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CLF

Cleveland-CliffsC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes recovery in steel spreads, stronger pricing, and meaningful cash-flow-driven capital returns; under this scenario CLF trades toward a +22% multiple of the anchor driven by cyclical improvement and execution.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Adverse regulatory/tariff changes or trade flows
Momentum
92
Value
38
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $13.96 · Bull $17.03 · Bear $9.21Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $14.27
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d +4.5
Value38 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -15.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -15.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse regulatory/tariff changes or trade flows
  • • Labor/union disruptions at key facilities
  • • Bear case assumes prolonged weak steel demand, margin pressure from raw-material costs, or execution setbacks leading to a drawdown to roughly -34% vs the anchor amid reduced cash flows and lower capital returns.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-16

Q4 2025 earnings and guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
92
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+22.5
Value
38
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.9
Δ21d
-34.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 92.4 / Value 37.7 / Sentiment 55.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.03
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$13.96
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$9.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.93B
Beta
1.93
Shares Out
570.54M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.8
P/S (TTM)
0.40
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-8.73
Rev YoY
+5.9%
EPS YoY
-74.1%
Gross Margin
-0.9%
Op Margin
-4.0%
Net Debt
$7.88B
Current Ratio
1.89
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data