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WAB

Westinghouse Air BrakeA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 adjusted operating margin rose to 22.9% from 21.0%; Freight services and Transit sales grew, and the larger backlog supports revenue visibility. The raised EPS range leaves room for further earnings growth if conversion and margins hold.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Acquisition integration, project timing and conversion of backlog into cash remain execution risks; Wabtec reported $6.38 billion of total debt and about $0.49 billion of cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at quarter-end. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
Momentum
77
Value
52
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $310.00 · Bull $340.00 · Bear $240.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $331.67
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -12.5
Value52 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +23.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +23.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration, project timing and conversion of backlog into cash remain execution risks; Wabtec reported $6.38 billion of total debt and about $0.49 billion of cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at quarter-end. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
  • • FY2026 revenue guidance midpoint of $12.45 billion remains below the $12.55 billion consensus cited by Investing.com; further sales shortfalls could undermine the EPS-led thesis. https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/wabtec-stock-falls-3-on-revenue-miss-despite-earnings-beat-4962402
  • • The revenue miss, unchanged FY2026 sales range and lower locomotive deliveries temper the EPS beat.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Delivery against raised FY2026 EPS guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.5
Δ21d
-10.6
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+23.7
Δ21d
+17.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 77.4 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 66.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$340.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$310.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$46B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
168.91M
P/E (TTM)
31.5
P/S (TTM)
3.44
P/FCF (TTM)
33.60
Rev YoY
+17.5%
EPS YoY
+18.4%
Gross Margin
+32.2%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$5.14B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data