B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
+46.5% vs current
SCI
Service InternationalCNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
+35.2% vs current
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
+7.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-04-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.1
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+80.3
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source evidence improved materially with SCI's April 29, 2026 earnings release, but this remains an early T+1 read. The immediate tone is mixed: the company reaffirmed guidance and showed good cemetery/preneed and cash-flow metrics, yet visible consensus framing points to a modest EPS miss versus the $1.01 estimate and MarketBeat showed the stock at $84.72 in extended trading versus a $86.41 close, about a 2.0% drop on April 29, 2026. With post-print analyst revisions still limited and direct public peer evidence thin, sentiment should be treated as cautious monitoring rather than a confirmed positive turn.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-04-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-30eventEarnings-call digestion should determine whether investors focus on cemetery/preneed resilience or funeral-volume pressureMedium impact
Management's April 30, 2026 conference call is the near-term checkpoint for whether unchanged full-year guidance is viewed as credible despite weaker funeral volumes and lower operating income in Q1. At T+1, visible analyst revision data is still limited, so the call matters more than usual for near-term framing. [#PR-2026-04-29]
2026-04-30catalystQ1 print showed modest adjusted EPS growth, stronger cash flow, and unchanged 2026 guidance, but funeral volume was softerMedium impact
SCI reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.0965B, adjusted EPS of $0.97 versus $0.96 a year earlier, operating cash flow of $333.8M, and reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.05-$4.35. Offsetting that, comparable funeral service volumes declined 6% year over year while cemetery preneed sales production rose 10% and funeral sales average rose 3%. [#PR-2026-04-29]
2026-12-31catalystPreneed sales growth, cemetery mix, and capital deployment remain the main 2026 compounding leversHigh impact
SCI's longer-run case still depends on leveraging scale in a high fixed-cost deathcare network, sustaining preneed production, and converting cash flow into disciplined buybacks, acquisitions, and cemetery development. The company's 10-K and February guidance frame this as a steady execution story rather than a sharp re-rating setup. [#10-K-2026-02-12]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-04-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology