B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
+43.5% vs current
CAL
CaleresDNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
+26.6% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
-28.3% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-06-24
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-12.4
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-12.4
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+63.5
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source tone is constructive after the June 4, 2026 earnings release, and recent headlines skew positive because results beat guidance and FY26 adjusted EPS guidance was lifted. Even so, this remains a low-coverage name with no usable social packet and limited analyst-revision detail, so the read is still monitoring-oriented rather than high conviction.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-06-24
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-04catalystQ1 beat and modest FY26 EPS guide raise reset near-term expectationsHigh impact
Caleres reported Q1 net sales of $666.6 million, up 8.5%, adjusted EPS of $0.38, and raised FY26 adjusted EPS guidance to $1.40-$1.65 from $1.35-$1.65. The primary release also highlighted 200 bps gross-margin expansion, Brand Portfolio sales up 20.6%, and tariff mitigation, partly offset by Famous Footwear weakness. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-04]
2026-09-01eventBack-to-school and Q2 results will test whether Famous Footwear can stabilizeHigh impact
Management guided Q2 consolidated net sales up mid-to-high single digits and GAAP EPS of $0.32-$0.38, but the key swing factor remains whether Famous Footwear improves from Q1 sales down 2.5% and comps down 2.3% as assortment and store-format changes meet seasonal demand. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-04]
2026-12-31catalystBrand Portfolio mix, Stuart Weitzman integration, and tariff mitigation are the main earnings-recovery leversHigh impact
Primary company filings frame 2026 as a build-back year driven by Lead Brands outperformance, better mix, tariff mitigation, and bringing Stuart Weitzman toward better profitability. If those levers hold, CAL can expand earnings even with only modest consolidated sales growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-03-19] [#SEC-8K-2026-06-04]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-06-24 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology