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VET

Vermilion EnergyC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained commodity strength, positive reserve revisions, and disciplined capital returns drive cash-flow upside and re-rating toward mid-teens per share.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
What can break
CAD/USD translation effects
Momentum
88
Value
66
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $10.14 · Bull $13.94 · Bear $6.76Analysis 2026-01-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $14.57
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d -1.5
Value66 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -4.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CAD/USD translation effects
  • • Commodity price collapse
  • • Prolonged commodity weakness, reserve impairments, or dividend cuts compress cash flow and force a de-rating toward downside multiples.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-31

Quarterly results and 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
88
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
+8.1
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
49
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
-3.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 87.8 / Value 66.3 / Sentiment 49.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.94
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$10.14
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.76
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.82B
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
152.95M
P/E (TTM)
26.1
P/S (TTM)
1.06
P/FCF (TTM)
7.77
Rev YoY
+17.1%
EPS YoY
-158.0%
Gross Margin
+20.0%
Op Margin
+14.1%
Net Debt
$935.88M
Current Ratio
1.00
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data