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SCZM

Santacruz Silver MiningA
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bolivar's Q3 recovery and Zimapan's improved silver recovery provide operating evidence for management's Q4 plans. Dedicated San Lucas milling could remove a capacity conflict if commissioned successfully [#PR-2026-10-21].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.
What can break
Bolivar dewatering or access delays could push full recovery beyond management's Q4 expectation [#PR-2026-10-21].
Momentum
46
Value
68
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.50 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $4.80Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.98
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -25.7
Value68 · Δ7d +1.6
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +8.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bolivar dewatering or access delays could push full recovery beyond management's Q4 expectation [#PR-2026-10-21].
  • • Lower purchased-ore grades, weaker Caballo Blanco grades or renewed logistics disruption could impair production-to-sales conversion [#PR-2026-10-21] [#PR-2026-08-17].
  • • Consolidated Q3 silver and zinc production each fell 5% quarter over quarter despite Bolivar's progress.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Bolivar recovery in Q4 2026

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-25.7
Δ21d
-46.1
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+7.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 46.4 / Value 68.4 / Sentiment 61.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$647.73M
Beta
2.69
Shares Out
92.99M
P/E (TTM)
11.6
P/S (TTM)
2.95
P/FCF (TTM)
15.38
Rev YoY
+54.8%
EPS YoY
-97.7%
Gross Margin
+35.7%
Op Margin
+30.0%
Net Debt
-$8.08M
Current Ratio
1.51
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data