B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BUSE
First BuseyCNasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$27.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-31
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+25.9
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+25.9
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-36.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+67.1
Score
AI commentary
The company-source earnings evidence is positive but mixed on expectations: EPS beat while revenue missed. Secondary market data indicates the stock rose approximately 3.5% from the July 28 close to the July 30 close, and coverage described the shares as reaching a new one-year high after the results. Post-print analyst target and estimate revisions remain unavailable; the available consensus data predates the release. The appropriate stance remains cautious monitoring rather than an aggressive rerating thesis.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-31
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-28eventQ2 earnings beat EPS, missed revenue, with positive post-print price actionMedium impact
Q2 adjusted diluted EPS was $0.69 versus a secondary consensus estimate of $0.63, while reported revenue of $194.27 million was below the $197.59 million estimate. The company also reported 9.5% year-over-year adjusted EPS growth, 3.62% adjusted net interest margin, 11% annualized deposit growth, $16.51 billion of wealth-management assets under care, and 0.19% net charge-offs [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]. The stock closed at $31.28 on July 30 versus $30.23 on July 28, a roughly 3.5% increase through the post-release period.
2026-10-29catalystValuation ceiling and incomplete post-print revision signalMedium impact
The $31.28 anchor price is above the stored median analyst target of $30.7143. Available secondary analyst data was last checked before the release and does not confirm any post-earnings target or estimate revision.
2027-07-31catalystCapital return and tangible-book growthMedium impact
CET1 increased to 12.53% while year-to-date share repurchases reached $128.8 million; tangible book value per common share grew 6.4% year over year [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-31 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology