RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

TZOO

TravelzooA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Growing Club Member renewals and deferred fee recognition could turn upfront acquisition spending into more recurring revenue and stronger margins. Management expects Q3 year-over-year revenue growth [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
What can break
A September 28 Form 4 records a 200,000-share CEO disposition; the filing alone does not establish its motive or operating significance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-30].
Momentum
87
Value
53
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.50 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $3.30Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.88
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -
Value53 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A September 28 Form 4 records a 200,000-share CEO disposition; the filing alone does not establish its motive or operating significance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-30].
  • • June 30 cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash were $7.6 million after negative Q2 operating cash flow [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • Q2 revenue declined, every segment was affected by travel and advertiser uncertainty, and operating and cash-flow losses make the payoff from membership investment uncertain [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Q3 revenue growth must validate membership investment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 87.0 / Value 52.8 / Sentiment 63.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$51.73M
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
10.2M
P/E (TTM)
11.0
P/S (TTM)
0.86
P/FCF (TTM)
6.48
Rev YoY
-2.9%
EPS YoY
-269.8%
Gross Margin
+76.3%
Op Margin
+1.9%
Net Debt
-$4.01M
Current Ratio
0.64
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data