B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
STRZ
Starz EntertainmentCNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-24
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+52.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+61.3
Score
AI commentary
Tone is cautiously constructive but low-conviction: Q1 primary-source evidence emphasized cash-flow improvement and an accelerated margin timeline, while the next dated event is the August 7 earnings report [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-01]. The packet includes a recent 10-Q filing [#10-Q-2026-05-07], but its excerpt is truncated; analyst revision evidence and social coverage are unavailable. The $24.34 anchor is below the supplied $30.33 median target, but the missing target count limits confidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-24
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-07eventQ2 2026 earnings report on August 7Medium impact
STARZ announced that it will report second-quarter 2026 results before market open on August 7, creating the clearest dated near-term catalyst. Consensus and revision data are unavailable, so the setup remains two-sided [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-01].
2026-08-07catalystQ2 execution miss could reverse the setupHigh impact
Failure to sustain positive OTT revenue growth, low-single-digit Adjusted OIBDA growth, $80 million-$120 million of unlevered free cash flow, or approximately 2.7x exit leverage would weaken the rerating case. The packet provides no consensus benchmark [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07].
2027-12-31catalystMargin expansion and deleveraging executionHigh impact
Q1 results showed $73.2 million of operating cash flow, $80.7 million of unlevered free cash flow, and $523.0 million of net debt. Management reiterated 2026 targets and accelerated its 20% Adjusted OIBDA margin outlook to the second half of 2027 [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-24 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology