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VINP

Vinci Compass InvestmentsC
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 operating metrics were strong, with record fee-related earnings, a margin above 35%, continued fundraising momentum, and strategic expansion through BACS and Verde integration. The upside case requires these drivers to persist into Q2 and beyond.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Coverage, peer comparability, analyst revisions, options data, short interest, and social evidence are limited or unavailable.
Momentum
80
Value
56
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.10 · Bull $10.70 · Bear $8.10Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.26
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d -
Value56 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Coverage, peer comparability, analyst revisions, options data, short interest, and social evidence are limited or unavailable.
  • • Q2 earnings may disappoint or prompt a negative market reaction; consensus and company guidance data are unavailable.
  • • The deterministic prior remains negative, with modeled returns of -1.54% over five days, -4.41% over 20 days, -7.06% over 60 days, and -9.26% over 120 days.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-31

Recent insider selling may weigh on sentiment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
80
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 80.2 / Value 56.4 / Sentiment 59.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$611.27M
Beta
0.09
Shares Out
65.52M
P/E (TTM)
27.3
P/S (TTM)
4.76
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-53.87
Rev YoY
+30.2%
EPS YoY
-22.5%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+37.4%
Net Debt
-$125.51M
Current Ratio
3.58
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data