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SJM

J.M SmuckerB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The June 9 earnings release materially improved the near-term operating picture: Q4 net sales rose 6%, adjusted EPS rose 20%, FY2027 adjusted EPS guidance came in at $9.75-$10.25, and FY2026 cash generation and debt repayment were strong. With the deterministic prior now positive and the median target around $124 versus a $111.60 anchor price, the setup supports a constructive-but-not-aggressive watchlist stance.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
FY2027 free cash flow is guided to approximately $1.0 billion, below FY2026 free cash flow of $1.2 billion, so cash support is not a one-way tailwind.
Momentum
69
Value
58
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $121.00 · Bull $128.00 · Bear $102.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $124.07
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d -1.3
Value58 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -5.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-15.9
Value
58
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
52
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
+0.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 68.6 / Value 58.3 / Sentiment 52.3

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$11.97B
Beta
0.22
Shares Out
106.88M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-86.2
P/S (TTM)
1.15
P/FCF (TTM)
57.52
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
-153.0%
Gross Margin
+33.2%
Op Margin
-8.0%
Net Debt
$7.07B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology