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CLF

Cleveland-CliffsB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes recovery in steel spreads, stronger pricing, and meaningful cash-flow-driven capital returns; under this scenario CLF trades toward a +22% multiple of the anchor driven by cyclical improvement and execution.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.
What can break
Adverse regulatory/tariff changes or trade flows
Momentum
71
Value
38
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.96 · Bull $17.03 · Bear $9.21Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.51
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +10.9
Value38 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse regulatory/tariff changes or trade flows
  • • Labor/union disruptions at key facilities
  • • Bear case assumes prolonged weak steel demand, margin pressure from raw-material costs, or execution setbacks leading to a drawdown to roughly -34% vs the anchor amid reduced cash flows and lower capital returns.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-16

Q4 2025 earnings and guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.9
Δ21d
-16.0
Value
38
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.2
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-3.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 70.7 / Value 37.9 / Sentiment 72.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.03
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$13.96
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$9.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.02B
Beta
1.93
Shares Out
570.54M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.2
P/S (TTM)
0.40
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-7.73
Rev YoY
+5.9%
EPS YoY
-74.1%
Gross Margin
-0.9%
Op Margin
-4.0%
Net Debt
$7.88B
Current Ratio
1.89
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data