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BNY

Bank of New York MellonB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 EPS and revenue beats, 12% fee-revenue growth, and 390 basis points of positive operating leverage support the prior constructive thesis. RBC maintained Sector Perform and a $168 target while raising its 2026 and 2027 EPS estimates to $9.35 and $10.45, respectively.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Falling CET1 and Tier 1 leverage ratios could constrain the pace of repurchases despite strong reported earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-15]
Momentum
51
Value
63
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $151.00 · Bull $168.00 · Bear $122.00Analysis 2026-10-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $165.27
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d +19.5
Value63 · Δ7d +9.4
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -4.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Falling CET1 and Tier 1 leverage ratios could constrain the pace of repurchases despite strong reported earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-15]
  • • Market levels and client activity affect custody assets and fee revenue; management described the operating backdrop as constructive but uneven. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q3]
  • • CET1 fell to 10.9% from 11.7% a year earlier and Tier 1 leverage to 5.7% from 6.1%; noninterest expense rose 8%.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30

Q3 earnings digestion and mixed analyst revisions

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
51
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+19.5
Δ21d
+1.5
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
+9.3
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.0
Δ21d
-25.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 50.9 / Value 63.0 / Sentiment 57.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$168.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$151.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$122.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$100.13B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
678.5M
P/E (TTM)
17.5
P/S (TTM)
4.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-581.94
Rev YoY
-1.6%
EPS YoY
+26.8%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+19.3%
Net Debt
-$44.52B
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data