TKR
TimkenCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
Bull scenario assumes stronger-than-expected industrial capex recovery, meaningful margin improvement from pricing and cost actions, and re-rating toward the high end of the analyst range.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.7.
What can break
Execution risk on margin-improvement initiatives
Momentum
90
Value
60
Sentiment
14
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $130.00 · Bear $70.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $147.62
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d +5.7
Value60 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment14 · Δ7d +1.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
90
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
+0.8
Value
60
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
14
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+1.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 89.5 / Value 59.7 / Sentiment 13.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$9.67B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
69.49M
P/E (TTM)
20.9
P/S (TTM)
1.35
P/FCF (TTM)
21.03
Rev YoY
+8.0%
EPS YoY
+26.0%
Gross Margin
+28.9%
Op Margin
+12.0%
Net Debt
$1.67B
Current Ratio
2.88
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

