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YPF

YPFB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
View Chart
Current thesis
Company-source 1Q26 evidence supports a constructive operating base: revenue reached US$4.946 billion, adjusted EBITDA US$1.594 billion, shale oil output 205 KBBL/d, free cash flow US$871 million, and net leverage 1.57x in the May 2026 investor presentation [#IR-1Q26-PRESENTATION-MAY-2026]. If YPF keeps converting Vaca Muerta scale into volume growth and lower lifting costs, the stock can move toward the existing median target zone.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.
What can break
Argentina sovereign, FX, and policy risk can overwhelm otherwise solid operating execution.
Momentum
77
Value
51
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $47.00 · Bull $58.00 · Bear $35.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $59.68
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d +6.9
Value51 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
77
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
-5.5
Value
51
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
47
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-13.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 76.9 / Value 51.3 / Sentiment 47.0

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$21.96B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
393.31M
P/E (TTM)
13.5
P/S (TTM)
1.12
P/FCF (TTM)
149.50
Rev YoY
+6.4%
EPS YoY
-2371.9%
Gross Margin
+29.0%
Op Margin
+4.3%
Net Debt
$9.95B
Current Ratio
0.94
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology