B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
WRBY
Warby ParkerDNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution on store profitability, steady online growth, and margin improvement that validates a re-rate toward the analyst high (~$35).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.
What can break
Consumer discretionary slowdown that reduces demand
Momentum
27
Value
42
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $26.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-01-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $30.46
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -23.2
Value42 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +3.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Consumer discretionary slowdown that reduces demand
- • Execution delays or underperformance in retail/international expansion
- • Slower active-customer growth or sustained margin pressure from promotions/expansion that compresses multiple toward the analyst low (~$18).
Catalyst clock
2026-04-19
Analyst target updates / consensus revisions
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.2
Δ21d
-25.9
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+6.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 27.4 / Value 42.0 / Sentiment 57.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.16B
Beta
2.05
Shares Out
123.61M
P/E (TTM)
6167.1
P/S (TTM)
3.34
P/FCF (TTM)
75.16
Rev YoY
+9.8%
EPS YoY
-358.0%
Gross Margin
+52.6%
Op Margin
+0.2%
Net Debt
-$53.21M
Current Ratio
2.18
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data