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SCCO

Southern CopperC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case depends on a strong, sustained copper price rally, operational outperformance and/or a substantial dividend re-rating that materially lifts cash flows and investor multiple.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26.
What can break
Operational disruptions or large capex overruns
Momentum
84
Value
49
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $149.52 · Bull $246.65 · Bear $87.90Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $177.12
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d -7.6
Value49 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment46 · Δ7d +7.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Operational disruptions or large capex overruns
  • • Prolonged weakness in copper prices
  • • Bear case centers on prolonged copper weakness, regulatory/tax actions in Peru/Mexico, or production outages that compress margins and dividends, pushing consensus targets lower.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-26

Quarterly earnings / production update

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
84
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.6
Δ21d
+0.7
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.7
Δ21d
+5.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 84.5 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 46.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$246.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$149.52
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$87.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$156.21B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
844.34M
P/E (TTM)
32.0
P/S (TTM)
10.25
P/FCF (TTM)
107.49
Rev YoY
+40.6%
EPS YoY
+73.5%
Gross Margin
+57.8%
Op Margin
+56.9%
Net Debt
$2.5B
Current Ratio
5.06
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data