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SCCO

Southern CopperD
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case depends on a strong, sustained copper price rally, operational outperformance and/or a substantial dividend re-rating that materially lifts cash flows and investor multiple.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Operational disruptions or large capex overruns
Momentum
79
Value
49
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $149.52 · Bull $246.65 · Bear $87.90Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $168.30
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -5.3
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -0.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Operational disruptions or large capex overruns
  • • Prolonged weakness in copper prices
  • • Bear case centers on prolonged copper weakness, regulatory/tax actions in Peru/Mexico, or production outages that compress margins and dividends, pushing consensus targets lower.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-11

Quarterly earnings / production update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
+14.8
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-6.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 79.4 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 46.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$246.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$149.52
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$87.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$162.15B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
844.34M
P/E (TTM)
32.0
P/S (TTM)
10.25
P/FCF (TTM)
107.49
Rev YoY
+40.6%
EPS YoY
+73.5%
Gross Margin
+57.8%
Op Margin
+56.9%
Net Debt
$2.5B
Current Ratio
5.06
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data