B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BNY
Bank of New York MellonBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$169.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$140.58
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-04
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+27.1
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+27.1
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+66.3
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source Q2 results were strongly positive, but post-print price-reaction attribution and analyst estimate or target revisions are unavailable. The supplied peer set is adjacent rather than direct, and social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable, so the thesis remains constructive but monitoring-oriented.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-04
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-14catalystPost-Q2 earnings durabilityMedium impact
Q2 EPS rose 27% year over year to $2.45, revenue rose 13% to a record $5.7 billion, and ROTCE reached 31.3%. Near-term upside depends on continued investor acceptance of the strong print; post-print analyst revisions are unavailable. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-15]
2026-12-31eventCapital-return executionMedium impact
BNY returned $1.5 billion to common shareholders in Q2, including $1.1 billion of repurchases, while a new $10 billion repurchase authorization supports continued capital return. Execution remains subject to balance-sheet and regulatory considerations. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-15] [#SEC-8K-2026-04-16]
2027-01-31catalystPlatform and client-monetization executionMedium impact
Broad-based growth across Securities Services, Market and Wealth Services, and Investment and Wealth Management, together with record sales, $62.6 trillion of AUC/A, and $2.2 trillion of AUM, supports a constructive longer-term setup. Sustainability depends on client activity and market conditions. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-15]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology