TAP.A

Molson Coors BeverageB

NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

Primary sources support a cautious bull case: Q1 2026 showed 2.0% reported net sales growth, 24.0% growth in underlying EPS to $0.62, favorable 3.0% price/mix, lower MG&A, continued buybacks, and a still-meaningful cash-return posture despite a difficult backdrop [#IR-2026Q1-0430].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

What can break

Commodity inflation remains a live margin risk, with management specifically calling out Midwest Premium aluminum costs as most acute in Q2 2026.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $45.00 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $39.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $45.00

Why

Momentum52 · Δ7d -

Value67 · Δ7d +0.5

Sentiment56 · Δ7d -

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.5

Δ21d

+0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 51.7 / Value 66.5 / Sentiment 55.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$7.82B

Beta

0.47

Shares Out

177.78M

P/E (TTM)

8.6

P/S (TTM)

0.78

P/FCF (TTM)

12.12

Rev YoY

+2.0%

EPS YoY

+34.7%

Gross Margin

+35.1%

Op Margin

-20.3%

Net Debt

$5.62B

Current Ratio

0.54

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology