ULCC

Frontier GroupC

Nasdaq / Transportation

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

Bull case: Successful execution of fleet optimization (sale‑leasebacks) plus unit‑revenue recovery and continued CASM improvements materially boost free cash flow and support re‑rating toward the $8.00 bull target.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.

What can break

Fleet-transaction execution risk (sale-leaseback/returns deviate from plan)

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $5.87 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $4.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $6.67

Why

Momentum94 · Δ7d -3.3

Value33 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment42 · Δ7d +6.7

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-3.3

Δ21d

-3.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

-0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+6.7

Δ21d

+17.7

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 94.1 / Value 33.4 / Sentiment 41.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$1.43B

Beta

2.55

Shares Out

229.79M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-10.3

P/S (TTM)

0.30

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-2.95

Rev YoY

+8.8%

EPS YoY

+526.0%

Gross Margin

-5.4%

Op Margin

-4.1%

Net Debt

$4.79B

Current Ratio

0.49

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology