnel growth versus kind of the visibility you've talked to on the shape of the bookings inflection this year, what early tests, or maybe it's tier or geo mix, is out there that's providing your visibility in terms of that inflection?

Luis von Ahn

Sorry, in terms of, an inflection of.

Alexander Sklar

Of bookings exiting the year.

Gillian Munson

Yeah, first, on the bookings, I think if you look at the quarterly progression, what we are guiding to as you go Q2 into Q3 into Q4, is fairly on par with where the company has been in the last couple of years. I think one of the things we wanna make sure we remind everyone of is this is, we're playing a long game here, and the investments we're making are. We're gonna maybe see some things from them this year, but we're really looking out beyond this year. 2026 is much more about operating around that 20% DAU growth and then growing the business. Right now what you're seeing if that progression is pretty typical seasonality.

Gillian Munson

There's been an adjustment here in Q1 and Q2 to our new monetization balance, but then in Q3 and Q4, you're, what you're seeing is quite typical for us.

Alexander Sklar

All right. Great. Thank you.

Operator

I'm showing no further questions. This concludes the Q&A section of the call. I would now like to turn the call back to the host for closing remarks.

Luis von Ahn

Thank you. Thanks, operator. I'd just like to thank everyone for joining us, and we look forward to seeing you on the next call.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-01

Duolingo Inc (DUOL) Q1 2026 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) is set to release its Q1 2026 earnings on May 4, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q1 2026 revenue is $0.29 billion, and the earnings are expected to come in at $0.79 per share. The full year 2026's revenue is expected to be $1.21 billion and the earnings are expected to be $3.46 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Sign with DUOL. Is DUOL fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Over the past 90 days, revenue estimates for Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) have declined from $1.27 billion to $1.21 billion for the full year 2026, and from $1.51 billion to $1.38 billion for 2027. Similarly, earnings estimates have decreased from $4.71 per share to $3.46 per share for 2026, and from $5.97 per share to $3.87 per share for 2027. In the previous quarter ending December 31, 2025, Duolingo Inc's (NASDAQ:DUOL) actual revenue was $0.28 billion, which beat analysts' revenue expectations of $0.28 billion by 1.85%. Duolingo Inc's (NASDAQ:DUOL) actual earnings were $0.89 per share, which beat analysts' earnings expectations of $0.86 per share by 3.49%. After releasing the results, Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) was down by 14.01% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 18 analysts, the average target price for Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) is $131.48, with a high estimate of $570.00 and a low estimate of $81.00. The average target implies an upside of 19.42% from the current price of $110.10. Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) in one year is $458.49, suggesting an upside of 316.43% from the current price of $110.10. Based on the consensus recommendation from 25 brokerage firms, Duolingo Inc's (NASDAQ:DUOL) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.8, indicating a "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies strong buy, and 5 denotes sell.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-30

Will Duolingo (DUOL) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Zacks

If you are looking for a stock that has a solid history of beating earnings estimates and is in a good position to maintain the trend in its next quarterly report, you should consider Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL). This company, which is in the Zacks Technology Services industry, shows potential for another earnings beat. This company has an established record of topping earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. The company boasts an average surprise for the past two quarters of 25.47%. For the most recent quarter, Duolingo was expected to post earnings of $0.79 per share, but it reported $0.94 per share instead, representing a surprise of 18.99%. For the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $0.72 per share, while it actually produced $0.95 per share, a surprise of 31.94%. Thanks in part to this history, there has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Duolingo lately. In fact, the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for the stock is positive, which is a great indicator of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with its solid Zacks Rank. Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that beat the consensus estimate could be as high as seven. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Duolingo currently has an Earnings ESP of +15.48%, which suggests that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This positive Earnings ESP when combined with the stock's Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) indicates that another beat is possibly around the corner. We expect the company's next earnings report to be released on May 4, 2026. When the Earnings ESP comes up negative, investors should note that this will reduce the predictive power of the metric. But, a negative value is not indicative of a s...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-29

What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Duolingo (DUOL) Q1 Earnings

Zacks

Wall Street analysts expect Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) to post quarterly earnings of $0.79 per share in its upcoming report, which indicates a year-over-year increase of 9.7%. Revenues are expected to be $288.54 million, up 25.1% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This represents how the covering analysts, as a whole, have reassessed their initial estimates during this timeframe. Before a company announces its earnings, it is essential to take into account any changes made to earnings estimates. This is a valuable factor in predicting the potential reactions of investors toward the stock. Empirical research has consistently shown a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and the short-term price performance of a stock. While investors typically use consensus earnings and revenue estimates as indicators of quarterly business performance, exploring analysts' projections for specific key metrics can offer valuable insights. That said, let's delve into the average estimates of some Duolingo metrics that Wall Street analysts commonly model and monitor. Based on the collective assessment of analysts, 'Revenues- Subscription' should arrive at $244.06 million. The estimate suggests a change of +27.8% year over year. According to the collective judgment of analysts, 'Revenues- Other- Other (including Advertising, DET and others)' should come in at $42.81 million. The estimate indicates a change of +41.2% from the prior-year quarter. Analysts expect 'Revenues- Other- Advertising' to come in at $19.57 million. The estimate suggests a change of +9.4% year over year. The consensus estimate for 'Revenues- Other- Duolingo English Test' stands at $11.20 million. The estimate suggests a change of -6.6% year over year. Analysts predict that the 'Paid subscribers (at period end)' will reach 12.84 million. Compared to the current estimate, the company reported 10.30 million in the same quarter of the previous year. The consensus among analysts is that 'Subscription bookings' will reach $259.83 million. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of $232.20 million. Analysts' assessment points toward 'Daily active users (DAUs)' reaching 55.77 million. The estimate is in contrast to the year-ago figure of 46.60 million. The combined assessment of analysts suggests that 'Monthly ac...

As of 2026-05-30 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook