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TMHC

Taylor Morrison HomeC
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
The constructive view is that Q1 showed better-than-feared execution: adjusted EPS was $1.12, backlog expanded sequentially, incentives eased versus Q4, spec inventory fell, and management still reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance despite a soft housing backdrop.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-06-02.
What can break
Capital deployment is heavy, with approximately $2 billion of planned 2026 land investment and continued share repurchases, so a weaker demand environment could reduce flexibility.
Momentum
45
Value
67
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $62.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $49.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $74.89
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d +6.4
Value67 · Δ7d -2.4
Sentiment34 · Δ7d -17.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+6.4
Δ21d
-1.0
Value
67
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
-1.8
Sentiment
34
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.8
Δ21d
-28.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 45.0 / Value 67.3 / Sentiment 34.4

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$6.68B
Beta
1.60
Shares Out
97.73M
P/E (TTM)
7.1
P/S (TTM)
0.69
P/FCF (TTM)
10.11
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
-14.9%
Gross Margin
+23.9%
Op Margin
+13.4%
Net Debt
$1.66B
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology