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TRGP

Targa ResourcesC
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2026-06-02
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2026-05-15
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Earnings documents stored for TRGP.

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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

TRGP Q1 Earnings & Revenues Miss Estimates, Adjusted EBITDA Up Y/Y

Zacks

Targa Resources Corp. TRGP reported first-quarter 2026 earnings of $2.21 per share, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.55. The underperformance can be attributed to severe winter weather that impacted volumes across its systems, weak Waha natural gas prices that led to producer curtailments in the Permian Basin during the quarter and higher operating expenses related to maintenance activity, system expansions and acquired Permian assets. The bottom line, however, increased from the year-ago quarter’s level of 91 cents. The year-over-year improvement can be attributed to higher operating margins in the company’s Gathering and Processing and Logistics and Transportation segments. Total quarterly revenues of $4.1 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.1 billion by 19.64%. Revenues also declined 10% from the year-ago quarter’s level of $4.6 billion, primarily due to lower commodity sales, partly offset by higher fees from midstream services. Targa Resources, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Targa Resources, Inc. Quote Despite the revenue miss, Targa delivered record first-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion, up 19% from the prior-year quarter. The increase was driven by record Permian inlet volumes, record fractionation volumes and higher marketing margins. On April 16, 2026, Houston, TX-based oil and gas storage and transportation company declared a quarterly dividend of $1.25 per share, or $5 annualized, representing a 25% increase from the first-quarter 2025 dividend. The company also repurchased $55 million of common stock during the quarter. In the first quarter, Targa benefited from continued strength across its integrated Permian-to-Mont Belvieu footprint. Management mentioned that the company still achieved record first-quarter adjusted EBITDA, Permian volumes and NGL fractionation volumes despite winter weather and periodic shut-ins. The company also mentioned that current Permian volumes were running more than 250 million cubic feet per day above the first-quarter average, even with 200-400 million cubic feet per day of temporary producer shut-ins on any given day. Gathering and Processing: The segment’s operating margin was $703.5 million, up 17% from $602.2 million in the year-ago quarter. However, the figure missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $757 million. Adjusted operating margin increased 16% year over yea...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-09

Targa (TRGP) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Motley Fool

Image source: The Motley Fool. May 7, 2026 Chief Executive Officer — Matt Meloy Chief Financial Officer — Jennifer Kneale President, Gathering & Processing — Benjamin Branstetter Executive Vice President, Finance — William Byers Senior Vice President, Investor Relations — Tristan Richardson Need a quote from a Motley Fool analyst? Email [email protected] Matt Meloy: Thanks, Tristan, and good morning. This year is off to a pretty remarkable start here at Targa. We had record first quarter adjusted EBITDA, Permian volumes and NGL fractionation volumes despite the impacts of severe winter weather and periodic producer shut-ins from weak Waha gas prices. We are continuing to see strong production activity in the Permian and are on track for our volume forecast this year despite being impacted by more shut-ins than we previously estimated. A huge thank you to our field operations and engineering employees who worked tirelessly to support our producer customers through very cold weather across much of late January and early February and to also quickly resolved an unplanned outage towards the end of the quarter at a portion of our LPG export facility. The efforts by the Targa team supported another record quarter and strong start to the second quarter. The short, medium and long-term outlook for Targa growth has continued to improve. Higher prices and supply disruptions in the Middle East create tailwinds for our business and underscore the importance of secure and reliable energy supply for the United States. With growing cost-advantaged natural gas and NGL supply from the Permian Basin and significant expansions underway across our integrated value chain, Targa is well positioned to meet the growing demand for natural gas and NGLs across domestic and global markets. We believe that there are significant advantages to being on the Targa platform, a track record of constructing Permian gas processing plants on time or early. We have the largest system with best-in-class redundancy and fungibility across the Permian Basin, and we continue to invest and grow our system as further evidenced by 2 additional gas processing plants in the Permian Delaware announced today. We have a large and growing portfolio of transportation assets in both NGLs and intra-basin residue gas, a leading fractionation footprint in Mont Belvieu with Train 11 now online, 5 trains added over the las...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

Targa Resources, Inc. (TRGP) Misses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks

Targa Resources, Inc. (TRGP) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.21 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.55 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.91 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -13.24%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $2.39 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.51, delivering a surprise of +5.02%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. Targa Resources, which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing - Master Limited Partnerships industry, posted revenues of $4.09 billion for the quarter ended March 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 19.64%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $4.56 billion. The company has not been able to beat consensus revenue estimates over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Targa Resources shares have added about 35.2% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 7.6%. While Targa Resources has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Targa Resources was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future....

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

Targa Resources Corp. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby

Record first quarter performance was driven by the successful integration of recent Permian acquisitions and robust producer activity despite severe winter weather and gas price-related shut-ins. Management attributes the volume resilience to Targa's 'wellhead-to-water' strategy, utilizing the largest integrated system in the Permian to provide redundancy and fungibility for customers. The company is successfully navigating Permian gas egress constraints by leveraging its portfolio of transportation assets to capture significant marketing and optimization opportunities. Operational outperformance is supported by a consistent track record of project execution, with 27 major projects brought online on time or ahead of schedule over the last six years. LPG export strength is being bolstered by high global demand and supply disruptions in the Middle East, which have increased the call for U.S. butane and long-term export contracts. Strategic positioning in sour gas infrastructure in the Delaware Basin is capturing incremental volumes as producers shift development toward more complex acreage. The 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised by $300 million at the midpoint, reflecting realized first-quarter strength and anticipated marketing opportunities through the remainder of the year. Management expects Permian natural gas egress to improve significantly by late 2026 as the Blackcomb pipeline and other expansion projects provide much-needed relief. The company assumes low double-digit Permian volume growth for 2026, noting that current volumes are already 250 million cubic feet per day higher than the first quarter average. Strategic capital allocation remains focused on high-returning integrated projects, including six Permian plants currently under construction to accommodate long-term producer growth. LPG export capacity is expected to expand to more than 19 million barrels per month by the third quarter of 2027 to meet growing international demand for U.S. supply. Severe winter weather and periodic producer shut-ins due to weak Waha gas prices impacted first-quarter volumes, though underlying fundamentals remained strong. An unplanned outage at a portion of the LPG export facility occurred late in the first quarter but was quickly resolved by engineering and operations teams. Producers are currently shutting in between 200 million and 400 million cubic feet...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07

Targa Resources Corp. Reports Record First Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Increases Financial Outlook for 2026

GlobeNewswire

HOUSTON, May 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Targa Resources Corp. (NYSE: TRGP) (“TRGP,” the “Company” or “Targa”) today reported first quarter 2026 results. First quarter 2026 net income attributable to Targa Resources Corp. was $480 million compared to $271 million for the first quarter of 2025. The Company reported adjusted earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, and other non-cash items (“adjusted EBITDA”)(1) of $1,403 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $1,179 million for the first quarter of 2025. Highlights Record adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of $1.4 billion, an increase of 19% year-over-year Record Permian inlet volumes during the first quarter Record fractionation volumes during the first quarter Increasing full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA estimate to $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion In February 2026, completed our new Falcon II processing plant in Permian Delaware In late March 2026, completed our new East Pembrook processing plant in Permian Midland In April 2026, completed our new Train 11 fractionator in Mont Belvieu, TX In May 2026, starting up operation of our Delaware Express NGL Pipeline expansion Announced today two new processing plants in Permian Delaware (“Roadrunner III” and “Copperhead II”) Continue to estimate 2026 net growth capital expenditures of approximately $4.5 billion On April 16, 2026, the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.25 per common share, or $5.00 per common share on an annualized basis, for the first quarter of 2026. This dividend represents a 25 percent increase over the common dividend declared with respect to the first quarter of 2025. Total cash dividends of approximately $268 million will be paid on May 15, 2026 on all outstanding shares of common stock to holders of record as of the close of business on April 30, 2026. During the first quarter of 2026, Targa repurchased 227,801 shares of its common stock at a weighted average per share price of $241.43 for a total net cost of $55 million. As of March 31, 2026, there was $1,319 million remaining under the Company’s share repurchase programs. First Quarter 2026 - Sequential Quarter over Quarter Commentary Targa reported record first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $1,403 million, representing a 5 percent increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2025. The sequential increase was driven by record Permian volumes...

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-07

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 107 paragraphs
Operator

Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Targa Resources Corp.'s first quarter 2026 earnings webcast and presentation. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this session, you'll need to press star one one on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, simply press star one one again. As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. Now I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Tristan Richardson, Vice President, Investor Relations and Fundamentals. Please go ahead, sir.

Tristan Richardson

Thanks, Jonathan. Good morning, welcome to the first quarter 2026 earnings call for Targa Resources Corp. The first quarter earnings release, a supplement pre-presentation, and our latest investor presentation are available in the investor section of our website at targaresources.com. Statements made during this call that might include Targa's expectations or predictions should be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements. For a discussion of factors that could cause actual results to differ, please refer to our latest SEC filings. Our speakers for the call today will be Matthew J. Meloy, Chief Executive Officer, Jennifer R. Kneale, President, and William A. Byers, Chief Financial Officer.

Tristan Richardson

Additionally, members of Targa senior management will be available for Q&A, including Patrick J. McDonie, President, Gathering and Processing, Benjamin J. Branstetter, President, Logistics and Transportation, Robert M. Muraro, Chief Commercial Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Matt.

Matthew Meloy

Thanks, Tristan, and good morning. This year is off to a pretty remarkable start here at Targa. We had record first quarter adjusted EBITDA, Permian volumes, and NGL fractionation volumes despite the impacts of severe winter weather and periodic producer shut-ins from weak Waha gas prices. We are continuing to see strong production activity in the Permian and are on track for our volume forecast this year, despite being impacted by more shut-ins than we previously estimated. A huge thank you to our field operations and engineering employees who work tirelessly to support our producer customers through very cold weather across much of late January and early February, and who also quickly resolved an unplanned outage towards the end of the quarter at a portion of our LPG export facility. The efforts by the Targa team supported another record quarter and strong start to the second quarter.

Matthew Meloy

The short, medium, and long-term outlook for Targa growth has continued to improve. Higher prices and supply disruptions in the Middle East create tailwinds for our business and underscore the importance of secure and reliable energy supply for the United States. With growing cost-advantaged natural gas and NGL supply from the Permian Basin and significant expansions underway across our integrated value chain, Targa is well-positioned to meet the growing demand for natural gas and NGLs across domestic and global markets. We believe that there are significant advantages to being on the Targa platform. A track record of constructing Permian gas processing plants on time or early. We have the largest system with best-in-class redundancy and fungibility across the Permian Basin, and we continue to invest and grow our system as further evidenced by two additional gas processing plants in the Permian Delaware announced today.

Matthew Meloy

We have large and growing portfolio of transportation assets in both NGLs and intrabasin residue gas, a leading fractionation footprint in Mont Belvieu with Train 11 now online, 5 trains added over the last 6 years, and Train 12 and Train 13 currently under construction. Our LPG export facilities, which we are expanding our capacity to more than 19 million barrels per month, timed very well for the increase in demand for long-term LPG export contracts. Looking back over the last 6 years, we have brought into service 27 major projects, including 16 Permian processing plants, 5 fractionators, and 3 NGL transportation pipelines, with every one of these major projects over this period coming online on time or ahead of schedule. We have also successfully and seamlessly integrated several Permian acquisitions.

Matthew Meloy

This track record of execution is a credit to our best-in-class engineering and operations teams and to our commercial team for continuing to identify attractive opportunities to grow our footprint. Today, we increase our adjusted EBITDA outlook for 2026, which is bolstered by continued and disciplined production growth from our customers and a strong opportunity set in our downstream business across LPG export and marketing and optimization opportunities. This increase highlights Targa's strength and the durability of our business across environments. At Targa, we continue to focus on execution and believe the strength of our large integrated asset footprint positions us to be successful across commodity environments as we continue to invest in attractive integrated opportunities and return increasing amounts of capital to our shareholders. Targa now has more than 3,600 employees.

Matthew Meloy

Before I turn the call over to Jen, I want to express my thanks to all my colleagues. We have a lot of positive momentum and a lot going on. As we discuss internally all the time, safety is our first priority. A huge thank you to our employees for their continued focus on safety.

Jennifer Kneale

Thanks, Matt. Good morning, everyone. Operationally, it was a solid quarter as our Permian natural gas inlet volumes were a new record, primarily driven by the successful integration of and volume contributions from our acquisition that closed at the beginning of the year, as well as continued strong producer activity, partially offset by the impacts of Winter Storm Fern and other severely cold weather, plus some gas price-related shut-ins. Currently, our Permian volumes are more than 250 million cubic feet per day higher than the first quarter average, even with more shut-ins to start the second quarter from some of our producers given weaker Waha natural gas prices.

Jennifer Kneale

Average volumes through the first four months of the year are consistent with what we forecasted coming into this year, which is remarkable given we currently have between 200 million and 400 million cubic feet per day of Permian gas temporarily shut in by producers on any given day, depending on what is happening with gas prices. While it is difficult to predict with precision how producers are managing egress constraints in the short term, we continue to feel good about our low double-digit Permian volume growth estimate for 2026. Importantly, we have demonstrated the strength of our strategy and resiliency over the last several years by ensuring that we have sufficient takeaway capacity from the Permian for our producers and by continuing to identify marketing optimization opportunities through our growing portfolio of natural gas transportation assets.

Jennifer Kneale

We expect that marketing opportunities will continue likely until later this year when incremental Permian egress capacity is added. We are also continuing to execute on our major projects along our Permian footprint to accommodate the growth from our customers. In Permian Midland, our East Pembrook plant, which was scheduled for the second quarter, began service early, starting at the end of the first quarter. Our East Driver plant remains on track to begin operations in the third quarter of 2026. In Permian Delaware, our Falcon II plant successfully came online in the first quarter, and our Copperhead, Yeti I and Yeti II plants remain on track to begin operations as previously announced.

Jennifer Kneale

Our new Permian Delaware plants announced today, Roadrunner III and Copperhead II, are both expected to begin service in the first quarter of 2028, which will be much needed to accommodate the expected growth from our customers in the very active Delaware Basin. We have multiple Permian intrabasin residue projects on track as scheduled that will add connectivity and fungibility across our system for our customers and offer access to multiple premium markets. Additionally, we expect WACOM, a natural gas pipeline in which we have an equity interest, will provide much-needed egress relief for the Permian when in service in the fourth quarter of this year. Traverse will further enhance market connectivity when it comes online in mid-2027.

Jennifer Kneale

The Permian natural gas egress environment is set to improve as we exit 2026, and the prospects for sustained higher Waha gas prices with improved egress will be a positive for Targa and our Permian producers. Shifting to our Logistics and Transportation segment, Targa's NGL pipeline transportation volumes averaged 1.02 million barrels per day, and fractionation volumes averaged a record 1.145 million barrels per day during the 1st quarter. Both transportation volumes and fractionation volumes were impacted by the winter weather and shut-ins that impacted our G&P volumes, but consistent with what we are seeing in G&P, have rebounded nicely as the underlying fundamentals of our business remain very strong.

Jennifer Kneale

We are also making great progress on some of our key downstream projects as our Delaware Express NGL pipeline is currently in startup, and our Train 11 fractionator began operations early in the 2nd quarter. Speedway, our large expansion of our NGL pipeline transportation system, remains on track for the 3rd quarter of 2027, and Train 12 and Train 13 remain on track for the 1st quarter of 2027 and the 1st quarter of 2028. With 4 Permian plants now in service since we announced Speedway and 6 Permian plants now under construction, we continue to expect a meaningful and growing supply of available NGLs behind our system to baseload Speedway's initial capacity of 500,000 barrels per day and supply our Mont Belvieu fractionation and LPG export footprints.

Jennifer Kneale

Turning to our LPG export business at Galena Park, our loadings averaged 13.1 million barrels per month during the first quarter, despite the unplanned outage at a portion of our facility that reduced our loadings towards the end of the first quarter and early in the second quarter. Our LPG exports are highly contracted, our team is doing a great job of trying to figure out how to support the high global demand by getting incremental volumes across the dock. We have some flexibility at our facility to move more butanes during periods of high demand and have been able to secure some additional contracts across this year that we expect will drive record Targa loadings in the second quarter.

Jennifer Kneale

Longer term, we are in a really good position to continue to secure incremental multiyear contracts given the increasing supply that will be in our system through all of our G&P transportation and fractionation expansions underway and increased global demand for U.S. Gulf Coast LPGs. We expect our large LPG export expansion will be much needed when it comes online in the third quarter of 2027. We are exceptionally well positioned operationally and believe that our wellhead to water strategy driven by activity in the Permian Basin will continue to put us in excellent position to execute for our customers and shareholders. I will echo Matt's appreciation for all of our employees that are focused on delivering for our customers and are doing it safely and with great pride. Your efforts are greatly appreciated.

Jennifer Kneale

I will now turn the call over to Will to discuss our financial results and outlook in more detail. Will?

William Byers

Thanks, Jen. Targa's reported adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $1.4 billion, which is 5% higher sequentially. The increase was primarily a result of contributions from our Permian Basin acquisition, which closed in early January, and from optimization opportunities in our marketing businesses. The increase was partially offset by winter weather that impacted both G&P and L&T volumes. We are increasing our estimate for full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $5.7 billion-$5.9 billion. The new midpoint is $300 million higher than what we provided in February, supported by higher first quarter adjusted EBITDA than we were estimating.

William Byers

Meaningful natural gas marketing and LPG export opportunities for the full year and continued strong performance of our underlying businesses. We continue to estimate net growth capital for 2026 of approximately $4.5 billion, with no change despite announcing two new Permian gas plants today. We also continue to estimate 2026 net maintenance capital spending of $250 million. In March, we successfully completed a $1.5 billion debt offering comprised of 4.35% notes due 2031 and 6.05% notes due 2056. As a result, we are in an excellent liquidity position as we execute on our capital program.

William Byers

At the end of the first quarter, we had $3.1 billion of available liquidity, and our pro forma consolidated leverage ratio was approximately 3.6 times, well within our long-term leverage ratio target range of 3-4 times. Shifting to capital allocation, our focus is more of the same from Targa. Maintain our strong investment-grade balance sheet, continue to invest in high returning integrated projects, and return an increasing amount of capital to our shareholders. We declared a first quarter common dividend of $1.25 per share, which is a 25% increase relative to the first quarter common dividend for 2025. We also opportunistically repurchased $55 million in common shares at an average price of $241.43 per share during the first quarter.

William Byers

We expect another record year at Targa across multiple dimensions and remain well positioned to create value for shareholders over the long term. With that, I will turn the call back over to Tristan.

Tristan Richardson

Thanks, Will. For the Q&A session, we ask that you limit to one question and one follow-up and reenter the queue if you have additional questions. Jonathan?

Operator

Certainly. Our first question for today comes from the line of Jeremy Tonet from J.P. Morgan Securities. Your question, please.

Jeremy Tonet

Hi. Good morning.

Jennifer Kneale

Good morning, Jeremy.

Jennifer Kneale

Good morning.

Jeremy Tonet

Just want to start off with the Waha basis, if we could, and I guess the impacts on the basin in Targa going forward here. There's a lot of production that seems being curtailed with the low prices. Just wondering how you see the interplay between GCX and other pipes coming online over the balance of this year, how the basis trends, and when these curtailed volumes could return. At the same time, the interplay with the uplift that you have gained on the marketing. Just wondering if you could provide some color on how you think that mixes together over the balance of the year.

Jennifer Kneale

Good morning, Jeremy. This is Jen. I'd say that, you know, Waha is largely playing out as we expected this year, which is that as we go through the year ahead of the incremental pipes coming online, as well as the GCX expansion, it's going to continue to be really tight. I think you are seeing that manifest really all throughout this year. It's arguably going to continue to get worse before it gets better as we think about the cadence of volume growth that we're seeing on our system and that we're seeing more broadly in the Permian and how that interplays with not enough takeaway capacity. I think importantly, from Targa's perspective, we have available capacity to ensure that our producers' volumes flow, which is, of course, of paramount importance to us in making sure that we are delivering for our customers.

Jennifer Kneale

For us, it's not physical constraints. It's really the interplay of prices that are resulting in some producers making decisions, frankly, day by day, week by week, to shut in volumes in certain areas within our footprint. I think that's largely based on a view of when there's planned maintenance on pipes coming, that creates more visibility to the fact that it could get a little bit tighter, and that could create more weakness in pricing. Of course, if there's unplanned maintenance, then that impacts the basin as well. As we look forward, the GCX expansion and then Blackcomb and Hugh Brinson will bring much needed relief, and we believe that we will see that collapse in basis, and we'll have significant capacity of Permian egress, call it towards the end of this year and heading into 2027.

Jennifer Kneale

From our perspective, we will be able to support our producers with higher gather price rates and ultimately with volume moving. As we try to give a lot of color on the call around what we are seeing related to our Permian volumes, we do see a lot of growth. If you compare 2024 and 2025, even a few days shut in, I think a plus volume currently to 2025. Even a few days shut in the 1st quarter that was impacted by weather and turn trending, it suggests that there's a lot of growth that we are expecting across our systems, and we'll continue to see that play out for the rest of this year, which is going to put us in an excellent position for 2027.

Jennifer Kneale

I'd say there'll be some continued optimization and marketing opportunities from now until the incremental Permian egress gets added, and I certainly want to take the addition of those pipes to see a meaningful difference in in prices relative to what we see today for Waha.

Jeremy Tonet

That's helpful. Thanks. Is it fair to say, I guess, the guidance bakes in optimization kind of only what's visible right now, or just trying to get a sense for how that fits in?

Jennifer Kneale

I'd say that we tend to be very conservative about how we forecast optimization opportunities. We've got 4 months of visibility that's realized so far this year. Of course, we've got some visibility into what our expectations are for May. Beyond that, we try to be modest about how we forecast marketing benefits across a range of scenarios. Really the guidance uplift for 2026 is driven by strong fundamentals as we've talked about on the volume side, what we've seen year to date on the marketing side, plus some modest expectations for go forward, and then just increasing demand for global LPGs where we've been successful operationally in managing to plan to get an incremental cargo or cargoes across our dock across this year as well.

Jennifer Kneale

It's a confluence of factors, but the fundamentals are just really strong at Targa, and it sets us up exceptionally well exiting this year.

Jeremy Tonet

Got it. That's very helpful. If I could just follow up on that last point real quick, the LPG export dynamics. Just wondering how much upside that could bring here, and particularly as it relates to, I guess, the butane side, as you said. Just wondering what that looks like from what you see.

Benjamin Branstetter

Hey, Jeremy, this is Ben. I think you hit on a key point. As you know, we did have an outage in the first quarter. I just wanna, first of all, say thanks to our operations and engineering team again for bringing it back so quickly. Also thanks to our commercial team and our customers. It was a really a hand-in-hand exercise to get as much as we could across the dock during it and then afterwards. Part of us getting back on track and having line of sight to additional spot volumes across the dock is, of course, the product mix. What we've seen as a result of the Iran conflict is an additional call on butane.

Benjamin Branstetter

We're working with our core portfolio of customers to move more butane across the dock as they need it and the world needs it. That does have the additional benefit of freeing up space on the dock for additional cargoes as we co-load that product. Of course, we came into the year as we always do, very well contracted across the dock, but ultimately, that product mix does shift a little dock space in our favor.

Jeremy Tonet

Got it. Interesting. That's BSL sweet. Thank you.

Benjamin Branstetter

Thank you.

Jennifer Kneale

All right. Thanks, Jeremy.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes to the line to Michael Blum from Wells Fargo. Your question, please.

Michael Blum

Thanks. Good morning, everyone.

Jennifer Kneale

Good morning.

Michael Blum

I wanted to ask. Good morning. Notwithstanding the recent curtailments and the Waha weakness, I'm curious if you're seeing any change in producer conversations or planned activity in light of the, you know, higher price back and just the Middle East volatility?

Matthew Meloy

Yeah, sure, Michael. You know, I think what we're seeing is just really continued strong activity across our footprint. We haven't seen any dramatic changes in response to prices moving up. You know, I think we would suspect as the prices stay elevated for longer and the back end of the curve moves up, I would anticipate there to be, you know, some tailwinds for us as we kind of look out into 2027, 2028 and beyond. I think what we're seeing this year is just really strong activity continued, I'd say, outperformance on the gas side. You know, as Jen mentioned, with $200 million to $400 million shut in, we're on track with our volumes.

Benjamin Branstetter

I would say kind of coming into this year, you know, thinking there could be some downside to volumes for the year for us, given all the expected shut-ins that we're going to have, it was just kind of a big unknown. I think now that we're in the midst of really weak Waha prices and that our volumes are on track, I think it sets us up well for kind of back half of this year when that egress comes on, you know, for a volume picture and then going into 2027. I'd expect producers to continue to drill. We've even had some, you know, tell us that they're kind of pushing and delaying some of their completions and activity into the back half of this year.

Benjamin Branstetter

Even with some of that happening, us being on track for our volumes in the first part of the year with these shut-ins, I think it just paints a really good picture for us as that activity, you know, ramps, when there's sufficient egress on the gas side.

Michael Blum

Got it. Thanks, Matt. Then just on the LPG exports, wanted to ask a little bit of a longer-dated question. I'm just clearly you're seeing an uptick in demand as you would expect. I'm wondering if you think you'll see higher rates or perhaps longer contracts going forward in light of just the global volatility in that market. Sort of beyond what you've already committed to, what's in flight in terms of expansions, do you think you could see even further expansions of your LPG capacity, and do you have the room to do that if demand was there?

Benjamin Branstetter

Hey, Michael, this is Ben. In terms of expansions, I just step back and point to our export program as really part of our integrated system. That's something that we're looking back to the wellhead across our millions of dedicated acres and seeing what kind of supply we have coming out of the Permian and really across the U.S. As we look at expansions, we're really looking at our integrated supply footprint. Clearly, we're very bullish about that, and we see it growing 2026 and into 2027.

Benjamin Branstetter

We'll keep monitoring that and to the extent we see the need for additional chilling to move product through the system, that will of course be a nice expansion that we have, that we have room for at our Galena Park facility and would be a really relatively inexpensive next step for another chiller. That always remains on the horizon. In terms of You asked about rates and contracts. I would just say, as I mentioned earlier on butane, we have seen just additional near-term and long-term interest in firm butane volumes. Over time, if that is sustained, we could move a little more than we had initially thought out of our export facility.

Benjamin Branstetter

I'd say just generally on the contracting side, we are of course, working with our current portfolio of customers, then we have more inbounds than I've certainly ever seen, just from others across the world, thinking about getting into the U.S. LPG export market, the surety of supply that comes with working with us here. Those are multi-year contracts that we are in discussions on and have been actively closing. It's a very constructive environment for us to continue to be highly contracted across our export facilities.

Operator

My apologies. Doug Irwin, your line is open.

Doug Irwin

Hey, team. Thanks for the question. just on the processing side, it seems like you've seemingly been announcing new capacity every quarter here recently. just curious how you're thinking about the cadence of new plants from here, and if you see potential upside to the three plant per year run rate that you've outlined in the past.

Jennifer Kneale

This is Jen. I think ultimately it'll be the pace of producer activity and of our, what I'll call sort of foundational existing contracts already in place, and then the cadence of new contract adds that our best in class commercial team are working on securing day in and day out that will ultimately dictate how much incremental capacity we need on the processing side, and of course, what that will mean for incremental assets that we'll need all along the value chain. I think that we've got a great set of customers. We continue to add contracts. We feel very, very good about the short, medium, and long term. You see the cadence of plant adds that we've got going now with the addition of Roadrunner III and Copperhead II. We'll have 3 plants online in 2027, now 2 plants online in the first quarter of 2028.

Jennifer Kneale

I think whether it's 3 plants more, less, that's ultimately going to be dictated by producer activity. I think we're feeling very bullish about really the short, medium, and frankly long term for continued activity and growth from our Permian Basin contracts that are already in place. I think that puts us in great stead to just continue to have a portfolio of growth looking forward. It's a little bit hard to predict 2, 3, 4 years out what exactly the cadence of plant adds will be.

Jennifer Kneale

I think the fact that we've got 50 plants built and in progress is recognition that we've got the largest footprint across the basin, which co-puts us in a great position to compete for incremental contracts as well with the most reliable, most fungible, most redundant system already in place, where we've just continued to have a cadence of plant adds year in and year out, and bringing those online on time or early, as Matt described in his remarks, is just a testament to our outstanding team. I think, again, just puts us in a really good position to continue to capture growth going forward.

Doug Irwin

That's helpful. Thanks. Maybe just to follow up on your comment there about that process and kind of feeding down the value chain. Could you just remind us your latest expectations here just in terms of how quickly you expect Speedway to ramp once online and then realizing you have two more fracs in the works already. I guess how soon might you need to start thinking about another frac as well?

Jennifer Kneale

I think we try to provide pretty good visibility on the ramp of Speedway by both talking about fairly early that we were going to be over capacity on our existing Grand Prix line, which meant that we were going to need to utilize third-party offloads, which you can expect we are currently doing. That when Speedway comes online, those volumes will be available to base load over to Speedway.

Jennifer Kneale

As I described in my scripted remarks, all of the plants that have come online since we announced Speedway, as well as all the incremental plants that we've added since then, mean that we are in a really good position to generate a very attractive rate of return on our Speedway investment, similar to what we did for Grand Prix, and have, I think, good visibility to continued plant adds beyond the 2 that we announced this morning, which will again bring a lot of incremental NGLs in our system, and those will move down our pipeline to our fractionation footprint, and then we'll have incremental propanes and butanes available for export.

Doug Irwin

Understood. Thanks for the time.

Jennifer Kneale

Good. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Keith Stanley from Wolfe Research. Your question, please.

Keith Stanley

Hi. Good morning. How much of the 2026 guidance raise would you attribute to marketing with the wide Permian gas spreads and spot LPG exports versus more core volume and margin outperformance in the business? I'm trying to get at how much of the pretty meaningful guidance raise is repeatable beyond 2026.

Jennifer Kneale

Keith, this is Jen. I'd say it's a combination of factors, but certainly when we forecasted our guidance for 2026 in February, we probably sounded a little bit conservative even on that call in saying that given the visibility we were seeing and the fact that we had only included modest marketing gains, there was definitely the potential for upside there. We're definitely seeing that play out for this year. I think what you also heard me say in some of my earlier comments was that what we are including in the revised guidance range is still a relatively modest set of outcomes for the balance of the year. Good visibility to the first 4 months of the year that are realized, good visibility to May. Beyond that, I think that we've been, again, pretty modest in what we have forecasted into our new guidance range.

Jennifer Kneale

We'll have to see how that plays out. I'd say importantly, what is definitely repeatable is what we are seeing on the volume side going all the way through our integrated system. As Matt described, when we get those Permian lines online, we're going to see pretty good ramp in volumes here across the rest of this year. That ramp, we believe, is going to continue into 2027 and well beyond that. I think it's a mix, but of course, a lot of the fact that we're raising guidance by as much as we are, you know, a couple of months after we gave our initial guidance range is definitely because we are seeing significant marketing opportunities on the gas side. As Ben's described, also some good incremental opportunities on the LPG export side too, which we didn't factor in.

Keith Stanley

Thanks. That's helpful. Wanna kind of revisit growth in a little bit of a different way. You now have 6 plants under construction and 5 in the Delaware. It's over 1.5 BCF a day of new plant capacity that you're adding by early 2028. Historically, Targa's filled up plants very quickly, almost immediately. You know, do you expect that to still be the case with these 6 plants under construction? I ask 'cause, I mean, it's a 25% increase in your plant capacity relative to your inlet volumes, all by early 2028.

Jennifer Kneale

This is Jen again. I mean, I'd say that we generally are trying to be incredibly capital efficient, but we also want to make sure that we are creating white space for our producers. If a producer wants to accelerate and/or if a producer has better results than they're forecasting, that we of course, can handle all of that incremental volume. A lot of what you're seeing us do, particularly in the Delaware now, which is similar to what we had in place in the Midland Basin already was create a lot of that system reliability and fungibility. We're also adding a lot of sour gas infrastructure to again, make sure that we're positioned. If producers are forecasting less sour gas than materializes, we're going to be able to handle it.

Jennifer Kneale

If we've got peers that aren't able to handle it, then hopefully we can handle incremental volumes even above and beyond what is even contracted at Targa today. I'd say that based on our forecasting, we believe that these plants are going to be very much needed and well utilized when they come online. There's nothing that's different about how we are forecasting when plants are added or how much volume growth we expect when the plants come online. I'd say that part of what we do is we get to final investment decision on a new plant when we've got visibility with contracts in hand to fill up that next plant. Then what invariably happens is our commercial guys do a great job of going out and adding incremental contracts.

Jennifer Kneale

By the time that plant comes online, we've actually added more volumes than we were forecasting when we got to the investment decision. I think that's part of why our plants continue to be very well utilized. I can assure you that our commercial teams are working very hard to continue to identify incremental opportunities to add to our already, you know, several million acre base of contracts today.

Matthew Meloy

Yeah, well said, Jen. Just to add to that one, you know, we've talked about over the last couple of years of having kinda outsized commercial wins, some on the sour side, some on the sweet, and it's been disproportionately on the Delaware side. You see the kinda shift of us putting in more Delaware plants compared to the Midland. We still think Midland is gonna have strong growth going forward, but a lot of the success we've had over and above the dedicated acres and the activity on existing contracts, existing acreage that we have, we just had a tremendous amount of success over the last several years. Us building these additional plants is in response to the volume curves we have from producers and what their anticipated drilling activity is gonna be.

Keith Stanley

Thank you.

Matthew Meloy

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Elvira Scotto from RBC Capital Markets. Your question, please.

Elvira Scotto

Hey, good morning. Just a couple of follow-up questions. Are you embedding any scenario of sustained higher commodity prices in your Q2 plus volume expectations? Or are you assuming, you know, prices normalize back to kind of, you know, previous levels? Also, can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing on the GOR trends in the Permian?

Jennifer Kneale

This is Jen. I'd say related to forecasts, we tend to get longer term forecasts from most of our producers that aren't moving sort of month by month as the price curve shifts. You are seeing some smaller and private producers that may accelerate activity into a higher commodity price environment. For the most part, we're putting infrastructure in place based on a longer term forecast. I'd say that that longer term forecasts are largely consistent with what they were even back in February in a lower commodity price environment. I wouldn't say that we've got a material increase in activity based on where commodity prices have moved over the last couple of months. It's really more based on a disciplined set of producers that have multi-year programs in place, and they are executing on those multi-year programs.

Jennifer Kneale

As it relates to GOR trends, I'd say that we continue to expect that we will have a higher gas to oil ratio as we think about where producers are drilling and just the results that we are continuing to see on our system. That will provide a continued tailwind for us going forward.

Elvira Scotto

Okay, thanks. Just on capital allocation, what's your latest thinking here on opportunistic M&A? You talked about, you know, acquisitions. Are you seeing attractive acquisition opportunities in the Permian? Just kind of thinking about some of your other assets that are not in the Permian. You know, what's the kind of strategic importance of some of those assets, and could they be monetized over the kind of medium to longer term?

Jennifer Kneale

This is Jen. I'd say that we're always looking at opportunities to add to our footprint. We have a lot going on organically and very high focus organizationally on making sure that we continue that strong track record of project execution. We continue to look at opportunities. I think we're really pleased with the acquisition that we made that closed at the beginning of this year, and really grateful for the new employees that have joined the Targa team and how successful that integration has been. I think we have a good track record of executing acquisitions and integrating them well. Again, for us, primary focus right now is executing on what we have underfoot in terms of the projects underway.

Jennifer Kneale

Then I think related to non-Permian assets, I think related to all of our assets, part of our job is to always evaluate if somebody has a view that something is worth more to them, then that's something that we certainly consider in terms of monetizing assets. We're in such a strong balance sheet position, and I think we've got a lot of option value in many of our assets that I'd call non-Permian, that we're really excited about the outlook for our entire footprint. Ultimately, our base case is that we will continue to execute with assets that we have underfoot, but of course, are always open to any discussions on any assets that others might value more highly.

Elvira Scotto

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jacqueline Koletas from Goldman Sachs. Your question, please.

Jacqueline Koletas

Hi. Thank you so much for the time. I just wanted to go back to your comments on, you know, guidance. You noted the new guide continues to be somewhat modest on optimization. You know, where could you expect the most outperformance or upside from here that could kind of drive you to be near or above the top end? Specifically, you know, what could that come from? Is that all, you know, an incremental Waha or something else?

Matthew Meloy

Yes, sure. This is Matt. You know, I think Jen kind of articulated where we, you know, are in our guidance and how, you know, really good we feel about, you know, our guide, even albeit, you know, $300 million higher. I think from here, we have a relatively conservative forecast for the back half of the year in terms of marketing and optimization. We'll see how that plays out. That could be some further upside. We'll just kind of see, you know, how WAHA plays out in the back half of the year with the incremental pipeline capacity coming on.

Patrick McDonie

I think in just in terms of production activity and volumes through our system, you know, we're still seeing on any given day, it is pretty volatile, the amount of shut-ins we have on our system. When exactly that's coming back, is there, frankly, more gas there than we really think? It's a bit of an unknown of kind of how much comes back and where volumes settle out once we're in an environment where we have sufficient takeaway capacity. I'd say there's probably some potential volume upside, you know, both gas marketing and LPG export upside as well.

Jacqueline Koletas

Got it. Thank you for the color there. Just to go back a little bit to capital returns. You know, with 2026 capital, CapEx being maintained for the year and increasing EBITDA guidance, you know, what is your appetite to increase shareholder returns from here?

William Byers

Hey, this is Will. I'll take that one. Thank you for the question. You know, when we look at our return of capital strategy, it's one that we've been pretty consistent adhere to, that is to have a strong balance sheet to invest along our value chain, attractive returns and return increasing capital our shareholders. If you just look at the first quarter, we did all of those things. We had a strong balance sheet, 3.6 times leverage. We invested in our business in significant capital investments. We also closed an acquisition. We bumped our dividend 25%, and we bought back $55 million worth of stock. I think you'll see us continue to execute on that plan and try and grow our shareholder value.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Manav Gupta from UBS. Your question, please.

Manav Gupta

Hi. Good morning. Congrats on the strong result. Your press release says your inlet volumes in 2Q are trending significantly above your 1Q. I was hoping you could quantify that significant a little bit for us. What's driving the quarter-over-quarter volume growth, if you could talk a little bit about that.

Jennifer Kneale

Good morning. Good morning, Manav. As I said in my scripted remarks, right now, our current volumes are about 250 million cubic feet a day higher than the Q1 average. I also described that on any given day, we've got about 200-400 million cubic feet a day of shut-ins on our system that are really driven by the low Waha gas prices that we are seeing. I think that makes it difficult to forecast the quarter in terms of volumes with precision. What we are seeing is material growth over the first quarter. The first quarter, again, impacted by severe weather as well as some shut-ins. Say second quarter, seeing really good, strong underlying fundamental activity, but also seeing increasing shut-ins because of lower gas prices.

Jennifer Kneale

We've got a number of, we've had some planned maintenance on the egress side and some unplanned maintenance that has impacted that as well. Those are all the data points that we tried to give this morning and color around our volumes. Really, the underlying premise is just there's a lot of volume growth. When we get these incremental pipes online later this year, I think you're going to see a material step up in our volumes just because of the shut-ins that we're experiencing.

Manav Gupta

Perfect. My quick follow-up here is, one of your peers who was somewhat of a late entrant in sour gas is finally acknowledging that they're seeing a big activity in that region. I was wondering if you're also seeing, you know, higher rig count in that part of Delaware and Lea County. Do you expect your sour gas volumes to also ramp up in the second half of this year? Thank you.

Patrick McDonie

You know, as we've discussed before, we have, for a long time, invested in sour gas infrastructure in the Delaware Basin. You know, one of the things as the larger producers developed their acreage positions, they really developed sweet gas for a long period of time because they didn't have confidence in sour gas takeaway, treating, et cetera. Over the last 3, 4 years, we have seen a significant increase in sour gas activity, certainly because we put the infrastructure in place. We've been able to tie up and dedicate acreage under our sour gas infrastructure. We continue to see volumes ramp. We do have discussions with producers where some of the Bone Spring and Avalon development that they had put off for a period of time, they are now stepping into. Quick answer is, yeah, we expect to continue to see sour gas growth.

Patrick McDonie

We have the infrastructure in place nobody's comparable to us in that footprint. We feel really good about that incremental opportunity and the margins associated with it.

Manav Gupta

Thank you so much.

Tristan Richardson

Good. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our final question for today comes from the line of Brandon Bingham from Scotiabank. Your question please.

Brandon Bingham

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions here. Just wanted to maybe go back to the setup into next year, especially as more producers are coming out with, at least in the Permian, incrementally positive commentary or updates. I think Diamondback in particular mentioned pulling forward some Barnett development. Just curious, given all of this, plus the forthcoming egress capacity and, you know, forward curve pricing, at least on the crude side, that sits comfortably above what people would consider mid-cycle, is there potential for something more than just a modest pulling forward, excuse me, of incremental pads? You know, thinking 2027, 2028 and beyond.

Jennifer Kneale

Morning, Brandon. This is Jen. I mean, I'd say that just the overall environment as we look at short, medium, and long-term just feels really constructive for continued producer activity. Given the system that we're sitting on, the contracts that we already have in place, the millions of dedicated acres, I think there's going to be material volume growth here for years to come. I think part of what makes us really well-positioned as well is the infrastructure adds that we have underway. We'll add, you know, the East Driver plant on the Midland side here in the third quarter of 2026. As we get into 2027, we'll add Copperhead on the Delaware side in the first quarter, then Yeti in the third quarter and Yeti II in the fourth quarter.

Jennifer Kneale

All of those incremental adds, combined with the largest system, just puts us in a really good position to be able to handle any incremental growth above and beyond what we are already expecting to be a very robust growth year, 2027, in 2027. I think we're just feeling really good about the outlook, and there's nothing that we're seeing so far this year that doesn't support that continued view that 2027 is going to be a really, really strong year for Targa.

Brandon Bingham

Okay, great. Thank you. Just quickly, it looks like East Pembrook came online ahead of schedule. I think Falcon II was previously pulled forward as well. Just curious, how much opportunity is there to continue that trend of plants in service early? Or is it maybe constrained by customer volume expectations or anything out of your control?

Jennifer Kneale

I think that our engineers and operations teams do a fantastic job, along with our supply chain team of making sure that we've got the infrastructure to construct, of working really well together to try to get assets online as quickly as possible. I think that we try to be very conservative in the initial dates that we come out with relative to our projects, just to make sure that we can deliver both internally and, of course, for our customers. As we move through a project cycle of getting it fully complete, we do sometimes have the opportunity to pull it forward.

Jennifer Kneale

I think we're constantly, probably quite annoyingly, challenging our engineering team with questions of can we move something forward, even if it's a week or a month, or in some cases, you've seen us successfully move projects forward as much as a quarter or so. That's something that I think we just pride ourselves a lot on, is making sure that we bring our projects on time or early and are consistently challenging ourselves to do that while also maintaining the high quality of service that I think really sets us apart for our customers.

Brandon Bingham

Very helpful. Thank you.

Tristan Richardson

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question and answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Tristan Richardson for any further remarks.

Tristan Richardson

Thanks to everyone joining the call this morning, and we appreciate your interest in Targa Resources.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Watch These 4 Energy Stocks for Q1 Earnings: Beat or Miss?

Zacks

The energy sector is entering the thick of the first quarter earnings season under a cloud of uncertainty shaped by sharp commodity swings, geopolitical disruptions and evolving demand patterns. A sudden tightening of global oil supply has shifted price momentum, creating a mixed operating environment for companies across the value chain. While stronger crude and gas prices have supported revenues for some players, others are grappling with cost pressures and regional challenges. Early earnings releases have shown surprising resilience, but broader expectations remain cautious. Against this backdrop, investors are closely tracking whether select energy companies can navigate volatility and outperform market expectations in the weeks ahead. The first quarter of 2026 defied expectations in the energy market. Oil prices per barrel were initially projected to fall, but rising Middle East tensions changed the trajectory. The disruption of flows through the Strait of Hormuz triggered supply concerns, driving prices sharply higher despite ample inventories. During the first quarter of 2026, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude averaged $71.98 per barrel, marginally higher than $71.84 in the same period last year. Given oil’s sensitivity to geopolitical risks, supply shocks and macroeconomic trends, this increase reflects tightening global supply conditions following the Middle East conflict and the disruption of flows through the Strait. Brent crude rose more sharply than WTI, largely due to elevated shipping costs and the U.S. decision to release oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Natural gas prices also strengthened, with Henry Hub averaging $4.79 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) versus $4.15 a year earlier. Gains were supported by geopolitical uncertainty, steady demand and an unusually early and cold winter that boosted heating needs. Strong LNG feed gas demand and rising electricity consumption, particularly from expanding AI-focused data centers, further reinforced upward price momentum. So far, results from the first quarter of 2026 highlight a mixed but evolving picture for the S&P 500 oil and energy space. Per the latest Earnings Trends report, roughly 32% of companies in the sector have reported, and initial performance has been notably strong. All of these early reporters (100%) have exceeded earnings expectations, while 87.5% have deliver...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05

Seeking Clues to Targa Resources (TRGP) Q1 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Zacks

In its upcoming report, Targa Resources, Inc. (TRGP) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $2.56 per share, reflecting an increase of 181.3% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $5.15 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.9%. Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted upward by 0.9% to its current level. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projections during this period. Prior to a company's earnings release, it is of utmost importance to factor in any revisions made to the earnings projections. These revisions serve as a critical gauge for predicting potential investor behaviors with respect to the stock. Empirical studies consistently reveal a strong link between trends in earnings estimate revisions and the short-term price performance of a stock. While investors typically use consensus earnings and revenue estimates as indicators of quarterly business performance, exploring analysts' projections for specific key metrics can offer valuable insights. That said, let's delve into the average estimates of some Targa Resources metrics that Wall Street analysts commonly model and monitor. The collective assessment of analysts points to an estimated 'Gathering and Processing - NGL sales per day' of 658.33 thousands of barrels of oil. Compared to the present estimate, the company reported 570.20 thousands of barrels of oil in the same quarter last year. Analysts forecast 'Gathering and Processing - Gross NGL production - Coastal' to reach 37.81 thousands of barrels of oil per day. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of 32.70 thousands of barrels of oil per day. Based on the collective assessment of analysts, 'Gathering and Processing - Condensate sales per day' should arrive at 21.34 thousands of barrels of oil. The estimate compares to the year-ago value of 18.10 thousands of barrels of oil. Analysts expect 'Logistics and Marketing - NGL sales' to come in at 1,252.74 thousands of barrels of oil per day. Compared to the current estimate, the company reported 1,186.40 thousands of barrels of oil per day in the same quarter of the previous year. The consensus estimate for 'Logistics and Marketing - Export volumes' stands at 424.49 thousands of barrels of oil per day. The estimate compares to the...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-05

What's in Store for Permian Resources Stock in Q1 Earnings?

Zacks

Permian Resources Corporation PR is set to release first-quarter 2026 results on May 6. The bottom-line estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at a profit of 38 cents on revenues of $1.4 billion. Let us delve into the factors that might have influenced this Midland, TX-based oil and gas exploration and production company’s results in the quarter. Before diving in, it is important to consider how PR performed last quarter. In the last reported quarter, Permian Resources posted adjusted net income per share of 37 cents, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 28 cents. The bottom line also increased from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure of 36 cents, backed by a rise in production volumes. However, PR’s revenues of $1.2 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9%. The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, were in line in one and fell short in one, resulting in an average surprise of 12.7%. This is depicted in the graph below: Permian Resources Corporation price-eps-surprise | Permian Resources Corporation Quote The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter 2026 earnings has seen three upward revisions and two downside movements over the past 30 days. The estimated figure indicates a 9.5% decline year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues implies year-over-year growth of 1%. The West Texas oil and gas operator makes money by exploring for, developing and producing oil and liquids-rich natural gas in the Permian Basin, then selling those hydrocarbons into domestic and international energy markets. PR’s revenues are likely to have increased in the quarter to be reported. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter revenues is up from the year-ago quarter’s $1.38 billion. Based on our estimate, the company's total average daily net production is projected to rise 11.5% year over year, reaching 411,443 barrels of oil equivalent. The company provided guidance to grow its production by about 5% in 2026 on lower capital, highlighting improved capital efficiency and lower breakevens. Additionally, improved gas marketing and reduced WAHA exposure are expected to have enhanced realizations, while a strong hedge position provides downside protection. Consistent well productivity, inventory depth and accretive bolt-on acquisitions further underpin sustainable free cash flow per sha...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-04

Matador Resources to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Offing?

Zacks

Matador Resources Company MTDR is set to report first-quarter 2026 results on May 6, after market close. Let us examine the factors that are expected to have influenced the performance of the U.S.-based oil and natural gas exploration and production company in the first quarter. In the last-reported quarter, its adjusted earnings of 87 cents per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents, primarily driven by an increase in total production volumes. MTDR’s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average surprise of 16.75%. This is depicted in the graph below: Matador Resources Company price-eps-surprise | Matador Resources Company Quote The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share of $1.30 has witnessed one downward and no upward revisions in the past seven days. The estimated figure indicates a decline of 34.7% from the prior-year reported number. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $895.3 million, indicating an 11.7% decrease from the year-ago recorded figure. Matador Resources is expected to have sustained a stable performance in the first quarter, supported by its oil-rich, high-quality acreages in the Delaware Basin of the United States and the midstream business. Since the company’s primary business involves exploration and production activities, its overall financial performance is heavily dependent on the commodity pricing environment. Per the data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the average West Texas Intermediate spot prices for January, February and March of this year were $60.04, $64.51 and $91.38 per barrel, respectively, compared with $75.74, $71.53 and $68.24 in the corresponding period of the previous year. Before the conflict in the Middle East began at the end of February, the commodity pricing scenario was not favorable for upstream players, like Matador Resources. While oil prices rose in the last month of the first quarter, the company witnessed a sharp fall in prices in the first two months, which might have hurt upstream profitability despite growing production levels. These factors are anticipated to have impacted demand and pricing dynamics, potentially hampering Matador Resources’ quarterly performance. Our proven model does not indicate an earnings beat for Matador Resources this time around. The combination...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-01

EOG Resources to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What Investors Should Know

Zacks

EOG Resources, Inc. EOG is set to report first-quarter 2026 results on May 5, after market close. In the last reported quarter, its adjusted earnings of $2.27 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.20, primarily driven by higher oil-equivalent production volumes. EOG’s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average surprise of 6.11%. This is depicted in the graph below: EOG Resources, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | EOG Resources, Inc. Quote The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share of $3.05 has witnessed one downward revision and no upward revision over the past seven days. The estimated figure suggests an increase of 6.3% from the prior-year reported number. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $6.2 billion, indicating a 9.3% increase from the year-ago recorded figure. EOG Resources’ upstream production is supported by highly productive acreages in premier oil shale plays like the Permian and Eagle Ford. The company boasts numerous untapped, high-quality drilling sites, which strengthen its production outlook and lower risk profile. As per data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) spot price averaged $72.74 per barrel in the first quarter compared with $71.85 per barrel in the corresponding period of 2025. The onset of the United States-Iran conflict in the Middle East at the end of February rattled global commodity markets, with oil prices surging to above $90 per barrel. This is expected to have positively impacted oil-producing companies like EOG Resources. Since the company’s production is mainly weighted toward crude oil and condensate, a higher commodity price is anticipated to have provided a strong earnings environment toward the end of the first quarter. These factors are anticipated to have supported demand and pricing dynamics, positively impacting EOG Resources’ quarterly performance. Our proven model indicates an earnings beat for EOG this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of an earnings beat. That is the case here, as you will see below. Earnings ESP: EOG Resources has an Earnings ESP of +7.62%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-30

Targa Resources, Inc. (TRGP) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

Zacks

The market expects Targa Resources, Inc. (TRGP) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 7, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.56 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +181.3%. Revenues are expected to be $5.15 billion, up 12.9% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 1.68% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. Our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) -- has this insight at its core. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predi...

As of 2026-05-30 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook