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UFPT

UFPF
Nasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
UFPT remains a differentiated medtech CDMO with about 92% of revenue tied to MedTech, 26 of the top 30 medical OEMs as customers, and visible capacity/program expansion in robotic surgery and safe patient handling; if 2026 ramps convert into better organic growth and margin recovery, the current price can look too low versus the packet’s median target data point.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.
What can break
CEO transition on June 4, 2026 could create short-term uncertainty even with planned continuity.
Momentum
51
Value
54
Sentiment
29
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $198.00 · Bull $235.00 · Bear $160.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-17

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-17. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $355.00
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d -33.3
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment29 · Δ7d -1.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • CEO transition on June 4, 2026 could create short-term uncertainty even with planned continuity.
  • Customer concentration, including dependence on the largest customer and contract volume assumptions [#10-K-2026-02-27].
  • The company still carries meaningful customer concentration, recent growth leaned heavily on acquisitions, 2025 organic growth was only about 1.5%, and execution issues at AJR plus leadership transition risk make it hard to underwrite a clean re-acceleration today [#10-K-2026-02-27].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-06

Q1 2026 print must confirm that 2025 execution drags are fading

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
51
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-33.3
Δ21d
-43.0
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
29
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+6.7
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 50.9 / Value 54.2 / Sentiment 29.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$198.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.49B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
7.75M
P/E (TTM)
27.6
P/S (TTM)
3.06
P/FCF (TTM)
20.93
Rev YoY
+15.1%
EPS YoY
+21.1%
Gross Margin
+28.5%
Op Margin
+15.2%
Net Debt
$134.18M
Current Ratio
3.00
As of 2026-09-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data