TWO
Two Harbors InvestmentDNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The strongest bull interpretation is that TWO now has a clearer event path: cash consideration was raised to $11.30, the board reaffirmed its recommendation, and Q1 EAD covered the dividend, which limits immediate operating-stress concerns while the merger process advances [#8-K-2026-04-29] [#10-Q-2026-04-29].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.0.
What can break
Management cited abrupt market-sentiment change, higher rates, higher volatility, and spread widening during the quarter, highlighting that core fundamentals remain macro-sensitive even with the merger overlay.
Momentum
47
Value
40
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $11.30 · Bull $11.60 · Bear $10.55
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $11.63
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d -19.3
Value40 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -3.0
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.3
Δ21d
-23.4
Value
40
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
48
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 47.3 / Value 40.1 / Sentiment 48.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.27B
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
105.05M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.5
P/S (TTM)
1.16
P/FCF (TTM)
25.30
Rev YoY
-19.3%
EPS YoY
-120.8%
Gross Margin
+100.4%
Op Margin
-16.6%
Net Debt
$7.5B
Current Ratio
0.16
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

