TPB
Turning Point BrandsANYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The bull case is that TPB is successfully scaling Modern Oral: the business delivered triple-digit growth, reached 42% of company sales, and management raised full-year Modern Oral and EBITDA guidance. Liquidity also remains adequate, which gives the company room to keep investing behind distribution and brand building.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.0.
What can break
If Modern Oral retail expansion or consumer adoption slows, the market may stop paying for the mix shift before legacy cash flows reaccelerate.
Momentum
61
Value
51
Sentiment
93
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $122.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $73.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $132.50
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d -18.1
Value51 · Δ7d +1.6
Sentiment93 · Δ7d +9.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
61
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.1
Δ21d
+13.9
Value
51
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
93
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.0
Δ21d
+18.7
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 60.6 / Value 50.7 / Sentiment 92.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$1.59B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
19.07M
P/E (TTM)
33.4
P/S (TTM)
5.27
P/FCF (TTM)
61.36
Rev YoY
+12.7%
EPS YoY
+66.1%
Gross Margin
+61.0%
Op Margin
+23.6%
Net Debt
$205.71M
Current Ratio
5.56
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

