B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$325.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
VMC
Vulcan MaterialsCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.3
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-24.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+78.8
Score
AI commentary
Company-source earnings evidence is positive: Q2 earnings increased year over year, aggregates pricing and unit profitability improved, and management reaffirmed guidance. The post-print market reaction was modestly positive, with the August 3 quote above the July 31 anchor, but no trusted coverage found in the targeted search directly linked the move to results or guidance. Analyst revision evidence remains pre-print rather than post-print, and social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable; confidence remains below that of a fully digested high-coverage earnings thesis.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-03
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-14eventQ2 earnings growth with reaffirmed guidanceMedium impact
Vulcan reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.59 versus $2.45 a year earlier, revenue of $2.156 billion, aggregates cash gross profit per ton of $12.02, and reaffirmed a full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook of $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion. A pre-release MarketBeat estimate of $2.49 EPS and $2.1405 billion revenue implies a modest beat, but the company did not raise guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
2026-08-14catalystConstructive but modest post-print reactionMedium impact
The stock rose from the packet anchor of $268.57 on July 31 to a live August 3 quote of $277.04, approximately 3.2% higher. The reaction is constructive, but no trusted coverage located in the targeted follow-up search attributed the move specifically to earnings or guidance.
2026-12-31catalystAggregates-led portfolio expansionHigh impact
Management highlighted active acquisition and greenfield pipelines. Q2 included a southern Colorado quarry acquisition, a Dallas-Fort Worth rail yard acquisition, and California concrete divestiture, supporting the aggregates-led strategy while leaving execution and capital-allocation risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology