SM
SM EnergyBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that SM converted the Civitas combination into an early operating beat versus company guidance: production exceeded the guide midpoint, the synergy target moved up to $375 million, and full-year production guidance was raised while capex was held flat. If Q2 confirms that second-half run-rate and divestiture-funded deleveraging are real, the stock could move closer to the packet's $32.1538 median target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.5.
What can break
Commodity-price and hedge-book volatility can overwhelm operating gains, as shown by the large Q1 derivative loss.
Momentum
73
Value
56
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $31.50 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $24.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $32.15
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -5.5
Value56 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment51 · Δ7d +6.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
73
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
+8.0
Value
56
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
51
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
+1.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 73.3 / Value 55.7 / Sentiment 50.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$7.83B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
114.55M
P/E (TTM)
2.9
P/S (TTM)
0.65
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.75
Rev YoY
+26.1%
EPS YoY
-35.7%
Gross Margin
+73.0%
Op Margin
+33.4%
Net Debt
$2.78B
Current Ratio
0.56
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology