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TBLA

Taboola.comA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 ex-TAC gross profit rose 11.8% and adjusted EBITDA rose 22.8% year over year; sustained delivery against the raised full-year outlook could support a rerating. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · BMO.
What can break
Q2 free cash flow declined to $17.3 million from $34.2 million a year earlier despite adjusted EBITDA growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
19
Value
66
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.80 · Bull $5.00 · Bear $2.40Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.70
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +3.8
Value66 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Q2 free cash flow declined to $17.3 million from $34.2 million a year earlier despite adjusted EBITDA growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Q3 delivery and full-year guidance risk, particularly for ex-TAC gross profit and adjusted EBITDA. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Revenue rose only 2.4% in Q2 while operating and free cash flow declined year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04 · BMO

Q3 results test raised full-year outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+8.1
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
70
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-5.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 18.6 / Value 65.5 / Sentiment 70.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$940.14M
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
270.16M
P/E (TTM)
59.0
P/S (TTM)
0.67
P/FCF (TTM)
7.51
Rev YoY
+2.4%
EPS YoY
-206.5%
Gross Margin
+29.1%
Op Margin
+2.6%
Net Debt
$73.23M
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data