SMPL
Simply Good FoodsANasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The Q3 earnings and revenue beat, early cost actions, and growth in Quest and OWYN provide evidence that the reset may be gaining traction. The stock is below the packet median analyst target of $14.875, offering modest valuation support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.
What can break
Atkins distribution losses and weak retail takeaway may persist.
Momentum
26
Value
72
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.75 · Bull $18.00 · Bear $10.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.88
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -8.4
Value72 · Δ7d +1.3
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +13.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.4
Δ21d
+0.2
Value
72
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
76
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.2
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 26.4 / Value 71.9 / Sentiment 76.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$980.14M
Beta
0.26
Shares Out
88.46M
P/E (TTM)
18.5
P/S (TTM)
1.23
P/FCF (TTM)
11.49
Rev YoY
-9.4%
EPS YoY
-579.2%
Gross Margin
+32.5%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$205.96M
Current Ratio
5.06
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology