B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TR
Tootsie Roll IndustriesCNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-26
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+59.4
Score
AI commentary
The company release supports a negative earnings read, but not a quantified consensus miss. TR closed up 2.17% on October 22, then down 6.48% on October 23 to the $34.78 anchor; the two-day move from the October 21 close was about -4.5%, without a verified causal attribution to the release (price history). No trustworthy post-print analyst revisions or target changes were found. The scheduled T+3 follow-up therefore remains a cautious monitoring view, consistent with the deterministic neutral prior rather than a bullish thesis change. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-26
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-06catalystPost-Q3 earnings reassessmentMedium impact
Q3 sales fell 1% year over year to $227.2 million, while EPS fell to $0.31 from $0.48. Management cited sales timing, higher trade promotions and advertising, and input and freight costs. Further reassessment could pressure shares, although no reliable consensus surprise or analyst revision was available. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
2027-02-15eventQ4 test of deferred seasonal salesMedium impact
Management attributed part of the Q3 decline to Halloween-related sales shifting into Q4. The next results should show whether that timing explanation translates into recovered sales; the date is an estimate, not a company-announced reporting date. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
2027-06-30catalystCocoa relief versus persistent cost pressureMedium impact
Management expects more favorable cocoa and chocolate costs in Q4, but also expects elevated freight costs through Q4 and likely into 2027. Subsequent margin results will test whether ingredient relief outweighs packaging, labor, promotion and freight costs. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology