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TBLA

Taboola.comB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Profitability and monetization are improving: Q2 ex-TAC gross profit grew 11.8%, adjusted EBITDA grew 22.8%, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 28.8%. Management also raised FY2026 ex-TAC gross-profit and adjusted-EBITDA guidance.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.
What can break
A recent securities-law lawsuit headline adds headline overhang, but the packet does not provide enough detail to assess its merits or financial impact.
Momentum
6
Value
65
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.20 · Bull $5.40 · Bear $2.70Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.80
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +0.6
Value65 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +3.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A recent securities-law lawsuit headline adds headline overhang, but the packet does not provide enough detail to assess its merits or financial impact.
  • • FY2026 revenue guidance was reduced to $1.930B-$1.956B from the prior release's $2.006B-$2.062B range. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Revenue growth remains modest, FY revenue guidance was lowered versus the prior-quarter outlook, operating cash flow and free cash flow declined year over year, and the post-earnings market response was negative.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 mixed print and revenue-guidance reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-2.9
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.6
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
-11.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 5.6 / Value 65.1 / Sentiment 77.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.05B
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
270.16M
P/E (TTM)
59.0
P/S (TTM)
0.67
P/FCF (TTM)
7.51
Rev YoY
+2.4%
EPS YoY
-206.5%
Gross Margin
+29.1%
Op Margin
+2.6%
Net Debt
$73.23M
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data