B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
+34.2% vs current
TR
Tootsie Roll IndustriesDNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
At close
2026-06-11
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
+13.6% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
-7.1% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-04-16
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+60.0
Score
AI commentary
Market tone is mixed-to-neutral: analysts show median targets near current levels while some price-target data is stale/low, producing cautious sentiment [#SERP-7]. Recent primary filings (8-K and 10-K) reset the FY2025 baseline and focus investor attention on margin and tax disclosures [#8-K-2026-02-12] [#10-K-2026-02-27]. Coverage and newsflow are steady but not momentum-driven.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-04-16
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-15eventUpcoming Q1 2026 quarterly filing / results (regular quarterly cadence)Medium impact
Quarterly 10-Q / earnings release for period ending Mar 31, 2026 is a near-term operating read (quarterly cadence evidenced by prior 10-Q filings) [#10-Q-2025-11-07].
2026-08-27eventMarket reaction to issues disclosed in 2025 10-K (tax/valuation & margin commentary)High impact
The 2025 Form 10-K (filed 2026-02-27) includes disclosures (e.g., deferred tax asset valuation allowance references) that could drive analyst re-rates or revised tax-related guidance when management provides follow-ups in earnings calls or investor Q&A [#10-K-2026-02-27].
2027-04-16catalystFull-year 2026 revenue/margin recovery vs. FY2025 comps (post-holiday product/mix recovery)High impact
Investor thesis hinges on multi-quarter recovery in gross margin and mix after FY2025 results; the company issued Q4/FY2025 results via 8-K and the 10-K provides the baseline for FY2025 performance—outperformance versus that baseline would be a multi-quarter driver [#8-K-2026-02-12] [#10-K-2026-02-27].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-04-16 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology