TPG

Image source: The Motley Fool. Tuesday, Aug. 4, 2026 at 11 a.m. ET Head of Investor Relations - Gary Stein Chief Executive Officer - Jon Winkelried Chief Financial Officer - Axel Philippe Andre Chief Executive Officer of Global Wealth Solutions - Jack Weingart President - Todd Sisitsky Operator: Good morning, and welcome to TPG's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's call is being recorded. Please go to TPG's IR website to obtain the earnings materials. I will now turn the call over to Gary Stein, Head of Investor Relations at TPG. Thank you. You may begin. Gary Stein: Great. Thanks, operator, and welcome, everyone. Joining me today are Jon Winkelried, Jack Weingart, Jim Coulter and Todd Sisitsky as well as our new CFO, Axel Andre. I'd like to remind you this call may include forward-looking statements that do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to TPG's earnings release and SEC filings for factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. TPG undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law. Within our discussion and earnings release, we're presenting GAAP and non-GAAP measures, and we believe certain non-GAAP measures that we discuss on this call are relevant in assessing the financial performance of the business. These non-GAAP measures are reconciled to the nearest GAAP figures in TPG's earnings release, which is available on our website. Please note that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase an interest in any TPG fund. Looking briefly at our results for the second quarter, we reported GAAP net income attributable to TPG Inc. of $93 million and after-tax distributable earnings of $280 million or $0.69 per share of Class A common stock. We declared a dividend of $0.59 per share of Class A common stock, which will be paid on August 28, 2026, to holders of record as of August 14, 2026. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jon. Jon Winkelried: Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. TPG delivered strong results in the second quarter, capping off a record first half for the firm. So far, 2026 has been defined by a series of inflections across AI, private credit, monetary policy and geopolitics that have reshaped the macro backdrop and investing landscape. As this environment drives a wider dispersion of performance across our industry, we believe TPG is well positioned to continue taking share given our proven track record and differentiated investment capabilities. We're actively capitalizing on an expanding opportunity set, and our clients continue to look for ways to deepen their engagement with us across our franchise. Turning to our results. Fee-related revenue grew 27% year-over-year to $628 million, driven by a step-up in management fees and our second highest quarter ever for transaction and monitoring fees. Our capital markets business continues to be a powerful revenue driver as we further embed our capabilities across each of our asset classes. Our strong top line growth and increasing operating leverage drove a 43% year-over-year increase in fee-related earnings to $350 million -- $315 million in the second quarter, resulting in a 50% FRE margin. Since becoming a public company 4.5 years ago, our LTM FRE has grown at a 31% annualized rate, and we've expanded our margin by over 1,000 basis points. We ended the quarter with $327 billion of total assets under management, up 25% year-over-year and have continued to set new records for capital raising and deployment on an LTM basis, which I'll highlight now. Starting with capital formation, we raised $16 billion in the second quarter, bringing our year-to-date total to more than $26 billion. Given our strong progress in the first half of the year, combined with our robust pipeline for the second half, we remain confident that we will meet or exceed our target of raising more than $50 billion in 2026. We maintained strong fundraising momentum despite various headwinds in the market, underscoring the strength of our franchise. We're further expanding our relationships with our existing client base as well as attracting new pockets of capital, which is a direct reflection of the differentiated returns we've consistently delivered. Across our private equity strategies, we raised $8 billion in the second quarter, up 39% year-over-year. For TPG Capital X and Healthcare Partners III, we raised $1.3 billion, bringing total capital raised to over $14 billion, including commitments that are signed but not yet closed. Our momentum remains strong as we work towards the final close for this important fundraise. In our Market Solutions platform, we held the first close of $1 billion for our 11th Peppertree fund. As a reminder, we acquired Peppertree, a leading infrastructure manager in the U.S. telecom tower market a year ago. Since then, we've made notable progress introducing Peppertree strategy to our existing clients with nearly 1/3 of commitments in the first close coming from legacy TPG relationships. As a result, we expect to grow our fund size by 25%. In credit, we raised $5.6 billion during the quarter. As part of our strategic partnership with Jackson Financial, we received $2.5 billion in new multiyear commitments this quarter, bringing total commitments to $4.5 billion since the partnership began in February. As we deploy this capital into attractive opportunities, we're beginning to see the flywheel take shape, further expanding our origination capabilities and enabling us to more effectively serve a broad base of insurance clients. For our real estate platform, we're in the early stages of a multiyear fundraising cycle. We're currently in the market with all of our U.S. and Asia real estate equity funds, and we're experiencing strong demand ahead of first closes in the coming quarters. In the private wealth channel, while the broader industry has recently faced a deceleration in net flows across retail-oriented products, largely due to private credit concerns, our momentum continues to accelerate. We expect to gain share in the wealth channel, which is an important long-term growth driver for us. June marked the 1-year anniversary of the launch of T-POP, our perpetual private equity product. Inflows across the T-POP strategy were approximately $450 million in the quarter, bringing total AUM to $2.9 billion at the end of June. We continue to successfully expand our global distribution footprint, adding a new international private bank platform during the second quarter and another already in the third quarter. As advisers become increasingly selective around new allocations, T-POP is a preferred solution given its strong track record with annualized inception-to-date returns of 34%. TCAP, our non-traded BDC, reported gross inflows of $193 million in the second quarter, which is consistent with first quarter and reflects the durability of our strategy. Importantly, redemption requests were just 2.1% of total shares outstanding, well below the industry average. Our clients recognize TCAP's proven ability to generate attractive returns across cycles given its leading position in the lower middle market. TCAP's 1-year total net return of 9.9% is among the highest for non-traded BDCs and represents approximately 420 basis points of outperformance relative to the leveraged loan market. Turning to deployment. Our investment activity continues to be very strong. We invested approximately $14 billion in the second quarter, up 33% year-over-year, bringing our total over the last 12 months to a record $62 billion. Looking ahead, based on our current investment pipelines, we expect to maintain a robust deployment pace through the back half of the year. Our private equity strategies invested $7.2 billion during the quarter, which increased 60% year-over-year. While the market has been largely focused on AI disruption risks, we've been equally focused on identifying new opportunities created by AI. We've been actively investing behind the AI evolution through direct positions in leading LLMs, including OpenAI and Anthropic. These investments give us unique insight into emerging technology and adoption trends, which have helped guide our strategy. Additionally, we're underwriting significant AI-related growth and efficiency initiatives across the areas we invest in. A powerful example of this is our role as the lead founding partner of the OpenAI deployment company. Together with OpenAI and a group of leading investment firms, we've committed more than $4 billion of initial capital to form a new AI transformation and services platform. DeployCo is built to address the implementation bottlenecks constraining AI adoption among large enterprises. Our investment in DeployCo was made through a collaboration between our TPG Capital, Tech Adjacencies and Hybrid Solution strategies and leverages our extensive track record in technology and structuring corporate partnerships. We're seeing firsthand the effective AI deployment requires not only gain forward deploy engineers, but also deep expertise in business processes and operational transformation. The combination of OpenAI's exceptional talent base and TPG's experience partnering with management teams is already unlocking value in our portfolio and creating new investment opportunities. For example, DeployCo has begun working with Conservice, a TPG Capital portfolio company and leading utility management service provider. Its AI transformation is focused on automating bill intake and exception resolution as well as improving quality control through machine learning, resulting in greater growth and efficiency. Beyond DeployCo, our internal AI and technology capabilities are becoming an increasingly important value creation driver for both our existing and new investments. In TPG Growth, just last week, we closed the acquisition of Smith + Howard, a top 50 CPA firm serving clients across the Southeast. A key component of our investment thesis is the operational transformation of the business through AI enablement, including AI-powered lead generation and workflow automation. Our credit business continued to be active in the quarter with $4.4 billion of capital deployed across our strategies. In Middle Market Direct lending, Twin Brook generated $2.3 billion of gross originations in the second quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $4 billion, which is pacing ahead of our expectations. Add-on activity across our borrower base accounted for over 40% of our quarterly volume, highlighting our embedded origination engine, which has been a structural advantage for our platform. Twin Brook has also been an important sourcing channel for Advantage Direct lending, our recently launched core middle market direct lending strategy. Nearly half of ADL's investment activity to date has originated from Twin Brook, either through co-led transactions or lending to existing portfolio companies that have graduated from the lower middle market. In Asset-Based finance, we deployed over $1 billion of capital in the second quarter, including residential home loans, equipment finance and commercial mortgages. In Credit Solutions, we deployed over $1 billion in the quarter, and our pipeline -- balance sheet challenges. TPG's integrated platform combines scaled capital and flexible structuring capabilities to deliver tailored solutions where traditional lenders often cannot. During the quarter, we agreed to lead a financing for the carve-out of BMC Helix from BMC Software. We believe this transaction represents an important precedent as one of the first significant software LBOs this year. We were able to design a bespoke solution with strong covenants and downside protection that provides the borrower with execution certainty while securing attractive risk-adjusted returns for our investors. Additionally, our European team structured a GBP 900 million second lien facility to help Bally's Intralot's proposed GBP 2.2 billion acquisition of Evoke. This financing addresses Evoke's near-term maturity wall, materially de-risking the overall capital structure. The combination is expected to create a scaled pan-European operator in online gaming with meaningful synergies to improve cash generation and de-leveraging. Given the changes occurring in the structure of the lending market, we're also seeing opportunities to leverage our deep sector and operational expertise to recapitalize businesses and improve performance. We believe our proven ability to drive transformational change and inflect growth, combined with our full continuum of capital solutions, makes TPG a preferred partner for lenders, sponsors and management teams. Turning to real estate. We continue to see attractive opportunities given reset valuations, increased replacement costs, limited supply growth and improving fundamentals in the asset class. Activity has been accelerating across our real estate platform with $2.3 billion deployed in the second quarter, up 47% year-over-year. TAC+, our core plus real estate strategy, acquired control of ECHO Realty, a scaled grocery-anchored retail platform after taking an initial minority stake earlier this year. We believe this is a compelling investment made at a discount to market value in a sector defined by recession-resilient demand and attractive supply dynamics. Along with our acquisition of Quarterra in the multifamily residential space earlier this year, we continue to expand into lower cost of capital real estate, which represents a significant growth opportunity for us. Finally, we generated $5 billion of realizations during the quarter, bringing our year-to-date total to nearly $14 billion, up 28% from the first half of last year. While market conditions are temporarily impacting the timing of exits across our industry, our approach remains unchanged. We continue to be highly intentional in our monetization activity and see a healthy pipeline of exit opportunities across the portfolio. We expect the cadence of realizations to accelerate towards the end of this year and into 2027. Before I hand the call over, I wanted to address the leadership transition we announced in June. As most of you are aware, Axel Andre joined as our new Chief Financial Officer last week. Given the timing of Axel's arrival, Jack will discuss our financial results today, and he is working closely with Axel to ensure a seamless transition. I want to thank Jack for his leadership and immense contributions as CFO. When we were preparing to go public more than 5 years ago, I asked Jack to take on the challenge of building our public company finance function from the ground up. His deep knowledge of our firm and decades of industry experience have been instrumental in establishing our credibility as a public company and deepening the market's understanding of TPG. Jack is now fully transitioning into his role as CEO of Global Wealth Solutions, which he took on last year in addition to his CFO responsibilities. Jack's leadership has already been critical to our growth in the channel as evidenced by T-POP's success in its first year. As Jack begins to fully dedicate his time to the strategic growth area, we expect to further expand our wealth offerings and global distribution network. I'd also like to introduce and welcome Axel, who is here today with us. In our search for Jack's successor, we were focused on finding a proven leader who align closely with our collaborative and entrepreneurial culture while bringing deep public company CFO experience. Axel has served as CFO and led the financial strategy for a number of publicly traded companies, most recently, Reinsurance Group of America. Given his deep familiarity with the insurance industry, Axel brings a set of skills that are highly complementary to our existing leadership team and expanding franchise. We're excited to have Axel join us, and we look forward to working closely with him to drive the next phase of our growth. I'll turn it over to Axel to say a few words. Axel Philippe Andre: Thanks, Jon. It's great to be here with all of you today. I'm incredibly excited to join TPG's leadership team and begin working alongside such a talented group of professionals. Over the past several months, I've had the opportunity to spend time with teams across the organization and have developed a deep appreciation for TPG's highly collaborative culture and entrepreneurial mindset. I'm fully aligned with the firm's strategic priorities and FRE-centric approach to driving continued scale and diversification. TPG's relentless focus on creating long-term value for our clients and shareholders, combined with the significant opportunities ahead, makes this an incredibly compelling time to join the firm and contribute to its next chapter. I also wanted to thank Jack for his partnership and the strong foundation he has established. I look forward to working closely with Jon and the entire leadership team and to engaging with our shareholders and the analyst community in the coming quarters. With that, I'll turn it over to Jack to walk through the financial results. Jack Weingart: Thank you, Axel. I'd like to echo Jon's welcome and our excitement to have Axel join the firm. We're working together closely through the transition process and look forward to partnering to drive the next phase of growth for TPG. As Jon mentioned, we delivered a very strong second quarter. Our fee-related revenue of $628 million increased 27% year-over-year, driven by accelerating management fee growth as well as our second highest quarter ever for transaction and monitoring fees. Management fees grew 15% year-over-year and 9% sequentially as we continue to see the benefits of strong fundraising momentum as well as consistent deployment across our credit platform. We expect continued robust management fee growth for the remainder of '26 and throughout 2027. On the Capital Markets side, since we went public 4.5 years ago, our LTM transaction and monitoring fees have grown at a 31% annualized rate as we've successfully scaled, driven greater deployment and integrated our broker-dealer capabilities across each of our platforms and geographies. During the second quarter, our capital markets revenue was driven by more than 20 transactions across 14 of our strategies, including a growing contribution from our credit platform. We remain confident that our capital markets business will continue to be a meaningful driver of top line growth and margin expansion over time. Our strong second quarter results did benefit from a pull forward of certain transaction closes initially forecasted for the third quarter. Therefore, we expect transaction and monitoring fees to step down in the third quarter. We reported fee-related earnings of $315 million, up 43% year-over-year, resulting in an FRE margin of 50%. Our strong margin in the quarter was elevated as a result of the transaction and monitoring fees I just discussed. Looking forward, we remain confident in our ability to achieve an FRE margin of 47% for the full year with further expansion over time as we continue to drive growth and operating leverage across our business. Turning to PRE. We generated $35 million of realized performance allocations in the second quarter, driven by realizations in our growth and credit platforms. Despite a recovery in the public equity markets, volatile macro backdrop has temporarily impacted the timing of realizations across the industry. Private equity activity declined during the quarter as buyers and sellers recalibrated for geopolitical uncertainty, changing interest rate expectations and AI-driven disruption. As we navigate through this period of market volatility, we've remained focused on building value across our portfolio and continuing to find opportunities to selectively monetize investments at attractive valuations. In our Capital Asia business, we recently announced the sale of Made Group, a leading better-for-you food and beverage platform based in Australia to a strategic buyer, Danone. This highly successful outcome adds to our long track record of partnering with founders and expanding domestic businesses internationally. Since 2023, over 40% of our exits in TPG Asia have been to strategic buyers in addition to significant secondary and public equity sales, demonstrating the breadth of our exit optionality. Additionally, just last week, we agreed to sell a large-scale luxury hotel property in Central Tokyo from our Asia real estate business. This is our largest transaction to date in this strategy, and we believe also represents one of the largest hotel transactions in the APAC region. The hospitality sector continues to remain robust, and we intend to continue capitalizing on this strength to drive highly attractive exits in our portfolio. Looking ahead, our monetization pipeline is strong. And assuming market conditions continue to normalize, we expect our realized performance allocations to step up toward the end of the year and into 2027. Given our unique portfolio construction and focus on corporate partnerships, a number of which provide enhanced visibility into exits, we're confident in our ability to continue generating attractive liquidity outcomes for our investors. Our effective corporate income tax rate during the second quarter remained low at 8% as we continue to benefit from the tax deductions generated by our annual RSU vesting in January. We expect our tax rate to remain in the high single digits in the third quarter and then step up in the fourth quarter after we fully utilize our deductions. Altogether, our after-tax distributable earnings were $280 million or $0.69 per share of Class A common stock. Moving on to value creation. The fundamentals across our portfolios remain robust, driving positive value creation across all our platforms in the second quarter. In private equity, the value of our portfolios appreciated by approximately 6% in the quarter, marking the second highest quarterly increase since our IPO. This robust value creation was driven primarily by continued strong underlying financial and operating performance. Across our capital, growth and impact platforms, LTM revenue and EBITDA grew in the mid- to high teens, continuing to outperform the broader market. More specifically, our software portfolio continues to perform well with year-over-year bookings growth in the mid-teens across TPG Capital and TPG Growth software companies in the first half. Additionally, we're actively implementing AI-enabled revenue and cost initiatives across our portfolio, which has resulted in tangible improvements to earnings growth. For example, TPG Capital's portfolio company, Boomi, a leading integration Platform as a Service provider, has developed an AI platform that instantly builds integration solutions based on a client's description of a problem in plain English. More than 60% of Boomi's new customers are adopting this solution. And as a result, the company is now generating over $100 million of AI activated recurring revenue, which is expected to double by year-end. Our credit platform appreciated 3% in the quarter, and the credit metrics across our business remain healthy with no notable changes from the prior quarter or historical averages. In Credit Solutions, we saw continued strong performance across our strategies. Notably, our third credit solutions fund delivered time-weighted net returns of 7.5% in the quarter, meaningfully outperforming the U.S. high-yield bond index and bringing the fund's inception-to-date net IRR to nearly 40%. In middle market direct lending, our underlying portfolio companies continue to generate stable earnings growth with an average interest coverage ratio of approximately 2.4x. The benefits of our active portfolio monitoring and robust risk management are evidenced by a continued low nonaccrual rate of 1.4% and an annualized loss ratio since inception of just 2 basis points. In Asset-Based finance, our first ABC fund's net IRR since inception was 12% at the end of the second quarter, which remains at the top half of our target range. Additionally, our Mortgage Value Partners Fund with $7 billion of AUM generated net returns of 3.4% year-to-date, outpacing broader public credit indices. In real estate, our portfolio appreciated approximately 3% in the quarter, driven by continued strength in our data center, industrial, residential and office assets. As a result of our strong value creation during the quarter, our net accrued carry balance increased 15% to $1.4 billion at the end of June. Following our significant monetization cycle in 2021 and '22, our net accrued carry balance has doubled over the past 4 years, setting us up to generate meaningful PRE in the years ahead. We ended the second quarter with $327 billion of total assets under management, up 25% year-over-year. This was driven by $61 billion of capital raised and $26 billion of value creation, partially offset by $26 billion of realizations over the last 12 months. Fee-earning AUM increased 24% year-over-year to $181 billion. AUM subject to fee earning growth was $52 billion at the end of the quarter, which included $39 billion of AUM not yet earning fees. This represents a revenue opportunity of approximately $290 million on an annualized basis. Finally, turning to our fundraising outlook. We continue to expect our capital raising to exceed $50 billion in 2026. We've raised over $26 billion so far. And looking at the back half of the year, we expect the largest contributors to our fundraising to include the following: In private equity, the completion of our TPG Capital X and Healthcare Partners III campaigns by the end of the year, final closes for our Rise Climate private equity funds, TRC II and the Global South initiative in the third quarter and continued progress across our newer strategies, which include transition infrastructure, Peppertree, GP Solutions, TPG Sports and TPG Next. In credit, final closes for our sixth Twin Brook Direct Lending and second asset-backed credit drawdown funds, continuous fundraising across our evergreen vehicles, including Advantage Direct Lending, an initial close for our fourth essential housing fund and the formation of additional CLOs and SMAs. In real estate, we expect to hold first closes for all 4 of our U.S. and Asia real estate equity funds toward the end of the year. Finally, we expect continued momentum in the private wealth channel, where we see significant runway for growth. June 1, as Jon mentioned, marked our 1-year anniversary of T-POP. We're very pleased with what we've achieved in this first year. We've driven significant scale while delivering market-leading returns to our investors. T-POP is now distributed on 2 of the largest U.S. wire houses as well as 3 leading international private bank platforms. We're in active dialogue with several additional partners and expect inflows across the T-POP strategy to continue to accelerate. We continue to advance our new product pipeline and expect to launch a non-traded REIT next year that spans our equity credit and net lease real estate strategies. We're also developing a multi-strategy credit interval fund and pursuing strategic captive advisory mandates with several wealth platforms. Our goal is to create a flagship Evergreen product in each asset class and to complement those products with more targeted evergreen and drawdown funds. To close out my final earnings call as CFO, I want to take the opportunity to thank all of you for your engagement and partnership throughout the years. It's been a true privilege to help TPG -- help lead TPG in this capacity through our IPO and a period of extraordinary growth and transformation. I look forward to staying connected to many of you as I fully transition to leading our Global Wealth business. Now I'll turn the call back to the operator to take your questions. Operator: [Operator Instructions] Question from Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs. Alexander Blostein: First off, Jack, I just want to congratulate you and thank you for all the engagement and the work you've done with the investor community over the years. It's been great and definitely looking forward to what's next in your newish role and Axel, welcome. So along those lines, and this is probably for Jon as well, it probably makes sense just to take a little bit of a step back and remind investors about TPG's insurance strategies, how Axel's background fits into your vision for how TPG will continue to kind of push forth forward in the insurance channel. Jon Winkelried: Yes. Thanks, Alex. Appreciate it. Look, our insurance strategy has been very consistent in that we have focused on developing a series of partnerships with a number of insurers in the market. And I think we've talked about that consistently from the perspective of our focus on our relationship development there, establishing those partnerships, and we've made really meaningful progress over the last number of years with respect to the build of that business. The Jackson partnership, obviously, is at a different scale, and when we did the Jackson partnership, we had talked about it being consistent with our FRE-centric balance sheet-light approach to what we're doing. And I will say that as we spend time with Axel over many months of the process of bringing Axel to the firm, we talked a lot about that. And I think that as he mentioned in his prepared remarks today, I think he sees the benefits that's had with respect to our franchise and how we're building value for our investors. The Jackson partnership, I will say, by the way, continues to go extremely well in all respects, not only just the productivity but also the relationship that we've established between the organizations at Jackson, at their asset management business at PPM. And Jackson, I think you probably saw announced their earnings also. I think they released them last night. They talked about their productivity in the annuity space across RILA, across VA, across the fixed annuity space, and they continue to gain share and have a tremendous amount of momentum. And so we're very happy with our partnership with Jackson. I think they're very happy. As they said in their earnings call, they're very happy with their partnership with TPG. So as I mentioned in my prepared comments, that's created a bit of a flywheel effect for us in terms of building our origination capabilities and allowing us to serve not only Jackson but a number of our other insurance partnerships because Jackson obviously wants to be participating in various tranches of what we're creating, and so it creates an opportunity set to distribute the products more broadly within our insurance relationships. So we are very much on track, I would say, slightly ahead of track with respect to our partnerships. We're going to -- We're continuing to develop these relationships broadly in the market. I expect over time that we'll do -- we'll have other, what I would call, distinct types of partnerships with insurance companies, but I think we're all aligned in terms of staying the course with respect to how we've approached that space. So hopefully, that's responsive. Operator: Our next question comes from Glenn Schorr with Evercore. Glenn Schorr: Okay. So you have your net accrued carry last quarter got marked down, say, over $100 million. This quarter, went up even more than that. I'm curious how much of that is an actual public reference impact. And then maybe more importantly, you could talk about your thoughts on the probability, likelihood and timing. You talked about a good backdrop and a good pipeline. I was just seeing if we can put some meat on that bone. Jack Weingart: Thanks, Glenn. This is Jack. I'll start. But remember, last quarter, we kind of bifurcated the impact that caused the markdowns being more than 100% of it driven by bringing our multiples down. This quarter, we saw, as I mentioned in my comments, really very strong continued earnings growth across our portfolios. And in addition, there was some increase in multiples in the market. And I would say that the increase in our valuations this quarter was very balanced across earnings growth, multiple expansion and some debt pay down leverage-driven equity value appreciation but really driven -- continue to be driven by strong earnings growth in the portfolio. On the outlook for monetizations. Todd, do you want to touch on that? Todd Sisitsky: Yes. I'll just start. I mean you heard the statistics from Jon. If you look across the industry, realizations, I think, are down sort of 46% quarter-over-quarter. For us, we continue to be very focused on monetization, $5 billion every quarter, $14 billion in the first half, so it's up 28% year-over-year. I think part of the reason for that is that we approached the realization process with the same rigor that we do the investment decision. So as President, we go through -- I go through with the partners, the managing partners of each business, every company really once a month. And as we look forward, it's hard to be precise, but we do have a number of companies in a number of situations we feel like we have really good prospects for liquidity. And we are continuing to make progress. We announced our -- the Made sale through a strategic this quarter. We just priced an IPO in India, which brings to -- the 5-year total to 17 IPOs launched in India. So we're very front footed when it comes to the liquidity side, and I agree entirely with Jon's comment that, on the private equity side, we continue to see good prospects in the end of this year and the beginning of next year. Operator: We will move next with Dan Fannon with Jefferies. Daniel Fannon: So Jack, I was hoping you could expand upon your comments about management fee growth continuing in second half this year into 2027. Maybe provide a little bit more context and building blocks around that outlook. Jack Weingart: Sure. Thanks for the question. I think it really relates -- I think if you step back and think about what we've been talking about on FRR growth and management fee growth for the past couple of years is really we were -- after a period of not raising as much capital for businesses that pay us on committed capital throughout '24, we saw ourselves entering a series of fundraises that would drive management fee growth in addition to having raised a lot of capital for credit that we expected to deploy in the coming couple of years. And I'd say we're still in the early to mid-stages of those drivers driving continued management fee growth. Obviously, you're aware that we've been in the market with TPG Capital X, Healthcare Partners III. That's our biggest fund complex, but we really, as you know, have significantly diversified to lots of different funds being in the market over time. The next big wave of -- once this year is complete with the ones I mentioned, the capital funds, the impact funds, next year, we'll be in the market with a significant amount of capital raising for our real estate franchise, which will drive continued management fee growth next year and like this year, will be amplified by the acceleration of deployment across our credit platform, where we really do see our backlog, our pipeline of investment opportunities across the credit businesses feels very strong. So it's really a combination of both -- on the management fee growth side, a combination of all of that. And we just -- we see very strong continued outlook for that. Operator: We will move next with Ben Budish with Barclays. Benjamin Budish: Maybe a quick two-parter on the wealth channel. You mentioned that the TCAP flows were pretty consistent from Q1 to Q2. When we look at the individual months, it looks like June had quite a big step-up. Curious if you could unpack what you're seeing there. And what does that mean for the run rate kind of going into the next quarter? And then during the prepared remarks, I'm just curious, you mentioned some captive advisory mandates across the wealth channel. Just curious if you could talk a little bit more about what does that mean exactly. What does the timing look like, magnitude? Any other details? Jack Weingart: Sure. On the second point, we really don't have much more to disclose yet, but because the partner -- we and the partners I'm talking about are still working through the details. But suffice it to say that there are partners who view our investing capabilities and the products we're creating in wealth to be very differentiated that they want to partner with us across those products on a captive basis. And more to come on that in the coming quarters when there's more to talk about. On the flows, I think we -- I think it's consistent with the industry that during the redemption kind of process that others are going through, there was a little more turmoil in April and May, and people are seeing a little normalization in June. I'd say our results at TCAP are a lot more consistent than that, but we did see the same impact of a little bit of a slowdown in April and May and a pickup in June. So I think industry-wide, you're seeing the signs of the fact that flows are resuming into the credit products. The difference for TCAP has been on the redemption side. As I think Jon and I both mentioned, we've really seen none of the same pressure that others in the industry have seen with 1% redemptions in Q1 and 2% redemptions in Q2. Operator: We'll take our next question from Ken Worthington with JPMorgan. Kenneth Worthington: Axel welcome. Jack, thank you for everything over the years. It's truly been a pleasure. I wanted to go maybe off the beaten path a little bit and talk about the growth franchise. You had bigger fundraising this quarter, I think $2.7 billion highlighted in the growth franchise. So maybe talk about the driver there. And then in terms of deployment, it might seem like an active period given what we're seeing broadly in the economy, but the activity that you're seeing seems to be focused on TECA and TTAD and more limited deployment in Growth VI. So maybe walk through kind of what's going on in that Growth -- the Growth business. Jack Weingart: Maybe I'll start, Ken, on the fundraising side, and then Todd will talk about deployment. But if you look at the second quarter fundraising in the Growth platform, it was driven by really multiple factors. As you know, we've been innovating in that platform and driving growth in fundraising across the new products, including, well, TTAD, continued inflows in TTAD; TPG Sports raising capital; TECA, the new growth business in Asia, raising capital. And we have a fund, a digital media fund that was purpose-built for a limited LP base that we effectively get a continuation vehicle on, which crystallized some carry but also let us continue to manage those assets going forward and continue to earn fees and carry on that. So pretty diversified drivers of the capital raising on the Growth platform. Todd Sisitsky: Yes. I mean I would also just point out, as Jack described it, 2 of those vehicles didn't exist a year ago. So it's not only, I think, strength in the existing platforms that we continue to innovate. The other observation I'd sort of make and I think it speaks to the fundraising and it also speaks to the underlying momentum in that business. If you look at -- in particular if you look at TECA and you look at TTAD, they're benefiting from a very strong portfolio in place. These are now somewhere between 20%, 30%, 40% of the portfolio we've spoken for. And so the money that's coming in, in many cases, are folks not only liking the story, liking the team and the strategy but also being excited about the portfolio that's in place and the sense of momentum in that portfolio. I'd say that's also, by the way, benefiting us very much. I know you asked about Growth specifically in the context of the TPG Capital raise. And all of these raises, we have -- we have some investors who came into earlier rounds and are thinking about upsizing, in part, because, again, of strength of the portfolio. So I'd say, in general, we feel like we're clicking on a lot of cylinders here. We have strong teams and strategies that seem to be working. And the portfolios that have -- we're building, I think, are quite differentiated in the markets in which we operate and the LPs, I think, are responding very favorably to that. Operator: Our next question comes from Steven Chubak with Wolfe Research. Steven Chubak: Congrats, Jack and Axel. I look forward to engaging with both of you in your new roles. Maybe just to start, of course, on the FRE margin outlook, so FRE margins surprised positively in the first half. The incremental margin came in above 60%, really reinforcing that path to sustained operating leverage. And given the better-than-anticipated FRE margin leverage in the first half, the positive tone on second half business momentum, I was hoping we can get a mark to market on FRE margin expectations for this year versus the prior guide and looking beyond '26, whether an incremental FRE margin above 60% is, in fact, sustainable as the business continues to scale with the caveat, I recognize, mix will be a factor. Jack Weingart: Yes. Good question. Look, if we were going to update our guidance of 47%, I would have done that in my prepared remarks. That being said, let me tell you how I think about that. we definitely continue to see the kind of drivers of management fee growth that I talked about in the back half of the year and throughout next year and beyond, and the incremental capital raising in FRR does flow through with a very high incremental margin, probably higher than your 60% but at least 60%. So we definitely see an opportunity longer term to continue driving FRE margin expansion as we have been since the IPO. The question in the back half, it's always hard to predict how it's going to play out 1 quarter at a time. I did mention that we pulled forward some capital markets revenue into Q2, and we do expect a step down in capital markets in Q3. It's harder to predict capital markets revenue than it is to predict management fee revenue. We're currently not budgeting for a big rebound in Q4 either. So I would say what would cause us to increase our margin guidance for the year is if we start to have visibility on more robust capital markets fee growth in the back half of the year to complement what we know will be attractive management fee growth. So that -- it's really a question of timing more than whether we're going to continue to expand the FRE margin. Operator: We will move next with Bart Dziarski with RBC Capital Markets. Bart Dziarski: I wanted to go back to the strong private equity performance this quarter, second highest since your IPO in sort of a more tumultuous software tech background. Could you just unpack the EBITDA earnings growth momentum that you're seeing in your underlying portfolio companies and then how you expect that to persist, particularly with your deployment of AI into the portfolio? Todd Sisitsky: Sure. First, just to sort of give a little more granularity again to what Jack shared. If you look at the value creation, particularly in the context of TPG Capital to start with, it really is almost 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 from EBITDA growth, multiple expansion and debt pay down cash flow. You saw very strong performance across the portfolio in mid- to high teens EBITDA growth on an LTM basis, very steady relative to prior quarter, LTM periods and prior quarters, strong margin levels that have sustained as well. So we feel very good about the underlying performance of our portfolios. I would tell you in software in particular, and I know that's been an area of a lot of focus for the market and for everyone on the phone, we continue to see good performance. And Jon mentioned this, mid-teens bookings growth year-over-year in the first half across our Capital and Growth businesses. If we isolate really on the TPG Capital business, we characterize over 75% of our software exposures is businesses that we believe are extremely well positioned and will benefit from business acceleration and greater remotes given the competitive impact of AI in the businesses. On the other hand, we shared last time what we thought of is the -- what we call the mitigate category, where we think they're challenged as a result of AI impact and disruption. And in the context of just, first, the fund that has the most exposure, which is in Capital, TPG VIII, we characterize about 5% of our portfolio in that mitigate category. And importantly, relative to the last time we shared that news, we have not added any new companies to the mitigate category. So look, it's something -- we approach all this with humility, and certainly, we're focused on the day to day. Jack shared the story, one of many, where we see a lot of opportunity coming out of AI. So we want to be very front footed and look for the opportunities here, but we're also sensitive to the risk. But overall, the answer is the portfolio continues to perform well, and that's showing up in not only our results but in the value creation in the quarter. Operator: We will move next with Devin Ryan with Citizens Bank. Devin Ryan: Just maybe a more direct one on AI and DeployCo specifically. How much could the implementation become a differentiated sourcing advantage for TPG? Essentially, trying to think about helping win competitive investments or even additional strategic partnerships with companies looking for either capital or AI expertise and really just trying to get a better sense of how broadly you expect that advantage could extend beyond the initial DeployCo investment if all goes well over time. Todd Sisitsky: Well, we're -- I think it's a very good question. We're excited about the investment on its own merits, and the structure of the investment, the opportunity, we feel like there's a tremendous disconnect between the supply and demand of the forward deployed engineers as people really try to go beyond the low-hanging fruit and redesign some of the business processes with the capability of AI. But I think your point is -- the implied point is a good one, which is to say, this does have a lot of implications for our broader business model. First of all, we're investors directly in several large language model companies, primarily through TTAD. This opportunity, the other engagements that we have with these companies has created for us, I think, a lot of insight into AI and a lot of capabilities not only for existing portfolio companies but for the prospective companies that we're looking at and we're underwriting and in many cases, reflecting significant impact from AI in the underwriting case during our investment review committee process. And so I think it is -- as you say, it's one of those investments and we've had others in our history that has an immediate impact. It creates a great opportunity but also, we think, creates a competitive edge at a time of a lot of dynamicism, to say the least, and where these types of insights and relationships have a real impact on your ability to support and inflect the growth of your companies. Jon Winkelried: The only thing I would add to that is that I think in -- kind of implicit in your question, I think one of the things that -- one of the things, I think, that we're really actively observing as a result of the implementation process of AI solutions and the technology within our portfolio is that it sort of takes 2 important elements in our judgment to really execute on these transformations. The DeployCo investment is obviously giving us a -- both access as well as insight into the engineering side of these transformations, but it requires really more than that. And I think you're familiar with and we talk a lot about our engagement with our portfolio, our operational capabilities, and it's the ability to understand how to execute transformations, which we've done for many, many, many years within our portfolio, engagement with management teams, being able to implement these transformations, bring in the engineering capability and actually execute whether it's through go to market or on product, et cetera. So we feel that our capabilities, combined with the exceptional capabilities that the DeployCo can bring to bear is a very distinguishing feature. Operator: We will move next with Brennan Hawken with BMO Capital Markets. Brennan Hawken: It looks like the -- when you exclude catch-up fees, the fee rate compressed quarter-over-quarter but appreciate that the volatility in marks can skew that. So was hoping you could clarify, did the underlying core fee rate move this quarter and if so, maybe what drove that? Jack Weingart: That's a good question. We really haven't seen -- well, as I've said, as we expand in certain asset classes into other parts of the market, like in asset-backed credit as we're expanding into investment grade, the investment-grade world, that's very value added to us. It has a very high contribution margin associated with it as we scale in that business. It does bring -- that market does bring with it a lower average fee rate. And we've talked about with the Jackson relationship, a minimum fee rate of 50 basis points. On the other hand, the higher octane part of our credit business, Credit Solutions, has a much higher fee rate in that business as we scale up from lower middle market direct lending into Advantage Direct Lending, that has a slightly lower fee rate associated with it, too. So as we expand the scope of some of our businesses into larger market opportunities, some of those larger market opportunity -- those larger market opportunities generally are lower in the risk return spectrum and will carry with them very valuable fees but a slightly lower fee rate. If there's any trend toward a slightly lower fee rate, that would be it. We don't see any kind of systemic fee rate pressure in each of our businesses. Operator: We will move next with Brian Bedell with Deutsche Bank. Brian Bedell: Great. And also, congrats, Jack, for your new dedicated role to private wealth and also welcome Axel. And then maybe, Jack, if I can actually talk about that or ask you about that, and thanks for your prepared remarks on that, as you think about developing that over the next several years, do you envision the growth trajectory of this business from a fundraising standpoint being more predicated upon product rollout or expanding distribution? I know you said you're on 2 wirehouse platforms. So expanding that and to more private banks and even in the RIA channel and even globally, I guess, which -- how should we think about those 2 dimensions to it? And from a distribution cost perspective, is that something -- as you expand more dramatically, do you view that as still margin accretive or more of a sort of investment to grow the business from a distribution perspective? Jack Weingart: Good question, Brian. You basically -- you did a good job summarizing why I'm excited about this. I'm spending all of my time in this area after really helping drive T-POP as a starting point and jumping into this role last year, as Jon mentioned. But the answer to your question is basically all of the above. If you start on the distribution side, I mentioned 2 wirehouse platforms as the 2 wirehouse platforms that were our anchors on T-POP. We're on more wirehouse platforms than that across all of our private wealth business for both evergreen and drawdown funds. We're seeing, in some cases, increasing demand from wirehouses and private banks for our high-performing, more focused strategies in drawdown format. So going forward, we continue to kind of see both of those being drivers. On the distribution side, we're -- I would say we're early in expanding our distribution points of presence for T-POP itself. I mentioned we added a couple of 2 or 3 international platforms on top of those 2 U.S. wirehouse platforms. They're just now -- well, one was added last year. The 2 new ones are just now beginning to contribute to capital raising. So you'll see more of that flow in next year. We're also in the U.S. market, expanding in the RIA channel. We're adding an RIA distribution team alongside our wirehouse distribution team in the U.S. Internationally, we've already added a bit of a SWAT team across Asia. We're adding to that in Japan and Australia. So there's a lot of -- a lot for us to continue to do to just expand our existing product set distribution points of presence across the U.S and internationally. Also on the products side, I mentioned this in my prepared remarks, but T-POP is really the first flagship evergreen vehicle that's across asset -- in this case, the private equity asset class. We've obviously got other evergreen vehicles that are high performing and attracting great traction in the market like TCAP and MVP in the credit business, but we don't yet have a flagship kind of T-POP-equivalent product in real estate and credit, and we're actively working on both of those. Once we have those, we'll have an opportunity to take the brand building we've been doing with T-POP and leverage that across more products. The final thing I'd say is think about those kind of flagship asset-class-level evergreen products also flowing in to what I think of as packaged solutions in the marketplace, with some of the intermediaries and the partners we're talking about, creating their own packaged kind of next-generation fund of funds where we see already T-POP, as an example, being positively selected into those bundles as a high-performing differentiated private equity solution. So you'll see -- hopefully, you'll see that occur now in a broader way across the different asset classes. So it's kind of building the building blocks and growing the distribution at the same time. And then finally, on your cost question, there's no question we're incurring some costs to build out distribution. But the amount of product we can leverage across that distribution system, there's no question this should be a margin-accretive business. Jon Winkelried: As Jack transitions all this time to the private wealth channel, we know, because of his history as CFO, that he's not going to go crazy. And he's going to be attentive to margin. So don't worry about it. We got him under control. Operator: We will move next with Arnaud Giblat with BNP. Arnaud Giblat: I've just got a quick question on transaction fees. This quarter, [ you're close ] to record transaction fee levels despite slower levels of exits versus previous quarters. I'm just wondering if you could unpack that a bit and especially when talking about the outlook because you did talk about a pickup in monetization to be expected yet a low level of transaction fees for H2. Jack Weingart: Yes, good question. If I try to -- if you think about -- step back and think about the drivers of the capital markets business, it's much more correlated with new investment activity than it is with exit activity. I mean it's occasionally the case that if we sell a company, will -- our capital markets team will work to kind of pre-place the debt before we run an auction, for example, and place the debt with a portable capital structure, so it can port to any buyer. That's more the exception to the rule there, so it's actually kind of unusual for us to attach much capital markets revenue to our exit activity. The -- my comments about the back half of the year have much more to do with the timing of our deployment, particularly in our larger private equity business where, as I mentioned, we pulled forward a couple of large closes. There's typically these days, given how we're capitalizing our new investments, the work we're doing to raise the most attractive debt with our own capital markets business. The biggest drivers of capital markets fees, not the only but the biggest, are larger deals closing. And we had a couple of big ones close in Q2. And as we sit here today, we don't see the kind of -- those kind of chunky additions to capital markets in Q3 or Q4. But it's really -- I wouldn't think about the correlation being with exit activity. But when you step back and think about capital markets, as we've all mentioned, since IPO, it's been a -- we've talked about it being a significant opportunity for us. We've delivered on that by adding to the team and penetrating a lot more of our businesses, building out our capital markets team across asset classes, including credit, and we are seeing the benefit of that. It's just a question of predicting quarter-by-quarter remains difficult. Operator: Our next question comes from Mike Brown with UBS. Michael Brown: So really strong start to the year on the fundraising front and you provided some good color about the drivers for the rest of the year here. I guess I just wanted to ask a little bit more about real estate and credit. So in real estate, just curious if you're seeing any hesitation from LPs just given some of the market rate volatility out there. And then how could that potentially impact how fundraising flows in on your real estate strategies in terms of first close and then subsequent raises? And then on the credit side, really upbeat commentary or generally upbeat commentary on the deployment front. So maybe could you just add a little bit of color around that? What are you seeing specifically? Is that more kind of market driven or just as you're continuing to take market share and really expand your capabilities in credit? Jon Winkelried: Sure. Well, let's start with real estate. I think that this has been an evolving asset class with respect to investor interest over the last, I would say, couple of years coming from a place where, obviously, through changes in interest rates and inversion between cap rates and financing costs, pressure on office in a number of sectors, real estate was something that wasn't getting a lot of attention. And I think we've been consistently describing over the last really 18 months a change in what we feel like the opportunity set is as a result of, ultimately, people needing to sell -- certain market players needing to sell certain assets, interesting opportunities coming up, even things like take privates from public REITs. Just pressure in the market has created a value opportunity as well as, as I mentioned in my comments, being able to acquire quality real estate and platforms well below replacement costs, et cetera. So that narrative and that kind of dynamic is really sort of taking hold within the LP community as far as we see. We're also leveraging off of a very strong track record across our business, and that's not -- as you know, that's not that common based upon the experience that the market's had in real estate. So we -- our teams have done a very good job navigating what has been a difficult space in the market. We are seeing a very robust level of interest across the platforms that Jack described, where we'll be raising capital. And I think one thing that might be helpful to you just in terms of giving you a sense for what gives us confidence around that is just the level of engagement and deal activity that we're seeing. And we've had -- as an example, over the course of the last, really, the first half of the year, we've had about something along the lines of 4 different investments that are significant investments, for instance, in our opportunistic business, where we've had $2.6 billion of co-investment come along. That co-investment is coming from both existing investors as well as what would be new-to-fund investors. So a real expression of interest in size from investors that have not been allocating up to now to opportunistic real estate funds or, by the way, on the Core Plus side as well, not been allocating to those funds who are now participating with us in deal flow. And our expectation is, with a lot of confidence, that they will be coming into our fundraising process as we go through the balance of this year and into next year. So we have a lot of confidence in terms of what we're expecting to see in participation in our real estate capital formation process. On the credit side, I think that one of the things that's happened in the market is you're starting to see dispersion for the first time in a long time. And if you look across both the performance of our strategies and also where we are participating in the market, I think that our strategies and our platform is continuing to distinguish itself in the market. And so I think that it's created an opportunity for us. We are just getting more share of mind from investors as we go and talk about our strategies. If you look at, for instance, our performance that I mentioned in my comments in our lower middle market direct lending strategy in Twin Brook and in our new expanded strategy in ADL, if you look at leverage levels, cash flow lending as opposed to other types of lending, it's attracting more and more interest from investors that want to diversify away from sort of the upper middle market part of the -- the upper middle part of the market where there's a lot more competition, a lot more compression in terms of terms. We've -- when we look at our pace of originations this year, we're expecting that we will probably do better than we expected we would do coming into the year just in terms of level of transactional activity and our gaining share in that market. And then I mentioned also in my comments around our Credit Solutions platform, with what is going on across the market generally with capital structures that may be somewhat stuck, refinancing walls that are -- refi walls that are maturity walls that are coming up over the course of 2028, 2029, they're just -- there is just a strong need for solutions-oriented capital in the market. And we have the capacity and the capabilities to fill that need. So things like Hybrid Solutions, things like Credit Solutions are just attracting a lot of attention in here as sort of a very good risk/reward part of the market. So I think that is sort of what we see overall happening. Jack Weingart: It's Jack. The only thing I'd add to that, on your question about the timing of fees generated, Jon mentioned we're very, very confident in the LP support for these real estate businesses. We're not assuming that we activate any of those funds until close to the end of the year. So you'll see most of the FRR benefit from that fundraising kick in throughout the course of the year next year. Operator: We'll take our last question from Bill Katz with TD Cowen. William Katz: Jack and Axel, congratulations both. I look forward to as well working with you in new respective roles. Maybe just a big picture question. Just sort of think through the flywheel on the monetization opportunity, very good sequential growth in the net accrued carry, as you talked about earlier. Just looking through your disclosure, you have a bunch of different vintages where you saw some nice improvement. So I guess the first part of the question is, as you think through that flywheel of opportunity into 2027, which areas do you sort of see the best opportunity to drive that monetization. And then just a conceptual question. As you think through your operating leverage into 2027, how does that sort of quantum of compensation opportunity, which I know sits on the private side, how does that inform your compensation that sits within the FRE? Todd Sisitsky: Yes, I'll start with the first part. I'd say it's actually pretty broad-based at this point in terms of where we see the opportunities. We're seeing a number of opportunities that we're excited about in the climate business in terms of monetization over the next 3 to 6 months. We actually see a number of opportunities that we're pushing on in the software space as well. I think as we mentioned, we've continued to be very active in Asia and have had one strategic sale and one IPO in the last couple of weeks alone and continue to see opportunities to drive that. We have a few public companies. As we mentioned, there will be -- may go public in the future. And we have stakes in some companies that have recently gone public, so there's some natural way liquidity. And finally, we've referenced this in other calls. We've referenced this today. We have a few -- we have a healthy push of our business today in private equity, particularly in TPG Capital, that relates to structured partnerships with corporate partners, in many cases, repeat structured partnership, corporate partners. When you look at the first quarter, we had a really strong distribution -- excuse me, exits with Intersect Power to Google and our exit to Cencora of the business that we bought together, OneOncology, and both very good exits, both contemplated in the original partnership with those partners. In some cases, we have very clear structural time frames around all these things, but I think that there will continue to be opportunities to fulfill the natural evolution of those structured partnerships, which would be for the corporates to take over and to acquire the businesses. That will also be a portion of the exits that we see over the next year. So I actually would say it's not particularly concentrated. We see opportunities really across the board. Jack Weingart: And Bill, on the second part of your question, I would just say, I think I'm interpreting your question correctly, but as we see the next wave of promote generated, we have a pretty well-established allocation process for that promote. We're going to continue to generate -- to allocate 20% of it in kind of a royalty format through to shareholders and the remainder of it flows in the direction that you know. So the fact is, this year, our promote's probably going to be a little bit below an average year, and our partners are comfortable with that. As we promote new partners, they come out of the FRE comp and into the carry pool, and that's what -- as we see the next surge of carry generated, we'll continue to allocate it in the same way. Operator: This concludes the Q&A portion of today's call. I would now like to turn the call back over to Gary Stein for closing remarks. Gary Stein: Thank you. Thank you all for joining us today. As always, if you have any follow-up questions, please feel free to reach out directly to the Investor Relations team. Otherwise, we'll look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Jon Winkelried: Thank you, everyone. Operator: Thank you. This concludes today's TPG's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call and Webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time, and have a wonderful day. 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Interested in TPG Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. TPG reported strong second-quarter growth: fee-related revenue rose 27% year over year to $628 million, fee-related earnings increased 43% to $315 million, and after-tax distributable earnings reached $280 million, or $0.69 per Class A share. The company declared a $0.59 dividend. Fundraising, assets and deployment expanded: total assets under management increased 25% to $327 billion, while TPG raised $16 billion and deployed approximately $14 billion during the quarter. Management reaffirmed its goal of raising more than $50 billion in 2026. TPG expects stronger realizations ahead but maintained its margin outlook: the firm generated $5 billion in second-quarter realizations and anticipates increased performance allocations late this year and into 2027 if markets normalize. It retained its full-year fee-related earnings margin guidance of 47% and expects third-quarter transaction and monitoring fees to decline. MarketBeat Week in Review – 04/13 - 04/17 TPG (NASDAQ:TPG) reported second-quarter results marked by higher fee-related revenue, fundraising, deployment and assets under management, while management said it expects continued management-fee growth and a stronger pace of realizations toward the end of 2026 and into 2027. The alternative asset manager reported GAAP net income attributable to TPG Inc. of $93 million and after-tax distributable earnings of $280 million, or $0.69 per Class A share. The company declared a $0.59-per-share Class A dividend payable Aug. 28 to shareholders of record as of Aug. 14. → SpaceX’s First Earnings Report Could Decide Whether Shorts or Bulls Have Control TPG Built a Record Year, Then Lost 40%—Is the Selloff Overdone? Fee-related revenue increased 27% from a year earlier to $628 million, while fee-related earnings rose 43% to $315 million. The resulting fee-related earnings margin was 50%. Management fees increased 15% year over year and 9% sequentially, according to outgoing Chief Financial Officer Jack Weingart. “TPG delivered strong results in the second quarter, capping off a record first half for the firm,” Chief Executive Officer John Winkelried said. He said the firm believes it is positioned to gain share as changes involving artificial intelligence, private credit, monetary policy and geopolitics create greater dispersion in investment performance across the industry. → Financials Hit Record Highs as the AI Trade Unravels—Can They Keep Leading? TPG ended June with $327 billion in total assets under management, up 25% from a year earlier. Fee-earning assets under management increased 24% to $181 billion. The company said $52 billion of AUM was subject to fee-earning growth, including $39 billion not yet earning fees, representing an estimated annualized revenue opportunity of about $290 million. The firm raised $16 billion during the second quarter and more than $26 billion in the first half. Management reaffirmed its expectation to raise more than $50 billion in 2026. Private equity strategies raised $8 billion in the second quarter, including $1.3 billion for TPG Capital X and Healthcare Partners III. Credit raised $5.6 billion, including $2.5 billion of new multiyear commitments through TPG’s partnership with Jackson Financial. Peppertree, TPG’s telecom-tower infrastructure manager, held a $1 billion first close for its 11th fund. TPG said it is in market with its U.S. and Asia real estate equity funds and expects first closes in coming quarters. → Why Rare Earth Processing Could Be the Real 2027 Opportunity In private wealth, TPG’s perpetual private-equity strategy, TPOP, generated approximately $450 million of inflows during the quarter and ended June with $2.9 billion in AUM. Winkelried said the strategy’s annualized inception-to-date return was 34%. The company also reported $193 million of gross inflows for TCAP, its non-traded business development company, while redemption requests equaled 2.1% of total shares outstanding. TPG deployed approximately $14 billion during the second quarter, a 33% increase from a year earlier, bringing trailing-12-month deployment to a record $62 billion. Private-equity strategies deployed $7.2 billion, up 60% year over year, while credit deployed $4.4 billion and real estate deployed $2.3 billion. Management highlighted AI-related investments and operational initiatives as a growing part of its investment approach. TPG has invested directly in large-language-model companies including OpenAI and Anthropic, Winkelried said. The firm also committed more than $4 billion alongside OpenAI and other investment firms to form DeployCo, an AI transformation and services platform intended to address implementation challenges at large enterprises. TPG said DeployCo has begun working with Conservice, a TPG Capital portfolio company, to automate utility-bill intake, exception resolution and quality-control processes. In TPG Growth, the firm recently completed the acquisition of Smith + Howard, a top-50 CPA firm serving the Southeastern U.S. TPG said its investment thesis includes AI-enabled lead generation and workflow automation. Within credit, TwinBrook generated $2.3 billion of gross originations in the quarter, including more than 40% from add-on activity among existing borrowers. TPG also deployed more than $1 billion in asset-based finance and more than $1 billion in credit solutions. The company cited financing commitments for the carve-out of BMC Helix from BMC Software and a £900 million second-lien facility supporting Bally’s Intralot’s proposed acquisition of evoke. Weingart said the second-quarter result benefited from transaction closes that had been expected in the third quarter. TPG expects transaction and monitoring fees to decline in the third quarter and maintained its full-year fee-related earnings margin outlook of 47%. “What would cause us to increase our margin guidance for the year is if we start to have visibility on a more robust capital markets fee growth in the back half of the year,” Weingart said during the question-and-answer session. TPG generated $5 billion of realizations in the second quarter and nearly $14 billion in the first half, up 28% from the prior-year first half. The company generated $35 million in realized performance allocations during the quarter, primarily from its Growth and Credit platforms. Management said market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty have delayed some exits across the industry, but it expects realized performance allocations to increase late this year and into 2027 if markets normalize. Portfolio values rose about 6% in private equity, 3% in credit and 3% in real estate during the quarter. TPG’s net accrued carry balance increased 15% to $1.4 billion at the end of June. Weingart said private-equity portfolio companies across the Capital, Growth and Impact platforms recorded mid-to-high-teens trailing-12-month revenue and EBITDA growth. Axel André joined TPG as chief financial officer in July, succeeding Weingart, who is transitioning fully to his role as CEO of Global Wealth Solutions. André most recently served as CFO of Reinsurance Group of America. Winkelried said André’s insurance-industry experience complements TPG’s partnership-based approach with insurers, including Jackson Financial. The Jackson relationship has produced $4.5 billion in commitments since February and has helped expand TPG’s origination and distribution capabilities, according to management. Weingart said TPG plans to broaden both product offerings and distribution in wealth management. The firm expects to launch an untraded REIT next year spanning its equity credit and net-lease real estate strategies, and is developing a multi-strategy credit interval fund. Management also said it is expanding TPOP distribution through international private banks and the U.S. registered investment adviser channel. TPG Inc (NASDAQ: TPG) is a global alternative asset management firm that invests across a range of strategies including private equity, growth equity, real assets, credit and hedge funds. Founded in 1992 as Texas Pacific Group, the firm has expanded its product set to serve a broad set of institutional and individual investors through commingled funds, separately managed accounts and other customized investment vehicles. TPG operates investment platforms that target buyouts, growth-stage companies, real estate and credit opportunities, and it has developed dedicated thematic and impact vehicles such as the TPG Rise Fund to pursue social and environmental outcomes alongside financial returns. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "TPG Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for August 2026.

SAN FRANCISCO & FORT WORTH, Texas, August 04, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--TPG Inc. (NASDAQ: TPG), a leading global alternative asset management firm, today reported its unaudited results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A detailed presentation is available through the Investor Relations section of TPG’s website at shareholders.tpg.com. "TPG delivered record results during the first half of 2026, reflecting the strength of our diversified and growing franchise," said Jon Winkelried, Chief Executive Officer. "Our business model is designed to perform across market cycles, and the breadth of our platform, the strength of our investment performance, and the depth of our client relationships continue to support step-function growth across the firm. As clients increasingly partner with TPG for access to our differentiated offerings across strategies, we continue to see significant opportunities to further expand our platform and build long-term value for our shareholders." Dividend TPG has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.59 per share of Class A common stock to holders of record at the close of business on August 14, 2026, payable on August 28, 2026. Conference Call TPG will host a conference call and live webcast today at 11:00 am ET. It may be accessed by dialing (800) 245-3047 (US toll-free) or (203) 518-9765 (international), using the conference ID TPGQ226. The number should be dialed at least ten minutes prior to the start of the call. A simultaneous webcast will also be available and can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of TPG’s website at shareholders.tpg.com. A webcast replay will be made available on the Events page in the Investor Relations section of TPG’s website. About TPG TPG is a leading global alternative asset management firm, founded in San Francisco in 1992, with $327 billion of assets under management and investment and operational teams around the world. TPG invests across a broadly diversified set of strategies, including private equity, impact, credit, real estate, and market solutions, and our unique strategy is driven by collaboration, innovation, and inclusion. Our teams combine deep product and sector experience with broad capabilities and expertise to develop differentiated insights and add value for our fund investors, portfolio companies, management teams, and communities. Forward Looking Statements; No Offers This document may contain "forward-looking" statements. Forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as "anticipates," "intends," "plans," "seeks," "believes," "estimates," "expects" and similar references to future periods, or by the inclusion of forecasts or projections. Examples of forward-looking statements include statements we make regarding the outlook for our future business and financial performance, estimated operational metrics, business strategy and plans and objectives of management for future operations, including, among other things, statements regarding expected growth, future capital expenditures, fund performance, dividends and dividend policy, and debt service obligations. Forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions regarding our business, the economy and other future conditions. Because forward-looking statements relate to the future, by their nature, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. As a result, our actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by any forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include the inability to recognize the anticipated benefits, or unexpected costs related to the integration, of acquired companies; our ability to manage growth and execute our business plan; and regional, national or global political, economic, business, competitive, market and regulatory conditions and uncertainties, among various other risks discussed in the Company’s SEC filings. For the reasons described above, we caution you against relying on any forward-looking statements, which should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements included elsewhere in this document and risk factors discussed from time to time in the Company’s filings with the SEC, which can be found at the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov. Any forward-looking statement in this document speaks only as of the date of this document. Factors or events that could cause our actual results to differ may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict all of them. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement after the date of this document, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as may be required by law. No recipient should, therefore, rely on these forward-looking statements as representing the views of the Company or its management as of any date subsequent to the date of the document. This document does not constitute an offer of any TPG fund. View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260803753538/en/ Contacts Shareholders Gary Stein and Evanny [email protected] Media Luke Barrett and Julia [email protected]

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. GAAP Net Income: $93 million attributable to TPG Inc. for Q2 2026. After-Tax Distributable Earnings: $280 million, or $0.69 per share of Class A common stock. Dividend: Declared a dividend of $0.59 per share of Class A common stock. Fee-Related Revenue: $628 million, up 27% year-over-year. Fee-Related Earnings (FRE): $315 million, up 43% year-over-year, with a 50% FRE margin. Management Fees: Grew 15% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. Realized Performance Allocations: $35 million in Q2, driven by realizations in growth and credit platforms. Total Assets Under Management (AUM): $327 billion, up 25% year-over-year. Fee-Earning AUM: $181 billion, up 24% year-over-year. Capital Raised: $16 billion in Q2, bringing year-to-date total to over $26 billion. Capital Deployed: Approximately $14 billion in Q2, up 33% year-over-year. Realizations: $5 billion in Q2, bringing year-to-date total to nearly $14 billion. Net Accrued Carry Balance: Increased 15% to $1.4 billion at the end of June. Effective Corporate Income Tax Rate: 8% for Q2. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with TPG. Is TPG fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: August 04, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) delivered strong Q2 results with fee-related revenue up 27% year-over-year to $628 million and fee-related earnings up 43% to $315 million, achieving a 50% FRE margin. The company raised $16 billion in Q2, bringing year-to-date fundraising to over $26 billion, and remains confident in exceeding its $50 billion target for 2026. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) invested approximately $14 billion in Q2, up 33% year-over-year, with record LTM deployment of $62 billion, driven by strong activity across private equity, credit, and real estate. The launch of T-POP, its perpetual private equity product, has been successful, with $2.9 billion in AUM and annualized inception-to-date returns of 34%, and the company is expanding its private wealth distribution network. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) is capitalizing on AI opportunities, including leading the OpenAI Deployment Company with over $4 billion in initial capital, which is expected to drive value creation and new investment opportunities. The company's net accrued carry balance increased 15% to $1.4 billion, and private equity portfolio value appreciated approximately 6% in Q2, the second highest quarterly increase since its IPO. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) continues to see strong performance in its credit platform, with low nonaccrual rates (1.4%) and robust returns, including a 7.5% quarterly return for its third Credit Solutions Fund. The company is expanding its insurance partnerships, with Jackson Financial committing $2.5 billion in new multiyear commitments, bringing total commitments to $4.5 billion since February. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) is experiencing strong demand for its real estate funds, with $2.3 billion deployed in Q2, up 47% year-over-year, and expects first closes for all four US and Asia real estate equity funds by year-end. The company's capital markets business continues to be a powerful revenue driver, with LTM transaction and monitoring fees growing at a 31% annualized rate since its IPO. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) expects transaction and monitoring fees to step down in Q3 due to a pull forward of certain transaction closes from Q3 into Q2, which may impact near-term revenue. The company's realized performance allocations were only $35 million in Q2, reflecting a volatile macro backdrop that has temporarily impacted the timing of realizations across the industry. Private equity activity declined during the quarter as buyers and sellers recalibrated for geopolitical uncertainty, changing interest rate expectations, and AI-driven disruption, which could slow exit activity. The company's effective tax rate is expected to step up in Q4 after fully utilizing tax deductions from RSU vesting, which could reduce after-tax distributable earnings. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) faces potential fee rate compression as it expands into lower-fee segments like investment-grade asset-backed credit and Advantage Direct Lending, which may dilute overall fee rates. The private wealth channel has seen industry-wide deceleration in net flows due to private credit concerns, although TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) has so far maintained momentum. The company's FRE margin guidance of 47% for the full year remains unchanged, indicating that Q2's elevated 50% margin may not be sustainable in the near term. Real estate fundraising is still in early stages, with first closes expected only toward the end of the year, meaning fee-earning AUM growth from this segment will be delayed. The company's reliance on capital markets fees for top-line growth introduces volatility, as these fees are harder to predict and can fluctuate quarter-to-quarter. TPG Inc (NASDAQ:TPG) faces ongoing market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties that could continue to impact realizations and overall investment activity in the second half of 2026. Q: How does Axel Andre's background fit into TPG's vision for its insurance strategy, particularly regarding the Jackson Financial partnership? A: Jon Winkelried (CEO) stated that TPG's insurance strategy is consistent, focusing on developing partnerships with insurers. The Jackson partnership is at a different scale and aligns with their FRE-centric, balance sheet-light approach. The partnership is going extremely well, with Jackson gaining share in the annuity space. This has created a "flywheel effect," enhancing origination capabilities and allowing TPG to serve Jackson and other insurance partners more broadly. TPG is slightly ahead of track with its partnerships and expects to develop other distinct types of partnerships with insurance companies over time. Q: Can you unpack the drivers behind the strong Private Equity performance this quarter, particularly regarding EBITDA growth and the impact of AI on the portfolio? A: Todd Sisitsky (President) explained that value creation was roughly one-third each from EBITDA growth, multiple expansion, and debt paydown. The portfolio saw mid-to-high teens EBITDA growth on an LTM basis. In software, bookings growth was in the mid-teens year-over-year. Approximately 75% of TPG Capital's software exposure is well-positioned to benefit from AI, while only about 5% of the TPG VIII portfolio is in a "mitigate" category due to AI disruption risk, with no new companies added to that list. The portfolio continues to perform well, reflected in the strong quarterly results. Q: What is the outlook for FRE margin expansion for the rest of 2026 and beyond, given the strong first-half performance? A: Jon Winkelried (CEO) confirmed the full-year guidance of a 47% FRE margin remains unchanged. He noted that incremental capital raising and FRR flow through with a high incremental margin (at least 60%). The company sees an opportunity to continue driving FRE margin expansion long-term. However, the timing of Capital Markets fees is harder to predict, especially after pulling forward some revenue into Q2. A potential increase in margin guidance would depend on visibility into more robust Capital Markets fee growth in the back half of the year. Q: How much could the OpenAI Deployment Company (DeployCo) become a differentiated sourcing advantage for TPG in winning competitive investments? A: Todd Sisitsky (President) stated that DeployCo is an exciting investment on its own merits, addressing a significant disconnect between supply and demand for deployed engineers. It also has broader implications for TPG's business model, providing deep insights into AI and capabilities for both existing and prospective portfolio companies. This creates a competitive edge in underwriting and supporting growth. Jon Winkelried (CEO) added that successful AI transformation requires both engineering capability and deep expertise in business process execution, a combination TPG and DeployCo can uniquely provide. Q: Can you provide more detail on the growth trajectory of the Private Wealth business, specifically regarding product rollout versus distribution expansion, and the associated costs? A: Jack Weingart (CFO) said the growth will come from "all of the above." On distribution, TPG is expanding its points of presence for T-POP, adding international platforms and building an RIA distribution team in the US. On the product side, TPG is developing flagship evergreen products in real estate and credit, similar to T-POP, and exploring packaged solutions with intermediaries. While there are costs to build out distribution, the ability to leverage products across the distribution system should make this a margin-accretive business. Q: What drove the strong transaction and monitoring fees this quarter, and why is a step-down expected in Q3? A: Jack Weingart (CFO) clarified that Capital Markets revenue is more correlated with new investment activity than exits. The strong Q2 was driven by a couple of large deal closes, which were pulled forward from Q3. As of now, TPG does not see similar chunky additions to capital markets fees in Q3 or Q4. The business remains a significant opportunity, with the team expanded across asset classes, but predicting quarterly performance remains difficult. Q: Are you seeing any hesitation from LPs in Real Estate fundraising given market volatility, and what is driving the upbeat deployment commentary in Credit? A: Jon Winkelried (CEO) noted that investor interest in real estate is evolving positively, driven by value opportunities and a strong track record. TPG is seeing robust interest, evidenced by $2.6 billion of co-investment across four significant opportunistic deals in the first half, including from new investors. In Credit, TPG is gaining share in lower middle market direct lending and seeing strong demand for solutions-oriented capital in Credit Solutions due to upcoming maturity walls. The pace of originations is expected to exceed initial expectations. Q: Can you elaborate on the net accrued carry increase and the outlook for monetization into 2027? A: Jack Weingart (CFO) explained that the increase in net accrued carry was driven by strong earnings growth, multiple expansion, and debt paydown. Todd Sisitsky (President) added that monetization opportunities are broad-based, including in the Climate business, software, and Asia (with recent strategic sales and IPOs). TPG also has stakes in public companies and structured partnerships with corporates that provide clear exit paths. The pipeline is strong, and realizations are expected to accelerate towards the end of 2026 and into 2027. Q: Did the underlying core fee rate move this quarter, and what is the trend? A: Jack Weingart (CFO) stated there is no systemic fee rate pressure. However, as TPG expands into larger market opportunities, such as investment-grade asset-backed credit and the Jackson relationship (with a minimum fee rate of 50 basis points), the average fee rate may be slightly lower. Conversely, higher-octane businesses like Credit Solutions have higher fee rates. The expansion into larger markets generally carries slightly lower fees but remains very valuable. Q: What are the drivers of the strong fundraising in the Growth franchise, and how is deployment progressing? A: Jack Weingart (CFO) attributed the strong fundraising to multiple factors, including inflows into TTAD, TPG Sports, TCAP, and a new growth business in Asia, as well as a continuation vehicle for a digital media fund. Todd Sisitsky (President) added that the strong portfolio performance in TICA and TTAD is attracting investors, with 20-40% of the portfolio already spoken for. The momentum is broad-based, with strong teams and differentiated strategies resonating with L For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

TPG Inc. (TPG) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.59 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.69 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +16.95%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.61 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.7, delivering a surprise of +14.75%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. TPG Inc., which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Investment Management industry, posted revenues of $628.19 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 11.06%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $495.12 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. TPG Inc. shares have lost about 27.4% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 11%. While TPG Inc. has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for TPG Inc. was unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.68 on $595.18 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $2.83 on $2.42 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Investment Management is currently in the top 28% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. Another stock from the same industry, Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR), has yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on August 5. This investment management firm is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.81 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +15.3%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 3.2% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. Victory Capital Holdings' revenues are expected to be $385.88 million, up 9.9% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report TPG Inc. (TPG) : Free Stock Analysis Report Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

T. Rowe Price (TROW) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.57 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.52 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.24 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.98%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this financial services firm would post earnings of $2.37 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.52, delivering a surprise of +6.33%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. T. Rowe, which belongs to the Zacks Financial - Investment Management industry, posted revenues of $1.91 billion for the quarter ended June 2026, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.6%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $1.72 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. T. Rowe shares have added about 16.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 8.7%. While T. Rowe has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for T. Rowe was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.55 on $1.96 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $10.11 on $7.72 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Financial - Investment Management is currently in the top 26% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. One other stock from the same industry, TPG Inc. (TPG), is yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on August 4. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.59 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -14.5%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 1.9% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. TPG Inc.'s revenues are expected to be $565.65 million, up 14.3% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) : Free Stock Analysis Report TPG Inc. (TPG) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when TPG Inc. (TPG) reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 4. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.60 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -13%. Revenues are expected to be $565.65 million, up 14.3% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 1.92% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only. A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). For TPG Inc., the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +0.84%. On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4. So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that TPG Inc. will beat the consensus EPS estimate. While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number. For the last reported quarter, it was expected that TPG Inc. would post earnings of $0.61 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.70, delivering a surprise of +14.75%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times. An earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss. That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported. TPG Inc. doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release. T. Rowe Price (TROW), another stock in the Zacks Financial - Investment Management industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $2.52 for the quarter ended June 2026. This estimate points to a year-over-year change of +12.5%. Revenues for the quarter are expected to be $1.92 billion, up 11.6% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for T. Rowe has been revised 2.9% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. However, a lower Most Accurate Estimate has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -1.44%. When combined with a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), this Earnings ESP makes it difficult to conclusively predict that T. Rowe will beat the consensus EPS estimate. Over the last four quarters, the company surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report TPG Inc. (TPG) : Free Stock Analysis Report T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research