B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VSAT
ViaSatBNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
ViaSat-3 service entry and growing defense awards could support the stronger second half management expects, while Q1 free cash flow excluding non-recurring items reached $72 million. Q1 shareholder letter
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
What can break
Added satellite capacity may not translate into expected utilization or returns; Viasat identifies performance, delays, regulation and competition as risks. Viasat release
Momentum
26
Value
62
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $88.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-10-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $103.94
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +4.9
Value62 · Δ7d -0.8
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -7.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Added satellite capacity may not translate into expected utilization or returns; Viasat identifies performance, delays, regulation and competition as risks. Viasat release
- • FY2027 guidance requires a material second-half improvement after Q1 revenue fell 1% and adjusted EBITDA fell 7% year over year. Q1 shareholder letter
- • Q1 revenue and adjusted EBITDA declined despite higher awards; fixed broadband, licensing revenue and higher R&D spending were headwinds.
Catalyst clock
2027-03-31
FY2027 second-half growth test
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
-38.4
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.7
Δ21d
-20.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 26.3 / Value 62.3 / Sentiment 54.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$9.15B
Beta
1.46
Shares Out
137.76M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-262.4
P/S (TTM)
1.14
P/FCF (TTM)
35.54
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
-12.0%
Gross Margin
+27.6%
Op Margin
+2.4%
Net Debt
$5.19B
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data