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TPB

Turning Point BrandsD
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
Modern Oral remains the core growth engine: the company reported 133% Modern Oral net sales growth in Q1, raised FY2026 Modern Oral gross sales guidance to $280 million-$300 million, and is still expanding retail distribution while investing behind brand building and supply control. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-08][#SEC-8K-2026-05-07]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
What can break
Analyst revision coverage is thin, so the rerating case has limited external validation.
Momentum
24
Value
43
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $102.00 · Bull $132.50 · Bear $69.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-16 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $130.00
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -7.8
Value43 · Δ7d +1.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-7.8
Δ21d
+4.5
Value
43
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
70
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+3.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 23.9 / Value 43.0 / Sentiment 69.8

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-16
Market Cap
$1.62B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
19.37M
P/E (TTM)
33.4
P/S (TTM)
5.27
P/FCF (TTM)
61.36
Rev YoY
+16.8%
EPS YoY
-24.0%
Gross Margin
+56.8%
Op Margin
+23.6%
Net Debt
$86.21M
Current Ratio
5.87
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology