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Earnings documents stored for BTU.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-27Peabody Energy (BTU): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?
StockStory
Peabody Energy (BTU): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?
Peabody Energy has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small loss of 4.1% while holding steady at $26.11. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 9.1% gain during that period. Is there a buying opportunity in Peabody Energy, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free. We're cautious about Peabody Energy. Here are three reasons why BTU doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own. Cyclical sectors like Energy often flatter weaker operators during favorable price environments, but a longer-term lens separates those from businesses that can consistently perform across market cycles. Unfortunately, Peabody Energy’s 7.7% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was tepid. This fell short of our benchmark for the energy upstream and integrated energy sector. While energy gross margins can be distorted by commodity prices, hedging, and short-term cost swings, sustained margins across a full cycle reflect a producer’s underlying asset quality, infrastructure position, and cost structure. Peabody Energy, which averaged 24.9% gross margin over the last five years, exhibiting bottom-tier unit economics in the sector. It means the company will struggle at higher commodity prices than peers with better gross margins. Adjusted EBITDA margin strips out accounting distortions tied to depletion and historical drilling spend, providing a clearer view of the cash-generating power of the underlying asset base before financing and reinvestment decisions. Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Peabody Energy’s EBITDA margin decreased by 25.1 percentage points over the last year. Peabody Energy’s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldn’t pass them onto its customers. Its EBITDA margin for the trailing 12 months was 10.1%. We cheer for all companies serving everyday consumers, but in the case of Peabody Energy, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. With its shares underperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 4× forward EV-to-EBITDA (or $26.11 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - we think other companies feature superior fundamentals at the moment. Let us point you toward the Amazon and PayPal of Latin America. ONE MORE THING: Top 6 Stocks for This Week. This market is separat...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06Peabody Energy (BTU) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Motley Fool
Peabody Energy (BTU) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Image source: The Motley Fool. May 5, 2026 President and Chief Executive Officer — James C. Grech President and Chief Operating Officer — Malcolm Roberts Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer — Mark A. Spurbeck Need a quote from a Motley Fool analyst? Email [email protected] James C. Grech: One of the world's largest hedge funds recently commented to us that Peabody Energy Corporation was at the intersection of some of the most significant themes going on in America, and I could not agree more. Consider a few of these. The AI data center theme continues to play out, with new investments being announced weekly. When coupled with plans for increased U.S. manufacturing, this means power generation will struggle to keep up with demand for the foreseeable future. U.S. coal plants’ reliability and affordability also continue to be emphasized. During the coldest days of last winter, for instance, fossil fuels provided more than 90% of the additional U.S. generation needed versus just 4% for wind and solar. The often quoted national average of 16% of electricity from coal also does not do justice to the workload, reliability, and economics that coal power generation provides in certain states. For example, our home state of Missouri gets approximately 60% of its electricity from coal, while California has virtually no coal-fueled power. As a result, Missouri's average cost of electricity was just $0.11 per kilowatt-hour last year, but California power averaged $0.27, nearly two and a half times that of Missouri. The third quarter continued to see two 202 executive orders to keep coal-fueled generating plants open and utilities announcing additional extensions. The count of life extensions for U.S. coal-fueled generation now totals 58 units and 46 gigawatts of generation, more than a quarter of the total installed base. This comes as the Trump administration continues to implement common sense policies. In the third quarter alone, we saw federal funding and an emergency order to extend the lives of coal plants, a 5.5% reduction in the federal coal royalty rate, and an upcoming 2.5% production tax credit from the one big beautiful bill. We also saw a growing national focus on securing rare earth elements and critical minerals. We have long said that our leading U.S. thermal coal platform, and particularly our Powder River Basin position, represents a free opt...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06Peabody Energy Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Peabody Energy Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Q1 snapshot: Peabody posted a $32.4M net loss but generated $82.5M of adjusted EBITDA, led by a strong seaborne thermal business that shipped 3.0M tons with realized export prices of $86.25/ton and seaborne thermal costs of $50.26/ton. Centurion disruptions: Commissioning and ramp-up issues at the Centurion metallurgical mine cut volumes by about 1M tons, trimmed full‑year Centurion sales guidance to 2.5M tons (from 3.5M), and cost the company roughly $80M while pushing seaborne met cost guidance to $123–$133/ton. Liquidity and strategic moves: Peabody exited the quarter with just under $500M cash and total liquidity above $850M, provided Q2 volume/cost guidance (seaborne thermal ~3.0M tons; PRB ~19.0M tons), and is advancing a PRB coal‑fed rare‑earth pilot and a West Coast export proof‑of‑concept to Guaymas. Interested in Peabody Energy Corporation? Here are five stocks we like better. Peabody Energy is a Double Threat Energy and Steel Play Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) executives highlighted stronger-than-expected thermal performance, improving seaborne market conditions, and a detailed remediation plan at its Centurion metallurgical operation during the company’s first-quarter 2026 earnings call. Management also discussed early-stage development initiatives in critical minerals and a proof-of-concept shipment for potential West Coast exports of Powder River Basin (PRB) coal. Chief Financial Officer Mark Spurbeck said Peabody reported a first-quarter net loss attributable to common stockholders of $32.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, while generating adjusted EBITDA of $82.5 million. → 3 Emerging Markets ETFs to Maximize Exposure to High-Potential Countries High Teck: Teck Resources Hits 12-Year High on Deal Drama Spurbeck attributed the quarter’s results to “outstanding performance from our seaborne thermal platform,” which benefited from higher realized prices and strong Asian demand late in the quarter. The seaborne thermal business shipped 3.0 million tons, exceeding expectations and increasing export shipments by 200,000 tons. Realized export prices averaged $86.25 per ton, up more than 5% from the prior quarter, which Spurbeck said was driven by higher Asian demand amid elevated LNG prices in March. Higher production at Peabody’s two Australian thermal mines helped lower seaborne thermal costs to $50.26 per ton, below the low end of guidance, resul...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05Peabody Energy: Q1 Earnings Snapshot
Associated Press
Peabody Energy: Q1 Earnings Snapshot
ST LOUIS (AP) — ST LOUIS (AP) — Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) on Tuesday reported a first-quarter loss of $32.4 million, after reporting a profit in the same period a year earlier. On a per-share basis, the St. Louis-based company said it had a loss of 27 cents. Losses, adjusted to account for discontinued operations, came to 26 cents per share. The coal mining company posted revenue of $973.3 million in the period. Peabody Energy shares have fallen 11% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P's 500 index has climbed 5%. The stock has more than doubled in the last 12 months. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on BTU at https://www.zacks.com/ap/BTU
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05Peabody Reports Results for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
PR Newswire
Peabody Reports Results for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026
Thermal Coal Volumes Exceed Expectations on Continued Strong Demand Seaborne Thermal Results Benefit from Rising Prices Centurion Mine Progressing Toward Full Longwall Production ST. LOUIS, May 5, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Peabody (NYSE: BTU) today reported net income attributable to common stockholders of $(32.4) million, or $(0.27) per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2026, compared to $34.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, in the prior-year quarter. Peabody reported Adjusted EBITDA1 of $82.5 million in the first quarter of 2026 compared to $144.0 million in the prior-year quarter. "Amid volatility in global energy markets, our thermal segments benefited from strong demand and higher realized pricing," said President and Chief Executive Officer Jim Grech. "While we have extended the Centurion commissioning period, due to temporary equipment and roof control challenges, we continue to advance toward full longwall production rates. Our first quarter results demonstrate the value of our diverse global platform and reflect the durability of coal's role in providing reliable and affordable power." Highlights Generated $82.5 million of Adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter, with two segments exceeding volume expectations. Delivered year-over-year higher price realizations across both seaborne coal segments, while achieving higher volumes and lower costs versus expectations from the seaborne thermal operations responding to increased demand from the Middle East conflict. Working through challenging longwall commissioning conditions at Centurion with continued ramp up in the second quarter. See Centurion Update below for additional information. Benefited from continued strength in U.S. thermal markets, with higher volume year-over-year driven by growing electricity demand. Advanced rare earth element and critical mineral development, highlighted by promising germanium concentrations from expanded drilling and sampling. The company also continued to progress technical and economic studies, advanced commercial partnerships, and pursued multiple federal and state funding pathways to support domestic supply chain development. Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share on May 5, 2026, payable on June 8, 2026 to stockholders of record on May 19, 2026. First Quarter Segment Performance Seaborne Thermal delivered Adjusted EBITDA of $48.5 million in the first q...
TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-05FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 94 paragraphs
FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Good day. Welcome to the Peabody Energy Corporation Q1 2026 earnings conference call. All participants will be in the listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note, this event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to Kala Finklang. Please go ahead.
Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us for Peabody's first quarter 2026 earnings call. Joining me today are Peabody's President and CEO, Jim Grech, Chief Financial Officer, Mark Spurbeck, and Chief Commercial Officer, Malcolm Roberts. After our prepared remarks, we will open up the call for questions. Before we begin, I want to remind you that our remarks today will include forward-looking statements. Please review the full statement contained in our earnings release and consider the risk factors referenced there, along with our filings with the SEC. I'll now turn the call over to Jim.
Thanks, Kala, and good morning, everyone. Peabody's first quarter was marked by a number of accomplishments amid a positive time for both thermal and metallurgical coal markets. We delivered better-than-expected volumes, pricing and costs in our seaborne thermal segment, supported by sharply higher global LNG prices in March. Our U.S. thermal coal volumes continued at a strong pace, driven by continued strong electricity demand. Across our seaborne met portfolio, operations performed in line with expectations, with the notable exception of Centurion. Focusing on our top priority, Centurion, I'll provide a thorough update of where we are today. As you know, as part of our commissioning of equipment in February, we encountered temporary mechanical and electrical issues. While those challenges were resolved, the disruptions led to a slower cutting speed, which in turn contributed to roof control conditions. Maintaining roof integrity is critical to sustaining optimal cutting speeds.
As a result, early in the ramp-up, progress was slower than we were anticipating even after resolution of the mechanical and electrical issues. Importantly, once the mechanical and electrical issues were resolved, the team implemented a comprehensive response plan centered on proactive strata management and disciplined execution with safety as a top priority. We have brought together a highly experienced group of engineering and operational personnel from across the platform to address these challenges. Since that time, we have been systematically working through what was, at its core, an iterative cycle of slower equipment performance affecting roof conditions. Over the past several weeks, we have taken deliberate steps to stabilize the operation by reinforcing the roof and face, realigning shields, and improving overall cutting conditions. Naturally, every mine is unique, with different geology, equipment, and operating conditions, and it has taken some time to apply the right solutions at Centurion.
While this has required a longer than anticipated commissioning period, it ensures that safety remains paramount as we work toward durable solutions. Our safety performance has remained strong, and I want to be clear that we have had no carbon monoxide events, no methane issues, no ignition events, and no regulatory challenges. While we are not yet at full cutting speed, the key remediation steps are largely in place, and we are encouraged by what we're seeing. We believe the remaining temporary headwinds are largely confined to the second quarter, with performance in the back half of 2026 expected to reflect a return to full longwall production rates. We expect to sell roughly 300,000 tons in the second quarter, reflecting strong June production, but a traditional lag in converting production at the mine into sales at the port.
Additionally, the seven-week longwall move that had been planned for the fourth quarter is now expected to shift into early 2027, which will support stronger production in the second half of this year. As a result, our full-year sales outlook for Centurion is now 2.5 million tons compared to our original expectation of 3.5 million tons. With that said, we've updated full-year met segment volumes to reflect the 1 million ton decrease and increased cost to a range of $123-$133 per ton. Stepping back, Centurion remains one of the most attractive assets in our portfolio with a strong position on realized pricing, cost, structure, and mine life.
In addition to our coal mining and marketing business, we continue to make progress on our Peabody development initiatives in recent months, focused on unlocking additional value from our vast array of land, reserves, operations, and commercial relationships. When we spoke last quarter, we had been recommended for a $6.25 million grant from the Wyoming Energy Authority, and that grant was awarded later in the first quarter. Peabody is now advancing initial plans for the pilot plant to process rare earth elements using PRB coal as feedstock. We also continue to advance additional opportunities related to rare earths and critical minerals. We have a particular focus on germanium, where we see good concentrations, strong end market engagement, and favorable supply-demand dynamics. For proprietary reasons, we'll need to keep details at this level for now.
I'm also pleased to note that initial test shipment is occurring this quarter for West Coast thermal coal exports. We have sent PRB coal from our North Antelope Rochelle Mine, transported by Union Pacific Railroad to Mexico's Port of Guaymas, where it is being loaded for export to an Asian customer. This test run reflects close coordination with U.S. and Mexican governments, port authorities, and logistics partners. It demonstrates the potential of a West Coast export route for PRB coal. While this is a proof of concept shipment, Guaymas has infrastructure that could support additional volumes over time. More broadly, this effort underscores Peabody's ability to connect the largest coal basin in the Western Hemisphere with the largest global demand center for thermal coal imports.
We would also note that recent U.S. policy actions continue to affirm the value of reliable coal supply chains and basal generation capacity to national security and grid resilience priorities. That follows an executive order during the quarter that directed U.S. Defense facilities to purchase power from coal-fueled generation. We view these moves as highly constructive, both symbolically and practically, for longer-term coal use in the U.S. For more on the U.S. and global supply-demand fundamentals, I'll turn things over to our Chief Commercial Officer, Malcolm Roberts.
Thanks, Jim. Good morning, all. Last quarter, I noted that we'd seen strong upward moves in the past year, first in U.S. coal demand and latter in the year in met coal pricing. That seaborne thermal coal had been stuck in a middling trading range. Recent events in the Middle East, though, have changed the seaborne thermal coal fundamentals. Leading into Q1, seaborne thermal coal had been somewhat range-bound, with a mild winter in much of Asia suppressing burn and strong domestic production running in China, and India had kept seaborne demand modest. Two major forces emerged that both increased demand and constrained supply. The Iran conflict in late February caused a sharp rerating of thermal coal demand and prices moved upward. March Newcastle averaging more than $20 a ton higher than pricing pre-conflict levels.
At the same time, high LNG prices and limited availability pushed multiple countries to rely more heavily on coal-fueled generation. We've seen both policy support and practical actions for seaborne thermal coal across Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines, among others. As history has reminded us, whether it be Fukushima, Ukraine or the Middle East, coal remains by far the largest source of electricity in the world and continues to play a critical role in global energy security. Coal is abundant, transportable, storable, and reliable, and today still fuels more than one out of every three electrons worldwide, far more than any other form of generation. The second major factor impacting thermal coal fundamentals was Indonesia's directive to keep more coal domestically, which has begun to take a real bite out of supply.
Indonesia exports over half of the world's seaborne thermal coal, and its government has announced cuts in production that would represent about a quarter of its exports if fully implemented. We've grown accustomed to such proclamations coming in short of original estimates over the years, but even a portion of that dramatic cut would mean a tightening of thermal coal fundamentals. I will note that not all developments in the seaborne coal markets are favorable. Freight rates have roughly increased 50% from pre-conflict levels, affecting the delivered cost of our products. While the market excitement has centered on thermal coal, seaborne met markets remain very constructive. First quarter benchmark pricing for Premium Hard Coking Coal averaged more than 25% above year-ago levels and could be characterized as more mid-cycle after the temporary dip we saw in 2025.
I'll note that the stratification of prices across lesser grades of met coal has become more pronounced. Low Vol PCI is up a more modest 14% over a year-ago, while High-Vol A pricing was actually 12% lower in the first quarter than in quarter one of 2025. Turning to the U.S. markets, our demand has remained strong early in the quarter due to a very cold January. Henry Hub gas prices lagged as the quarter wore on and ultimately ran below the fourth quarter and year-ago levels. Coal is still dispatched at a decent rate and U.S. coal demand was solid. We're working through the shoulder season and soft gas prices at the moment, but expect overall U.S. load growth to help balance that out as we begin to enter the strong summer burn.
With that brief overview of the markets, I'll turn the call over to Mark.
Thanks, Malcolm, and good morning, all. In the first quarter, we reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $32.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, while delivering adjusted EBITDA of $82.5 million. Results were underpinned by outstanding performance from our seaborne thermal platform, which benefited from higher realized prices and strong demand from Asian markets. The seaborne thermal platform delivered 3 million tons, exceeding expectations and increasing export shipments by 200,000 tons. Realized export prices averaged $86.25 per ton, up more than 5% from the prior quarter, driven by higher Asian demand amid elevated LNG prices in the latter part of the quarter.
Higher production from both Australian thermal mines helped reduce cost to $50.26 per ton, below the low end of guidance, resulting in a 25% adjusted EBITDA margin and $48.5 million of adjusted EBITDA. Seaborne metallurgical shipments totaled 2 million tons, 400,000 tons below plan due to the longwall ramp-up challenges at Centurion and unfavorably wet weather at the CMJV, partially offset by higher than anticipated production at Metropolitan, where we completed a longwall move ahead of schedule. Costs were higher than our guidance at $142 per ton, largely due to lower volumes at Centurion, partially offset by realized prices that increased 13% quarter-over-quarter.
The segment recorded an adjusted EBITDA loss of $7 million as an otherwise strong quarter was reduced by $80 million from the Centurion ramp-up, including $10 million of additional commissioning costs. Our U.S. thermal business delivered $61.5 million of adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter. The PRB shipped 21.2 million tons, exceeding expectations. Costs were above guidance due to sales mix, which included additional shipments of higher heat coal from NARM and timing of certain repairs and maintenance costs. Net-net costs outpaced higher average realized prices, resulting in lower margins in the quarter and $23.7 million of adjusted EBITDA. Other U.S. thermal shipped 3.3 million tons at better-than-expected costs, demonstrating continued disciplined cost control. I'm also pleased to report that 20 mi continued to perform well in its new longwall panel.
Together, the other U.S. thermal mines contributed $37.8 million of adjusted EBITDA. Moving forward, like the rest of the industry, we are keeping a close eye on oil prices. I'll share a few points here for context. Peabody uses approximately 100 million gallons of diesel fuel a year, with the majority used in the U.S. at our large surface mines. Each $10-per-barrel change in oil price impacts EBITDA by $6 million per quarter, ignoring potential benefits from higher coal prices. With the continuation of the Middle East conflict, we increased expected full-year PRB costs $0.50 per ton to reflect the current forward curve. We also increased seaborne thermal cost guidance by $2 per ton to reflect the current price strip. We have not experienced any disruption to imported fuel deliveries in Australia, and we are working closely with our primary supplier to monitor continued availability.
While higher fuel costs are anticipated across the business, the seaborne met and other U.S. thermal segments are expected to remain at beginning of year costs. A firm resolution of the Middle East conflict may result in an improved forecast with lower costs. Looking ahead to the second quarter, we expect seaborne thermal volume of 3 million tons, including 1.9 million tons of export coal, 300,000 of which are priced on average at $64.60 per ton. 1 million tons of Newcastle product and 600,000 tons of higher ash coal remain unpriced. Costs are expected to be between $57 and $62 per ton, with approximately $3.50 related to higher fuel costs as well as a stronger Australian dollar and planned repairs and maintenance at Wilpinjong.
We expect seaborne metallurgical volume of 2.3 million tons, with realizations of 75% of the Premium Hard Coking Coal index. Costs are expected to continue at higher than full-year run rates due to lower production at Centurion before achieving full longwall volume in the second half of the year. In the PRB, we anticipate shipments of 19 million tons at costs of $13.25, reflecting the traditional second quarter shoulder season and a $0.50 adjustment to higher fuel costs. Other U.S. thermal coal shipments are expected to increase to 3.4 million tons, with costs at $45-$49 per ton, in line with full-year guidance. In closing, our first quarter results highlight the value of our diversified global assets. Strong performance from our thermal segments, both abroad and here in the United States, continues to generate substantial free cash flow.
Peabody ended the quarter with just under $500 million in cash and total liquidity above $850 million. This financial position reflects the resilience of our balance sheet and provides financial flexibility to navigate near-term challenges, support our shareholder return program, and continue to invest in long-term value creation. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Jim.
Thanks, Mark. As we look toward the rest of the second quarter, priority one is continuing the positive momentum at Centurion and progressing toward our targeted production rates in a safe and productive manner. Beyond Centurion, we remain focused on delivering strong performance across the broader mining portfolio while maintaining a rigorous cost discipline. Finally, we'll continue unlocking additional value from our extensive asset base over time. With that, operator, we're pleased to open up the call to questions.
Yes. Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble the roster. The first question comes from Chris LaFemina with Jefferies.
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question, and thanks for the update. I just wanted to ask first on the PRB cost guidance. Second quarter costs are gonna be a bit higher than the first quarter, but then the full year guidance is materially lower than what your first half average would be. I wanted to understand how you're gonna get there. I mean, I understand that part of it is, I would assume, a function of higher volumes in the second half of the year, and part of it is that on the strip, diesel prices, I guess, are a bit lower, but it is a substantial drop-off in costs, and just wanted to better understand that. That's my first question.
Yeah. Good morning, Chris. You're exactly right. You've kind of answered your own question there. For the PRB, costs were higher, in the first quarter a little bit, going higher in the second quarter, mainly due to diesel fuel. That's probably about a 75% impact in the second quarter, $0.50 impact over the full year. You're right that forward strip declines, that's the biggest change there on the PRB costs.
Okay.
We have lower volume. I think you mentioned lower volume as well, right? I mean, second quarter shoulder season, we're looking at about, you know, 2 million tons less, so a big denominator difference there as well.
Okay. That makes sense. Thanks. Secondly, just on the balance sheet, I noticed that the restricted cash balance fell by, like, $33 million in the quarter, I'm not sure I saw the offsetting decline in any associated liabilities. I might just be missing something there, but what was going on with the cash balance?
Yeah. The restricted cash, there was just some movement in how we collateralized some of those obligations. No change in the liabilities.
Got it. Thanks. I'll get back in the queue. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question comes from Katja Jancic with BMO Capital Markets.
Hi. Thank you for taking my questions. Maybe staying on PRB, I know that the prices are currently locked in or mostly locked in. Do your contracts in any way allow you to potentially share some of the cost burdens from diesel right now, or is there no opportunity for that?
Good morning, Katja. Malcolm here. The majority of our contracts are fixed price contracts that don't have a fuel rise or fall.
If this environment continues, are you potentially looking at hedging any of the diesel costs, or do you have any hedges in place?
Yeah, Katja, we do not hedge diesel. We've looked at this over the years multiple times, whether, you know, fixed pricing with our suppliers or hedging it with derivatives. It is just not cost-effective to hedge.
Maybe one more, if I may. You mentioned the potential for West Coast exports of PRB. Can you talk a bit more about right now, currently, what the opportunity could potentially be in more near term?
Yeah. Thanks for the question, Katja. Malcolm here again. Look, the potential there in terms of the coal quality is pretty much unlimited. This PRB coal quality is fantastic in terms of its sulfur level, in terms of its ash level. You know, what we've seen in Asia is a lot of power generating plants have been set up to burn on this type of coal, and that was originally based on Indonesian coal. Now, Indonesian coal is being kept more domestically, and also we're seeing grades decrease. There's a real opportunity, particularly in terms of the environment, and this high-grade PRB coal to be consumed in Asia.
It was really, really quite positive and exciting that we're able to work with the port operator down there and also the Union Pacific to do a trial shipment. You know, the potential there will be limited by the logistics in terms of the Guaymas port. Also, you know, you'd note that there are West Coast port opportunities currently being discussed, and that is something that really encourages us as we move forward.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you. The next question comes from Nathan Martin with The Benchmark Company.
Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone. Malcolm, maybe just sticking with you for a second. You know, you mentioned about some of the additional seaborne thermal opportunities you're seeing in the market driven by conflict in the Middle East as well as Indonesia. Is there still demand and price out there, or have you seen that retreat maybe some of the recent peaks?
Look, I think we're gonna potentially go to the next level over coming months. I mean, the tide that lifts all boats is the Chinese import price. You know, we've seen that rally reasonably strongly and, I'm hearing of deals for API 5 around $100 a ton at the moment, which is, you know, over a year ago levels, that's probably $25 in excess of that. Now, once that tide comes up, that'll also support Newcastle pricing. You know, LNG pricing is still at quite a multiple, as a fuel cost than seaborne thermal coal. We're just starting to move into the summer in the Northern Hemisphere. You know, I think there's more to come.
Okay, great. That's helpful. Maybe going to Centurion, I know you guys obviously mentioned aiming to complete the commissioning and production rate up here in the second quarter. Can you talk a little bit more about the timing there? I think maybe June was mentioned, but is this kind of an end of quarter completion? You know, how confident are you that the longwall should be up and running at full tilt in the second half, and when that might occur?
Hi, Nate. Jim Grech here, we have a lot of confidence that that's going to occur here in the second quarter. Maybe I'll give you a little detail around where we're at right now, how we see us getting through the month of May and then the month of June, why we have so much confidence. Right now, our plan gets us to optimize longwall automation by the end of May. What do we mean by optimize longwall automation? It means we're all done with the commissioning of the equipment, and we're on regular production mode per our forecast. To get us to that position by the end of May, to our regular production mode, longwall will be staying in the target horizon in the coal seam.
We're going to share adoptable position from both the floor and the roof horizon in the coal seam and the longwall face straight and level. Our goal is to get us to those conditions by the end of the month, and we have made significant progress to getting to those conditions. It is, it is an iterative process, Nate, that we're in. You know, we advance the shields, we align the shields. If there's any a fortifying of the coal roof or face, we do that if it's needed. We do another pass with the shear, we cut some coal, we advance the shields again. We're going through that process right now, advance the shield, align, fortify, cut, and we're having some very good success with that.
We're gonna keep repeating that process for the next few weeks till we get to this optimized longwall automation position. From there, we'll be running per forecast. A lot of good progress made in the last two weeks, where every day, we move further along with our plan. We again, feel very good about getting this completed by the end of May, getting out of this commissioning phase, and getting into regular production mode starting in June.
Okay. That's, that's very helpful, Jim. Appreciate that. Then maybe just one more, if I can. You guys had a small update on your rare earths and critical minerals project there. Maybe could we just get some thoughts around a potential timeline for that development? You'd mentioned previously as well today, you know, the possibility of building a pilot plant. Again, just any updates on timeline would be great. Thanks.
Yeah. You're referring to the grant we got from the Wyoming Energy Authority to build a pilot plant, and we're looking at building it at the moment out at our Rawhide Mine is the site at the moment, but there are some other sites being looked at it. We expect the development operations and so on to take about 18 months. You're gonna have some time after that, you know, of one or two years to get it up to full development of the plant.
We're gonna work on the siting first and then initial construction and then get it operating, hopefully, at some extent, 18 months out, and then over that 18-48 month timeframe, just keep ramping it up with the project. That's what we're doing on that one project. I just wanna remind you, though, that we've got several opportunities that we're pursuing. We've got this option-based approach 'cause we've got multiple feedstocks, whether it's coal or overburden and looking at other of our mines. We have other projects underway. We're not ready to talk about them yet, but this is the one here that we're talking about at the moment.
All right. Thanks for that, Jim. I'll leave it there. Appreciate your time, guys, and best of luck.
Thanks, Nate.
Thank you. The next question comes from George Eadie with UBS.
Yeah, good day, team. Hope you're well. Jim, your audio was muffling, I think, before, so sorry if this is a bit of a repeat. What specifically at Centurion, sorry, were the electrical and mechanical issues experienced? Were there any issues with the shields not bearing the roof weight properly due to roof conditions or undulations at all in the roof?
Yeah, George, I'm not, I'm not sure why. I'm right next to the microphone, I think I'm talking loud enough. I'll start screaming into this. Are you hearing me okay right now?
Yeah, yeah. Sorry. Now I got you good.
If you hear me catching my breath, it's 'cause I'm talking at the top of my voice. What we've had is a longer than anticipated commissioning period at the mine. You know, to get to the situations you talked about, during the initial commissioning, we encountered some unanticipated electrical and mechanical issues that we hadn't picked up during You know, we did testing, we did a mini build on the surface to test the equipment. Once we got the equipment underground, put it together, and put it under full load conditions, we started having some issues with it. You know, fundamentally, what happened with that is we had eight-year old unused mining equipment. We put updated technology in it, and then we put it underground.
When it got under full load, we started having issues that we weren't anticipating electrically, and we had to troubleshoot that, order parts, and repair. Once we got past the electrical issues, we had some mechanical issues with conveyors and chutes and so on, what I would call standard commissioning issues that you have with this type of situation in a new mine and equipment that's been sitting on the shelf for a while, all taking much longer than we had anticipated. With that situation going and the longwall sitting, and what happened was the longwall was advancing very slowly during this commissioning period. The slow progress of the longwall gave rise to some localized ground conditions where the longwall was sitting.
We had moisture accumulating in some roof cavities, above that, combined with the softening of the floor beneath the shield. The roof conditions have been addressed with void fill and are under control, where we have the longwall right now in its current position. The floor conditions we've adjusted to, but what's happened is the with the floor conditions, we've got misalignment in a limited number of shields. That really is where we are in the final stages of remediation, that I had outlined to Nate, is getting those shields in alignment. The only way to do that is to advance the longwall, adjust the shields, advance the longwall, adjust the shields, and that's gonna take us another week or two to do that. We anticipate getting through that by the end of the month.
As each time we advance, we progressively improve with our remediation. Once we get a little further along here and we get onto some fresh ground underneath those shields, we'll be going at forecasted rates. George, did I answer the question you had asked there?
Yeah, that's-
I'm assuming you can hear me.
Exactly. Yep. No, that was great. Thanks, Jim. Appreciate all that. Are you guys, like, testing the shields to make sure they're carrying the roof load? Is that something you can do and are doing, I guess?
Yes. The shields themselves are performing well. It's just they're out of alignment and we just have to get them straightened out, you know, between the floor and the roof. That's really what's going on here at the moment, George.
Okay. No, that's super clear. Thanks. Jim Grech, and then maybe one quickly for Malcolm Roberts, just margins in the PRB just over $1 a ton. A few questions on it before, we've got it down there. Are there risks to margins getting back sort of $2 and higher going forward with U.S. gas prices at $2.80 and cost pressures impacting on the other end too?
Yeah, look, with where oil prices are at the moment, margins are being challenged and also this quarter with lower volumes being in shoulder season. However, one thing that's pretty evident is that electricity demand is continuing to increase. As that, and I think we've just seen the statistics for April. With this increased demand, we get out of shoulder season, get into the summer. You know, I still expect the spot market to be quite robust and for pricing, as we move forward, to reflect this higher cost base because I don't think anybody's on their own in terms of the dirt that needs to be moved and the cost of that diesel.
It's a function of, you know, the higher cost base, being reflected in new deals and the like as we work through that.
Yeah. George, I might just add to that. If you look at the implied guidance, the costs and the additional volumes coming in the second half of the year, we're going to be back to margins rate within spitting distance of $2 a ton.
Yep. Okay. That's clear. Thanks, gents.
Thank you. Once again, please press star then one if you'd like to ask a question. The next question comes from Nick Giles with B. Riley Securities.
Yes. Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone. A lot of my questions have been answered, but just maybe on the seaborne met cost revisions, I think most of which were driven by Centurion timing being pushed out, but can you just touch on the other operations and where costs stand today at those mines? I think diesel isn't as impactful as the PRB, but was wondering if anything has changed as far as input costs at your, you know, kind of non-Centurion operations. Thanks.
Nick. Good morning. I think I'll start with the two changes we made to the guidance for the full year in the thermal segment. PRB is up $0.50 on a full-year basis. That's entirely due to higher diesel pricing. Seaborne thermal as well, up $2 a ton for the full year, entirely due to higher diesel pricing. The seaborne met that is up $15 a ton, and that's entirely due to the lower volume at Centurion. There is some higher diesel cost obviously in met and other U.S. thermal, but that's a much smaller use.
About two-thirds of our oil in both regions, two-thirds of the U.S. oil or diesel is used at the PRB and about two-thirds of Australian fuel is used in the seaborne thermal segment. The seaborne met and the other U.S. thermal, much smaller impact from diesel, and we're able to maintain those original cost guidance ranges.
Got it. Very helpful. Appreciate that, Mark. Then maybe just one on the Centurion product itself. Can you just talk about how the commercial process has gone to date with customers? How much is contracted? How much could is left to still be contracted? Then, you know, do you feel that with the higher freight rates globally that, you know, Centurion has become more competitive or how are you thinking about kind of a percentage realization in terms of FOB? Thanks.
Thanks for the question, Nick. Look, generally, discussions have gone very well because this product is the highest quality premium coking coal at around an eight to 8.5 ash. In terms of where it's being sold, you know, traditionally, North Asia has been a big customer when this mine was producing last decade. You know, there's strong demand there. Really, the main focus is on India and, you know, we've concluded a number, probably eight or nine contracts there. In terms of how contracted I am for the year, I like to treat that as commercially sensitive. You know, there's plenty of demand there for that product. Hopefully, that answers your question.
That's helpful, Malcolm. Guys, I appreciate the update.
Thanks, Nick.
Thank you. The next question is a follow-up from Chris LaFemina with Jefferies.
Hi. Thanks, operator. Guys, just one quick follow-up. If you look at the outlook for the business, if you hit your operational targets, you're going to be generating lots of free cash flow second half of this year into 2027. Your balance sheet is very strong. Your share price has been under some pressure, but it really seems like it's a timing issue on the cash flow rather than anything more structurally problematic. Yet you have an opportunity in the market to buy back your stock at a relatively inexpensive level. I was wondering how you think about the share price weakness and how you can defend the stock.
Maybe that's not, that's not the way to think about it, but, you know, can you take advantage of an opportunity here where, the market is not pricing in the, cash flow that you guys are gonna generate and, maybe the opportunities for you to buy back your stock at this, relatively inexpensive level? Thanks.
Chris, we share your outlook for the business. Certainly when Centurion comes back online, or gets online at full production rates in the second half of the year, there will be a substantial amount of free cash flow in that second half of the year. I think there's a couple of opportunities. Buying back shares is one, but also looking at our 2028 convert that's outstanding, and addressing maybe some of the dilution there as well.
Yeah, that makes sense. All right, great. Thanks. Appreciate it.
Thank you. The next question is a follow-up with George Eadie with UBS.
Yeah. Thanks, guys. Jim or Malcolm maybe, when will we get some details on this PRB West Coast opportunity? I guess chasing potential tons you could ship, wash and cleaning costs, CapEx and sort of timelines and all the various factors for us to potentially model it up.
I'll start and maybe Jim Grech could give some further details. This cargo is gonna go out in May and, you know, we'll get customer feedback. We've got another customer visiting our PRB mines next I think it's next week or the week after. We're in a detailed qualification process there. You know, we'll discharge trains and the first one's discharged down in Mexico this week, and we'll see how that goes. We'll load it on the ship and see how that goes and then get the ultimate feedback from the customer. You know, one thing is for sure is that there are opportunities and people are really focusing on this and the railway, particularly Union Pacific, is working with us really constructively. That's encouraging.
You're also hearing about other West Coast port opportunities. Exactly where we go with the Port of Guaymas, that's gonna be a little bit of a suck and see. Let's see how the port performs and the like. This is more of a proof of concept and the like. In terms of CapEx and the like, we'll, you know, we'll be leaving other promoters to develop ports and do those things. We'll be a user of those ports and the like. I hope I haven't said anything out of line here. I'll just check with Jim if he's anything he'd like to add.
No, Malcolm. I think the thing to take from this, George, is, you know, Malcolm said proof of concept and, you know, most importantly, is there a market for this coal? As Malcolm pointed out, there's a significant, almost unlimited market in terms of what the PRB can produce and move as far as demand because of the, you know, the comparably very favorable comparison to Indonesian quality coal, which is big on the export market. The opportunity is significant. You know, the proof of concept is us working with the Union Pacific Railroad, who've been very good to work with the U.S. government, the Mexican government. Can we do the logistics to move the coal to this very large market? We've done that.
The next steps are, how do we scale this up? How do we get significant tonnages? Whether that's through Guaymas or, you know, other ports that are being looked at on the West Coast that are being looked at actively, then I think there's some great opportunity there for those ports to move this Western coal. There's a lot more opportunity to come. Is it on the horizon, like in the next three to six months? No, there's nothing significant because you need to get the port capacity there. The demand is there. The demand is not going away. The ability to work with the rail carriers and the U.S. government to develop these opportunities is there.
There's a lot of good potential for us, you know, out into the longer term, but not just in the near term.
Yeah. Okay, great. Thanks, Jim. Just on that, what is the port capacity you guys could tap here? Is it sort of 5 million tons-10 million tons? Is that the right range for me to think?
Well, I think it's what's the port capacity potential. Guaymas could get to those ranges or slightly higher, and other ports that are being looked at on the West Coast would be at the upper end of that range.
Okay, awesome. Cheers, guys.
Thank you. This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Jim Grech for any closing comments.
Thanks to everyone for your time today, as well as your long-standing support. We're gonna get back to work and look forward to keeping you apprised of our progress.
Thank you. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your line.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-02How Investors May Respond To Peabody Energy (BTU) Earnings Amid Softer Revenue And Higher EPS Estimates
Simply Wall St.
How Investors May Respond To Peabody Energy (BTU) Earnings Amid Softer Revenue And Higher EPS Estimates
In late April 2026, analysts signaled that Peabody Energy’s upcoming March-quarter earnings report was expected to show lower revenue and a year-over-year earnings decline, even as consensus EPS estimates were revised higher. This tension between upward earnings revisions and limited confidence in an earnings beat has sharpened focus on how the results could reshape views on Peabody’s coal exposure, cost base, and policy-driven advantages. Next, we’ll examine how this cautious earnings outlook, despite higher EPS estimates, interacts with Peabody Energy’s existing investment narrative and risk profile. AI is about to change healthcare. These 33 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early. To own Peabody Energy today, you generally need to believe that policy support, tight coal markets, and a leaner cost base can offset structural decarbonization pressure and legacy liabilities. The latest earnings expectations for lower revenue and year over year profit highlight how fragile that balance is, but they do not clearly alter the key near term catalyst: how coal demand and pricing hold up into 2026. The biggest immediate risk remains policy or demand shifts that erode this support. Against this backdrop, Peabody’s February 2026 update, showing a full year 2025 net loss of US$52.9 million despite US$3,861.5 million in sales, is especially relevant. It underlines how quickly earnings can compress even when revenue stays substantial, which matters now that analysts see weaker March quarter results ahead. Together, the prior loss making year and the cautious current earnings setup sharpen the market’s focus on cost control and coal exposure as the core drivers of Peabody’s story. Yet investors should also be aware that... Read the full narrative on Peabody Energy (it's free!) Peabody Energy's narrative projects $4.8 billion revenue and $449.0 million earnings by 2029. This requires 7.9% yearly revenue growth and a $501.7 million earnings increase from -$52.7 million today. Uncover how Peabody Energy's forecasts yield a $39.75 fair value, a 49% upside to its current price. While consensus is cautious after the latest earnings expectations, the most optimistic analysts were previously modeling around US$5.4 billion in 2028 revenue and US$406.6 mill...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-01Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Zacks
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.37 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.21 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.16 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +13.22%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.62 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.44, delivering a surprise of -29.03%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Warrior Met Coal, which belongs to the Zacks Coal industry, posted revenues of $458.59 million for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.97%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $299.94 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Warrior Met Coal shares have added about 2.1% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 4.2%. While Warrior Met Coal has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Warrior Met Coal was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Str...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-28Analysts Estimate Peabody Energy (BTU) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
Zacks
Analysts Estimate Peabody Energy (BTU) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when Peabody Energy (BTU) reports results for the quarter ended March 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise. This coal mining company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -63%. Revenues are expected to be $925 million, down 1.3% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 10.77% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only. A positive...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-09Q4 Earnings Highlights: Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) Vs The Rest Of The Mixed or Offshore Upstream E&P Stocks
StockStory
Q4 Earnings Highlights: Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) Vs The Rest Of The Mixed or Offshore Upstream E&P Stocks
Wrapping up Q4 earnings, we look at the numbers and key takeaways for the mixed or offshore upstream e&p stocks, including Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) and its peers. This category includes smaller or niche E&P companies operating in specialized basins, geographies, or resource types outside major classifications. These firms may target unconventional resources, frontier regions, or specific commodity niches. Tailwinds include potential for outsized returns from successful exploration, acquisition opportunities during industry downturns, and specialized expertise commanding premium valuations. Headwinds include higher operational and geological risks, limited scale reducing negotiating power and cost efficiencies, and constrained capital market access during challenging commodity environments. Regulatory risks and ESG concerns may disproportionately affect smaller operators with fewer resources for compliance. The 21 mixed or offshore upstream e&p stocks we track reported a mixed Q4. As a group, revenues were in line with analysts’ consensus estimates. Thankfully, share prices of the companies have been resilient as they are up 8.5% on average since the latest earnings results. Beginning with a single wagon hauling coal in Illinois back when Grover Cleveland was president, Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) mines coal used by electricity generators and steel manufacturers. Peabody Energy reported revenues of $1.02 billion, down 9% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 2.8%. Overall, it was a strong quarter for the company with EPS in line with analysts’ estimates. "Peabody's continued strong operational performance in the fourth quarter capped an excellent year with record safety and environmental results, increased volumes and focused cost control," said Peabody President and Chief Executive Officer Jim Grech. The stock is down 13.3% since reporting and currently trades at $30.37. Is now the time to buy Peabody Energy? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free. Operating one of the largest dairy-based renewable natural gas facilities in the United States, Gevo (NASDAQ:GEVO) produces sustainable aviation fuel and other renewable hydrocarbon fuels from plant-based feedstocks like corn. Gevo reported revenues of $45.35 million, up 696% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 0.7%. The business had a stunning quart...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-08Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$38.63
Simply Wall St.
Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$38.63
Investors in Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.7% to close at US$36.92 following the release of its full-year results. The results look positive overall; while revenues of US$3.9b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory losses were 5.3% smaller than expected, with Peabody Energy losing US$0.43 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year. This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality. Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Peabody Energy's five analysts is for revenues of US$4.46b in 2026. This reflects a decent 15% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Peabody Energy is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$2.80 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$4.65b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.32 in 2026. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a real cut to earnings per share estimates. See our latest analysis for Peabody Energy What's most unexpected is that the consensus price target rose 6.2% to US$38.63, strongly implying the downgrade to forecasts is not expected to be more than a temporary blip. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Peabody Energy, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$44.00 and the most bearish at US$33.00 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth. These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Peabody Energy's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Peabody Energy's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 15% annualised growth to the end of 2026...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-06Peabody Energy Corp (BTU) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Cash Flow and Strategic ...
GuruFocus.com
Peabody Energy Corp (BTU) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Cash Flow and Strategic ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Net Income: $10.4 million or $0.09 per diluted share for Q4 2025. Adjusted EBITDA: $118 million for Q4 2025, a 19% increase from the prior quarter. Operating Cash Flow: $69 million for Q4 2025 and $336 million for the full year. Cash and Liquidity: $575 million in cash and total liquidity above $900 million at year-end 2025. Seaborne Thermal Coal: 3.3 million tonnes shipped in Q4 2025, with realized export pricing averaging $81.80 per ton. Seaborne Met Coal: 2.5 million tons shipped in Q4 2025, with costs at $113 per ton. US Thermal Coal: $63 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025, with nearly $250 million for the full year. PRB Operations: 22.3 million tons shipped in Q4 2025, contributing $44.8 million of adjusted EBITDA. Other US Thermal Segment: $18.1 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025 on shipments of 3.7 million tonnes. Capital Expenditures: Estimated at $340 million for 2026, $70 million lower than 2025. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Sign with BTU. Is BTU fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: February 05, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Peabody Energy Corp (NYSE:BTU) achieved a record safety year with an incident rate of 0.71 per 200,000 hours worked, marking a 12% improvement over the previous record. The Centurion mine in Australia is ahead of schedule, expected to ship an average of 4.7 million tons per year of premium hard coking coal, enhancing Peabody's portfolio. Peabody reclaimed twice as many acres as it disturbed in 2025, demonstrating environmental responsibility and reducing financial obligations. The company reported a net present value of $2.1 billion for the Centurion mine at $225 benchmark pricing, highlighting its long-term value. Peabody's US thermal platform generated nearly $250 million of adjusted EBITDA for the full year, showcasing strong cash flow generation capabilities. Seaborne thermal volumes are expected to be lower in 2026 due to the closure of the Wambo underground mine and reduced production at Wilpinjong. Seaborne thermal costs are projected to increase to $50 per ton due to lower production volumes and a stronger Australian dollar. The company faces challenges in the US coal markets with coal production only up an estimated 4% in 2025, while utility stoc...

