B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$246.65
+22.5% vs current
SCCO
Southern CopperCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$149.52
-25.7% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$87.90
-56.3% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-10
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+20.1
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+20.1
Positive
Pulse
+16.6
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+24.6
Score
AI commentary
Market sentiment is mixed: many sell-side 12-month targets sit below the current anchor, signalling caution on near-term copper demand and country risk [#SERP-2]. A subset of analysts remain constructive on longer-term copper fundamentals and dividend support, producing a wide dispersion of targets [#SERP-1]. The range of reported targets indicates divergence on how quickly SCCO's cash flow trajectory will recover or re-rate [#SERP-4].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-10
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-11catalystQuarterly earnings / production updateHigh impact
Next quarterly results and production metrics could reprice exposure to copper and margins; analysts expect revisions around the release window [#SERP-2].
2026-05-11catalystDividend declaration or changeMedium impact
Southern Copper's dividend decisions materially affect yield-sensitive flows; market commentary and consensus estimates highlight dividend expectations for 2026 [#SERP-1].
2027-02-10catalystCopper price cycle / macro demand recoveryHigh impact
A sustained global copper price recovery (driven by construction and EV demand) would lift SCCO over the next year; sell-side targets show dispersion around long-term copper scenarios [#SERP-8], [#SERP-4].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology