B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$310.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
WAB
Westinghouse Air BrakeBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$275.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-26
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+56.9
Score
AI commentary
News tone is mixed: the company raised adjusted EPS guidance, but reported consensus comparisons show a revenue miss. WAB closed at $288.96 on the October 21 release date, then $272.35 on October 23—about 5.7% lower; the latter was about 3.9% below the October 20 pre-release close. Price action alone does not establish why investors sold. Stephens' target increase and Citi's subsequent cut do not establish a broad revision trend. No reliable social, options, short-interest, or employee-sentiment measures were supplied; the zero values above denote unavailable data, not measured neutral readings. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] Historical prices Analyst target history
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-26
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-06catalystPost-earnings estimate and price stabilizationMedium impact
Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.83 exceeded the $2.73 consensus cited by Investing.com, but $3.12 billion of revenue missed the approximately $3.20 billion estimate reported by MarketBeat. The stock closed October 23 at $272.35, below its $283.43 pre-release close on October 20. The near-term monitoring window is an estimate, not a scheduled company event. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] MarketBeat earnings report Historical prices
2026-12-31eventYear-end test of raised EPS guidanceMedium impact
Wabtec raised and tightened 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $10.85–$11.05 from $10.60–$10.90, while leaving revenue guidance at $12.30–$12.60 billion. The fiscal-year close is a test of whether margin gains can offset the unchanged sales outlook. December 31 is the fiscal-year end, not an announced results date. [#8-K-2026-10-21] [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] Wabtec earnings release
2027-06-30catalystRail order and backlog conversionHigh impact
At September 30, Wabtec reported a $31.44 billion total backlog, up 22.9% year over year, and an $8.99 billion 12-month backlog, up 8.8%. Its earnings presentation also identified $633 million of North American locomotive and modernization orders. The question is whether those orders convert to profitable sales; the date is an analytical monitoring horizon, not a company milestone. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] Wabtec Q3 presentation
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology