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Texas Capital BancsharesC
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2026-07-30
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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-30

TREE Stock Down as Q2 Earnings Miss on Higher Costs, 2026 View Lowered

Zacks
LendingTree, Inc. TREE reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted net income per share of $1.27, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.46. The figure compares favorably with $1.13 reported in the prior-year quarter. Shares of the company plunged nearly 3.8% in yesterday’s trading session following the release of lower-than-expected results and a lowered full-year 2026 outlook. Results were affected by a decline in Consumer segment revenues and higher total costs. However, growth in revenues and adjusted EBITDA, along with strong Insurance segment performance, supported the results to some extent. Results exclude certain non-recurring items. After considering these, TREE reported a GAAP net income of $9.6 million, or 68 cents per share, compared with $8.9 million, or 65 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter. Total revenues in the second quarter increased 25.3% year over year to $313.4 million. The reported figure missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $315.07 million by 0.5%. Total cost of revenues was $11.3 million, up 12.4% from the prior-year quarter. Total costs and expenses were $291.6 million, up 27.2% from the previous-year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $35.2 million, up 10.6% from the year-ago quarter. The variable marketing margin was $87.3 million, up 4.4%. As of June 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $110.8 million compared with $85.5 million as of March 31, 2026. Long-term debt was $386.4 million compared with $387 million as of March 31, 2026. Home segment revenues increased 9% year over year to $43.9 million. Segment profit declined 14% year over year to $11.3 million. Consumer segment revenues decreased 4% year over year to $60.3 million. Segment profit fell 14% year over year to $27.6 million. Insurance segment revenues grew 42% year over year to $209.3 million. Segment profit increased 25% year over year to $50 million. Third-Quarter 2026 Total revenues are projected to be between $325 million and $335 million. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be between $34 million and $36 million. The variable marketing margin is anticipated to be between $88 million and $93 million. 2026 Total revenues are expected to be between $1.30 billion and $1.32 billion compared with the prior range of $1.30 billion to $1.35 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $145-$152 million compared with the previous range of $152-$162…Read full document

LendingTree, Inc. TREE reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted net income per share of $1.27, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.46. The figure compares favorably with $1.13 reported in the prior-year quarter. Shares of the company plunged nearly 3.8% in yesterday’s trading session following the release of lower-than-expected results and a lowered full-year 2026 outlook. Results were affected by a decline in Consumer segment revenues and higher total costs. However, growth in revenues and adjusted EBITDA, along with strong Insurance segment performance, supported the results to some extent. Results exclude certain non-recurring items. After considering these, TREE reported a GAAP net income of $9.6 million, or 68 cents per share, compared with $8.9 million, or 65 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter. Total revenues in the second quarter increased 25.3% year over year to $313.4 million. The reported figure missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $315.07 million by 0.5%. Total cost of revenues was $11.3 million, up 12.4% from the prior-year quarter. Total costs and expenses were $291.6 million, up 27.2% from the previous-year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $35.2 million, up 10.6% from the year-ago quarter. The variable marketing margin was $87.3 million, up 4.4%. As of June 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $110.8 million compared with $85.5 million as of March 31, 2026. Long-term debt was $386.4 million compared with $387 million as of March 31, 2026. Home segment revenues increased 9% year over year to $43.9 million. Segment profit declined 14% year over year to $11.3 million. Consumer segment revenues decreased 4% year over year to $60.3 million. Segment profit fell 14% year over year to $27.6 million. Insurance segment revenues grew 42% year over year to $209.3 million. Segment profit increased 25% year over year to $50 million. Third-Quarter 2026 Total revenues are projected to be between $325 million and $335 million. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be between $34 million and $36 million. The variable marketing margin is anticipated to be between $88 million and $93 million. 2026 Total revenues are expected to be between $1.30 billion and $1.32 billion compared with the prior range of $1.30 billion to $1.35 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $145-$152 million compared with the previous range of $152-$162 million. The variable marketing margin is expected to be in the range of $364-$374 million compared with $378-$395 million previously. TREE’s Consumer segment weakness and higher total costs remain concerns. Nevertheless, its diversified online lending platform, strong Insurance segment performance and efforts to expand non-mortgage product offerings are expected to support revenue growth in the future. LendingTree, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | LendingTree, Inc. Quote Currently, LendingTree carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Hancock Whitney Corp.’s HWC second-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $1.55 matched the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The bottom line rose 17.4% from the prior-year quarter. HWC’s results were supported by higher net interest income and non-interest income, along with a decline in provisions. Also, a sequential increase in loans and deposit balances was positive. However, higher expenses were the undermining factor. Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. TCBI reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings per share of $1.88, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85. The figure also compared favorably with $1.63 in the year-ago quarter. TCBI’s results benefited from higher net interest income and non-interest income, along with solid loan and deposit balances. However, results were impacted by higher expenses and credit costs. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) : Free Stock Analysis Report Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) : Free Stock Analysis Report Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-23

TCBI Q2 Earnings Beat on NII & Fee Income Growth, Expenses Up Y/Y

Zacks
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. TCBI reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.88, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85. The figure also compared favorably with $1.63 in the year-ago quarter. TCBI’s results benefited from higher net interest income (NII) and non-interest income, along with solid loan and deposit balances. However, results were impacted by higher expenses and credit costs. Results exclude certain items. After considering this, net income available to common shareholders (GAAP basis) was $80.6 million, up 10.4% from $73 million in the year-ago quarter. Total quarterly revenues increased 9.1% year over year to $335.5 million. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.3%. NII was $260.4 million, which rose 2.8% year over year. The increase was mainly driven by growth in average earning assets and lower funding costs, partially offset by lower earning asset yields and growth in average interest-bearing deposits. The net interest margin contracted 7 basis points year over year to 3.28%. Non-interest income increased 38.9% year over year to $75.1 million. The rise was primarily driven by higher wealth management and trust fee income, investment banking and advisory fees, trading income, and other income. Non-interest expenses rose 8% year over year to $205.5 million. The increase was mainly due to higher salaries and benefits, marketing, legal and professional, communications and technology, and other non-interest expenses. As of June 30, 2026, loans held for investment totaled $18.6 billion compared with $18.2 billion as of March 31, 2026. Total deposits were $28.9 billion, up from $28.5 billion in the prior quarter. Net charge-offs were $16.1 million in the second quarter of 2026, up from $13 million in the year-ago quarter. Provision for credit losses aggregated to $18 million, up from $15 million in the second quarter of 2025. Total non-performing assets rose to $124 million from $113.6 million in the year-ago quarter. The ratio of non-accrual loans held for investment to total loans held for investment was 0.50% compared with 0.47% in the second quarter of 2025. As of June 30, 2026, the common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio was 12.1%, up from 11.4% in the year-ago quarter. The total capital ratio was 14.7%, while the leverage ratio was 11.6% compared with 15.3% and 11.8%, respectively, as o…Read full document

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. TCBI reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.88, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85. The figure also compared favorably with $1.63 in the year-ago quarter. TCBI’s results benefited from higher net interest income (NII) and non-interest income, along with solid loan and deposit balances. However, results were impacted by higher expenses and credit costs. Results exclude certain items. After considering this, net income available to common shareholders (GAAP basis) was $80.6 million, up 10.4% from $73 million in the year-ago quarter. Total quarterly revenues increased 9.1% year over year to $335.5 million. The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.3%. NII was $260.4 million, which rose 2.8% year over year. The increase was mainly driven by growth in average earning assets and lower funding costs, partially offset by lower earning asset yields and growth in average interest-bearing deposits. The net interest margin contracted 7 basis points year over year to 3.28%. Non-interest income increased 38.9% year over year to $75.1 million. The rise was primarily driven by higher wealth management and trust fee income, investment banking and advisory fees, trading income, and other income. Non-interest expenses rose 8% year over year to $205.5 million. The increase was mainly due to higher salaries and benefits, marketing, legal and professional, communications and technology, and other non-interest expenses. As of June 30, 2026, loans held for investment totaled $18.6 billion compared with $18.2 billion as of March 31, 2026. Total deposits were $28.9 billion, up from $28.5 billion in the prior quarter. Net charge-offs were $16.1 million in the second quarter of 2026, up from $13 million in the year-ago quarter. Provision for credit losses aggregated to $18 million, up from $15 million in the second quarter of 2025. Total non-performing assets rose to $124 million from $113.6 million in the year-ago quarter. The ratio of non-accrual loans held for investment to total loans held for investment was 0.50% compared with 0.47% in the second quarter of 2025. As of June 30, 2026, the common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio was 12.1%, up from 11.4% in the year-ago quarter. The total capital ratio was 14.7%, while the leverage ratio was 11.6% compared with 15.3% and 11.8%, respectively, as of June 30, 2025. Tangible common equity to total tangible assets declined to 9.9% from 10.1% in the year-ago quarter. During the quarter, the company repurchased 239,348 shares for an aggregate of $23.6 million at a weighted average price of $97.63 per share. Texas Capital delivered a solid performance, supported by growth in NII, strong fee income and higher loan and deposit balances. While increased expenses and credit costs warrant monitoring, strong capital levels and continued share repurchases remain encouraging. Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Quote Currently, TCBI carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. WaFd Inc.’s WAFD third-quarter fiscal 2026 (ended June 30) adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny. However, the bottom line jumped 11% year over year. WAFD’s results were hurt by a substantial rise in provisions and higher expenses. Lower loan and deposit balances acted as a spoilsport. These were partially offset by higher net interest income and non-interest income. Citizens Financial Group CFG reported second-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $1.30, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.25. The metric rose 41% from the year-ago quarter. CFG’s results benefited from a rise in NII and non-interest income. Growth in loan and deposit balances, and an improvement in credit quality were also encouraging. However, a rise in expenses and a weaker capital position were major headwinds. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) : Free Stock Analysis Report WaFd, Inc. (WAFD) : Free Stock Analysis Report Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-23

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc (TCBI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and ...

GuruFocus.com
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): Increased 15% year-over-year to $1.88 per share. Total Revenue: Increased $28 million or 9% year-over-year. Non-Interest Income: Increased $21 million or 39% year-over-year to $75.1 million. Investment Banking Fees: Grew 34% year-over-year to $42.8 million. Treasury Product Fees: Increased 8% year-over-year to $12.5 million. Wealth Management Fees: Increased 38% year-over-year to $5.1 million. Tangible Book Value Per Share: Increased 10% year-over-year to $76.98. Net Interest Income: Increased $7 million year-over-year to $260.4 million. Adjusted Non-Interest Expense: Increased $13.9 million or 7% year-over-year to $202.8 million. Pre-Provision Net Revenue (PPNR): Increased $13 million or 11% year-over-year to $130 million. Net Income to Common: Increased $7.6 million or 10% year-over-year to $80.6 million. Commercial Loans: Increased $1.2 billion or 10% year-over-year to $13 billion. Total Deposits: Increased $2.8 billion or 11% year-over-year to $28.9 billion. Provision for Credit Losses: Increased $3 million year-over-year to $18 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with RJF. Is TCBI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: July 22, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Quarterly adjusted earnings per share increased 15% year-over-year to $1.88, supported by record fee income and strong C&I loan growth. Non-interest income rose by 39% year-over-year to $75.1 million, representing 22% of total revenue, up from 18% a year ago. Investment banking fees grew 34% year-over-year to $42.8 million, driven by tailored strategic advice and strong client relationships. Tangible book value per share increased 10% year-over-year to $76.98, marking the ninth consecutive quarterly record. Strong credit quality with disciplined oversight and conservative reserve posture, maintaining a solid financial foundation. Net interest margin was slightly lower than expected due to changes in earning asset mix and higher temporary funding costs. Criticized loans increased slightly, with multifamily commercial real estate borrowers facing pressure on net operating income. Commercial real estate loans decreased 3% linked quarter and are expected to decline by approximately 12% for the full…Read full document

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): Increased 15% year-over-year to $1.88 per share. Total Revenue: Increased $28 million or 9% year-over-year. Non-Interest Income: Increased $21 million or 39% year-over-year to $75.1 million. Investment Banking Fees: Grew 34% year-over-year to $42.8 million. Treasury Product Fees: Increased 8% year-over-year to $12.5 million. Wealth Management Fees: Increased 38% year-over-year to $5.1 million. Tangible Book Value Per Share: Increased 10% year-over-year to $76.98. Net Interest Income: Increased $7 million year-over-year to $260.4 million. Adjusted Non-Interest Expense: Increased $13.9 million or 7% year-over-year to $202.8 million. Pre-Provision Net Revenue (PPNR): Increased $13 million or 11% year-over-year to $130 million. Net Income to Common: Increased $7.6 million or 10% year-over-year to $80.6 million. Commercial Loans: Increased $1.2 billion or 10% year-over-year to $13 billion. Total Deposits: Increased $2.8 billion or 11% year-over-year to $28.9 billion. Provision for Credit Losses: Increased $3 million year-over-year to $18 million. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with RJF. Is TCBI fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: July 22, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Quarterly adjusted earnings per share increased 15% year-over-year to $1.88, supported by record fee income and strong C&I loan growth. Non-interest income rose by 39% year-over-year to $75.1 million, representing 22% of total revenue, up from 18% a year ago. Investment banking fees grew 34% year-over-year to $42.8 million, driven by tailored strategic advice and strong client relationships. Tangible book value per share increased 10% year-over-year to $76.98, marking the ninth consecutive quarterly record. Strong credit quality with disciplined oversight and conservative reserve posture, maintaining a solid financial foundation. Net interest margin was slightly lower than expected due to changes in earning asset mix and higher temporary funding costs. Criticized loans increased slightly, with multifamily commercial real estate borrowers facing pressure on net operating income. Commercial real estate loans decreased 3% linked quarter and are expected to decline by approximately 12% for the full year. Interest-bearing deposit costs increased due to higher average broker deposits, impacting overall deposit cost. The company faces competitive pressure and irrational behavior in both C&I and CRE lending markets, affecting pricing and structure. Q: Can you explain the factors affecting the net interest margin and how it might change in the third quarter? A: The net interest income (NII) and margin dynamics were largely consistent with expectations, but the earning asset mix changed slightly. Higher average mortgage finance loans pulled down overall loan yields, and temporary funding increased interest-bearing deposit costs. For Q3, we expect better income growing to $265 million to $270 million, with a slight seasonal step-down in margin to the low to mid-3.20% range due to a higher weighting of mortgage finance assets. (Matt Scurlock, CFO) Q: What is the outlook for credit quality, given the increase in criticized and classified loans? A: Criticized levels moved slightly higher, with increases in special mention loans, particularly in multifamily commercial real estate. This is due to rental concessions affecting net operating income. We have accounted for some migration in our full-year provision outlook, which remains comfortable at 35 to 40 basis points of loans, excluding mortgage finance. (Matt Scurlock, CFO) Q: Can you provide more details on the strong performance in investment banking and trading fees? A: Investment banking fees saw broad contributions from syndications, capital solutions, M&A, and sales and trading. Notably, 33% of investment banking fees came from new relationships, and all closed M&A transactions involved selling middle-market, privately held Texas-based companies. We expect continued strong performance with a pipeline supporting $40 million to $45 million in fees for Q3. (Rob Holmes, CEO) Q: How do you view the current competitive environment in commercial real estate and C&I lending? A: We are seeing irrational behavior in both commercial real estate and C&I lending, with some banks offering aggressive pricing and structures. We remain disciplined, focusing on banking the best clients and not expanding our client base in segments where we see irrational behavior. (Rob Holmes, CEO) Q: What is the strategy for managing interest-bearing deposit costs, especially with the seasonal impact of mortgage finance? A: Interest-bearing deposit costs were up 8 basis points, primarily due to higher average broker deposits. We expect a slight increase in average broker deposits in Q3, which will push deposit costs up a few basis points. However, this is a temporary effect, and we anticipate a reduction in brokered CDs by Q4. (Matt Scurlock, CFO) For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

Texas Capital Bancshares Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat
Interested in Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Texas Capital Bancshares posted stronger Q2 results, with adjusted EPS rising 15% year over year to $1.88 and total revenue up 9%, helped by record fee income and solid commercial loan growth. Fee-based businesses were a major driver, as non-interest income hit a record level and areas like investment banking, treasury product fees, and wealth management all delivered notable growth. Management said this reflects a strategic shift toward more durable, capital-efficient revenue sources. Commercial lending and deposits remained healthy, with commercial loans up 10% year over year and deposits up 11%, while capital ratios stayed strong. The bank reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook, though it expects a temporary margin dip from mortgage finance mix and brokered funding. Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) reported higher second-quarter earnings and record fee income as executives said the Dallas-based bank continued to benefit from client acquisition, growth in commercial lending and a broader push into capital-efficient revenue sources. Chairman, President and CEO Rob Holmes said adjusted earnings per share rose 15% from the prior-year period to $1.88. He attributed the gain to “consistent and focused execution” of the company’s strategy, including record results in wealth management, treasury product fees and investment banking, along with the strongest quarter for commercial and industrial loan growth since the second quarter of last year. → Buyback Boom: These 3 Companies Are Betting Billions on Their Own Stocks Chief Financial Officer Matt Scurlock said total revenue increased $28 million, or 9%, from a year earlier, driven by 3% growth in net interest income and a 34% increase in non-interest revenue compared with adjusted non-interest revenue in the year-ago period. Net income available to common shareholders rose 10% year over year to $80.6 million, while adjusted net income to common increased 9% to $82.7 million. Texas Capital reported non-interest income of $75.1 million, up 39% year over year according to Holmes and up 34% compared with prior-year adjusted non-interest income according to Scurlock. Non-interest income represented about 22% of total revenue, compared with 18% a year earlier. → 3 Photonics Companies Making Quantum Tech Possible Holmes said fee incom…Read full document

Interested in Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. Texas Capital Bancshares posted stronger Q2 results, with adjusted EPS rising 15% year over year to $1.88 and total revenue up 9%, helped by record fee income and solid commercial loan growth. Fee-based businesses were a major driver, as non-interest income hit a record level and areas like investment banking, treasury product fees, and wealth management all delivered notable growth. Management said this reflects a strategic shift toward more durable, capital-efficient revenue sources. Commercial lending and deposits remained healthy, with commercial loans up 10% year over year and deposits up 11%, while capital ratios stayed strong. The bank reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook, though it expects a temporary margin dip from mortgage finance mix and brokered funding. Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) reported higher second-quarter earnings and record fee income as executives said the Dallas-based bank continued to benefit from client acquisition, growth in commercial lending and a broader push into capital-efficient revenue sources. Chairman, President and CEO Rob Holmes said adjusted earnings per share rose 15% from the prior-year period to $1.88. He attributed the gain to “consistent and focused execution” of the company’s strategy, including record results in wealth management, treasury product fees and investment banking, along with the strongest quarter for commercial and industrial loan growth since the second quarter of last year. → Buyback Boom: These 3 Companies Are Betting Billions on Their Own Stocks Chief Financial Officer Matt Scurlock said total revenue increased $28 million, or 9%, from a year earlier, driven by 3% growth in net interest income and a 34% increase in non-interest revenue compared with adjusted non-interest revenue in the year-ago period. Net income available to common shareholders rose 10% year over year to $80.6 million, while adjusted net income to common increased 9% to $82.7 million. Texas Capital reported non-interest income of $75.1 million, up 39% year over year according to Holmes and up 34% compared with prior-year adjusted non-interest income according to Scurlock. Non-interest income represented about 22% of total revenue, compared with 18% a year earlier. → 3 Photonics Companies Making Quantum Tech Possible Holmes said fee income from the company’s areas of focus rose 28% year over year to $60.5 million, a record for the firm. He said the performance reflected momentum in advisory, sales and trading, wealth management and treasury services. Investment banking fees were $42.8 million, up 34% year over year. Treasury product fees were $12.5 million, up 8% year over year. Wealth management fees were $5.1 million, up 38% year over year, while assets under management rose 15% to $4.8 billion. Holmes said the company’s fee businesses are “differentiated in the market, capital efficient, and provide revenue stability through economic cycles.” He also said the growth in fees was not a substitute for disciplined credit underwriting, but part of an intentional move toward “more durable, complete, and less rate-sensitive revenue sources.” → AI Data Centers Need Power, and These 2 Industrials Are Cashing In During the question-and-answer session, Holmes said investment banking results reflected broad contributions from syndications, capital solutions, M&A and sales and trading. He said 33% of investment banking fees outside of trading came from new relationships through the commercial or corporate bank, and that all closed M&A transactions year to date involved selling lower middle market, privately held, Texas-based, family-owned companies. Scurlock said period-end commercial loans totaled $13 billion, up $1.2 billion, or 10%, from a year earlier. Commercial loans increased $507 million, or 4%, from the prior quarter, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of commercial loan growth. Commercial real estate loans declined 3% from the prior quarter to $5.1 billion and were down 9% year over year. Scurlock said commercial real estate payoff rates continued to outpace client appetite to finance new projects. He said the company expects full-year average CRE balances to decline about 12%. Holmes said Texas Capital is at a “decade low in originations” from its highest-quality commercial real estate clients and does not intend to expand that client base. He said the company is not forced to participate in what he described as “irrational behavior” in the market. Average mortgage finance loans rose 18% year over year to $6.3 billion, supported by normal second-quarter seasonality, rate-driven mortgage volume increases late in the first quarter and enhanced product offerings. Scurlock said enhanced credit structures represented 69% of period-end mortgage finance balances, up from 67% in the first quarter, and that the company expects the level to remain around 70% for the rest of the year. Total deposits were $28.9 billion at quarter end, up $2.8 billion, or 11%, year over year and up $395 million, or 1%, from the prior quarter. Scurlock said growth in commercial client deposits was supplemented by modest brokered deposits to support temporary second-quarter growth in mortgage finance volumes. Average commercial non-interest-bearing deposits remained 13% of total deposits. Average non-interest-bearing mortgage finance deposits declined $316 million year over year to $4.5 billion, resulting in a 71% self-funding ratio for the quarter. Scurlock said Texas Capital expects the mortgage finance self-funding ratio to settle between 70% and 75% in the near to medium term. Net interest income increased $7 million year over year to $260.4 million and rose $5.7 million from the prior quarter. In response to an analyst question, Scurlock said third-quarter net interest income is expected to rise to $265 million to $270 million, while net interest margin could temporarily decline into the low-to-mid 3.20% range due to a heavier mix of lower-yielding mortgage finance assets and match funding through brokered deposits. Texas Capital’s tangible book value per share rose 10% year over year to $76.98, marking the ninth consecutive quarterly record for the metric. The company repurchased approximately 239,000 shares during the quarter for $23.6 million at a weighted average price of $97.63 per share and also declared and paid its inaugural common stock cash dividend. Scurlock said capital ratios remained “strong and well in excess” of the company’s internally assessed risk profile, with tangible common equity to tangible assets of 9.87% and a common equity tier 1 ratio of 12.07%. Holmes said the company is comfortable carrying capital above its stated guide of more than 11% CET1, adding that the strong capital position helps the company win business with clients. The provision for credit losses was $18 million, up $3 million from a year earlier. Scurlock said the provision was consistent with expected quarterly credit trends and management’s use of economic scenarios that are more severe than consensus estimates. Net charge-offs were $16.1 million, or 26 basis points of average loans held for investment, and were evenly split between previously identified C&I and commercial real estate credits. Scurlock said criticized loans were generally evolving as anticipated, with reductions in substandard loans mostly offset by increases in special mention loans tied to multifamily commercial real estate pressures and select C&I borrowers facing demand or margin pressure. Adjusted non-interest expense was $202.8 million, up 7% year over year. Scurlock said the increase reflected investments in client-facing talent, technology-enabled capabilities and temporary legal and professional fees tied to revenue initiatives and legacy problem credit resolution. He said the company continues to expect approximately $125 million in quarterly salaries and benefits and about $75 million in other quarterly non-interest expense for the remainder of 2026. Scurlock said Texas Capital’s full-year 2026 performance outlook remains unchanged from guidance issued in January, with the updated assumption of one rate hike in December and a federal funds rate upper limit of 4% at year-end. The company expects total revenue growth in the mid-to-high single-digit range, driven by client adoption and growth in fee income areas of focus. Full-year non-interest revenue is now expected to reach $270 million to $290 million, reflecting a modest increase to the lower end of the prior range. Texas Capital also reiterated its full-year provision outlook of 35 to 40 basis points of average loans held for investment, excluding mortgage finance. Holmes also noted the appointment of Mo Jamous as chief digital and information officer in early July, saying Jamous will help strengthen the company’s platform, drive innovation and advance its technology strategy. Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc is a bank holding company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, operating through its wholly owned subsidiary, Texas Capital Bank. The company specializes in providing commercial banking services to middle-market companies, entrepreneurs, professional service firms, real estate developers, and not-for-profit organizations. Its broad range of offerings includes commercial lending, treasury and cash management, real estate finance, equipment finance, and energy lending, all designed to address the unique financial needs of businesses navigating growth and market challenges. In addition to its core commercial banking capabilities, Texas Capital Bancshares delivers private banking and wealth management services for business owners and high-net-worth individuals. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "Texas Capital Bancshares Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for July 2026.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

Texas Capital (TCBI) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks
Texas Capital (TCBI) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.88 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.63 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.62%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this holding company for Texas Capital Bank would post earnings of $1.42 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.58, delivering a surprise of +11.27%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Texas Capital, which belongs to the Zacks Banks - Southwest industry, posted revenues of $335.5 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.27%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $307.46 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Texas Capital shares have added about 14.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 9.7%. While Texas Capital has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Texas Capital was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of…Read full document

Texas Capital (TCBI) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.88 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.63 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.62%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this holding company for Texas Capital Bank would post earnings of $1.42 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.58, delivering a surprise of +11.27%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Texas Capital, which belongs to the Zacks Banks - Southwest industry, posted revenues of $335.5 million for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.27%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $307.46 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Texas Capital shares have added about 14.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 9.7%. While Texas Capital has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Texas Capital was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $2.01 on $341.9 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $7.56 on $1.34 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Banks - Southwest is currently in the top 18% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. Another stock from the same industry, First Bank (FRBA), has yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on July 23. This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.40 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -2.4%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. First Bank's revenues are expected to be $37.68 million, up 2.6% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) : Free Stock Analysis Report First Bank (FRBA) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

Texas Capital Bancshares Q2 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Rise; Maintains Quarterly Dividend

MT Newswires

Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI) reported Q2 adjusted earnings late Wednesday of $1.88 per diluted sh

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

Texas Capital: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

Associated Press

DALLAS (AP) — DALLAS (AP) — Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. (TCBI) on Wednesday reported second-quarter profit of $84.9 million. The Dallas-based bank said it had earnings of $1.83 per share. Earnings, adjusted for non-recurring costs, came to $1.88 per share. The results exceeded Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of six analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of $1.85 per share. The holding company for Texas Capital Bank posted revenue of $515 million in the period. Its revenue net of interest expense was $335.5 million, which also beat Street forecasts. Four analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $331.3 million. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on TCBI at https://www.zacks.com/ap/TCBI

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

Texas Capital (TCBI) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks
Texas Capital (TCBI) reported $335.5 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.1%. EPS of $1.88 for the same period compares to $1.63 a year ago. The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.27% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $331.28 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.85, the EPS surprise was +1.62%. While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance. Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance. Here is how Texas Capital performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Efficiency Ratio: 61.3% versus the four-analyst average estimate of 60.2%. Net interest margin: 3.3% compared to the 3.4% average estimate based on four analysts. Net charge-offs to average total loans held for investment: 0.3% versus the three-analyst average estimate of 0.3%. Average Balance - Total earning assets: $31.85 billion compared to the $31.14 billion average estimate based on three analysts. Total non-performing assets: $123.98 million versus $168.65 million estimated by three analysts on average. Non-accrual loans held for investment: $123.98 million compared to the $162.58 million average estimate based on three analysts. Total Non-Interest Income: $75.12 million versus $69.24 million estimated by four analysts on average. Net Interest Income: $260.38 million versus $262.05 million estimated by four analysts on average. Other Non-Interest Income: $16.19 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $9.96 million. Service charges on deposit accounts: $8.85 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $9.12 million. Net Interest Income (FTE): $261.24 million versus $263.25 million estimated by two analysts on average. Wealth management and trust fee income: $5.14 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $4.38 million. View all Key Company Metrics for Texas Capital here>>> Shares of Texas Capital have returned…Read full document

Texas Capital (TCBI) reported $335.5 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.1%. EPS of $1.88 for the same period compares to $1.63 a year ago. The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.27% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $331.28 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.85, the EPS surprise was +1.62%. While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance. Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance. Here is how Texas Capital performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Efficiency Ratio: 61.3% versus the four-analyst average estimate of 60.2%. Net interest margin: 3.3% compared to the 3.4% average estimate based on four analysts. Net charge-offs to average total loans held for investment: 0.3% versus the three-analyst average estimate of 0.3%. Average Balance - Total earning assets: $31.85 billion compared to the $31.14 billion average estimate based on three analysts. Total non-performing assets: $123.98 million versus $168.65 million estimated by three analysts on average. Non-accrual loans held for investment: $123.98 million compared to the $162.58 million average estimate based on three analysts. Total Non-Interest Income: $75.12 million versus $69.24 million estimated by four analysts on average. Net Interest Income: $260.38 million versus $262.05 million estimated by four analysts on average. Other Non-Interest Income: $16.19 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $9.96 million. Service charges on deposit accounts: $8.85 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $9.12 million. Net Interest Income (FTE): $261.24 million versus $263.25 million estimated by two analysts on average. Wealth management and trust fee income: $5.14 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $4.38 million. View all Key Company Metrics for Texas Capital here>>> Shares of Texas Capital have returned +2.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.3% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-22

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results

GlobeNewswire
Second quarter 2026 net income available to common stockholders of $80.6 million, up 10% year-over-year Record-level fee income(5), up 29% year-over-year Record-level Book Value and Tangible Book Value(4) per share, both increasing 10% year-over-year Capital ratios continue to be strong, achieving 12.1% CET1 and 14.7% Total Capital DALLAS, July 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- “Double-digit year-over-year growth in earnings per share and book value per share, combined with strong capital ratios and operational efficiency, reflect another quarter of consistently improving financial performance earned through continued focus on delivering for our clients,” said Rob C. Holmes, Chairman, President & CEO. “The durability of our platform, diversity of our solution set, and dedication of our teams, position us to sustain momentum through the remainder of the year.” SECOND QUARTER 2026 COMPARED TO FIRST QUARTER 2026 For the second quarter of 2026, net income available to common stockholders was $80.6 million, or $1.83 per diluted share, compared to $69.5 million, or $1.56 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2026. Provision for credit losses for the second quarter of 2026 was $18.0 million, compared to $16.0 million for the first quarter of 2026. The $18.0 million provision for credit losses recorded in the second quarter of 2026 resulted primarily from an increase in criticized loans and $16.1 million in net charge-offs. Net interest income increased to $260.4 million for the second quarter of 2026, compared to $254.7 million for the first quarter of 2026, primarily due to an increase in average earning assets, partially offset by an increase in average interest bearing deposits. Net interest margin for the second quarter of 2026 was 3.28%, a decrease of 15 basis points from the first quarter of 2026. Loans held for investment (“LHI”), excluding mortgage finance, yields decreased 2 basis points from the first quarter of 2026 and LHI, mortgage finance, yields increased 7 basis points from the first quarter of 2026. Total cost of deposits was 2.40% for the second quarter of 2026, a 2 basis point increase from the first quarter of 2026. Non-interest income for the second quarter of 2026 increased $5.9 million compared to the first quarter of 2026 primarily due to increases in trading income and other non-interest income. Non-interest expense for the second quarter…Read full document

Second quarter 2026 net income available to common stockholders of $80.6 million, up 10% year-over-year Record-level fee income(5), up 29% year-over-year Record-level Book Value and Tangible Book Value(4) per share, both increasing 10% year-over-year Capital ratios continue to be strong, achieving 12.1% CET1 and 14.7% Total Capital DALLAS, July 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- “Double-digit year-over-year growth in earnings per share and book value per share, combined with strong capital ratios and operational efficiency, reflect another quarter of consistently improving financial performance earned through continued focus on delivering for our clients,” said Rob C. Holmes, Chairman, President & CEO. “The durability of our platform, diversity of our solution set, and dedication of our teams, position us to sustain momentum through the remainder of the year.” SECOND QUARTER 2026 COMPARED TO FIRST QUARTER 2026 For the second quarter of 2026, net income available to common stockholders was $80.6 million, or $1.83 per diluted share, compared to $69.5 million, or $1.56 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2026. Provision for credit losses for the second quarter of 2026 was $18.0 million, compared to $16.0 million for the first quarter of 2026. The $18.0 million provision for credit losses recorded in the second quarter of 2026 resulted primarily from an increase in criticized loans and $16.1 million in net charge-offs. Net interest income increased to $260.4 million for the second quarter of 2026, compared to $254.7 million for the first quarter of 2026, primarily due to an increase in average earning assets, partially offset by an increase in average interest bearing deposits. Net interest margin for the second quarter of 2026 was 3.28%, a decrease of 15 basis points from the first quarter of 2026. Loans held for investment (“LHI”), excluding mortgage finance, yields decreased 2 basis points from the first quarter of 2026 and LHI, mortgage finance, yields increased 7 basis points from the first quarter of 2026. Total cost of deposits was 2.40% for the second quarter of 2026, a 2 basis point increase from the first quarter of 2026. Non-interest income for the second quarter of 2026 increased $5.9 million compared to the first quarter of 2026 primarily due to increases in trading income and other non-interest income. Non-interest expense for the second quarter of 2026 decreased $8.1 million compared to the first quarter of 2026, primarily due to a decrease in salaries and benefits, primarily as a result of the effect of seasonal payroll expenses that peak in the first quarter, partially offset by increases in legal and professional, communications and technology, and other non-interest expense. SECOND QUARTER 2026 COMPARED TO SECOND QUARTER 2025 Net income available to common stockholders was $80.6 million, or $1.83 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2026, compared to $73.0 million, or $1.58 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2025. The second quarter of 2026 included a $18.0 million provision for credit losses, reflecting a linked quarter increase in criticized loans and $16.1 million in net charge-offs, compared to a $15.0 million provision for credit losses for the second quarter of 2025. Net interest income increased to $260.4 million for the second quarter of 2026, compared to $253.4 million for the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to an increase in average earning assets and a decrease in funding costs, partially offset by a decrease in earning asset yields and an increase in average interest bearing deposits. Net interest margin increased 8 basis points to 3.28% for the second quarter of 2026, as compared to the second quarter of 2025. LHI, excluding mortgage finance, yields decreased 20 basis points compared to the second quarter of 2025 and LHI, mortgage finance yields decreased 18 basis points from the second quarter of 2025. Total cost of deposits decreased 31 basis points compared to the second quarter of 2025. Non-interest income for the second quarter of 2026 increased $21.0 million compared to the second quarter of 2025 primarily due to increases in wealth management and trust fee income, investment banking and advisory fees, trading income and other non-interest income, as well as the absence of a $1.9 million loss on sale of available-for sale debt securities recognized in the second quarter of 2025. Non-interest expense for the second quarter of 2026 increased $15.2 million compared to the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to increases in salaries and benefits, marketing, legal and professional, communications and technology, and other non-interest expense. CREDIT QUALITY Net charge-offs of $16.1 million were recorded during the second quarter of 2026, compared to net charge-offs of $17.4 million and $13.0 million during the first quarter of 2026 and the second quarter of 2025, respectively. Criticized loans totaled $696.3 million at June 30, 2026, compared to $650.6 million at March 31, 2026 and $637.5 million at June 30, 2025. Non-accrual LHI totaled $124.0 million at June 30, 2026, compared to $144.9 million at March 31, 2026 and $113.6 million at June 30, 2025. The ratio of non-accrual LHI to total LHI for the second quarter of 2026 was 0.50%, compared to 0.58% for the first quarter of 2026 and 0.47% for the second quarter of 2025. The ratio of total allowance for credit losses to total LHI was 1.34% at June 30, 2026, compared to 1.32% and 1.40% at March 31, 2026 and June 30, 2025, respectively. REGULATORY RATIOS AND CAPITAL All regulatory ratios continue to be in excess of “well capitalized” requirements as of June 30, 2026. CET1, tier 1 capital, total capital and leverage ratios were 12.1%, 13.5%, 14.7% and 11.6%, respectively, at June 30, 2026, compared to 12.0%, 13.4%, 15.9% and 12.1%, respectively, at March 31, 2026 and 11.4%, 12.9%, 15.3% and 11.8%, respectively, at June 30, 2025. At June 30, 2026, our ratio of tangible common equity to total tangible assets was 9.9%, compared to 9.9% at March 31, 2026 and 10.1% at June 30, 2025. During the second quarter of 2026, the Company repurchased 239,348 shares of its common stock for an aggregate purchase price, including excise tax expense, of $23.6 million, at a weighted average price of $97.63 per share. PREFERRED AND COMMON DIVIDEND Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. and its board of directors declared and announced a cash dividend of $14.375 per share of the 5.75% Fixed Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series B (the “Series B Preferred Stock”), equivalent to $0.359375 per depositary share, each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of the Series B Preferred Stock. The depositary shares are traded on the NASDAQ under the symbol “TCBIO.” The dividend is payable on September 15, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on September 1, 2026. Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. and its board of directors declared and announced a cash dividend of $0.20 per common share. The common shares are traded on the NASDAQ under the symbol “TCBI.” The dividend is payable on September 15, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on September 1, 2026. About Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ®: TCBI), a member of the Russell 2000® Index and the S&P MidCap 400®, is the parent company of Texas Capital Bank (“TCB”). Texas Capital is the collective brand name for TCB and its separate, non-bank affiliates and wholly-owned subsidiaries. Texas Capital is a full-service financial services firm that delivers customized solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs and individual customers. Founded in 1998, the institution is headquartered in Dallas with offices in Austin, Houston, San Antonio and Fort Worth, and has built a network of clients across the country. With the ability to service clients through their entire lifecycles, Texas Capital has established commercial banking, consumer banking, investment banking and wealth management capabilities. All services are subject to applicable laws, regulations, and service terms. Deposit and lending products and services are offered by TCB. For deposit products, member FDIC. For more information, please visit www.texascapital.com. Forward Looking Statements This communication contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of and pursuant to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding, among other things, TCBI’s financial condition, results of operations, business plans and future performance. These statements are not historical in nature and may often be identified by the use of words such as “believes,” “projects,” “expects,” “may,” “estimates,” “should,” “plans,” “targets,” “intends” “could,” “would,” “anticipates,” “potential,” “confident,” “optimistic” or the negative thereof, or other variations thereon, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, objectives, estimates, trends, guidance, expectations and future plans. Because forward-looking statements relate to future results and occurrences, they are subject to inherent and various uncertainties, risks, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict, may change over time, are based on management’s expectations and assumptions at the time the statements are made and are not guarantees of future results. Numerous risks and other factors, many of which are beyond management’s control, could cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. While there can be no assurance that any list of risks is complete, important risks and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: economic or business conditions in Texas, the United States or globally that impact TCBI or its customers; negative credit quality developments arising from the foregoing or other factors, including trade policies, geopolitical conflicts, inflation, including increased energy costs, unemployment rates and interest rates; TCBI’s ability to innovate, to anticipate the needs of our current and future customers and to manage increased or expanded competition from banks and other financial service providers in TCBI’s markets; TCBI’s ability to effectively manage its liquidity and maintain adequate regulatory capital to support its businesses; TCBI’s ability to pursue and execute upon growth plans, whether as a function of capital, liquidity or other limitations; TCBI’s ability to successfully execute its business strategy, including its strategic plan and developing and executing new lines of business, products and services; risks related to potential strategic acquisitions, including the risk that TCBI may not be able to consummate acquisitions on favorable terms, if at all, and the risk that TCBI may not realize the anticipated benefits from acquisitions; the extensive regulations to which TCBI is subject and its ability to comply with applicable governmental regulations, including legislative and regulatory changes; TCBI’s ability to effectively manage information technology systems, including third party vendors, cyber or data privacy incidents or other failures, outages, disruptions or security breaches; TCBI’s ability to use technology to provide products and services to its customers; risks related to the development and use of artificial intelligence; changes in interest rates, including the impact of interest rates on TCBI’s securities portfolio and funding costs, as well as related balance sheet implications stemming from the fair value of our assets and liabilities; the effectiveness of TCBI’s risk management processes strategies and monitoring; fluctuations in commercial and residential real estate values, especially as they relate to the value of collateral supporting TCBI’s loans; TCBI’s ability to manage any unexpected outflows of uninsured deposits and avoid selling investment securities or other assets at an unfavorable time or at a loss; adverse developments in the banking industry and the potential impact of such developments on customer confidence, liquidity and regulatory responses to these developments, including in the context of regulatory examinations and related findings and actions; negative press and social media attention with respect to the banking industry or TCBI, in particular; claims, litigation or regulatory investigations and actions that TCBI may become subject to; the failure to identify, attract and retain key personnel and other employees and to engage in adequate succession planning; severe weather, natural disasters, climate change, acts of war, terrorism, global or other geopolitical conflicts, or other external events, as well as related legislative and regulatory initiatives; and the risks and factors more fully described in TCBI’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other documents and filings with the SEC. The information contained in this communication speaks only as of its date. Except to the extent required by applicable law or regulation, we disclaim any obligation to update such factors or to publicly announce the results of any revisions to any of the forward-looking statements included herein to reflect future events or developments. GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS The following items are non-GAAP financial measures: adjusted non-interest income, adjusted total revenue, adjusted non-interest expense, adjusted income tax expense, adjusted net income, adjusted net income available to common stockholders, adjusted pre-provision net revenue (“PPNR”), adjusted diluted earnings per common share, adjusted return on average assets, adjusted return on average common equity, adjusted efficiency ratio, adjusted non-interest income to average earning assets and adjusted non-interest expense to average earning assets. These are not measures recognized under GAAP and therefore are considered non-GAAP financial measures. The table below provides a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures. These non-GAAP financial measures are adjusted for certain items, listed below, that management believes are non-operating in nature and not representative of its actual operating performance. Management believes that these non-GAAP financial measures provide meaningful additional information about the Company to assist management and investors in evaluating operating results, financial strength, business performance and capital position. Non-GAAP financial measures have inherent limitations, are not required to be uniformly applied and are not audited. As such, these non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analyses of operating results or capital position as reported under GAAP. CONTACT: INVESTOR CONTACT Jocelyn Kukulka, 469.399.8544 [email protected]

TranscriptFY2026 Q22026-07-22

FY2026 Q2 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 119 paragraphs
Jocelyn Kukulka

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us for TCBI's second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. I'm Jocelyn Kukulka, Head of Investor Relations. Before we begin, please be aware this call will include forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations of future results or events. Forward-looking statements are subject to both known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. Our forward-looking statements are as of the date of this call, and we do not assume any obligation to update or revise them. Today's presentation will include certain non-GAAP measures, including but not limited to adjusted operating metrics, adjusted earnings per share, and return on capital. For reconciliation of these and other non-GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measures, please refer to the earnings press release and our website.

Jocelyn Kukulka

Statements made on this call should be considered together with the cautionary statements and other information contained in today's earnings release, our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, and subsequent filings with the SEC. We will refer to slides during today's presentation, which can be found along with the press release in the Investor Relations section of our website at texascapital.com. Our speakers for the call today are Rob Holmes, Chairman, President, and CEO, and Matt Scurlock, CFO. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, the operator will open up the call for Q&A. I'll now turn the call over to Rob for opening remarks.

Rob Holmes

Thank you for joining us today. Texas Capital continues to deliver at a high level on behalf of our clients, with quarterly results once again pointing to strong and improving financial outcomes that come from consistent and focused execution of our differentiated strategy delivered by a talented group of employees across the entire firm. As you have heard us communicate in the past about the power of aligning the people on our platform to our strategic goals, I wanted to mention the recent appointment of Mo Jamous as Chief Digital and Information Officer. Mo joined Texas Capital in early July and brings more than two decades of experience leading large-scale technology organizations across the financial services industry. He will be instrumental in further strengthening our platform, driving innovation, and advancing our technology strategy. Mo reports to me and serves as a member of the operating council.

Rob Holmes

Now, turning to financial outcomes. Quarterly adjusted earnings per share increased 15% versus the prior year period to $1.88 per share. Record fee income and wealth management, treasury product fees, and investment banking, coupled with the strongest C&I loan growth quarter since the second quarter of last year, supported an 8% increase in adjusted total revenue. Non-interest income increased $21 million, or 39% year-over-year, to $75.1 million, representing approximately 22% of total revenue, compared to 18% a year ago. Fee income from areas of focus increased 28% year-over-year, reaching $60.5 million in the quarter, a record for the firm. Advisory, sales, and trading, wealth and treasury services each exhibited meaningful momentum this quarter as our front line continues to effectively earn and deepen target relationships through high-quality execution supported by a maturing product platform.

Rob Holmes

These businesses are differentiated in the market, capital efficient, and provide revenue stability through economic cycles. Investment banking fees of $42.8 million grew 34% year-over-year as we continue to offer tailored and highly-strategic advice to the businesses we serve across our banking practice. Treasury product fees of $12.5 million increased 8% as existing clients continue to leverage our sector-leading payment capabilities and new clients onboard at an accelerated pace with Q2 activity the highest since we began tracking it four years ago. Wealth management fees also increased for the fourth straight quarter, growing 38% year-over-year to $5.1 million, reflecting building momentum that we expect to continue through the year. Our focus on fee income as an indicator of client relevance is not a substitute for disciplined credit underwriting and balanced portfolio management.

Rob Holmes

Instead, it represents the intentional and communicated strategic evolution toward more durable, complete, and less rate-sensitive revenue sources that demonstrate the depth of our relationships and expertise of our bankers. These are structural advantages to our business model that will strengthen returns and compound franchise value over time. Tangible book value per share increased 10% year-over-year to $76.98, marking the ninth consecutive quarterly record for this important metric. During the quarter, we repurchased approximately $24 million of common shares at a weighted average price of $97.63 per share, while also declaring and paying our inaugural common stock cash dividend, demonstrating confidence in the franchise and conviction that earnings momentum will continue. Strong credit quality is foundational to our business, and our philosophy prioritizes being well positioned for uncertainty rather than predicting it.

Rob Holmes

We maintain disciplined oversight of client concentration and macroeconomic sensitivities, applying a conservative reserve posture with downside scenario weightings remaining at their highest level since my arrival as CEO. Taken together, our financial posture reflects a deliberate commitment to strength. Meaningful capital reserves, investments in scalable and resilient infrastructure, and a comprehensive range of products and services that serve clients through any cycle. We have designed our platform to grow efficiently while maintaining expense discipline, and are creating a competitive advantage rooted in preparedness rather than prediction. Our earnings trajectory is sustainable, our financial foundation is solid, and our platform is built for enduring growth. Thank you for your continued interest in and support of Texas Capital. I'll turn it over to Matt for details on the financial results.

Matt Scurlock

Thanks, Rob. Good afternoon. Second quarter featured continued strong client acquisition, record fee income levels across areas of focus, and sustained operating leverage. Total revenue increased $28 million or 9% year-over-year, driven by 3% growth in net interest income and a 34% increase in non-interest revenue compared to adjusted non-interest revenue a year ago. Net interest income increased $7 million year-over-year to $260.4 million, with a linked quarter increase of $5.7 million, as continued growth in our commercial businesses was augmented by typical second quarter seasonality associated with an appropriately-sized and structurally more profitable mortgage finance. Adjusted non-interest expense of $202.8 million increased $13.9 million or 7% year-over-year, reflecting disciplined and sustained investment in frontline talent, along with capabilities to improve client experience and position us for continued scale.

Matt Scurlock

Pre-provision net revenue increased $13 million or 11% year-over-year to $130 million, and adjusted PPNR reached $132.7 million, up $12.2 million or 10%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year expansion. Provision for credit losses of $18 million increased $3 million year-over-year, consistent with anticipated quarterly credit trends and management's continued assumption of economic scenarios that are materially more severe than consensus estimates. Second quarter net income to common was $80.6 million, up $7.6 million or 10% year-over-year, with adjusted net income to common increasing 9% to $82.7 million. Second quarter earnings per share reached $1.83, with adjusted EPS of $1.88, up 15% year-over-year. Book value per share and tangible book value per share both increased 10% year-over-year to $77.01 and $76.98 respectively, marking the ninth consecutive quarter and record high for the firm.

Matt Scurlock

This sustained growth in both earnings per share and tangible book value reinforces the combined impact of disciplined capital management, strong earnings retention, and opportunistic share repurchases at levels we view as attractive relative to intrinsic value. Our loan portfolio continues to reflect intentional capital deployment and disciplined client acquisition consistent with our stated objectives. Period-end commercial loans of $13 billion increased to $1.2 billion or 10% year-over-year, driven by broad contributions across industries and geographies. Linked quarter commercial loans increased $507 million or 4%, representing the 10th consecutive quarter of commercial loan growth and reinforcing the strength of our risk-appropriate and return accretive origination capabilities. As previously communicated, we continue to see commercial real estate payoff rates outpace client appetite to finance new projects, as loans decreased 3% linked quarter to $5.1 billion, down 9% year-over-year.

Matt Scurlock

While we remain highly supportive of a longstanding client base, we do expect industry-wide capital supply to continue dramatically exceeding demand over the near term, resulting in full year average CRE balance decline of approximately 12%. The typically strong seasonal mortgage finance environment was further supported by late Q1 rate-driven increases in mortgage volumes, which when coupled with our enhanced product offering and advisory capabilities, resulted in average mortgage finance loans increasing 18% year-over-year to $6.3 billion. Enhanced credit structures now present 69% of period-end mortgage finance balances, up from 67% at Q1 2026, resulting in a blended risk weight of 54% for the portfolio. As previously guided, we expect the portion of the portfolio that resides in these structures to remain about 70% for the rest of the year.

Matt Scurlock

This effort has resulted in 113 basis points of CET1 benefit since we started in Q4 of 2024, enabling ongoing disciplined loan growth and strategic capital return, while both improving portfolio risk-adjusted returns and regulatory capital ratios. Total deposits of $28.9 billion at quarter end increased $2.8 billion or 11% year-over-year, and $395 million or 1% linked quarter, as continued growth in commercial client deposits was supplemented by modest levels of broker deposits supporting the temporary and predictable Q2 growth in mortgage finance volumes. Ending period commercial non-interest bearing deposits increased $238 million or 7% linked quarter, and are now at $546 million or 18% since Q3 2025, with average commercial non-interest bearing remaining 13% of total deposits.

Matt Scurlock

Average non-interest bearing mortgage finance deposits of $4.5 billion decreased $316 million year-over-year, bringing the self-funding ratio to 71% for the quarter, as nine quarters of focused reduction have clearly improved both balance sheet resilience and earnings generation. We have now established a more balanced deposit base, and with a complete treasury offering increasingly embedded in our clients' platforms, we would expect the mortgage finance self-funding ratio to settle between 70%-75% in the near to medium term. Average cost of interest-bearing deposits increased 6 basis points linked quarter, but were up only 1 basis point when excluding the temporary impact of elevated CD balances used to support the seasonal surge in mortgage finance volumes. Current and prospective balance sheet positioning continues to reflect a business model that is intentionally more resilient to changes in market rates.

Matt Scurlock

Our modeled earnings at risk improved as expected this quarter as market rates moved consistent with our previously communicated preference for adding duration through the swap book. During Q2, we executed a $400 million in two-year received fixed SOFR swaps at 3.87%, which became effective June 1st, maintaining our target interest rate sensitivity while realizing anticipated rate increases contemplated in the curve. Looking ahead, we will continue to exercise discipline in appropriately augmenting earnings generation capability embedded in our business model, but are at this point comfortable with near-term positioning across a range of forward interest rate paths. Adjusted non-interest expense of $202.8 million increased 7% from Q2 2025, reflecting sustained investment in client-facing coverage, increases across tech-enabled capabilities, and the temporary fluctuation in legal and professional fees associated with new revenue initiatives and legacy problem credit resolution, both of which should subside in the second half of the year.

Matt Scurlock

Q2 adjusted salaries and benefits increased $4 million year-over-year to $122.8 million, as investment in frontline talent aligned to our fee generation initiatives continues to ramp consistent with stated revenue objectives. For the remainder of 2026, we continue to anticipate approximately $125 million of salaries and benefits and $75 million of all other non-interest expense, both on a quarterly basis. Non-interest income reached $75.1 million, up 34% as compared to prior year adjusted non-interest income and up 8% linked quarter, marking another record for the firm and demonstrating the scale and durability of our diversified revenue model. Non-interest income comprised 22% of total revenue this quarter, which is up from 18% in Q2 of 2025, highlighting our continued success in expanding fee-based revenue streams and deepening client relationships across our platform.

Matt Scurlock

All three areas of focus delivered record fee income this quarter, with each contributing meaningfully to overall earnings growth. Investment banking and trading income of $42.8 million increased 34% year-over-year, supported by broad-based contributions across the maturing platform. Wealth management and trust fees of $5.1 million increased 38% year-over-year, as assets under management expanded 15% to $4.8 billion. Treasury product fees of $12.5 million increased 8% year-over-year, driven by both sustained new client onboarding and our advisory-based approach, which continues to propel client adoption of our integrated platform. Total non-interest income is expected to be between $70 million and $75 million in Q3, with revenue attributed to investment banking and sales and trading contributing approximately $40 million-$45 million. The total allowance for credit loss, including off-balance sheet reserves of $333 million, remains near our all-time high.

Matt Scurlock

When excluding the impact of mortgage finance allowance and related loan balances, the allowance was relatively flat linked quarter at 1.78% of total LHI, which is in the top decile among the peer group. Net charge-offs for the quarter were $16.1 million or 26 basis points of average LHI and were evenly split between previously identified credits in C&I and commercial real estate. Criticized loans are generally evolving as anticipated. Notable reductions in substandard loans mostly offset fluctuations in special mention caused by capital-related pressures on previously discussed commercial real estate multifamily credits and macro-driven demand or operating margin pressure causing grade changes in C&I. Capital ratios remain strong and well in excess of our internally assessed risk profile, with tangible common equity at tangible assets of 9.87% and CET1 of 12.07%.

Matt Scurlock

During the second quarter, $375 million of holding company subordinated debt was repaid with proceeds from a senior notes offering during the first quarter. Our share repurchase program remains active. During the quarter, we purchased approximately 239,000 shares for $23.6 million at a weighted average price of $97.63 per share, representing 128% of prior month's tangible book value per share. We are committed to disciplined stewardship of shareholder capital, balancing investment and organic growth with strategic share repurchases. For full year 2026, our overall performance outlook remains unchanged from guidance given in January but now includes one rate hike in December with a Fed funds rate upper limit of 4% at year end. We anticipate total revenue growth in the mid to high single-digit range, driven by industry-leading client adoption and continued growth in our fee income areas of focus.

Matt Scurlock

Full year non-interest revenue is expected to reach $270 million-$290 million, which is a modest increase in the lower end of the guidance. Anticipated non-interest expense growth in the mid-single-digits reflects increased year-over-year compensation expenses tied to improved performance, target expansion in defined client coverage areas, and sustained platform investments. Given continued economic uncertainty and our commitment to operating from a position of financial resilience, we reiterate the full-year provision outlook of 35-40 basis points of average LHI, excluding mortgage finance. This results in another year of positive operating leverage and sustainable earnings generation. Operator, we'd now like to open up the call for questions. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. Please ensure that your phone is not on mute when called upon. Thank you. Your first question comes from Michael Rose with Raymond James. Your line is open.

Michael Rose

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. Hey, Matt, maybe we could just start on the margin, it was a little bit lower than the guided range that you guys provided last quarter. I certainly understand that you've reiterated the revenue outlook, can you just walk us through some of the puts and takes and maybe how we should think about beginning margin in the third quarter, just given some of the seasonal factors that you continue to talk about over time? Thanks.

Matt Scurlock

Good afternoon, Michael. Happy to do that. I'd say the NII and margin dynamics were largely consistent with expectations. I think we're at 1 basis point of the guide on mortgage finance yield and 2 basis points of the guide on loans excluding mortgage finance. The earning asset mix, though, did change a little bit relative to expectations, with higher average mortgage finance loans pulling down overall LHI yields.

Matt Scurlock

Higher temporary funding associated with supporting that increase, pushing up the interest-bearing deposit costs. We noted in the prepared remarks that a really important thing to call out, the cost of our interest-bearing deposits excluding brokerage was up 1 basis point this quarter. That means that our quarterly increase is not a permanent characteristic of the deposit base. As you think about Q3, the guide contemplates net interest income growing to $265 million-$270 million. You'll see likely another slight seasonal step down in margin into the low to mid-325 basis points, 320 basis points range as that loan portfolio is even more heavily weighted toward high risk-adjusted return, but lower yielding mortgage finance assets, and then we'll leverage the broker channels to just effectively match fund that.

Matt Scurlock

I think the mortgage finance self-funding ratio likely stays intact around 71%, which means you can think about mortgage finance loan yields staying relatively flat, somewhere around that 406 basis points range. LHI yields excluding mortgage finance, we think also stay pretty flat, so somewhere in the low 660 basis points. When you blend those two things together with the higher average balances in mortgage finance, you could see the blended loan yields come down a little bit. Just maybe rounding out the aggregate earning asset mix. We've seen about $200 million of cash flows coming off the securities portfolio, reinvest in that a hair over 5%. We think about average cash balances in the high single-digits for the quarter.

Michael Rose

I think you were prepared for that one, Matt. I appreciate the color. Maybe just as my follow-up, just wanted to touch on credit. Nice step down in non-performers this quarter, but they're pretty sized and classified as they continue to move higher. Anything to read into that, or is that just more things working themselves through the process? Just trying to better understand the credit backdrop. Thanks.

Matt Scurlock

The criticized levels did move slightly higher as the resolution of identified problem credits and substandard only partially offset those increases in special mention. We noted for a few quarters now, the largest category within that classification is multifamily commercial real estate, where you're still seeing borrowers having to extend rental concessions to maintain occupancy, which pushes down net operating income and results in that temporary grade migration, even regardless of material equity in the deal or the quality of that sponsor. There's no industry geographic or product-specific patterns associated with that increase in C&I special mention. Just got a handful of companies that are experiencing macro-driven pressure on demand and operating margin. I'd say importantly, we've contemplated some migration in the full-year provision outlook, which we still feel quite comfortable with between 35 and 40 basis points of loans excluding mortgage finance.

Michael Rose

Very helpful, Matt. I'll step back. Thanks.

Matt Scurlock

You bet.

Operator

Your next question comes from Matt Olney with Stephens. Your line is open.

Matt Olney

Thank you for taking the question. Want to go back to investment banking and trading. Those fees looked really nice in the second quarter. Any more color on what you saw in 2Q? I heard the outlook as far as the third quarter staying in that range. Any more color on just the pipelines that you can share that you're assuming? Thanks.

Rob Holmes

I'll just comment real quick. There's broad contributions from the investment bank, from syndications, capital solutions. A good quarter for M&A this quarter, as well as sales and trading. The investment bank is performing as anticipated. It's important to note, I think, that 33% of the investment banking fees that didn't come from trading came from new relationships, either from the commercial or the corporate bank just as intended. The fun fact is all of our closed M&A transactions year to date have been us selling little market, privately-held, Texas-based, family-owned companies. Feel really good about the investment bank, the maturity of the product and the platforms, our origination capabilities, but just as importantly, our distribution capabilities.

Matt Scurlock

The only thing I'd add is that a third of those also resulted in new wealth opportunities. Which, if you think about the trajectory on wealth management, Matt, we think that's a really large opportunity for us in the back part of this year, but certainly moving into 2027. You're effectively banking these clients, providing investment banking products and services, and then high-quality private wealth service in return.

Rob Holmes

On the pipeline for the third quarter that you asked about, I think Matt again said between $40 million and $45 million was the expectation. Highly confident that we will do that. The business is getting easier to predict as we mature. The fees are repeatable, more sustainable, refinancings of existing clients, and more granular all. Feel really good about the quality of the pipeline as well as the size.

Matt Olney

That's great commentary. Appreciate that. I guess switching gears over to the loan growth. Good to see the commercial balances continue to build. On the commercial real estate, heard the commentary about just continued payoff activity, expectation to be down 12% this year. I guess given the commentary, it sounds like you expect that to remain a headwind for a while. Any more color on kind of where or when you expect that to eventually bottom?

Rob Holmes

Well, I'll say just one quick question. I'll let Matt comment on this. We're at a decade low in originations from our highest and best clients, which that's just a fact. We're banking the best clients in our markets. We have no intention of expanding the client base in that segment. We do very well through cycle on credit with those clients. There is irrational behavior by banks in this market given the decade-plus low of originations. Fortunately, we built a platform where we can allocate capital to the best places to do so with our clients. We're not forced to participate in irrational behavior.

Matt Scurlock

We just totally agree with Rob's commentary, Matt, just specifically, we do think that balances could end up at $4.6 billion or so by the end of the year with roughly equivalent payoffs over the next two quarters. Appreciate you commenting on the C&I loan growth, which at this point feels like a pretty sustainable trend. To Rob's commentary, that loan growth almost oftentimes shows up with investment banking fees at origin, very predictably results in a broader relationship with the integrated treasury platform. If anything, the 16% annualized, while certainly strong, it underrepresents the amount of capital that we raised for clients in the quarter because we had another $10 billion of debt raised outside of bank markets and $3 billion of equity.

Matt Scurlock

We are very pleased with the ability to use our differentiated platform to go onboard those clients that we want and then to Rob's point, not have to chase poor risk-adjusted returns to fill a balance sheet target on an individual loan category, in this instance being commercial real estate.

Matt Olney

Thanks for the commentary. I'll step back.

Operator

The next question comes from Janet Lee with TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Janet Lee

Good afternoon.

Matt Scurlock

Hey, Janet.

Janet Lee

You mentioned that the interest-bearing deposit costs in the second quarter was elevated because of the mortgage finance seasonality with brokered being included there. If that were to unwind a bit in the third quarter, what is a good interest-bearing deposit cost to model off of versus the second quarter average of 3.38%?

Matt Scurlock

I think that because of the warehouse balances and the mortgage finance balances are going to increase linked quarter, the expectations for average balance in the third quarter is $6.5 billion against $4.6 billion of mortgage finance deposits. You're likely to see a slight increase in average brokered deposits from the second quarter to the third quarter, $1.8 billion to call it $2.6 billion or so, which would give you probably a couple basis points more of increase in overall deposit cost, which that coupled with a larger percentage of the loan mix weighted toward those lower yielding mortgage finance loans is what pushes that margin temporarily into, call it the mid to low 320 basis points.

Matt Scurlock

That reliance or approach by which we're sort of directly funding that temporary surge with the brokered deposit channel will subside as you get toward the latter half of the year, specifically the fourth quarter where you should see average balances somewhere around, call it $500 million in brokered CDs. That's the result of us continuing to grow interest bearing associated with our commercial clients, which is up $850 million year-over-year, as well as the continued growth in commercial non-interest bearing. For the third quarter, that's how I think about the deposit cost. Up a few basis points off that 3.38% because you have higher average brokered CD balances.

Janet Lee

Got it. Thanks for all the color. Hopefully, I didn't miss it, but could you just comment around the contemplated pace of buybacks given you have plenty of room to go down to 11% CET1 target?

Matt Scurlock

We've got $102 million left and have shown that we're really interested in buying inside of 1.3x tangible or what we think of as two- to three-year out consensus tangible book value per share. We purchased a little north of $20 million this quarter, and then in part because of all the progress on migrating mortgage finance into the enhanced credit structure over the last 12 months, been able to grow loans by $1 billion. Repurchase over $230 million of the stock at $90.62. That's 6% of total shares outstanding while actually growing CET1 62 basis points. Those are levels, Janet, where you'll see us be a little more interested.

Janet Lee

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Ben Gerlinger with Citi. Your line is open.

Ben Gerlinger

Hi, good afternoon. Just kind of more philosophical than anything. Seems like Matt, in your prepared remarks, you emphasized fees as total revenue. I get that that's working higher and it's going to probably lag NII. You also highlighted that wealth management and you kind of have that flywheel opportunity for a lot of your clients. Do you think down the road, overall fees, is there an area where you would like that to be as a total revenue?

Matt Scurlock

Is there an area you want on total fees?

Rob Holmes

Sorry, we had a little bit of a hard time hearing you. I apologize. We said when we started out that we were going to hope for fees as total percent of revenue, 15%-20%. We're at 22% today. That could go a lot higher. The client adoption to the products and services across the entirety of platform is broad and does not seem to be abating. I do think that you'll continue to see fee income grow. Fee income in the treasury service fees this quarter obviously came down as a percentage, but still sector leading over time with really good continued client adoption. I think we onboarded more treasury service clients this quarter than we have since we started counting that four or five years ago. The records continue, and we don't see it abating.

Rob Holmes

I think there's plenty of room to grow fees, and there's plenty of banks with this platform much larger than us that have fees over 30% of revenue.

Ben Gerlinger

Got you. I agree. I mean, directionally I'm getting there. A little bit picky, have you repurchased any in the month of July, like quarter to date?

Matt Scurlock

No. Not yet. I think we've been pretty clear on the level then that we like to repurchase. Inside of 1.3x, you'll see us be active. Above 1.3x, we're going to use capital for other uses at this point.

Ben Gerlinger

Got you. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Casey Haire with Autonomous. Your line is open.

Casey Haire

Great, thanks. Good afternoon, everyone. Wanted to touch on expenses. Looking at the guidance here, it implies a little bit of leverage versus the second quarter run rate in the back half. Obviously you guys are feeling pretty good about the investment banking side of things with the guide up in the third quarter here. Just wondering, do I have that right, and how are you able to show expense leverage when investment banking's ramping?

Matt Scurlock

Just make sure we're saying the same thing. The full year non-interest income guide was $265 million-$290 million. We pulled up the bottom of the range to be $270 million-$290 million. The full year investment banking guide $160 million-$175 million. We're at roughly $85 million year to date. We kept that investment banking guide but gave you a $40 million-$45 million number in aggregate. That's investment banking as well as sales and trading. Those two lines in the press release combined is the outlook for this quarter, which would be pretty consistent with what we've done the first two quarters of the year. Specifically on non-interest expense, the salaries and benefits are generally trending as anticipated.

Matt Scurlock

Other non-interest expense this quarter came in a little bit higher given some temporary increases in legal and professional associated with problem credit resolution and then putting some new revenue initiatives into market. Those should both move down, Casey, in Q3, which puts overall expense not related to salaries and benefits back into that $75 million a quarter range, which is where we've historically guided. Based on the current revenue guide, we do think salaries and benefits is going to continue to trend to $125 million, which gets you about $200 million of non-interest expense in each of the next two quarters to round out the year.

Casey Haire

Got it. All right. Just wanted to revisit sort of the Texas market. Obviously, a lot of M&A. You guys have talked about disruption. Just any color you can provide in how you're benefiting that in terms of loans and deposits and talent acquisition.

Rob Holmes

I would suggest we're benefiting from it in every one of the areas that you mentioned. We have a tiered client and prospect target market that we go after every single day, whether there's disruption at competitors through M&A or not, as well as bankers tiered and maps as well. I would say that there has been disruption, though, which has allowed a greater amount of progress in client migration as well as some talent acquisition. We've had record number of client onboardings every year since the transformation started, and you continue to see that. I'm not sure which is really being driven by the disruption or just good client coverage by our bankers and good discipline and client tiering and the mandate.

Casey Haire

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from David Chiaverini with Jefferies. Your line is open.

David Chiaverini

Hi. Thanks for taking the question. Wanted to follow up on loan growth. I heard you about the commercial real estate down 12%. Maybe I missed it. Did you comment on C&I loan growth outlook and expectations there?

Matt Scurlock

Hey David, this is Matt. We generally don't give specific C&I loan growth guidance because we don't have specific C&I loan growth targets throughout just completed commentary. We do have objectives on acquiring the clients that we want to associate ourselves with. That said, I think the balance sheet trajectory, at least in loan portfolio, does feel pretty well established by which you continue to deliver this sort of 10% year-over-year growth number in C&I with the noted reduction in CRE in aggregate for the year. We think your low to mid-single-digits average LHI loan growth. That excludes mortgage finance. 15% in mortgage finance. When you blend those together, it gets you to mid to high single-digit loan growth for the overall portfolio.

David Chiaverini

Perfect. Thank you for that. Then on the net interest margin outlook, you mentioned about the third quarter, 320-325 basis points. Is this a good medium-term guide as well beyond the third quarter?

Matt Scurlock

It's tough to try to give margin guidance in current interest rate environments at 90 days out, let alone a couple of quarters out. Maybe what I would anchor you to, David, is just the known adjustments in our earning asset mix that are going to occur. You will see the portion of the loan portfolio that's comprised of that lower yielding mortgage finance asset, which is again, roughly 250 basis points inside of loans excluding mortgage finance. You'll see that come down a little bit in the fourth quarter. You'll also see on that a reduction in the brokered CDs, where the roughly $2.6 billion that we anticipate in average balances in the third quarter is likely to come down to something around $500 million in the fourth quarter, both of which obviously would be supportive of margin.

David Chiaverini

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Stephen Scouten

Thanks. Good afternoon. Just wanted to follow back around on interest-bearing deposit costs, maybe ex-brokered. I know you said it was really about 1 basis point of increase this quarter, ex the brokered, and maybe a couple basis points higher next quarter with additional brokers. Based on that, is it fair to say you don't think there's much interest-bearing deposit cost pressure, ex the higher brokerage that you'll see from the mortgage finance? And just kind of wondering if that's correct, kind of what you're seeing on a competitive basis, and maybe the irrationality is more on the loan side, not the funding side.

Matt Scurlock

I think, Rob should definitely follow up on this. I think we've been pretty outspoken in our views that just the cost of liquidity in general is going to go higher for the industry. Those are structural considerations, not things that have happened in the last 90 days, which is why we've tried to build a model that's less reliant on the spread between gathered deposits and made loans, and instead has the way to effectively serve clients and generate a return through fees. This isn't necessarily a surprise to us. Specific to your question on linked quarter performance. Yes, the interest bearing deposit costs were up 1 basis point. Is it up 1 basis point next quarter? Maybe. We don't see a significant wave over the next 90 days pushing overall interest bearing deposit costs higher.

Matt Scurlock

That increase from, call it high 330 basis points to around 340 basis points or low 340 basis points in the third quarter is almost entirely because of that pickup in average broker deposits from about $1.8 billion average to, call it $2.6 billion in the third quarter. Rob, if you want to talk about cost of liquidity.

Rob Holmes

I would just say that I think since my arrival, we have said deposits become more and more commoditized across the entire industry. It's not a Texas Capital issue or constraint. Since the GFC, if you go back and you look at cost of deposits, that's 20 years, that trend has not slowed, and it's happened almost every single year. In the out years, it's still very much of a trend. Matt's been saying that that's going to happen since the day he became CFO. Echoing my comments, we built a platform for that reason.

Rob Holmes

One, to be relevant to clients, and so that you could build a moat around that obstacle and still earn a great return on your capital. That's what we're executing. The strategy addresses that, but that issue won't abate.

Matt Scurlock

I think-

Stephen Scouten

Extremely helpful. Oh, sorry.

Matt Scurlock

No, go ahead, Stephen. Go ahead.

Stephen Scouten

I was just going to say, kind of going along with your desire to diversify the platform, you guys had announced this strategic relationship with Phoenix Merchant Partners. Just wondering if you could comment on that and give a feel for, I guess maybe the motivation there, the strategic implications, kind of what the size of that relationship could be, if that's material in any way as we think about that announcement.

Rob Holmes

Thanks for that. That's been a long time coming. We needed to find the right partner. We feel like that we have. The size is TBD. We'll see how successful it is. As Matt said, we placed $10 billion of debt this quarter that wasn't bank debt. I think it was $11 billion last quarter. $29 billion last year. High yield institutional or private credit. As Matt said, we don't have loan growth targets here at the bank. Our bankers go in. We don't say what we want from the client. We want to give you a loan and take your deposits. We go in and solve a capital need, a capital solution for them. We're agnostic whether it's bank market or private credit. This allows us to participate in the private credit that we place or not.

Rob Holmes

When we do that, we generally get treasury business as well as investment banking. We think it's a great medium to just expand that opportunity. We're really, really excited about and happy about the partner that we chose.

Stephen Scouten

Fantastic. Thanks so much. Appreciate it.

Rob Holmes

You bet.

Operator

Your next question comes from Anthony Elian with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Anthony Elian

Hi, everyone. Matt, does the NIM declining to the low to mid 320 basis points in 3Q, do you think that represents a trough before the mortgage seasonality reverses in 4Q?

Matt Scurlock

Hey, Tony. We do think that's the low point in 2026. Generally, it's difficult to lay down a margin guide for anything beyond about 90-180 days. We would expect the margin to move higher off of that in the fourth quarter.

Anthony Elian

More broadly on deposit competition, can you give us some color what you're seeing on that front and how you're thinking about deposit beta if we do get a hike later this year? Thank you.

Rob Holmes

I would just say, look, total deposits, I think Matt said, are up 11% year-over-year. Non-interest average up 5%. We're winning high-quality deposits from our clients. These are our clients' deposits, which I think is really important. Remember, a lot of deposits come and they go. It depends on the client's life cycle, too. We're retaining the deposits that we're getting. The attrition is very low compared to what I've seen in the past in terms of losing P x V in Treasury business. When you are doing P x V with a client, you get deposits over 70% of the time. We're winning that. I don't see the deposit growth really slowing down, even though it may seem modest at those percentages.

Matt Scurlock

Just specific to your data question, Tony, if we're able to lag hikes to the extent that we did in the last hiking cycle, that would be beneficial to our expectations for margin. Our current margin expectations incorporate that modeled data, which is roughly 80%. Which as you know, we definitely outperformed that in the last hiking cycle, and then we're able to get more on the way down than was modeled in the IRR sensitivity.

Anthony Elian

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jared Shaw with Barclays. Your line is open.

Jared Shaw

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks. Heard your comments on the competitive pressure around CRE and in pricing and structure. Are you seeing any similar trends on the C&I side as a result of some of the bank consolidation that's been going on? Is it really more focused on the CRE?

Rob Holmes

We have seen it on C&I. Some very irrational behavior, both on price and structure. We have won deals or had the option to win deals that we have walked away from. We'll continue to do so. We want to bank with clients that want a responsible credit structure. When the clients trip under the current structure they chose and they call us back, I'm sure that we'll entertain it again. There is definitely irrational behavior in both price and structure that we will not participate in.

Rob Holmes

As Matt and I talked when this first started, I told Matt we're going to gain share during bad times, not good, because we're not going to participate in the good rallies. We're gaining a lot of share, but not nearly as much as we could if we wanted, and we're being very prudent with client selection and structure.

Jared Shaw

Thanks. On capital, I see the target greater than 11%. I guess longer term or more philosophically, how do you feel about capital ratios given your business model? Do you look at 11% as sort of like a floor or a target? Given your business model, do you see a need to maybe keep capital levels at a higher level than other peer targets, or not necessarily?

Rob Holmes

Well, I kind of grew up under a very financially conservative boss for a long time. We feel very good about having "too much capital." The guide is to have 11% or more CET1. I would say we're very happy with the guide. We like carrying too much capital. It'll benefit us. We also, importantly, are very conservative in terms of provisions, et cetera, too. We feel that's a part of being very well capitalized. Don't forget that. I don't think it's our business model that dictates that. As we improve the liabilities over time and we become more confident with the maturity of the business model, maybe we'll take that down over time. Right now, it's serving us very well. We're making a lot of money on it because we're talking to CEOs and they're onboarding new business and they're very comfortable.

Rob Holmes

They never ask us about our financial conditioning or anything else because they see how much capital we carry. It serves a purpose, and it's helping us win business.

Jared Shaw

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from Woody Lay with KBW. Your line is open.

Woody Lay

Hey, thanks for taking my questions. Just one follow-up on my end on the capital side. I was just interested in your thoughts on M&A and if that could be a potential use for capital going forward.

Rob Holmes

For sure. Hey, Woody. Again, it's certainly part of the capital menu that Matt and I have talked about many, many times. Invest in the businesses, invest in new products and services. We now have a dividend. We have bought back 16.5% of the stock since the beginning of the transformation. Whole bank M&A is certainly something that we're happy to look at and consider. As you know, we have a lot of people on the platform that have done M&A for a living. That's something that we do look at, whether it be whole bank M&A or different capabilities. We sold a $3.5 billion business. We bought a loan portfolio. We will continue to look at it, but again, it's got to be a rational, prudent, appropriate transaction, which to date, obviously, we have not found.

Woody Lay

Got it. I appreciate the color.

Operator

Your next question comes from Peter Winter with D.A. Davidson. Your line is open.

Peter Winter

Thanks. Good afternoon. Rob, could you provide an update on how you're thinking about profitability going forward? Maybe if you have any updated targets. When I look at the ROA, it has been below the 1.2% target the past two quarters.

Rob Holmes

Well, I don't know that we've given guidance on profitability going forward. I would just tell you that what we have said is stacking tangible book value quarter after quarter is very, very important and something we'll continue to do, and something we've done as well or better than anybody in the country these past five years. I would focus on that. As a platform continues to mature, you've seen over time, we've certainly made the place more efficient. That journey continues. Revenue continues to go up with record investment banking treasury and private wealth fees. I would just look at positive operating leverage as a goal of the firm over time, and the rest will take care of itself.

Peter Winter

Then Matt, just one quick housekeeping. There was a $5 million increase, $4.8 million to be exact, in other fees. Was there something unusual this quarter?

Matt Scurlock

No. If you're looking at the press release, some of that gets ingested into treasury product fees in the presentation. About half of it's either treasury product fees or credit-related fees, and then about half of that's marks on the equity portfolio. It'll bounce around a little bit quarter to quarter, Peter, but nothing other than those things to call out.

Peter Winter

Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jon Arfstrom with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Jon Arfstrom

Thanks. Hello, everyone.

Rob Holmes

Hey, Jon.

Jon Arfstrom

Hey. Most of the questions have been covered, I did want to go back to the treasury product fees that you talked about earlier, you talked about record onboarding. What do you expect for growth in the fee side of it? I know that there's a flywheel effect as well, but do we expect a step function-type growth at some point like the other fee businesses, or is this like a higher single-digit type growth fee line?

Rob Holmes

Hey, Jon. Look, we're really, really excited about the treasury platform we built. We actually think we're one of the best dollar payment banks in the country. We have embedded banking. We have APIs. We have real-time payments. We have real-time receipts. We have digital onboarding. It's a very unique and differentiated client journey to onboard with us. We can do faster than most banks in the country. We even have a good global bank now. We can make cross-border payments with ease. That's really coming alive for us. We continue to be really good. We also have a very different culture, like the people in the sales and trading floor sell treasury. Our treasury partners are consultants. They don't sell anything. They consult, they whiteboard, which brings more complex clients to the platform where we have more business per client because they're just more complex treasury back offices.

Rob Holmes

I don't see any abatement. That business, we're becoming more the primacy bank for all of our clients than ever before. That's when you get the treasury. I think you'll see that continue. That's going to always be about who we are. It's very important to us. Our bankers understand treasury. Our TMOs understand treasury. Our investment bankers understand treasury more than any place I've ever been.

Jon Arfstrom

That makes sense to me. This is kind of random, Rob, you wanted to change your incorporation from Delaware to Texas about a quarter ago. When the results came out, you didn't quite make it. Can you still get that done over time? How important is it to you as a company? Do you go back in a year? What's the status of that?

Rob Holmes

Well, that's a great question, Jon. Look, I think it is important. I think if you look at what the Texas legislature did last year with codifying the business judgment rule and make some changes to shareholder proxy proposals and derivative lawsuits and other things with Texas Business Court up and running. It would be advantageous for our shareholders, for us to be in Texas. We got a 44% of the vote. I think we would've gotten the vote had our shareholder base been more retail as opposed to institutional, where they listen to irresponsible, uninformed proxy advisors. I'll go on the record and say it, and it's a problem, and they have too much power. We'll do it again, and we look forward to continuing educating our shareholder base, and we look forward to becoming incorporated in the great state of Texas.

Jon Arfstrom

Thanks. Appreciate it.

Operator

This concludes the question-and-answer session. I'll turn the call to Rob Holmes for closing remarks.

Rob Holmes

I'll say thanks to everybody. There's a lot of great questions and a lot of people on the line. Thank you, and look forward to making sure we have another great quarter.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-21

Texas Capital Bank (TCBI) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect

StockStory

Regional banking firm Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) will be reporting earnings this Wednesday after market hours. Here’s what to expect. Texas Capital Bank beat analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $324.9 million, up 15.8% year on year. It was a satisfactory quarter for the company, with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates but a miss of analysts’ tangible book value per share estimates. Is Texas Capital Bank a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members. This quarter, the market is expecting Texas Capital Bank’s revenue to grow 7.6% year on year, slowing from the 16% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business will stay the course heading into earnings. Texas Capital Bank has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates multiple times over the last two years. Looking at Texas Capital Bank’s peers in the regional banks segment, some have already reported their Q2 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. M&T Bank delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 4.7%, beating analysts’ expectations by 1.8%, and Commerce Bancshares reported revenues up 11.9%, topping estimates by 1.8%. M&T Bank traded up 5% following the results while Commerce Bancshares was also up 1.7%. Read our full analysis of M&T Bank’s results here and Commerce Bancshares’s results here. There has been positive sentiment among investors in the regional banks segment, with share prices up 5.1% on average over the last month. Texas Capital Bank is up 3.8% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $109.38 (compared to the current share price of $103.42). ALSO WORTH WATCHING: Nvidia’s Quiet Partner. Nvidia’s chips cost a hundred grand. The connectors that make them work cost even more. One company makes them all. Every AI server needs specialized infrastructure the chip companies don’t make. High-speed cables. Power connectors. Thermal sensors. This 90-year-old company built a monopoly on it. The AI boom just started. This stock is still flying under the radar. Claim The Stock Ticker Here for FREE.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-07-15

Texas Capital (TCBI) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks
Texas Capital (TCBI) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 22, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This holding company for Texas Capital Bank is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.85 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +13.5%. Revenues are expected to be $331.28 million, up 7.8% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 2.04% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However,…Read full document

Texas Capital (TCBI) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 22, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This holding company for Texas Capital Bank is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.85 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +13.5%. Revenues are expected to be $331.28 million, up 7.8% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 2.04% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only. A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). For Texas Capital, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +0.99%. On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3. So, this combination indicates that Texas Capital will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate. While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number. For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Texas Capital would post earnings of $1.42 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.58, delivering a surprise of +11.27%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times. An earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss. That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported. Texas Capital appears a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release. Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

As of 2026-08-01 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook