B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$102.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TDW
TidewaterBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$88.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$67.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-07
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+38.2
Positive
Company
+2.0
Mixed
Macro
+38.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+22.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+54.7
Score
AI commentary
News tone is mixed: Q2 revenue, utilization, and day rates improved sequentially, but earnings and operating income declined year over year. The August 6 anchor price of $81.57 does not by itself establish whether the post-print reaction was driven by results, guidance, or transaction expectations. Social coverage and analyst revision data are unavailable, so confidence remains moderate and the thesis is monitoring-oriented.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-07
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-15catalystPost-Q2 earnings digestionMedium impact
Q2 revenue rose 5% sequentially to $342.3 million, but diluted EPS fell to $0.43 from $1.46 year over year and operating income declined to $62.5 million from $80.9 million. Consensus surprise and analyst revisions are unavailable, leaving near-term price discovery uncertain [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-03].
2026-09-01eventWilson Sons Ultratug closingHigh impact
Tidewater has received required regulatory approvals and credit-facility waivers for the acquisition of 22 Brazilian platform supply vessels, with closing now expected around September 1, 2026. The transaction remains subject to completion of documentation and carries approximately $500 million of cash consideration plus assumed debt of about $231 million [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-03].
2026-12-31catalystHigher offshore utilization and day ratesHigh impact
Q2 active utilization improved to 81.4% from 80.6% sequentially and average day rates increased to $22,938 from $22,283, with management attributing revenue growth primarily to higher utilization and European/Mediterranean demand. The longer-term thesis depends on sustained offshore activity, pricing, and cost control [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-03].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-07 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology