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VET

Vermilion EnergyB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained commodity strength, positive reserve revisions, and disciplined capital returns drive cash-flow upside and re-rating toward mid-teens per share.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
CAD/USD translation effects
Momentum
79
Value
65
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $10.14 · Bull $13.94 · Bear $6.76Analysis 2026-01-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $15.65
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +22.1
Value65 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment42 · Δ7d -3.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CAD/USD translation effects
  • • Commodity price collapse
  • • Prolonged commodity weakness, reserve impairments, or dividend cuts compress cash flow and force a de-rating toward downside multiples.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-31

Quarterly results and 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
79
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+22.1
Δ21d
+23.5
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
42
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
-20.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 79.4 / Value 65.5 / Sentiment 41.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.94
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$10.14
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.76
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.13B
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
152.95M
P/E (TTM)
26.1
P/S (TTM)
1.06
P/FCF (TTM)
7.77
Rev YoY
+17.1%
EPS YoY
-158.0%
Gross Margin
+20.0%
Op Margin
+14.1%
Net Debt
$935.88M
Current Ratio
1.00
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data