TWO
Two Harbors InvestmentCDocument history
Earnings documents stored for TWO.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-03Two Harbors Investments Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Two Harbors Investments Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Two Harbors agreed to an amended all‑cash merger with CrossCountry Mortgage at $11.30 per share; the board unanimously recommends the deal over competing bids, a special shareholder vote is set for May 19, and the transaction is expected to close in H2 2026 with no financing condition. The company reported a Q1 economic return of -2.0%, book value fell to $10.57 and it recorded a $24.7 million comprehensive loss as mark‑to‑market losses on agency RMBS/TBAs from higher rates and wider spreads outweighed some hedging gains. Management said wider mortgage spreads late in the quarter improved the portfolio’s return potential; portfolio size was $11.9 billion, economic debt‑to‑equity was 6.4x, and sensitivity to a 25 bp spread tightening fell to 3.2%. Interested in Two Harbors Investments Corp? Here are five stocks we like better. Two Harbors Investments (NYSE:TWO) reported a first-quarter 2026 economic return of negative 2.0% as mortgage markets shifted from a strong start to weaker performance later in the period amid rising volatility and geopolitical uncertainty. Management also spent significant time discussing an amended merger agreement under which CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM) would acquire the company for $11.30 per share in cash. In opening remarks, President and CEO Bill Greenberg addressed the company’s change in merger plans from the transaction announced in December. He said Two Harbors received an unsolicited all-cash proposal from CrossCountry Mortgage in March and that the board “unanimously determined that the CrossCountry proposal was superior and in the best interest of shareholders.” → Bloom Energy May Be Solving AI’s Biggest Power Problem Greenberg said Two Harbors executed a new merger agreement with CCM on March 27, 2026, under which CCM agreed to acquire Two Harbors for $10.80 per share in cash, and Two Harbors terminated its prior merger agreement with UWM. He added that the company announced an amendment to the CCM agreement that increases the consideration to $11.30 per share, following the board’s review of an unsolicited competing proposal received April 20, 2026 from UWMC. After evaluating “terms, proposed financing, regulatory path, deal certainty and other factors,” Greenberg said the board determined the CCM transaction, as amended, “continues to be in the best interests” of stockholders. He said the combination would pair “the cou...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-29TWO Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Business Wire
TWO Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Executed New Definitive Merger Agreement with CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC NEW YORK, April 28, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--TWO (Two Harbors Investment Corp., NYSE: TWO), an MSR-focused real estate investment trust (REIT), today announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Quarterly Summary Entered into a definitive merger agreement with CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC ("CrossCountry" or "CCM"), pursuant to which CCM will acquire all of the outstanding shares of TWO common stock. In connection with entering into the merger agreement with CCM, TWO terminated its previously announced merger agreement, dated December 17, 2025, with UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE: UWMC). On April 28, 2026, announced the signing of an amendment to the previously announced merger agreement, whereby CCM will increase the per-share cash consideration payable to TWO stockholders to $11.30 per share, an increase from $10.80 per share under the original merger agreement. Holders of TWO’s Series A, Series B and Series C Preferred Stock will have their shares redeemed following the closing of the transaction at $25.00 per share, plus any accumulated and unpaid dividends, in accordance with the terms of the preferred stock. Prior to the closing of the merger, TWO intends to pay regular quarterly dividends in the ordinary course consistent with past practice for all completed quarterly periods. TWO does not intend to pay a partial dividend for the quarter in which the closing occurs in the event the closing does not occur as of quarter-end. The transaction is still expected to close in the second half of 2026, subject to approval of TWO’s stockholders and the satisfaction of other closing conditions, including customary regulatory approvals. Reported book value of $10.57 per common share, and declared a first quarter common stock dividend of $0.34 per share, representing a (2.0)% quarterly economic return on book value.(1) Generated comprehensive loss of $(24.7) million, or $(0.24) per weighted average basic common share. Convertible senior notes of $261.9 million in UPB were repaid in full on their January 15, 2026 maturity date Added $151.8 million in unpaid principal balance (UPB) of MSR through flow-sale acquisitions and recapture. As of March 31, 2026, MSR portfolio had a weighted average gross coupon rate of 3.54% and a 60+ day delinquency rate of 0.81%, and had experienc...
TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-04-29FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 52 paragraphs
FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript
Good morning. My name is Jennifer, and I will be your conference facilitator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to Two's first quarter 2026 earnings call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer period. I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Maggie Karr.
Good morning, everyone, welcome to our call to discuss Two's first quarter 2026 financial results. With me on the call this morning are Bill Greenberg, our President and Chief Executive Officer, Nick Letica, our Chief Investment Officer, and William Dellal, our Chief Financial Officer. The earnings press release and presentation associated with today's call have been filed with the SEC and are available on the SEC's website as well as the investor relations page of our website at twoinv.com. In our earnings release and presentation, we have provided reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures. We urge you to review this information in conjunction with today's call. As a reminder, our comments today will include forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause our results to differ materially from expectations.
These are described on page two of the presentation and in our Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. Except as may be required by law, Two does not update forward-looking statements and disclaims any obligation to do so. I will now turn the call over to Bill.
Thank you, Maggie. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our first quarter earnings call. I'd like to begin by addressing the recent developments regarding the merger plans that we initially disclosed last December. As we describe in detail in our proxy statement, in March, we received an unsolicited all-cash proposal from CrossCountry Mortgage. After careful consideration and in coordination with our financial and legal advisors, our board unanimously determined that the CrossCountry proposal was superior and in the best interest of shareholders. On March 27th, 2026, we executed a new merger agreement with CrossCountry, pursuant to which CrossCountry agreed to acquire Two Harbors for $10.80 per share in cash. In connection with entering into this agreement, we terminated the prior merger agreement with UWM. Yesterday, we announced that we signed an amendment to the new merger agreement with CCM.
Under the terms of the amended agreement, CCM will increase the per share cash consideration payable to Two Harbors stockholders to $11.30 per share, an increase from $10.80 per share under the original merger agreement. The amended agreement follows our board's thorough evaluation of an unsolicited competing proposal received on April 20th, 2026 from UWMC. After consulting with our financial and legal advisors, including assessment of the competing proposal's terms, proposed financing, regulatory path, deal certainty and other factors, the Two Harbors board determined that the CCM transaction, as amended, continues to be in the best interests of Two Harbors and its stockholders. The business combination with CCM pairs the country's leading retail originator with RoundPoint's best-in-class servicing platform, creating a fully integrated mortgage company.
We are confident that this merger is in the best interest of shareholders, allowing them to receive the certainty of cash and reinvest the proceeds in a manner that best suits them. The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2026 and is not subject to any financing condition. Prior to closing, we intend to continue paying regular quarterly dividends, but not stub dividends, consistent with past practice. We will hold a special meeting to approve the CrossCountry merger on May 19th at 10:00 A.M. Eastern Time. If you have already submitted your vote in favor of the CCM merger, your vote remains valid. If you have not yet voted or if you previously voted only on the terminated UWM transaction, please submit your vote as soon as possible. Your vote is very important.
Our board unanimously recommends that all shareholders vote in favor of the transaction with CrossCountry. Let's turn to our quarterly results as summarized on slide three. At the start of the quarter, RMBS performance was buoyed by the continued decline of implied volatility and the announcement on January 8th by the FHFA director instructing the GSEs to purchase $200 billion of agency MBS in an effort to explicitly tighten mortgage spreads as part of a larger effort to lower mortgage rates. Mostly as a result of the outbreak of the Middle East conflict, the performance of risk assets, including RMBS, deteriorated over the balance of the quarter. Amid this backdrop, for the first quarter, we had a total economic return of negative 2.0%. Please turn to slide four.
Forecasts for inflation and economic growth became more uncertain as the quarter unfolded, and as a result, the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at their February and March meetings. As you can see in Figure 1, market expectations for the Fed's effective rate at 2026 year-end rose from 3.06% on December 31st to 3.57% at quarter end, essentially wiping away any prospects of Fed cuts in 2026. Economic statistics over the quarter were mixed, punctuated by a weaker than anticipated employment report on March 6th, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly rising to 4.4%. Normally, such an outcome would likely result in a bull steepener, with short rates falling more than long rates.
In this instance, rekindled concerns over inflation, both from continued elevation of core PCE inflation and from the oil price shock, were strong enough that rates did the opposite, rising into the end of the quarter. You can see in Figure 2, the U.S. Treasury yield curve bear flattens with two-year yields rising 32 basis points to 3.79%, while 10-year yields increase 15 basis points to 4.32%. The Fed's median forecast, released in March, continued to price in 125 basis point cut in 2026. Though forecasts for core PCE inflation increased from 2.5% to 2.7%, which Chairman Powell said partly reflected incoming inflation news since the last report. Please turn to slide five. Our DTC platform has made excellent progress since we began making our first loan in June of 2024.
In the first quarter, we funded $92 million in first and second liens, about the same as in the fourth quarter, despite rising interest rates. We also brokered $38 million in second liens. At quarter end, we had an additional $57 million in our pipeline. These are still small numbers, which to some extent are expected given the low note rate nature of our servicing portfolio. We believe the upcoming combination with CrossCountry should bring the origination efforts to a new level, and we expect that our recapture efforts should improve substantially, benefiting our servicing customers. I'd like to hand the call over to William to discuss our financial results.
Thank you, Bill. Please turn to slide six. Our book value decreased to $10.57 per share at March 31st, compared to $11.13 per share at December 31st. Including the $0.34 common stock dividend, this resulted in a negative 2% quarterly economic return. Please turn to slide seven. The company incurred a comprehensive loss of $24.7 million or $0.24 per share. Net interest and servicing income, which is a sum of GAAP net interest expense and net servicing income before operating costs, decreased as a result of lower float earnings rates and lower balances due to MSR sales and seasonals, as well as lower servicing fee collections on lower UPB, partially offset by lower financing rates.
Mark-to-market losses on Agency RMBS and TBAs were due to higher interest rates and wider spreads in the first quarter versus gains in the fourth quarter, driven by both steepening and rates. The decrease in mark-to-market losses on MSR was driven by a slight favorable change in valuation inputs and assumptions used in the fair valuation of MSR versus an unfavorable change in Q4, as well as lower portfolio runoff on lower MSR balances as a result of sales and lower experienced prepayment speeds. Other derivative instruments utilized for purposes of hedging or interest rate exposure, including swaps, futures, and Inverse Interest-Only Securities, experienced net mark-to-market gains in Q1 versus net losses in Q4. You can see the individual components of net interest and servicing income and mark-to-market gains and losses on appendix slide 20. Please turn to slide eight.
On the left-hand side of the slide, you can see a breakdown of our balance sheet at quarter end. We ended the quarter with over $500 million of cash on the balance sheet. As we said on our last earnings call, we repaid our Convertible Senior Notes of $261.9 million in full on their January 15, 2026 maturity date. RMBS funding markets remained stable and available throughout the quarter, with repurchase spreads at around SOFR plus 15 basis points to 18 basis points. At quarter end, our weighted average days to maturity for our Agency RMBS repo was 71 days. We finance our MSR, including the MSR asset and related servicing advance obligations across five lenders, with $1.5 billion of outstanding borrowings under bilateral facilities.
We ended the quarter with a total of $977 million in unused MSR asset financing capacity. We have $69 million drawn on our servicing advances facility with an additional $81 million of available capacity. I'll now turn the call over to Nick.
Thank you, William. Please turn to slide nine. In his opening comments, Bill discussed the up-down nature of mortgage performance over the quarter. Ultimately, risk sentiment took an abrupt negative shift in late February with the onset of hostilities in the Middle East, leading to wider spreads for RMBS. Though mortgage spreads widened, they outperformed the increase in volatility due to favorable supply-demand technicals aided by the administration's explicit support of the mortgage basis. At quarter end, and even today, the situation in the Middle East is highly fluid with a broad range of outcomes. For the near term, geopolitical tensions will remain the primary driver of market sentiment and economic outlook. That said, the widening of spreads by quarter end made performance outcomes more balanced and improved the return potential of our portfolio.
At March 31st, the portfolio was $11.9 billion, including $8.9 billion in settled positions and $3 billion in TBAs. Our primary risk metrics quarter-over-quarter were not much different. Our economic debt to equity was lower at 6.4x, while our portfolio sensitivity to a 25 basis point spread tightening decreased slightly from 3.7% to 3.2%. Throughout the quarter, given the elevated level of macro volatility, we kept interest rate risks low in aggregate and across the curve. You can see more details on our risk exposures on appendix slide 17. Please turn to slide 10. As previously discussed, January was an excellent month for mortgage performance, with the Bloomberg US MBS Index delivering 52 basis points of excess return, its best month in over a year.
Implied volatility, as measured by two-year options on 10-year swap rates, fell to 73 basis points on January 27th, its lowest level since October 2021. Spreads ratcheted tighter after the January 8th announcement directing the GSEs to buy MBS, adding to what was already a constructive supply-demand picture, with money managers enjoying consistent inflows of capital, banks driving CMO demand through floater purchases, and REITs raising capital in the equity markets. Current coupon spreads reached quarterly tights on January 12th, with nominal and option-adjusted spreads tightening by 10 basis points to 15 basis points from the beginning of the quarter. In response, we lowered our mortgage exposure given historically tight Treasury spreads, mostly by selling 4.5% specified pools and 5% TBAs.
However, over the course of February and March, driven predominantly by the start of the conflict and the attendant increase in realized and implied volatility and the flattening of the yield curve, performance deteriorated. As you can see in Figure 1, implied volatility on two-year, 10-year swap options finished the quarter up 5 basis points nominally to 85 basis points. Current coupon spreads versus swaps on a nominal and option-adjusted basis widened by 26 basis points and 15 basis points, finishing the quarter at 141 basis points and 60 basis points, respectively. With mortgage spreads cheaper, we reversed course and managed our spread exposure higher by quarter end, simultaneously adding some 5.5% specified pools.
As you can see in Figure 2, the spread curve, both nominally and risk adjusted, steepened over the quarter with lower coupons close to unchanged while 4.5% And higher coupons widened. Peak spreads were in the 5.5% to 6% coupons. Please turn to slide 11 to review our Agency RMBS portfolio. Figure 1 shows the performance of TBAs and specified pools we owned throughout this quarter. Hedge performance versus swaps across the coupon stack was mixed, with some belly coupons and higher coupon specified pools eking out a positive return. While the performance for most of the stack between 4.5% And 6% was negative. Hedge performance versus Treasuries was better as longer-end swap spreads tightened over the quarter.
Even so, the Bloomberg US MBS Index, in which performance is measured against Treasuries, had an excess cumulative return of -36 basis points over February and March. Thirty-year mortgage rates finished up about 25 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 6.5%, though they touched 6% in both January and February, allowing savvy and fast-acting borrowers to find the best rates in years. Prepayment rates for refinanceable loans jumped higher in March, reacting to the multiyear lows in mortgage rates. Though absolute prepayment rates for refinanceable coupons reached similar levels as observed in October 2025, they were actually more benign after adjusting for rate incentives. The prepayment S-curve was not as reactive as it had been in the fourth quarter when the media effect was more elevated.
With prepayment rates on higher coupon TBAs remaining fast, the call protection offered by our carefully selected specified pools was evident, as can be seen in Figure 2, which shows TBAs versus the specified pools we own by coupon. For five and a half coupons and higher, our specified pools paid at a fraction of TBA speeds. On aggregate, pool speeds increased to 9.8% from 8.6% CPR quarter-over-quarter, mostly driven by increases in speeds from these higher coupons. Please turn to slide 12. Activity and demand for MSR in the first quarter remained high, with servicing transfers topping 93 billion UPB, outpacing Q1 2025, though below the prior two quarters. We continue to see most of the supply coming from non-bank originators with a broader array of buyer types, which include other non-bank originators, banks, and REITs.
Figure 2 shows that with mortgage rates at their current level of around 6.5%, the share of our MSR portfolio that is considered in the money drops to 1%. If mortgage rates were to drop to around 5%, the portion of our portfolio in the money would rise to about 9%. The housing market remains slow and persistent inventory shortages in many markets is expected to continue to put upward pressure on prices. That said, there are pockets of weakness in southern markets with builders continuing to offer buydowns to move inventory. Housing affordability, which had been improving since mid-2025, is likely to reverse given the rise in mortgage rates.
On a broad basis, we anticipate home prices to rise in the single digits annualized, and for housing turnover to continue to trend about 5% higher year-on-year, especially as primary rates today are lower than a year ago at this time. Please turn to slide 13, where we will discuss our MSR portfolio. Figure 1 is an overview of our portfolio at quarter end, further details of which can be found on appendix slide 23. In the first quarter, we added 152 million UPB of MSR through flow sale and recapture channels. Given the increase in mortgage rates and wider RMBS spreads, the price multiple of our MSR increased slightly quarter-over-quarter to 5.9x. 60+ day delinquencies remained low at under 1%. Figure 2 compares CPRs across those implied security coupons in our portfolio of MSR versus TBAs.
Quarter-over-quarter, our MSR portfolio experienced a decrease in prepayment rates to 5.6% CPR, reflecting lower housing turnover that is typical in the winter months. Importantly, prepays have remained below our projections for the majority of our portfolio, which has been a positive tailwind for returns. Finally, please turn to slide 14, our return potential and outlook slide, which is a forward-looking projection of our expected portfolio returns. We estimate that about 65% of our capital is allocated to servicing with a static return projection of 11%-14%. The remaining capital is allocated to securities with a static return estimate of 11%-15%.
With our portfolio allocation shown in the top half of the table and after expenses, the static return estimate for our portfolio would be between 8% to 11.4% before applying any capital structural leverage to the portfolio. After giving effect to our unsecured notes and preferred stock, we believe that the potential static return on common equity falls in the range of 7.3%-12.9% or a prospective quarterly static return per share of $0.19-$0.34. Looking ahead, the situation in the Middle East remains highly fluid. The economic disruptions caused by this conflict are inherently hard to gauge. While technical factors in the RMBS market are a positive for the sector, the outlook for interest rate volatility is less certain.
It's worth noting that while there was a substantial increase in volatility off the quarterly lows in Q1, volatility for much of the term structure only went back to levels last seen in Q4 2025. Relative to that timeframe, current coupon spreads finished the quarter slightly tighter than they were then, which reflects the explicit support the sector has received from the administration. In addition to demand from the GSEs, the latest proposals for the Basel III Endgame could provide a lift as banks should have more capital to use to purchase MBS and hold mortgage loans, which could reduce securitization rates and RMBS supply. In total, RMBS hedged with swaps possesses good nominal yield with a balanced performance profile, albeit with a key dependency on the direction of volatility. The MSR market remains very well supported with a broad range of buyers.
We favor the portfolio construction of pairing MSR with RMBS, which we expect will deliver attractive returns over a wide range of market outcomes. Thank you very much for joining us today. Now we will be happy to take any questions you might have.
Thank you. If you are dialed in via the telephone and would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal through to our equipment. Again, press star one to ask a question. We will pause for just a moment. We will go first to Doug Harter with BTIG.
Thanks. Just talking about, you know, kind of the book value performance in the quarter. You know, hoping you could help break that down between the two strategies and kind of how MSR performed and how kind of the hedged Agency would have performed, you know, just as we think about those components.
Hey, Doug, this is Nick. Thank you for that question. It's been a very good one. Over the quarter, we saw our MSR, hedged MSR strategy, perform extremely well over the quarter. That was a positive. The hedged securities part of the portfolio was an offset to that. I think, you know, over the quarter there was a fair amount big pickup in both in realized and implied volatility. You know, convexity hedging costs over the quarter, you know, were definitely a pickup from the prior quarter.
If you look at the, anecdotally, if you just look at the, you know, basis points traveled or the range that the market traded in in terms of, you know, the 10-year, you definitely would see, you know, a pickup that would make sense in that context. It was a better quarter for hedged MSR versus hedged securities. The one thing I will say is, you know, in terms of like, you know, relative performance among the REITs, and I saw the comment you made in your, in your note about us last night. You know, I would say there are two things. First of all, you know, we have generally a higher expense base.
When you actually I think if you looked at the portfolio in isolation relative to other REIT portfolios, I think on a comparative basis, it'd probably look pretty favorable. The expense, a higher expense base because of our servicing business, is an offset to that relative to some peers. The other part of it is that, you know, unlike other peers that had raised equity over the quarter and had some accretion, owing to the fact they're trading over book value and some of that adds to their performance. I think with those adjustments, I think that the portfolio performance would actually look relatively favorable, if that makes sense.
That does. I appreciate that clarity, Nick. Thank you.
Of course.
Thanks, Doug. Congratulations on the new role.
We'll go next to Bose George with KBW.
Thank you. Hey, guys. Good morning. Can we get an update on your book value quarter to date?
Hey, Bose, this is Nick. We're up about 2%.
Okay, great. Thanks. You know, not sure if you can answer this, but in terms of the merger, is the situation with UWM over or does that remain kind of live until the shareholder vote?
Well, as we disclosed last night, you know, we executed a revised merger agreement with CCM, right? We're working through the process in terms of getting that merger to completion. There is a shareholder vote which is scheduled for May 19th. We're excited about that transaction, and we're focused on doing everything we can in order to bring that to completion.
Okay, great. Yeah, okay, no, I guess that's good. I was just curious. There's still room for bids until the vote happens. Is that a fair statement?
The merger agreement's very, very prescribed and lays out the details and the circumstances for how someone should do that if they were so interested.
Okay, great. Thanks a lot.
Thank you.
We'll take our next question from Jason Weaver with JonesTrading.
Hey, good morning, guys. This is Val Alvar here filling in for Jason Weaver. Just had a quick one for you. Can you walk us through the financing package supporting the $11.30 cash consideration, whether it's debt sponsored, private equity, internal cash? Also whether the merger agreement contains a financing condition or a market MAC carve-out tied to book value per share, mortgage spreads, or like rate volatility at close? Thanks.
Yeah. Thanks for the question. I appreciate it. As you might expect, you know, everything that that is disclosable has been disclosed in the merger agreement, which is filed publicly. I would refer you to that document to answer some of your questions.
Okay, great. That's good. Thank you. Appreciate it.
Yeah. Thank you.
At this time, there are no further questions. I'll turn the call back to the speakers for any additional or closing remarks.
I'd like to thank everyone for joining us today. As always, thank you for your interest in Two Harbors.
This does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-16TWO Announces Earnings Release and Conference Call for First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Business Wire
TWO Announces Earnings Release and Conference Call for First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
NEW YORK, April 15, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--TWO (Two Harbors Investment Corp, NYSE: TWO), an MSR-focused REIT, announced today that it will release financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 after market close on April 28, 2026. The company will host a conference call and live webcast to review the financial results on April 29, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. ET. Webcast Details The conference call will be webcast live and accessible online in the News & Events section of the company’s website at www.twoinv.com. For those unable to attend, a replay of the webcast will be available on the company’s website approximately four hours after the live call ends. Teleconference Details To participate in the call via teleconference, please call toll-free (800) 330-6710 approximately 10 minutes prior to the above start time and provide the Conference Code 1691055. About TWO TWO (Two Harbors Investment Corp., NYSE: TWO), a Maryland corporation, is a real estate investment trust that invests in mortgage servicing rights, residential mortgage-backed securities and other financial assets. TWO is headquartered in St. Louis Park, MN. Additional Information Stockholders of TWO and other interested persons may find additional information regarding the company at www.twoinv.com, at the Securities and Exchange Commission’s internet site at www.sec.gov or by directing requests to: TWO, 1601 Utica Avenue South, Suite 900, St. Louis Park, MN 55416, (612) 453-4100. View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260415613185/en/ Contacts Margaret Karr, Head of Investor Relations, TWO, (612) 453-4080, [email protected]
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-20TWO Announces First Quarter 2026 Common and Preferred Stock Dividends
Business Wire
TWO Announces First Quarter 2026 Common and Preferred Stock Dividends
NEW YORK, March 19, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--TWO (Two Harbors Investment Corp, NYSE: TWO), an MSR-focused REIT, today declared a dividend of $0.34 per share of common stock for the first quarter of 2026. The first quarter dividend is payable on April 15, 2026 to common stockholders of record at the close of business on April 2, 2026. The common stock dividend is a function of several factors, including sustainability, earnings and return potential of the portfolio, taxable income, impact to book value and the market environment. As previously disclosed, TWO has entered into a merger agreement with UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) pursuant to which UWMC will acquire TWO in an all-stock transaction, which is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026. Prior to the closing of the merger, TWO intends to pay regular quarterly dividends in the ordinary course consistent with past practice for all completed quarterly periods. TWO does not intend to pay a partial dividend for the quarter in which the closing occurs in the event the closing does not occur as of quarter-end. TWO also declared today the following preferred stock dividends for the first quarter of 2026: The Series A, Series B and Series C preferred dividends are payable on April 27, 2026 to the applicable preferred stockholders of record at the close of business on April 10, 2026. About TWO TWO (Two Harbors Investment Corp., NYSE: TWO), a Maryland corporation, is a real estate investment trust that invests in mortgage servicing rights, residential mortgage-backed securities and other financial assets. TWO is headquartered in St. Louis Park, MN. Additional Information Stockholders of TWO and other interested persons may find additional information regarding the company at www.twoinv.com, at the Securities and Exchange Commission’s internet site at www.sec.gov or by directing requests to: TWO, 1601 Utica Avenue South, Suite 900, St. Louis Park, MN 55416, (612) 453-4100. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This press release may contain "forward-looking statements," including certain plans, expectations, goals, projections and statements about the benefits and synergies of the proposed UWMC transaction; pro forma descriptions of the combined company and its operations, integration and transition plans, synergies and anticipated future performance; future opportunities for the combined company; TWO’s and UWMC’s pl...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-11UWM reports $49.6B quarterly originations, highest since 2021
GuruFocus.com
UWM reports $49.6B quarterly originations, highest since 2021
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. UWM Holdings (NYSE:UWMC) signaled a pickup in mortgage activity after reporting fourth-quarter loan origination volume of $49.6 billion, marking its highest quarterly level since 2021. CEO Mat Ishbia said the performance suggests the company's core business fundamentals remain strong, with UWM continuing to originate roughly 12% of all refinance loans while maintaining its position as the largest originator of purchase loans in the United States. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 8 Warning Signs with UWMC. Is UWMC fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Looking ahead, the company indicated that even without the transaction involving Two Harbors (NYSE:TWO), first-quarter 2026 total revenue could land between $800 million and $900 million. UWM also projected that fiscal-year 2026 revenue may reach between $3.5 billion and $4.5 billion, reflecting expectations that lending activity and related services could remain supportive through the year. Ishbia also highlighted the company's technology initiatives, noting that Mia, UWM's voice-enabled AI assistant, is expected to handle more than 12 million inbound and outbound calls this year. Management said the company may already be ahead of pace to reach an annualized nine-figure revenue run rate from newer products and services such as TRAC+ and PA+, which are part of investments made in people and technology over the past three years.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-10UWM Issues Q1, Fiscal 2026 Revenue Guidance
MT Newswires
UWM Issues Q1, Fiscal 2026 Revenue Guidance
UWM Holdings (UWMC) said late Monday it expects Q1 revenue to range from $800 million to $900 millio
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-04Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Merger and ...
GuruFocus.com
Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Merger and ...
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Total Economic Return (Q4 2025): Positive 3.9%. Total Economic Return (Full Year 2025): Negative 12.6%; Positive 12.1% excluding litigation settlement expense. Book Value (Dec 31, 2025): $11.13 per share, up from $11.04 per share on Sep 30, 2025. Comprehensive Income (Q4 2025): $50.4 million or $0.48 per share. Cash on Balance Sheet (Dec 31, 2025): Over $800 million. MSR Portfolio Size (Pro Forma): $400 billion after merger with UWM. MSR Sales (Q4 2025): Additional $10 billion UPB sold, increasing third-party subservicing to $40 billion. Owned Servicing (Dec 31, 2025): Reduced to approximately $162 billion from $176 billion in the prior quarter. DTC Platform Funding (Q4 2025): $94 million in first and second liens, a 90% increase from Q3 2025. Net Interest and Servicing Income: Decreased due to MSR sales and lower float income. Portfolio Size (Dec 31, 2025): $13.2 billion, including $9 billion in settled positions and $4.2 billion in TBAs. Economic Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Slightly lower at 7 times. Unused MSR Asset Financing Capacity (Dec 31, 2025): $1.1 billion. Servicing Advances Facility (Dec 31, 2025): $71.5 million drawn with $78.5 million available capacity. Static Return Estimate on Common Equity: 5.8% to 11.1%. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with TWO. Is TWO fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: February 03, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Two Harbors Investment Corp (NYSE:TWO) announced a merger with United Wholesale Mortgage, which is expected to double the size of their MSR portfolio to a pro forma $400 billion. The company generated a positive 3.9% total economic return for the fourth quarter of 2025. The merger is anticipated to create a powerful strategic alignment, positioning the combined company for accelerated growth and enhanced outcomes. Two Harbors Investment Corp (NYSE:TWO) reported a book value increase to $11.13 per share at the end of December 2025. The company's Direct-to-Consumer lending platform had a record quarter, funding $94 million in first and second liens, a 90% increase from the third quarter. For the full calendar year 2025, Two Harbors Investment Corp (NYSE:TWO) generated a total economic return on book value of negative 12.6%, though this was impacted by...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-04Two Harbors Investments Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
MarketBeat
Two Harbors Investments Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
The planned merger with United Wholesale Mortgage is being pitched as a scale play that would pair Two Harbors with the “number one mortgage originator” and roughly double its MSR portfolio to a pro forma $400 billion. Two Harbors delivered a fourth‑quarter total economic return of +3.9% and book value of $11.13 per share, while full‑year 2025 return was -12.6% (would be +12.1% excluding a $3.60 per‑share litigation charge). The firm exited the quarter with robust liquidity and a more defensive stance: over $800 million cash, full repayment of $261.9 million of convertible notes, a $13.2 billion portfolio, about 7x economic debt‑to‑equity, and reduced leverage amid tighter mortgage spreads. Interested in Two Harbors Investments Corp? Here are five stocks we like better. Two Harbors Investments (NYSE:TWO) reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that management said reflected solid portfolio performance, alongside a strategic update centered on its recently announced merger with United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM). Executives described the transaction as a culmination of the company’s long-running effort to build a scaled mortgage servicing rights (MSR) platform supported by origination and servicing capabilities. President and CEO Bill Greenberg said the merger with UWM is intended to address a shift in the mortgage finance landscape in 2025, where management believes scale has become “more important than ever.” Greenberg reviewed Two Harbors’ evolution in MSR investing, including obtaining GSE approvals and state licenses and buying its first MSR pool in 2013, then bringing servicing in-house through the 2023 acquisition of RoundPoint. He said the company added a direct-to-consumer (DTC) lending platform in 2024 to improve recapture, but concluded that origination needed to be “much, much bigger” to compete effectively. → The New Defense Prime: Ondas Buys the Kill Chain According to Greenberg, the merger would pair Two Harbors with what he called the “number one mortgage originator in the country” and would double the size of the MSR portfolio to a pro forma $400 billion. Greenberg added that UWM would benefit from Two Harbors’ capital markets and asset management experience, while also leveraging RoundPoint’s servicing platform. Management also addressed investor questions about whether Two Harbors might liquidate its securities portfolio after the merger. Greenbe...
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-03Two Harbors Investment Reports Q4 Non-GAAP Earnings
MT Newswires
Two Harbors Investment Reports Q4 Non-GAAP Earnings
Two Harbors Investment (TWO) reported Q4 non-GAAP earnings late Monday of $0.26 per diluted share.
Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-02-03TWO Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Business Wire
TWO Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Announced Definitive Merger Agreement with UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) NEW YORK, February 02, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--TWO (Two Harbors Investment Corp., NYSE: TWO), an MSR-focused real estate investment trust (REIT), today announced its financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. Quarterly Summary Entered into a definitive merger agreement with UWMC pursuant to which UWMC will acquire TWO in an all-stock transaction. TWO stockholders will receive a fixed exchange ratio of 2.3328 shares of UWMC Class A Common Stock for each share of TWO common stock. This represents an $11.94 per share value based on UWMC’s closing price as of December 16, 2025, and a premium of 21% the volume weighted average price of TWO’s common stock for the 30 days ending December 16, 2025. The all-stock transaction is intended to be tax-free to TWO’s stockholders. Prior to the closing of the merger, TWO intends to pay regular quarterly dividends in the ordinary course consistent with past practice for all completed quarterly periods. TWO does not intend to pay a partial dividend for the quarter in which the closing occurs in the event the closing does not occur as of quarter-end. TWO preferred stock will be converted into equivalent shares of UWMC preferred stock. The transaction is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, subject to approval of TWO’s stockholders and the satisfaction of other closing conditions, including customary regulatory approvals. Reported book value of $11.13 per common share, and declared a fourth quarter common stock dividend of $0.34 per share, representing a 3.9% quarterly economic return on book value.(1) Generated comprehensive income of $50.4 million, or $0.48 per weighted average basic common share. Added $399.1 million in unpaid principal balance (UPB) of MSR through flow-sale acquisitions and recapture, and sold $9.6 billion MSR UPB on a subservicing-retained basis. As of December 31, 2025, MSR portfolio had a weighted average gross coupon rate of 3.55% and a 60+ day delinquency rate of 0.87%, and had experienced a 3-month CPR of 6.4%. Funded $93.8 million UPB in loans and brokered an additional $58.5 million UPB in second lien loans. Annual Summary Declared dividends of $1.52 per common share. Generated a (12.6)% economic return on book value.(1) Excluding the $375 million settlement expense to resolve litigation with the com...
TranscriptFY2025 Q42026-02-03FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript
Earnings source - 50 paragraphs
FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript
Good morning. My name is Ruth, and I will be your conference facilitator. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Two Harbors Investment Corp.'s Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results Call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer period. I would now like to turn the call over to Margaret Field Karr.
Good morning, everyone. And welcome to our call to discuss Two Harbors Investment Corp.'s Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results. With me on the call this morning are William Ross Greenberg, our President and Chief Executive Officer, Nicholas Letica, our Chief Investment Officer, and William Dellal, our Chief Financial Officer. The earnings press release and presentation associated with today's call have been filed with the SEC and are available on the SEC's website as well as the Investor Relations page of our website at 2inv.com. In our earnings release and presentation, we have provided reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures, and we urge you to review this information in conjunction with today's call. As a reminder, our comments today will include forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause our results to differ materially from expectations. These are described on page two of the presentation and in our Form 10-Ks and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. Except as may be required by law, Two Harbors Investment Corp. does not update forward-looking statements and disclaims any obligation to do so. I will now turn the call over to William Ross Greenberg.
Thank you, Maggie. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our fourth quarter earnings call. I'm very excited to be able to speak to you all publicly for the first time about our recently announced merger with United Wholesale Mortgage. The rationale for this transaction should be familiar to most mortgage market participants and observers and was especially fitting given our own history as a company. So let me take a step back and describe why I say that. We are one of the first, if not the first, mortgage REIT to invest in MSR as part of our asset mix. Obtaining our GSE approvals and state licenses to own and manage MSR and then buying our first pool in 2013. We started out using third-party subservicers to service the assets. As our servicing portfolio grew to a certain scale, it became clear to us that we can extract even more value from the asset and increase returns by bringing the servicing in-house. Which we did in 2023 through our acquisition of Roundpoint. The last several years, really post-COVID, have highlighted the need for investors to be able to protect their MSR portfolio by providing recapture capabilities. Hence, we spun up a direct-to-consumer lending platform in 2024. However, in 2025, the mortgage finance landscape shifted again, scale becoming more important than ever. It became clear to us that in order to succeed and compete effectively, our origination effort needed to be much, much bigger. This merger brings us together with the number one mortgage originator in the country in UWM and doubles the size of the MSR portfolio to a pro forma $400 billion. UWM, in turn, also benefits from our expertise in capital markets and asset management, and they can leverage Roundpoint's best-in-class and low-cost servicing capabilities. In many ways, this transaction is the culmination of the business plan that we've been aiming at for some time. And it creates, I believe, a very powerful strategic alignment and positions the combined company for accelerated growth and enhanced outcomes. Which should deliver meaningful upside to shareholders. Now please just turn to slide three. Our investment portfolio performed well as mortgage assets significantly outperformed their hedges, and our low coupon MSR continued to behave as it was designed to do. Earning its carry. For the fourth quarter, we generated total economic return of positive 3.9%. For the full calendar year 2025, we generated a total economic return on book value of negative 12.6%. So if you exclude the previously recorded litigation settlement expense of $3.50 per share, we returned a positive 12.1%. Mortgage assets have thus far continued to outperform into the first quarter. Driven in part by increased GSE buying and announcements from the administration committing to buying significant sizes of MBS. In situations like this, we take the administration's clear desire for lower mortgage rates at face value. And we recognize the possibility that they will ultimately succeed and create increased mortgage and origination activity in 2026. One question that we've heard from investors is around our securities portfolio. And if, following the merger, we intend to liquidate the portfolio. In the short term, the answer is that we intend to manage our business in the ordinary course. Looking further out, I would say that while no decisions have been made yet, we will be thoughtful about how we proceed. There are some paths that lead to selling some or all of these assets over time, and there are other paths where the combined company will need many or even more than our existing TBA and specified pool positions. These are still early days with respect to the merger, so when those details are more clear, we will be sure to update you. Please turn to slide four. Performance across fixed income was positive in the fourth quarter. The release of major conventional economic indicators was severely interrupted by the federal government shutdown. Leaving the Fed and market participants without key data often used to assess the economy. Despite this and in line with market expectations seen in figure one, the Fed still delivered two twenty-five basis point cuts in October and December. As a result, and as you can see in figure two, the yield curve steepened with two-year treasury yields down 14 basis points to 3.47%. While ten-year treasury yields rose by two basis points to 4.17%. Returning the yield curve to its steepest level since January 2022. Equity markets continue to react positively to the Fed cuts, with the S&P 500 up by 2.3% at quarter end. After setting all-time record highs earlier in the quarter. Please turn to slide five. We settled on the sale of an additional $10 billion of MSR out of our portfolio. Increasing our total third-party subservicing to $40 billion at year end, compared to $30 billion at the end of the third quarter. While reducing our total owned servicing to approximately $162 billion from $176 billion in the prior quarter. Despite its small size, our DTC platform is punching above its weight and had a record quarter funding $94 million in first and second liens. A 90% increase from the third quarter. At quarter end, we had an additional $38 million in our pipeline, also brokered $58.5 million in second liens in the quarter which is nearly unchanged quarter over quarter. Looking ahead, we are confident that the partnership with UWM will bring the benefits we have envisioned from increased scale. And we believe this merger is extraordinarily positive for our company and for our shareholders. Now I'd like to hand the call over to William Dellal to discuss our financial results.
Thank you, William. Please turn to slide six. Our book value increased to $11.13 per share at December 31, compared to $11.04 per share at September 30. Including the 34¢ common stock dividend, this resulted in a positive 3.9% quarterly economic return. Please turn to slide seven. The company generated comprehensive income of $50.4 million or 48¢ per share. Net interest and servicing income, which is the sum of GAAP net interest expense and net servicing income operating costs, decreased as a result of MSR sales and lower float income. Float income decreased largely as a result of lower interest rates, and end of year seasonals that lowered balances. The net overall decline in portfolio asset yields was offset by lower financing costs. Mark to market gains and losses were lower in the fourth quarter by $15.5 million due to MSR portfolio runoff and the both steepening in rates. You can see the individual components of net interest and servicing income and mark to market gains and losses on appendix slide 20. Please turn to Slide eight. On the left-hand side of this slide, you can see a breakdown of our balance sheet at quarter end. We ended the quarter with over $800 million of cash on the balance sheet. And in accordance with our previously disclosed plans, we repaid our convertible senior notes of $261.9 million in full on their 01/15/2026 maturity date. RMBS funding markets remain stable and available throughout the quarter, with repurchase spreads at around SOFR plus 23 basis points. At quarter end, our weighted average days to maturity for agency RMBS repo was fifty-four days. As a reminder, our days to maturity are typically lower at December 31, as we intentionally roll repos in the third quarter past year end to avoid any disruption in funding that can sometimes occur. We finance our MSR including the MSR assets and related servicing advance obligations, across five lenders. With $1.6 billion of outstanding borrowings under bilateral facilities. We ended the quarter with a total of $1.1 billion in unused MSR asset financing capacity. We have $71.5 million drawn on our servicing advances facility. With an additional $78.5 million of available capacity. I will now turn the call over to Nicholas Letica.
Thank you, William. Please turn to Slide nine. Our portfolio performed well in the fourth quarter as both MSR and RMBS returns benefited from the decline of interest rate volatility. Together with strong demand for spread assets. At December 31, the portfolio was $13.2 billion including $9 billion in settled positions and $4.2 billion in TBAs. Our primary risk metrics quarter over quarter were not materially different. Our economic debt to equity was slightly lower at seven times. And our portfolio sensitivity to spread changes marginally increased from 2.3% to 3.7% if spreads were to tighten by 25 basis points. We kept interest rate risks low in aggregate and across the yield curve. You can see more details on our risk exposures on appendix slide 17. Please turn to slide 10, The trend of lower interest rate volatility continued throughout the fourth quarter. Resulting in the one-month realized volatility of ten-year swap rates falling into the bottom fifth percentile over the past decade. Dragging implied volatility down as well. As you can see in figure one, two-year options on ten-year swap rates shown by the green line closed the quarter at 79 basis points. Four basis points below its average level over the past ten years. RMBS spreads responded very positively to decline in volatility, the steepening of the yield curve, and the prospect of strong demand in 2026 primarily from banks, REITs, and the GSEs. The nominal spread for current coupon RMBS tightened by 30 basis points to a 114 basis points of the swap curve. While option adjusted spreads relative to SOFR finished 23 basis points tighter at 45 basis points. As shown by the purple and blue lines respectively. This decline in current coupon nominal spreads brought mortgages to their tightest level since the 2022. Figure one includes data up to January 29, and as you can see, spreads have continued to tighten further into this quarter. It wasn't just current coupon mortgages that outperformed. Spreads across the coupon stack, both on a static and option adjusted basis, shifted lower as you can see in figure two. Please turn to slide 11 to review our Agency RMBS and specified pools we owned throughout this quarter. Figure one shows the performance of TBAs Hedged RMBS performance was positive across the thirty-year coupon stack. With the best performance in 4.55% coupons, where we have our largest pool exposures. Notably, the hedge performance of RMBS was aided by the widening of swap spreads. Which have made up over 75% of our hedges. To give a sense of magnitude, ten-year swap spreads widened by 13 basis points to an eighteen-month high. Our pass-through position was largely stable quarter over quarter. However, although we continue to like the sector and the carefully selected prepayment protected collateral behind our bonds, we reduced our inverse IO position by almost 50% to reduce our exposure to higher coupons. Primary mortgage rates drifted a little lower over the quarter, stabilizing around 6.25%. The share of the universe of thirty-year loans eligible for refinance returned to nearly 20% for the first time in years, And as we had anticipated, speeds for refinanceable coupons continued to increase. The prepayment s-curve steepened back to a more regular shape associated with periods when a larger share of mortgages are refinanceable. Such as in late 2019. Figure two on the bottom right shows our specified pool prepayment speeds by coupon. Which on aggregate increased only very slightly to 8.6% from 8.3% CPR coming from increases in speeds from five and a half coupons and higher. That said, the CPR increases on our pools were small and in line with our expectations, evidencing the value of careful pool selection. Please turn to slide 12. You can see in figure one the volume of MSR available in 2025 declined from prior years. The market continues to be well subscribed with strong demand from originators as well as bank and non-bank portfolios competing for greater scale in MSRs. Indeed, as William said, scale has become increasingly important for mortgage companies to compete in the MSR market. The merger of Two Harbors Investment Corp. and UWM will result in a combined company that is positioned for accelerated growth and has the ability to compete effectively in this market. Figure two shows that with mortgage rates at their current level of around 6.25%, only about 3% of our 5%, the portion of our portfolio in the money would rise to about 9%. Given that the current administration in Washington is focused on policies to stimulate the housing market and increase homeownership, we anticipate that home prices will continue to rise and housing turnover will trend higher from its current historically low levels. Please turn to slide 13. Where we will discuss our MSR portfolio. Figure one is an overview of our portfolio at quarter end. Further details of which can be found in appendix slide 23. In the fourth quarter, we settled about $400 million UPB of MSR from flow acquisitions and recapture. And we sold $9.6 billion UPB on a servicing retained basis. The price multiple of our MSR was consistent quarter over quarter at 5.8 times and sixty-plus day delinquency remained low at under 1%. Figure two compares CPRs across those implied security coupons in our portfolio of MSR versus TBAs. Quarter over quarter, our MSR portfolio experienced a minor 0.4 percentage point pickup in prepayment rates to 6.4%. Importantly, prepays have remained below our projections for the majority of our portfolio, which has been a positive tailwind for returns. Finally, please turn to Slide 14, our return potential and outlook slide. This is a forward-looking projection of our expected portfolio returns, which takes into account the repayment of the $262 million of convertible notes that occurred in January. We estimate that about 65% of our capital allocated to servicing with a static return projection of 10 to 13%. The remaining capital is allocated to securities with a static return estimate of 10 to 14%. With our portfolio allocation shown in the top half of the table and after expenses, the static return estimate for our portfolio would be between 6.9% to 10.2% before applying any capital structural leverage to the portfolio. After giving effect to our unsecured notes and preferred stock, we believe that the potential static return on common equity falls in the range of 5.8% to 11.1%, or a prospective quarterly static return per share of $0.16 to $0.31. The reduction in return potential to quarter over quarter is driven primarily by the large tightening of RMBS spreads and the sales of inverse IOs. Since quarter end, the announcement of explicit support for MBS spreads from the FHFA director has led to more spread tightening. Spreads for agency RMBS have now fully retraced their widening over the past three-plus years leaving spreads historically rich on some measures, like treasury-based OAS, for example. To fair versus swaps in periods when the GSEs have been active. As RMBS spreads have normalized, the potential for more tightening resulting book value benefit of holding RMBS has been significantly reduced. That said, continued GSE buying and or other future policy aimed at supporting mortgage spreads could keep spreads tight and limit their widening and risk-off scenarios. Given all that, we believe that this environment favors our paired portfolio construction of MSR and Agency RMBS, which has less exposure to fluctuations in mortgage spreads. We expect that demand for MSR will remain strong among the origination and communities. Though RMBS spreads have tightened, the paired construction of our low mortgage rate MSR with RMBS generates attractive risk-adjusted returns, with lower expected volatility than a portfolio of RMBS hedged with rates. Thank you very much for joining us today, and now I'll be happy to take any questions you might have.
Thank you. If you're dialed in via the telephone and would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, please press star 1 to ask a question. We'll pause for just a moment. We'll go first to Richard Barry Shane with JPMorgan.
Thanks, guys, for taking my questions. And congratulations on the announcement. I am curious as we sort of move through this period tactically how you think about portfolio construction. I realize that you guys continue to and need to, from a governance perspective, operate as an independent company. But obviously, there are strategic reasons for the acquisition. Is that shifting your tactical allocation of capital in any way as you construct the portfolio? Into year-end? Is that one of the other factors that's impacting your static return outlook?
Yeah. Good morning, Rick. Thanks for the question. No. I think you put your finger on it. We're as an independent company. We're managing our portfolio as we normally would in the ordinary course. You know, the changes you've seen in the portfolio have been in response to market assessments of risk and reward. And we're continuing to manage the portfolio as we ordinarily would and do. And the investment decisions that we're making are in line with the way that we have always historically managed the portfolio.
Got it. Okay. Thank you. And then I must have gotten up especially early today because I'm first in queue. I don't think I heard you talk about an update on book value, but I get to ask the question this time if so where is book value most recent mark?
Hey, Rick. This is Nick. You know, it's good that you got the opportunity to ask that question this quarter. We are up about 1.5% to 2% as of Friday, January 30.
Terrific. Thank you, guys.
Thanks, Rick.
We'll go next to Douglas Michael Harter with UBS.
Thanks, and good morning. Hoping you could just talk about, you know, how you're thinking about leverage, Nick, given your comments around kind of the MBS market, and just how interested you would be in continuing to kind of add at these spreads, given the crosscurrents that you mentioned and just overall, you know, your view on risk-reward?
Hey, Doug. Sure. As you alluded to from my comments, the, you know, the administration has made it pretty clear that they want to do what they can to try to tighten spreads in this environment. And potentially as well reduce mortgage rates. So, you know, we have become a little more defensive quarter as a result of that and then just the general movement in spreads. If you look at where spreads are now, historically, I think you can say that they are, you know, at, you know, I think you definitely say there's symmetric, you know, in terms of risks. You might even say they're asymmetric in terms of the amount of, you know, widening versus tightening in here. You know, that being said, there is, you know, there are things that the administration can do that have been, you know, have been widely discussed, for example, raising the caps that the GSEs have on their portfolio, which they can do without, you know, congressional input and other measures to continue to drive the mortgage spread tighter or just limit it from a risk perspective of widening. So it is very much of a dual-edged sword. We have decided, and our portfolio construction being what it is, we do like the paired construction overall, as you know, and it depends less on betting on which way spreads are gonna go and more about just putting together a hedged portfolio that extracts the spread of the combined assets. So that's what we're really focused on. But we have reduced our leverage a little bit this quarter and as well as our mortgage risk.
Appreciate it. Thank you.
We'll go next to Bose Thomas George with KBW.
Hey, guys. Good morning. Actually, what do you think are the chances of an LLPA, you know, guaranteed fee reduction at the GSEs? And, yeah, how is the agency market kind of viewing that possibility?
Hey, Bose. I think there's a reasonable reduction. There'll be some reasonable chance that there will be some changes on the LLPA grid. And I think it's somewhat priced into the market, but not entirely. There are a lot of, there's a lot of optionality, I think, now in terms of the policy actions that could be done. And, you know, it's a lot for the market to digest. So it's hard consequently to fully understand whether just an LLPA change is being baked in or not. But I think there has been some amount of discounting of that.
Okay. Great. And then, actually, in terms of the MSR market, have you seen any changes in sort of bank interest or activity just given it looks like the capital rules there, you know, might make it a little more favorable for them to hold on to MSRs?
I can't say that we've seen anything notable about that. Overall, all I can say is that the interest in the MSR market continues to be rock solid and strong. So from our perspective, we haven't seen anything particularly new that we have not seen in the past, you know, year or two.
Oh, okay. Great. Thanks.
We'll go next to Trevor John Cranston with Citizens JMP.
Hey. Thanks. A question on the perspective return outlook. Could you maybe give us an update on kind of where you would see those levels today subsequent to the additional spread tightening that we've seen in January? And maybe comment on if there's any kind of near-term read-through from where you're seeing perspective returns to sort of how you're thinking about the appropriate dividend level in the near term? Thanks.
I'll talk about the hey, Trevor. Thank you for the question. I will talk about your first part and I'll let William discuss the dividend part of it. Yes, so spreads are tighter since we published this at the December. So it would be reasonable to expect that our dividend levels would be in a little marginally from where they were back then on the December 31. You know, we see spreads overall as being on our whole portfolio of being in maybe about five basis points or so. So that will have an effect of lowering our dividend marginally.
Good morning, Trevor. On the dividend, obviously, we'll go through the normal routine of deciding that later in the quarter. Together with the board. I will say still young in the quarter, so it's too early to say what the trend will be on the dividend.
And sorry, I realize I just misspoke at the end of my I said lower the dividend. It's not what I meant to say. Lower the return potential marginally.
Yeah. I assume. But thank you for the clarification. And then I guess the second question, you know, since the news came out about the GSE buying, you know, it seems to have had a, you know, kind of a varied impact on the various coupons. Can you say if you guys have had any kind of material changes with your coupon exposures so far in January and sort of how you're thinking about the coupon stack? In light of the initial announcement and the potential for kind of additional announcements aimed at targeting mortgage rates? Thanks.
We haven't changed it materially. We have lowered our mortgage exposure overall to some degree. I think there are two effects that are going on. I think the GSEs if, you know, if I were implementing this and you wanna be effective lowering the mortgage rate, lowering current coupon spreads, you would buy current coupons. So I think that there is a natural that's, like, where I would imagine that the GSE buying is focused. You know, commensurate with that, I think we have we've seen a fair amount of down in coupon trades coming out of, you know, various entities, including money managers that haven't, you know, materially lowered their allocation yet to mortgages, but do seem to have gone down in coupons. So thus far on the year, we've seen the biggest positive effect on the lower coupons. Followed by current coupons. And then the higher coupons have actually widened a little. We've seen, you know, quite a bit of expansion of the coupon of the sorry, contraction of the coupon stack. As you go up, you know, some of the higher coupons are actually now wider, you know, on the year.
Appreciate the comments. Thank you.
Our next question comes from the line of Harsh Hemnani with Green Street.
Thank you. So we've obviously discussed the GSE buying and its impact on spreads, but one of the other things that's justifying spreads today is how low the volatility is. Maybe there's a few events upcoming on the calendar, particularly with, you know, a new federal reserve the middle of this year, you know, how would you expect any, I guess, uncertainty or changes in policy on that front to first off, impact the volatility and then also funding markets for agency MBS.
Hey, Harsh. Very good question. I can't say I really have a firm answer. I mean volatility is drifted back to being on the historically low side. We have had periods where been lower than it is right now. As you mentioned, we have, you know, new nominee for the Fed chair. And, you know, it'll take a little bit of time to fully assess what he wants to do at the Fed, and also we'll take him some time likely to develop, you know, the consensus to make that happen. So I mean, I would expect that we might see a mild amount of increase in volatility as a result of that. You know? And, you know, and we're still in an environment where from a, you know, macro perspective, the economy seems to be humming along, but inflation is still running a little hotter than I think the Fed would like. And, you know, it's not clear where those paths are gonna settle out here. So it would make sense that volatility would pick up a little bit, and, you know, that's a little bit of our overall thesis of being a little more defensive here on mortgage spreads. That, you know, vol has kind of drifted historically low in there could be some things that kick it off. It's always hard to say ahead of time what's gonna be the catalyst to make that happen, but it's reasonable to think that we could be in for a little bit of a higher level of volatility. What was the second part of your question? I'm sorry.
Oh, funding markets. Any impacts on agency funding markets?
We haven't really seen much of an impact on funding markets. I mean, there's been a few people that postulated that that could be one of the things the administration does or the Fed does to try to lower funding rates for mortgages and other spread assets. To drive that tighter. That's possible. But, you know, at funding markets, it's been stable, we don't really see any disturbance on the horizon on that front.
Got it. And then maybe on the hedge portfolio front, it feels like you moved a little bit heavier into the shorter duration hedges. Any thoughts on what's driving that and how that could evolve going forward?
No. I mean, I would say that we, you know, we've continued to have a little bit of a curve steepening bias in the portfolio. It has not been big. I think there's still reasons to believe that curve could steepen further here. So, no, I don't, you know, we can talk about it more specifically. You know, offline. But I don't see us as having shifted our hedges very much in that way.
Thank you.
Our next question comes from the line of Eric Hagen with BTIG.
Hey. Thanks. Good morning. Do you guys have a rough breakdown of the channel mix for your current MSR portfolio? Like, what percentage were originated in the broker channel versus the retail channel? And how do you guys feel like the origination channel impacts the prepayment behavior of your portfolio?
Good morning, Eric. Thanks for the question. I don't have those at my fingertips here. You know, we've been, you know, over the years active buyers both across flow and bulk channels. And, you know, they do have different prepayment characteristics, and we attribute different prices to those loans and those characteristics. And so, you know, whatever differences there are in prepayment behaviors are generally reflected in the prices at which we acquire them at. Right? And so all of that is incorporated into the way that we manage the portfolio. They don't have the specific numbers of what's broker versus retail versus a correspondent handy with me right now.
Got you. Okay. Know, some recent commentary from other originators noticed noted that the GSE cash window has been more active as a delivery execution channel for community banks and small retail originators. Are you guys seeing the same thing? And how do you guys feel like the cash window impacts volatility and MSR valuations in the market?
I think that the MSR market is reasonably diversified in terms of the products that are coming to market and so forth. And those are affected in the price. We continue to see robust MSR demand. Volumes in the MSR market are lower than what they have been in recent years. We have a chart in the deck on that. And so, you know, I think this is just a normal MSR environment. As we're changing regimes to lower supply than what we've seen in the past.
Got it. But does the GSEs being active with the cash window, is that a reflection of MSR valuations? In any way?
No. I don't think so.
Okay. Thank you guys for the comments.
Thanks, Eric.
This concludes today's question and answer session. I would like to turn the call over to William Ross Greenberg for any additional or closing comments.
Just like to thank you all for joining our call today. As we said in the earlier prepared remarks, we view the merger with UWM to be extremely exciting. And we expect that it's going to deliver meaningful upside for our shareholders. Have a great day, and look forward to speaking to you all again soon.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

