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WAB

Westinghouse Air BrakeC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 sales rose 8.1% year over year, adjusted operating margin expanded 1.9 percentage points to 22.9%, and adjusted EPS rose 22.0%. The higher EPS guide and larger backlog support an upside case if execution persists.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Acquisitions contributed to Freight digital and Transit sales growth, complicating assessment of underlying demand; Wabtec reported $6.38 billion of total debt at quarter-end. Wabtec earnings release
Momentum
77
Value
52
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $275.00 · Bull $310.00 · Bear $235.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $332.08
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -0.6
Value52 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +21.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisitions contributed to Freight digital and Transit sales growth, complicating assessment of underlying demand; Wabtec reported $6.38 billion of total debt at quarter-end. Wabtec earnings release
  • • Lower locomotive deliveries weighed on Freight equipment sales; backlog conversion and order timing remain execution risks. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
  • • The EPS beat came with a revenue miss and no increase to full-year revenue guidance.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-06

Post-earnings estimate and price stabilization

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
77
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+4.2
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+21.2
Δ21d
+15.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 77.3 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 53.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$310.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$275.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$46B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
168.91M
P/E (TTM)
31.5
P/S (TTM)
3.44
P/FCF (TTM)
33.60
Rev YoY
+17.5%
EPS YoY
+18.4%
Gross Margin
+32.2%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$5.14B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data