B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
THRM
GenthermCNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-23
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.5
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+52.0
Score
AI commentary
THRM closed October 22 at $26.15, down 8.05% from $28.44 on October 21; coverage linked the decline to the earnings miss. Price history Earnings coverage No verified post-print analyst revision was available. Social, options, short-interest and employee measures are unavailable; their zero entries are missing-data placeholders, not neutral readings. The deterministic prior shifted from modestly positive to neutral despite strong primary-source coverage, supporting a cautious post-earnings monitoring view.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-23
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-06catalystPost-earnings reassessment of the EPS missMedium impact
Q3 adjusted EPS was $0.33 versus a reported $0.65 consensus, while $405.1 million of product revenue was roughly in line with pre-release expectations. Gross margin fell to 23.3% from 24.6%, and adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 11.1% from 12.7%. Further digestion of the earnings miss may pressure shares. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] Company earnings exhibit Consensus comparison
2027-03-31eventTest of Modine contribution against revised guidanceMedium impact
Gentherm raised its 2026 revenue range to $1.825–$1.925 billion and adjusted EBITDA range to $210–$230 million specifically to include fourth-quarter Modine Performance Technologies contribution. The next reported results must distinguish acquired revenue from underlying margin improvement and integration execution. The date is an estimated assessment horizon, not an announced earnings date. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] Company earnings exhibit
2027-12-31catalystCash conversion and repurchase executionHigh impact
The company disclosed $60 million of October repurchases and approximately $340 million remaining under its authorization. Sustained cash generation and disciplined buybacks could support value, but Q3 operating cash flow declined to $36.0 million from $87.8 million a year earlier. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] Company earnings exhibit
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology