B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$700.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AMAT
Applied MaterialsBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$663.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$500.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-18
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-14.7
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-14.7
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+65.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+100.0
Score
AI commentary
The Aug. 13 earnings release and Aug. 14 market reaction provide the main dated company-specific evidence. Post-print news tone is mixed: the company delivered a strong beat and raised its outlook, but shares declined roughly 5%-6% as expectations were higher. Analyst target changes are mixed; social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable, and no later dated catalyst beyond the earnings digestion is supported by the packet.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-18
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
high-coverage report lacks a dated company-specific catalyst beyond generic cadence; peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-13event2026-08-13 Q3 earnings release: record quarter and raised 2026 outlookHigh impact
Applied Materials reported record Q3 FY2026 revenue of $9.12 billion, non-GAAP EPS of $3.50, 50.4% non-GAAP gross margin, and record operating cash flow. Management raised 2026 Semiconductor Systems expectations and cited strong second-half demand in DRAM, leading-edge logic, and advanced packaging. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13]
2026-08-14catalyst2026-08-14 post-print expectation resetMedium impact
Shares fell roughly 5%-6% after the print as analysts cited softer gross-margin commentary, conservative near-term guidance, and expectations for stronger systems growth. Morgan Stanley cut its target from $646 to $642, BofA from $720 to $650, UBS from $705 to $675, and Deutsche Bank from $680 to $605; JPMorgan raised its target from $515 to $660 and Bernstein from $675 to $700. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-14]
2027-08-18catalyst2026-2027 customer commitments and capacity expansionHigh impact
Management cited increasing customer demand visibility, longer-term commitments, and additional manufacturing-capacity investments supporting projected demand through the end of the decade, with another strong growth year expected in 2027. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology