AMPY

Amplify EnergyD

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-06-02

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$8.50

+78.6% vs current

Most likely

Base case

45%

Probability

Target price

$6.00

+26.1% vs current

B-

Bear case

30%

Probability

Target price

$4.00

-16.0% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-05-09

AI commentary

This was supposed to be a T+3 post-earnings check for May 6, 2026, but the checked primary and trusted sources did not surface a new AMPY earnings release, 8-K, or 10-Q; the latest confirmed company financial update remains March 9, 2026. That keeps price-reaction attribution and analyst-revision evidence unavailable and leaves the stock in monitoring mode despite a stale target summary above the May 7, 2026 anchor price.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-09

Open post-earnings memo

Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-31eventFirst-quarter 2026 update must confirm March guidance and Beta well cadenceHigh impact

The key near-term gap is the first company earnings release or 10-Q confirming whether the March 9 plan still holds, especially the target to complete four Beta wells in 1H26 and spend $45-$65 million of 2026 capital with over 95% allocated to Beta [#8-K-2026-03-09]. As of 2026-05-09, a fresh Q1 company filing or release was not confirmed in the checked sources, so this remains the main de-risking event.

2026-06-30catalystQ2 borrowing-base and liquidity checkHigh impact

Amplify ended 2025 with no revolver borrowings and more than $60 million of cash, but the next borrowing-base redetermination was expected in 2Q26; any tighter liquidity or collateral demands would matter because Beta decommissioning and surety needs can compete with development capital [#8-K-2026-03-09] [#10-K-2026-03-09].

2026-12-31catalystBeta development execution can tighten the asset-value discountHigh impact

March materials said the 2025 Beta wells exceeded pre-drill type curves, year-end proved reserves at Beta and Bairoil were 38.1 MMBoe with PV-10 of about $376 million, and 2026 plans call for five to eight Beta wells; sustained execution could improve production visibility and support a higher valuation [#8-K-2026-03-09] [#10-K-2026-03-09].

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-05-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology