B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SMTC
SemtechCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-16.0
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-16.0
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+65.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+62.8
Score
AI commentary
News tone is strongly positive after the Q2 beat, upbeat Q3 outlook, and reported post-print analyst upgrades. Secondary coverage reported approximately 4.7% premarket gains and an approximately 10.4% August 26 close reaction; the RankAlpha anchor remained at $142.43 on August 27, indicating that the initial reaction broadly held. Social, options, short-interest, and employee data are unavailable, so the memo remains earnings-led and monitoring-oriented rather than a high-conviction momentum call. [Market reaction coverage](https://uk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/why-is-semtech-stock-surging-today-93CH-4847430)
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-28
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-25eventQ2 FY2027 beat with record revenue and margin expansionHigh impact
Semtech reported record Q2 FY2027 net sales of $341.9 million, adjusted EPS of $0.71, adjusted gross margin of 54.5%, and adjusted operating margin of 24.4%; the packet's pre-print consensus was $328.4 million revenue and $0.62 EPS. The company filed the release as Exhibit 99.1 in its 8-K. [#IR-2026-08-25] [#SEC-8K-2026-08-25] [Semtech IR release](https://investors.semtech.com/news/semtech-announces-second-quarter-of-fiscal-year-2027-results/ac421ffd-681c-4ada-b123-885db7828158)
2026-10-15eventData Center teach-in may clarify the long-term AI connectivity runwayMedium impact
Semtech has scheduled a Data Center teach-in for October 15, 2026, covering strategy, technology, growth opportunities, and long-term financial objectives. [#IR-2026-08-17] [Semtech IR announcement](https://investors.semtech.com/news/semtech-corporation-to-host-data-center-teach-in-event-on-oct-15-2026/25ad3cb5-df01-4c5a-9689-016aae080bba)
2026-11-26catalystQ3 FY2027 outlook supports near-term estimate revisionsHigh impact
Management guided to Q3 FY2027 net sales of $410 million, adjusted EPS of $1.05, adjusted gross margin of 58.3%, and adjusted operating margin of 31.0%. The guide is supportive, but the next earnings date and a complete analyst-consensus series are unavailable. [#IR-2026-08-25] [Semtech IR release](https://investors.semtech.com/news/semtech-announces-second-quarter-of-fiscal-year-2027-results/ac421ffd-681c-4ada-b123-885db7828158)
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology