B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CAL
CaleresCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Caleres enters the Q2 print with Q1 sales growth, margin expansion, Brand Portfolio momentum, and a modest full-year adjusted EPS guide raise. Continued brand strength and stabilization at Famous Footwear could support earnings recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and social-sentiment data are unavailable or insufficient for confirmation.
Momentum
29
Value
52
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $14.50 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $17.00
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d -12.7
Value52 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +1.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and social-sentiment data are unavailable or insufficient for confirmation.
- • Execution risk remains around Stuart Weitzman profitability, assortment changes, and tariff mitigation.
- • The Q2 release could expose continued softness at Famous Footwear, weaker consumer demand, or execution pressure around Stuart Weitzman and tariff mitigation.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-09
Q2 2026 earnings release is the next decisive read-through
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-12.7
Δ21d
-51.2
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-4.4
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+13.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 28.7 / Value 51.7 / Sentiment 65.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$446.07M
Beta
0.65
Shares Out
33.59M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
0.16
P/FCF (TTM)
272.84
Rev YoY
+8.5%
EPS YoY
+105.6%
Gross Margin
+42.9%
Op Margin
+1.4%
Net Debt
$861.36M
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data